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MMA Handicapper Stats: Nik_Is_Jolly

Nik_Is_Jolly (NikIsJolly)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	21 (27%)	Right	6 (40%)	Right	2 (17%)	Right	13 (25%)
Wrong	58 (73%)	Wrong	9 (60%)	Wrong	10 (83%)	Wrong	39 (75%)
Avg Odds	3.46	Avg Odds	2.60	Avg Odds	2.63	Avg Odds	4.16
Units Bet	90.3	Units Bet	15.5	Units Bet	16.8	Units Bet	58.0
Avg Bet	1.14	Avg Bet	1.03	Avg Bet	1.40	Avg Bet	1.12
Units Profit	-8.83	Units Profit	-0.91	Units Profit	-10.75	Units Profit	2.83
ROI %	-10%	ROI %	-6%	ROI %	-64%	ROI %	5%

Nik_Is_Jolly : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
16th Jul '17	UFC Fight Night 113	8	-8.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
8th Jul '17	UFC 213	10	4.3	43%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		6.3 / 8 (79%)
7th Jul '17	TUF Season 25 Finale	12	-9.9	-83%	0.1 / 2 (3%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-9.0 / 9 (-100%)
25th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 112	6	-6.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
17th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 111	5	-1.2	-25%			-1.2 / 5 (-25%)
10th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	6	-6.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
3rd Jun '17	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	8	13.1	164%	0.8 / 2 (42%)		12.2 / 6 (204%)
28th May '17	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	7	-3.7	-52%	2.3 / 1 (235%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
13th May '17	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	11.05	-6.0	-54%	1.0 / 1.05 (95%)	-3.0 / 6 (-50%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
22nd Apr '17	UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov	6.4	11.4	177%	-0.1 / 1.4 (-8%)	-0.9 / 3 (-32%)	12.4 / 2 (621%)
15th Apr '17	UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis	5.5	1.5	26%	2.0 / 1 (195%)	1.0 / 3 (33%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
8th Apr '17	UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2	6.3	1.8	28%		-4.8 / 4.8 (-100%)	6.6 / 1.5 (438%)
31st Mar '17	Bellator 175	1	1.1	105%			1.1 / 1 (105%)
25th Mar '17	Invicta FC 22	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Winning Events: 6 (43%)
Losing Events: 8 (57%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.66 units
Most Staked On One Event: 12.00 units
Best Event: 13.09 units
Worst Event: -9.95 units
Average Event: -0.63 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 15.62
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -23.19

Nik_Is_Jolly : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2017	93.25	-8.8	-9%	-0.9 / 15.45 (-6%)	-10.7 / 19.8 (-54%)	2.8 / 58 (5%)	6 / 8 (43%)	-0.63

Nik_Is_Jolly : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Nik_Is_Jolly : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	91.25	-8.9	-10%	-0.9 / 15.45 (-6%)	-10.7 / 19.8 (-54%)	2.8 / 56 (5%)
Bellator	1	1.1	105%			1.1 / 1 (105%)
Other	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Nik_Is_Jolly : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	1 (7%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.29	0.29	29%
Slight Favorites	1 (7%)	1	100 %	1.05	1.00	1.00	95%
Slight Underdogs	6 (40%)	2	33 %	6.00	-1.10	-0.18	-18%
Big Underdogs	7 (47%)	2	29 %	7.40	-1.10	-0.16	-15%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	1 (7%)	0	0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Co-Main Event	1 (7%)	0	0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Position 3-5	4 (27%)	2	50 %	4.00	1.00	0.25	25%
6+ (Undercard)	9 (60%)	4	44 %	9.45	0.09	0.01	1%

Nik_Is_Jolly : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Light Heavy	2 (13%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-1.00	-100%
Middleweight	4 (27%)	2	50 %	4.00	1.00	0.25	25%
Lightweight	4 (27%)	2	50 %	4.00	0.64	0.16	16%
Featherweight	1 (7%)	1	100 %	1.05	1.00	1.00	95%
Bantamweight	2 (13%)	1	50 %	3.00	-0.15	-0.08	-5%

Women's Fights	2 (13%)		0 %	1.40	-1.40	-0.70	-100%
Bantamweight	1 (7%)		0 %	0.40	-0.40	-0.40	-100%
Strawweight	1 (7%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	158 (69%)	128	81 %
Slight Favorites	59 (26%)	37	63 %
Slight Underdogs	5 (2%)	1	20 %
Big Underdogs	7 (3%)	4	57 %
	229	170	74 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	1 (7%)	0	0 %
35-50%	6 (43%)	1	17 %
<35% chance	7 (50%)	1	14 %
	14	2	14 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by KO	13 (93%)	2	15 %	2.87	5.50	1.71	-4.9 (-38%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (7%)	0	0 %	2.00	2.00	2.00	-1.0 (-100%)
	14	2	14 %	2.78			-5.9 (-42%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Nik_Is_Jolly 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
25th Mar	Invicta FC 22	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$990.00
31st Mar	Bellator 175	1	1.1	105%		$9.90	$990.00	$1,000.41
8th Apr	UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2	6.3	1.8	28%		$10.00	$1,000.41	$1,018.06
15th Apr	UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis	5.5	1.5	26%		$10.18	$1,018.06	$1,032.82
22nd Apr	UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov	6.4	11.4	177%		$10.33	$1,032.82	$1,150.08
13th May	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	11.05	-6.0	-54%		$11.50	$1,150.08	$1,081.08
28th May	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	7	-3.7	-52%		$10.81	$1,081.08	$1,041.62
3rd Jun	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	8	13.1	164%		$10.42	$1,041.62	$1,177.94
10th Jun	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	6	-6.0	-100%		$11.78	$1,177.94	$1,107.27
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night 111	5	-1.2	-25%		$11.07	$1,107.27	$1,093.51
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night 112	6	-6.0	-100%		$10.94	$1,093.51	$1,027.90
7th Jul	TUF Season 25 Finale	12	-9.9	-83%		$10.28	$1,027.90	$925.63
8th Jul	UFC 213	10	4.3	43%		$9.26	$925.63	$965.49
16th Jul	UFC Fight Night 113	8	-8.0	-100%		$9.65	$965.49	$888.25

ROI % from starting bank balance: -11.17% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Nik_Is_Jolly : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '17	Brad Tavares	Elias Theodorou	2.05	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Jun '17	Raphael Assuncao	Marlon Moraes	2.85	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	May '17	Damir Hadzovic	Marcin Held	3.35	1	TKO, R3 (0:7)
4.	May '17	Jason Knight	Chas Skelly	1.95	1.05	TKO, R3 (0:39)
5.	Apr '17	Scott Holtzman	Michael McBride	1.29	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Apr '17	Robert Whittaker	Ronaldo Souza	2.95	1	TKO, R2 (3:28)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '17	Albert Morales	Brett Johns	4.31	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jul '17	Paul Craig	Khalil Rountree	2.55	1	TKO, R1 (4:56)	No
3.	Jul '17	James Bochnovic	Trevin Giles	3.35	1	TKO, R2 (2:54)	No
4.	Jul '17	Jim Miller	Anthony Pettis	2.85	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Jul '17	Ed Herman	C.B. Dollaway	2.45	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jun '17	Michael Chiesa	Kevin Lee	2.12	1	Sub, R1 (4:37)	No
7.	Jun '17	Daniel Kelly	Derek Brunson	3.25	1	TKO, R1 (1:16)	No
8.	Jun '17	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	Claudia Gadelha	3.75	1	Sub, R1 (3:3)	No
9.	Apr '17	Cindy Dandois	Alexis Davis	3.50	0.4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Nik_Is_Jolly : Progress Chart

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