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MMA Handicapper Stats: aaronh87MMA

aaronh87MMA (aaronh2787)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - aaronh87MMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 24 (52%) Right 16 (53%) Right 3 (43%) Right 5 (56%)
Wrong 22 (48%) Wrong 14 (47%) Wrong 4 (57%) Wrong 4 (44%)
Avg Odds 1.66 Avg Odds 1.69 Avg Odds 1.55 Avg Odds 1.65
Units Bet 118.3 Units Bet 75.8 Units Bet 17.5 Units Bet 25.0
Avg Bet 2.57 Avg Bet 2.53 Avg Bet 2.50 Avg Bet 2.78
Units Profit -15.65 Units Profit -9.98 Units Profit -3.45 Units Profit -2.22
ROI % -13% ROI % -13% ROI % -20% ROI % -9%
View Handicapper's Profile

aaronh87MMA : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 6.4 4.4 69% 2.1 / 3.4 (61%) 2.4 / 3 (78%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 4 1.1 28% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.1 / 3 (70%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 14.44 1.0 7% -0.1 / 11.44 (-1%) 1.1 / 3 (36%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 5.5 -5.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 3 1.9 63% 1.9 / 3 (63%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 4.5 3.7 83% 1.6 / 1.5 (105%) 2.1 / 3 (71%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 5 -1.9 -38% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 1.1 / 2 (54%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 7 0.0 0% 0.0 / 7 (0%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
16th Dec '17 UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 5 -0.8 -17% -0.8 / 5 (-17%)
9th Dec '17 UFC Fight Night 123 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Dec '17 UFC 218 4 1.8 45% 1.8 / 4 (45%)
22nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 7 -7.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
9th Sep '17 UFC 215 9.5 -3.3 -35% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) 2.7 / 3.5 (78%)
5th Aug '17 UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 6 -1.1 -19% 1.9 / 3 (63%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Jul '17 UFC 214 6 -2.3 -38% -0.8 / 4.5 (-17%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
22nd Jul '17 UFC on Fox 25 6.5 2.9 44% 2.9 / 6.5 (44%)
16th Jul '17 UFC Fight Night 113 6 -3.5 -58% -1.5 / 4 (-37%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Jul '17 UFC 213 3.5 0.2 7% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.2 / 2.5 (50%)
25th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 112 3 1.1 36% 1.1 / 3 (36%)
24th Jun '17 Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 2 1.6 78% 1.6 / 2 (78%)


Winning Events: 11 (48%)
Losing Events: 12 (52%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.15 units
Most Staked On One Event: 14.44 units
Best Event: 4.41 units
Worst Event: -7.00 units
Average Event: -0.68 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 6.54
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -13.66

aaronh87MMA : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 53.84 0.7 1% -1.0 / 32.84 (-3%) 1.8 / 21 (8%) 6 / 4 (60%) 0.07
2018 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) / 1 (0%) -4.00
2017 60.5 -12.4 -20% -5.0 / 39 (-13%) -3.4 / 17.5 (-20%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 5 / 7 (42%) -1.03

aaronh87MMA : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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aaronh87MMA : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 116.34 -17.2 -15% -11.5 / 73.84 (-16%) -3.4 / 17.5 (-20%) -2.2 / 25 (-9%)
Bellator 2 1.6 78% 1.6 / 2 (78%)

aaronh87MMA : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 9 (30%) 4 44 % 26.50 -8.78 -0.98 -33%
Slight Favorites 14 (47%) 7 50 % 37.20 -9.56 -0.68 -26%
Slight Underdogs 7 (23%) 5 71 % 12.14 8.35 1.19 69%
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 % 0.00 0.00 0.00 0%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 2 (7%) 0 0 % 4.50 -4.50 -2.25 -100%
Co-Main Event 8 (27%) 5 63 % 21.44 1.95 0.24 9%
Position 3-5 10 (33%) 4 40 % 28.00 -9.01 -0.90 -32%
6+ (Undercard) 10 (33%) 7 70 % 21.90 1.57 0.16 7%

aaronh87MMA : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (7%) 1 50 % 3.00 0.55 0.28 18%
Light Heavy 2 (7%) 1 50 % 4.00 -1.70 -0.85 -42%
Middleweight 6 (20%) 4 67 % 14.44 2.38 0.40 17%
Welterweight 2 (7%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -2.50 -100%
Lightweight 1 (3%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Featherweight 8 (27%) 5 63 % 21.40 -0.52 -0.07 -2%
Bantamweight 2 (7%) 1 50 % 8.00 -2.00 -1.00 -25%
Flyweight 2 (7%) 2 100 % 6.00 2.35 1.18 39%
               
Women's Fights 5 (17%) 2 40 % 13.00 -5.05 -1.01 -39%
Bantamweight 1 (3%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -100%
Strawweight 4 (13%) 2 50 % 10.00 -2.05 -0.51 -20%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 2 (100%) 1 50 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
2 1 50 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 22 (88%) 16 73 %
50-65% 3 (12%) 1 33 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
25 17 68 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (16%) 2 50 % 1.54 1.78Pick was correct 1.37Pick was incorrect -0.7 (-18%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (4%) 0 0 % 1.16 1.16Pick was incorrect 1.16Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision 3 (12%) 2 67 % 1.32 1.50Pick was incorrect 1.14Pick was correct -0.5 (-16%)
Fight Starts Round X 16 (64%) 13 81 % 1.26 1.47Pick was correct 1.12Pick was incorrect 0.6 (4%)
X Wins by KO 1 (4%) 0 0 % 1.91 1.91Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
25 17 68 % 1.32     -2.6 (-11%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail aaronh87MMA 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
24th Jun Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 2 1.6 78% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,015.50
25th Jun UFC Fight Night 112 3 1.1 36% $10.16 $1,015.50 $1,026.58
8th Jul UFC 213 3.5 0.2 7% $10.27 $1,026.58 $1,029.15
16th Jul UFC Fight Night 113 6 -3.5 -58% $10.29 $1,029.15 $993.50
22nd Jul UFC on Fox 25 6.5 2.9 44% $9.94 $993.50 $1,021.96
29th Jul UFC 214 6 -2.3 -38% $10.22 $1,021.96 $998.97
5th Aug UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 6 -1.1 -19% $9.99 $998.97 $987.73
9th Sep UFC 215 9.5 -3.3 -35% $9.88 $987.73 $955.27
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 7 -7.0 -100% $9.55 $955.27 $888.40
2nd Dec UFC 218 4 1.8 45% $8.88 $888.40 $904.55
9th Dec UFC Fight Night 123 2 -2.0 -100% $9.05 $904.55 $886.46
16th Dec UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 5 -0.8 -17% $8.86 $886.46 $878.97
20th Jan UFC 220 4 -4.0 -100% $8.79 $878.97 $843.81
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 2 -2.0 -100% $8.44 $843.81 $826.93
2nd Mar UFC 235 2 -2.0 -100% $8.27 $826.93 $810.39
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 7 0.0 0% $8.10 $810.39 $810.63
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 5 -1.9 -38% $8.11 $810.63 $795.14
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 4.5 3.7 83% $7.95 $795.14 $824.67
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 3 1.9 63% $8.25 $824.67 $840.13
11th May UFC 237 5.5 -5.5 -100% $8.40 $840.13 $793.93
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 14.44 1.0 7% $7.94 $793.93 $801.95
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 4 1.1 28% $8.02 $801.95 $810.89
8th Jun UFC 238 6.4 4.4 69% $8.11 $810.89 $846.66


ROI % from starting bank balance: -15.33% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

aaronh87MMA : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jun '19 Calvin Kattar Ricardo Lamas 1.61 3.4 TKO, R1 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Ian Heinisch Antonio Carlos Junior 2.45 2.32 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '19 Ian Heinisch Antonio Carlos Junior 2.45 2.32 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '19 Shane Burgos Cub Swanson 1.63 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '19 Carla Esparza Virna Jandiroba 2.05 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '19 Jack Hermansson David Branch 1.80 2 Sub, R1 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '19 Sodiq Yusuff Sheymon da Silva Moraes 1.71 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '17 Glover Teixeira Misha Cirkunov 2.30 1 TKO, R1 (2:45) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '17 Alessio Di Chirico Oluwale Bamgbose 1.85 1 TKO, R2 (2:14) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '17 Henry Cejudo Sergio Pettis 1.45 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '17 Alexa Grasso Randa Markos 1.63 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '17 Brian Ortega Renato Moicano 2.50 1.5 Sub, R3 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '17 Jeremy Kennedy Kyle Bochniak 1.35 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '17 Jimmie Rivera Thomas Almeida 1.50 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '17 Alexandre Pantoja Neil Seery 1.27 2 Sub, R3 (2:31) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '17 Matt Mitrione Fedor Emelianenko 1.78 2 TKO, R1 (1:14) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jun '19 Stevie Ray Leonardo Santos 2.65 1 TKO, R1 (2:17) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Antonio Carlos Junior Ian Heinisch 1.59 3.4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '19 Antonio Carlos Junior Ian Heinisch 1.59 3.4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '19 Rose Namajunas Jessica Andrade 2.25 2.5 TKO, R2 (2:58) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '19 Antonina Shevchenko Roxanne Modafferi 1.34 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '19 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Michelle Waterson 1.69 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '18 Thomas Almeida Rob Font 1.94 4 TKO, R2 (2:26) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '17 Ricardo Lamas Josh Emmett 1.38 3 TKO, R1 (4:33) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '17 Luke Jumeau Shinsho Anzai 1.40 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '17 Gavin Tucker Rick Glenn 1.36 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '17 Gilbert Melendez Jeremy Stephens 1.83 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '17 Jimi Manuwa Volkan Oezdemir 1.61 3 TKO, R1 (0:42) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '17 Gunnar Nelson Santiago Ponzinibbio 1.61 2 TKO, R1 (1:22) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '17 Travis Browne Aleksei Oleinik 1.44 1 Sub, R2 (3:44) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

aaronh87MMA : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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