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MMA Handicapper Stats: Analytics MMA

Analytics MMA (Lawz21)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Analytics MMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 179 (47%) Right 176 (47%) Right 0 (0%) Right 3 (38%)
Wrong 205 (53%) Wrong 200 (53%) Wrong 0 (0%) Wrong 5 (63%)
Avg Odds 2.05 Avg Odds 2.05 Avg Odds 0.00 Avg Odds 1.91
Units Bet 994.6 Units Bet 978.2 Units Bet 0.0 Units Bet 16.4
Avg Bet 2.59 Avg Bet 2.60 Avg Bet 0.00 Avg Bet 2.05
Units Profit -16.02 Units Profit -21.37 Units Profit 0.00 Units Profit 5.35
ROI % -2% ROI % -2% ROI % 0% ROI % 33%
View Handicapper's Profile

Analytics MMA: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
12th Oct '19 UFC on ESPN+ 19 64 6.0 9% 6.0 / 64 (9%)
5th Oct '19 UFC 243 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
28th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 160 19 -2.4 -13% -2.4 / 19 (-13%)
21st Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 159 8 -2.8 -35% -0.8 / 6 (-14%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 31 -11.3 -37% -11.3 / 31 (-37%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 30 -2.2 -7% -2.2 / 30 (-7%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 15 13.9 93% 3.8 / 5 (77%) 10.0 / 10 (100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 20.6 -13.3 -65% -13.3 / 20.6 (-65%)
15th Dec '18 Bellator 213 13 -8.2 -63% -8.2 / 13 (-63%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 11.4 2.0 18% 2.4 / 11 (22%) -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 25.7 -18.1 -70% -16.1 / 23.7 (-68%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 27.5 12.6 46% 13.2 / 26.9 (49%) -0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 14.1 -12.4 -88% -12.4 / 14.1 (-88%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 10 4.5 45% 4.5 / 10 (45%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 14.7 2.4 17% 3.0 / 14.1 (22%) -0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 28.1 -11.6 -41% -11.6 / 28.1 (-41%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 22.1 14.0 63% 14.0 / 22.1 (63%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 15.4 -7.7 -50% -7.7 / 15.4 (-50%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 26.6 -5.2 -20% -5.2 / 26.6 (-20%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 0.2 -0.2 -100% -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 17.5 -16.3 -93% -16.3 / 17.5 (-93%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 28 0.4 1% 0.4 / 28 (1%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 17.6 1.0 6% 0.4 / 17 (2%) 0.7 / 0.6 (113%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 27.9 -1.4 -5% -1.6 / 27.7 (-6%) 0.2 / 0.2 (116%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 13.8 -1.7 -12% -1.7 / 13.8 (-12%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 24.4 -23.0 -94% -23.0 / 24.4 (-94%)
7th Aug '18 DWTNCS 16 2 2.9 145% 2.9 / 2 (145%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 30.2 21.1 70% 21.1 / 30.2 (70%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 38.1 -11.6 -31% -11.6 / 38.1 (-31%)
24th Jul '18 DWTNCS 14 4 2.3 57% 2.3 / 4 (57%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 33.7 16.2 48% 16.2 / 33.7 (48%)
19th Jul '18 PFL 4 3 3.8 125% 3.8 / 3 (125%)
17th Jul '18 DWTNCS 13 1.7 -1.0 -58% -1.0 / 1.7 (-58%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 30.3 -2.8 -9% -2.8 / 30.3 (-9%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 35.1 -1.9 -5% -1.9 / 35.1 (-5%)
7th Jul '18 TUF 27 Finale 26.1 -24.6 -94% -24.6 / 26.1 (-94%)
28th Jun '18 BAMMA London: McKee vs Brazier 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
26th Jun '18 DWTNCS 11 7 -2.6 -38% -2.6 / 7 (-38%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 34.6 10.9 31% 10.9 / 34.6 (31%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 34.9 16.6 48% 16.6 / 34.9 (48%)
7th Jun '18 PFL 1 4 -0.1 -3% -0.1 / 4 (-3%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 29.6 8.0 27% 8.0 / 29.6 (27%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 27.8 -7.3 -26% -7.3 / 27.8 (-26%)
25th May '18 Bellator 200 2.6 -2.2 -84% -2.2 / 2.6 (-84%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 26.8 0.5 2% 0.5 / 26.8 (2%)
12th May '18 Bellator 199 8.8 2.3 27% 2.3 / 8.8 (27%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 40.2 7.7 19% 7.7 / 40.2 (19%)
28th Apr '18 Bellator 198 5.2 6.8 131% 6.8 / 5.2 (131%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 24.3 22.2 92% 22.2 / 24.3 (92%)
18th Mar '17 UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson 10 6.9 69% 6.9 / 10 (69%)


Winning Events: 23 (46%)
Losing Events: 27 (54%)

Average Staked Per Event: 19.89 units
Most Staked On One Event: 64.00 units
Best Event: 22.25 units
Worst Event: -24.59 units
Average Event: -0.32 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 46.46
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -36.88

Analytics MMA: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 172 -3.9 -2% -12.0 / 160 (-7%) 8.0 / 12 (67%) 2 / 5 (29%) -0.56
2018 812.6 -19.0 -2% -16.3 / 808.2 (-2%) -2.7 / 4.4 (-61%) 20 / 22 (48%) -0.45
2017 10 6.9 69% 6.9 / 10 (69%) 1 / 0 (100%) 6.94

Analytics MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Analytics MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 901.1 -20.6 -2% -26.0 / 884.7 (-3%) 5.3 / 16.4 (33%)
Bellator 57.8 -1.1 -2% -1.1 / 57.8 (-2%)
PFL 7 3.6 52% 3.6 / 7 (52%)
Other 28.7 2.1 7% 2.1 / 28.7 (7%)

Analytics MMA: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 60 (16%) 48 80 % 224.90 35.17 0.59 16%
Slight Favorites 131 (35%) 69 53 % 440.60 -53.65 -0.41 -12%
Slight Underdogs 96 (26%) 47 49 % 218.00 69.92 0.73 32%
Big Underdogs 89 (24%) 12 13 % 94.70 -72.80 -0.82 -77%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 34 (9%) 19 56 % 134.40 12.80 0.38 10%
Co-Main Event 34 (9%) 16 47 % 104.30 17.83 0.52 17%
Position 3-5 101 (27%) 43 43 % 268.90 -60.61 -0.60 -23%
6+ (Undercard) 206 (55%) 98 48 % 467.60 11.61 0.06 2%

Analytics MMA: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 29 (8%) 16 55 % 63.90 29.68 1.02 46%
Light Heavy 31 (8%) 12 39 % 106.30 -24.42 -0.79 -23%
Middleweight 42 (11%) 18 43 % 130.80 -4.86 -0.12 -4%
Welterweight 66 (18%) 29 44 % 175.10 -7.32 -0.11 -4%
Lightweight 53 (14%) 28 53 % 104.20 10.76 0.20 10%
Featherweight 46 (12%) 27 59 % 94.20 19.59 0.43 21%
Bantamweight 34 (9%) 17 50 % 105.40 3.20 0.09 3%
Flyweight 21 (6%) 9 43 % 43.40 4.33 0.21 10%
               
Women's Fights 54 (14%) 20 37 % 154.90 -52.34 -0.97 -34%
Featherweight 5 (1%) 2 40 % 17.00 -7.31 -1.46 -43%
Bantamweight 7 (2%) 2 29 % 5.30 -4.21 -0.60 -79%
Bantamweight 18 (5%) 6 33 % 49.30 -24.37 -1.35 -49%
Strawweight 24 (6%) 10 42 % 83.30 -16.46 -0.69 -20%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 21 (95%) 15 71 %
Slight Favorites 1 (5%) 1 100 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
22 16 73 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
0 0 0 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
0 0 0 % 0.00     0.0 (0%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Analytics MMA's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
18th Mar UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson 10 6.9 69% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,069.45
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 24.3 22.2 92% $10.69 $1,069.45 $1,307.37
28th Apr Bellator 198 5.2 6.8 131% $1 $13.07 $1,307.37 $1,395.27
12th May UFC 224 40.2 7.7 19% $1 $13.95 $1,395.27 $1,501.07
12th May Bellator 199 8.8 2.3 27% $1 $15.01 $1,501.07 $1,535.21
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 26.8 0.5 2% $1 $15.35 $1,535.21 $1,541.44
25th May Bellator 200 2.6 -2.2 -84% $15.41 $1,541.44 $1,507.83
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 27.8 -7.3 -26% $1 $15.08 $1,507.83 $1,397.43
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 29.6 8.0 27% $1 $13.97 $1,397.43 $1,508.63
7th Jun PFL 1 4 -0.1 -3% $1 $15.09 $1,508.63 $1,505.86
9th Jun UFC 225 34.9 16.6 48% $1 $15.06 $1,505.86 $1,754.71
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 34.6 10.9 31% $1 $17.55 $1,754.71 $1,944.33
26th Jun DWTNCS 11 7 -2.6 -38% $1 $19.44 $1,944.33 $1,892.00
28th Jun BAMMA London: McKee vs Brazier 4 -4.0 -100% $1 $18.92 $1,892.00 $1,815.32
7th Jul TUF 27 Finale 26.1 -24.6 -94% $1 $18.15 $1,815.32 $1,367.98
7th Jul UFC 226 35.1 -1.9 -5% $1 $13.68 $1,367.98 $1,340.91
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 30.3 -2.8 -9% $1 $13.41 $1,340.91 $1,302.92
17th Jul DWTNCS 13 1.7 -1.0 -58% $1 $13.03 $1,302.92 $1,289.02
19th Jul PFL 4 3 3.8 125% $1 $12.89 $1,289.02 $1,336.36
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 33.7 16.2 48% $1 $13.36 $1,336.36 $1,551.44
24th Jul DWTNCS 14 4 2.3 57% $1 $15.51 $1,551.44 $1,585.90
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 38.1 -11.6 -31% $1 $15.86 $1,585.90 $1,400.50
4th Aug UFC 227 30.2 21.1 70% $1 $14.01 $1,400.50 $1,695.46
7th Aug DWTNCS 16 2 2.9 145% $1 $16.95 $1,695.46 $1,743.63
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 24.4 -23.0 -94% $1 $17.44 $1,743.63 $1,341.18
8th Sep UFC 228 13.8 -1.7 -12% $1 $13.41 $1,341.18 $1,317.20
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 27.9 -1.4 -5% $1 $13.17 $1,317.20 $1,298.36
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 17.6 1.0 6% $1 $12.98 $1,298.36 $1,310.77
29th Sep Bellator 206 28 0.4 1% $1 $13.11 $1,310.77 $1,314.90
6th Oct UFC 229 17.5 -16.3 -93% $1 $13.15 $1,314.90 $1,098.94
12th Oct Bellator 207 0.2 -0.2 -100% $10.99 $1,098.94 $1,096.74
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 26.6 -5.2 -20% $1 $10.97 $1,096.74 $1,038.79
3rd Nov UFC 230 15.4 -7.7 -50% $1 $10.39 $1,038.79 $958.12
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 22.1 14.0 63% $1 $9.58 $958.12 $1,090.83
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 28.1 -11.6 -41% $1 $10.91 $1,090.83 $963.05
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 14.7 2.4 17% $1 $9.63 $963.05 $985.55
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 10 4.5 45% $1 $9.86 $985.55 $1,028.94
30th Nov TUF Finale 14.1 -12.4 -88% $1 $10.29 $1,028.94 $900.24
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 27.5 12.6 46% $1 $9.00 $900.24 $1,012.62
8th Dec UFC 231 25.7 -18.1 -70% $1 $10.13 $1,012.62 $828.70
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 11.4 2.0 18% $1 $8.29 $828.70 $844.44
15th Dec Bellator 213 13 -8.2 -63% $1 $8.44 $844.44 $773.81
29th Dec UFC 232 20.6 -13.3 -65% $1 $7.74 $773.81 $669.90
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 15 13.9 93% $6.70 $669.90 $762.88
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 30 -2.2 -7% $7.63 $762.88 $745.90
17th Aug UFC 241 31 -11.3 -37% $7.46 $745.90 $661.32
21st Sep UFC Fight Night 159 8 -2.8 -35% $6.61 $661.32 $642.55
28th Sep UFC Fight Night 160 19 -2.4 -13% $6.43 $642.55 $626.93
5th Oct UFC 243 5 -5.0 -100% $6.27 $626.93 $595.58
12th Oct UFC on ESPN+ 19 64 6.0 9% $1 $5.96 $595.58 $630.45


ROI % from starting bank balance: -36.95% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Analytics MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Oct '19 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Michelle Waterson 1.32 10 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '19 Cub Swanson Kron Gracie 2.75 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '19 Eryk Anders Gerald Meerschaert 1.76 10 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '19 Paid Pick Marlon Vera Andre Ewell 1.71 10 TKO, R3 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '19 Miguel Baeza Hector Aldana 1.51 3 TKO, R2 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '19 J.J. Aldrich Lauren Mueller 1.64 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '19 Makhmud Muradov Alessio Di Chirico 1.72 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '19 John Phillips Alen Amedovski 2.13 1 TKO, R1 (0:14) MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '19 Ismail Naurdiev Siyar Bahadurzada 1.57 7 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '19 Jose Quinonez Carlos Huachin 1.68 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '19 Angela Hill Ariane Carnelossi 1.74 2 TKO, R3 (1:56) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '19 Drakkar Klose Christos Giagos 1.65 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '19 Nate Diaz Anthony Pettis 2.18 6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '19 Chris Gutierrez Geraldo De Freitas Jr. 2.35 8 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '19 Luiz Garagorri Humberto Bandenay 1.83 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '19 Enrique Barzola Bobby Moffett 1.77 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '19 Antonina Shevchenko Lucie Pudilova 1.77 5 Sub, R2 (1:20) MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '18 Corey Anderson Ilir Latifi 2.20 0.2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '18 Nathaniel Wood Andre Ewell 1.87 0.3 Sub, R3 (4:12) MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '18 Paid Pick Urijah Hall Bevon Lewis 2.10 3 TKO, R3 (1:32) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Oct '19 James Vick Niko Price 2.40 8 TKO, R1 (1:44) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '19 Devin Clark Ryan Spann 2.46 8 Sub, R2 (2:1) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '19 Max Griffin Alex Morono 1.77 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '19 Tim Elliott Deiveson Figueiredo 2.70 1 Sub, R1 (3:8) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '19 Andrew Sanchez Marvin Vettori 4.16 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '19 Bruno Silva Khalid Taha 3.16 5 Sub, R3 (3:0) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '19 Brandon Davis Giga Chikadze 1.68 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '19 Khalil Rountree Ion Cutelaba 1.82 5 TKO, R1 (2:35) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '19 Alex Oliveira Nicolas Dalby 1.68 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '19 Lando Vannata Marc Diakiese 2.40 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '19 Tyson Nam Sergio Pettis 3.55 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '19 Manny Bermudez Casey Kenney 1.67 8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '19 Ian Heinisch Derek Brunson 1.70 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '19 Yoel Romero Paulo Costa 1.74 8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '19 Raphael Pessoa Ciryl Gane 4.80 1 Sub, R1 (4:12) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '19 Tecia Torres Marina Alcalde Rodriguez 1.69 8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '19 Alexey Kunchenko Gilbert Burns 1.80 6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '19 Polyana Viana Veronica Macedo 2.25 2 Sub, R1 (1:9) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '18 Carlos Condit Michael Chiesa 2.45 0.2 Sub, R2 (0:56) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '18 Paid Pick Chad Mendes Alex Volkanovski 1.73 4 TKO, R2 (4:14) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Analytics MMA: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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