| |
MMA Handicapper Stats: Analytics MMA |
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|
Analytics MMA: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 21 (49%)
Losing Events: 22 (51%)
Average Staked Per Event: 19.13 units
Most Staked On One Event: 40.20 units
Best Event: 22.25 units
Worst Event: -24.59 units
Average Event: -0.28 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 46.46
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -36.88 |
Analytics MMA: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2018 |
812.6 |
-19.0 |
-2% |
-16.3 / 808.2 (-2%) |
|
-2.7 / 4.4 (-61%) |
20 / 22 (48%) |
-0.45 |
| 2017 |
10 |
6.9 |
69% |
6.9 / 10 (69%) |
|
|
1 / 0 (100%) |
6.94 |
|
Analytics MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
|
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|
Analytics MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
729.1 |
-16.7 |
-2% |
-14.0 / 724.7 (-2%) |
|
-2.7 / 4.4 (-61%) |
|
Bellator |
57.8 |
-1.1 |
-2% |
-1.1 / 57.8 (-2%) |
|
|
|
PFL |
7 |
3.6 |
52% |
3.6 / 7 (52%) |
|
|
| Other |
28.7 |
2.1 |
7% |
2.1 / 28.7 (7%) |
|
|
|
Analytics MMA: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
58 (17%) |
46 |
79 % |
211.90 |
30.41 |
0.52 |
14% |
| Slight Favorites |
111 (33%) |
58 |
52 % |
343.60 |
-41.92 |
-0.38 |
-12% |
| Slight Underdogs |
87 (26%) |
43 |
49 % |
178.00 |
64.91 |
0.75 |
36% |
| Big Underdogs |
85 (25%) |
12 |
14 % |
84.70 |
-62.80 |
-0.74 |
-74% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
33 (10%) |
18 |
55 % |
124.40 |
9.57 |
0.29 |
8% |
| Co-Main Event |
32 (9%) |
14 |
44 % |
94.30 |
3.75 |
0.12 |
4% |
| Position 3-5 |
96 (28%) |
42 |
44 % |
240.90 |
-36.27 |
-0.38 |
-15% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
179 (52%) |
85 |
47 % |
355.60 |
16.55 |
0.09 |
5% |
|
Analytics MMA: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
28 (8%) |
16 |
57 % |
62.90 |
30.68 |
1.10 |
49% |
| Light Heavy |
29 (9%) |
12 |
41 % |
93.30 |
-11.42 |
-0.39 |
-12% |
| Middleweight |
36 (11%) |
15 |
42 % |
103.80 |
-1.00 |
-0.03 |
-1% |
| Welterweight |
59 (17%) |
26 |
44 % |
139.10 |
0.07 |
0.00 |
0% |
| Lightweight |
51 (15%) |
27 |
53 % |
98.20 |
10.18 |
0.20 |
10% |
| Featherweight |
42 (12%) |
24 |
57 % |
84.20 |
9.61 |
0.23 |
11% |
| Bantamweight |
29 (9%) |
14 |
48 % |
73.40 |
-2.42 |
-0.08 |
-3% |
| Flyweight |
19 (6%) |
9 |
47 % |
39.40 |
8.33 |
0.44 |
21% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
48 (14%) |
16 |
33 % |
123.90 |
-53.44 |
-1.11 |
-43% |
| Featherweight |
5 (1%) |
2 |
40 % |
17.00 |
-7.31 |
-1.46 |
-43% |
| Bantamweight |
7 (2%) |
2 |
29 % |
5.30 |
-4.21 |
-0.60 |
-79% |
| Bantamweight |
16 (5%) |
5 |
31 % |
42.30 |
-26.21 |
-1.64 |
-62% |
| Strawweight |
20 (6%) |
7 |
35 % |
59.30 |
-15.72 |
-0.79 |
-27% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
18 (100%) |
13 |
72 % |
| Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
0 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
0 % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
18 |
13 |
72 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
0 % |
| 50-65% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
0 % |
| 35-50% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
0 % |
| <35% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
0 |
0 |
0 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
| Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
|
0 |
0 |
0 % |
0.00 |
|
|
0.0 (0%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Analytics MMA's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 18th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson |
10 |
6.9 |
69% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,069.45 |
| 21st Apr |
UFC Fight Night 128 |
24.3 |
22.2 |
92% |
|
$10.69 |
$1,069.45 |
$1,307.37 |
| 28th Apr |
Bellator 198 |
5.2 |
6.8 |
131% |
$1 |
$13.07 |
$1,307.37 |
$1,395.27 |
| 12th May |
UFC 224 |
40.2 |
7.7 |
19% |
$1 |
$13.95 |
$1,395.27 |
$1,501.07 |
| 12th May |
Bellator 199 |
8.8 |
2.3 |
27% |
$1 |
$15.01 |
$1,501.07 |
$1,535.21 |
| 19th May |
UFC Fight Night 129 |
26.8 |
0.5 |
2% |
$1 |
$15.35 |
$1,535.21 |
$1,541.44 |
| 25th May |
Bellator 200 |
2.6 |
-2.2 |
-84% |
|
$15.41 |
$1,541.44 |
$1,507.83 |
| 27th May |
UFC Fight Night 130 |
27.8 |
-7.3 |
-26% |
$1 |
$15.08 |
$1,507.83 |
$1,397.43 |
| 1st Jun |
UFC Fight Night 131 |
29.6 |
8.0 |
27% |
$1 |
$13.97 |
$1,397.43 |
$1,508.63 |
| 7th Jun |
PFL 1 |
4 |
-0.1 |
-3% |
$1 |
$15.09 |
$1,508.63 |
$1,505.86 |
| 9th Jun |
UFC 225 |
34.9 |
16.6 |
48% |
$1 |
$15.06 |
$1,505.86 |
$1,754.71 |
| 23rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night 132 |
34.6 |
10.9 |
31% |
$1 |
$17.55 |
$1,754.71 |
$1,944.33 |
| 26th Jun |
DWTNCS 11 |
7 |
-2.6 |
-38% |
$1 |
$19.44 |
$1,944.33 |
$1,892.00 |
| 28th Jun |
BAMMA London: McKee vs Brazier |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
$1 |
$18.92 |
$1,892.00 |
$1,815.32 |
| 7th Jul |
TUF 27 Finale |
26.1 |
-24.6 |
-94% |
$1 |
$18.15 |
$1,815.32 |
$1,367.98 |
| 7th Jul |
UFC 226 |
35.1 |
-1.9 |
-5% |
$1 |
$13.68 |
$1,367.98 |
$1,340.91 |
| 14th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 133 |
30.3 |
-2.8 |
-9% |
$1 |
$13.41 |
$1,340.91 |
$1,302.92 |
| 17th Jul |
DWTNCS 13 |
1.7 |
-1.0 |
-58% |
$1 |
$13.03 |
$1,302.92 |
$1,289.02 |
| 19th Jul |
PFL 4 |
3 |
3.8 |
125% |
$1 |
$12.89 |
$1,289.02 |
$1,336.36 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night 134 |
33.7 |
16.2 |
48% |
$1 |
$13.36 |
$1,336.36 |
$1,551.44 |
| 24th Jul |
DWTNCS 14 |
4 |
2.3 |
57% |
$1 |
$15.51 |
$1,551.44 |
$1,585.90 |
| 28th Jul |
UFC on Fox 30 |
38.1 |
-11.6 |
-31% |
$1 |
$15.86 |
$1,585.90 |
$1,400.50 |
| 4th Aug |
UFC 227 |
30.2 |
21.1 |
70% |
$1 |
$14.01 |
$1,400.50 |
$1,695.46 |
| 7th Aug |
DWTNCS 16 |
2 |
2.9 |
145% |
$1 |
$16.95 |
$1,695.46 |
$1,743.63 |
| 25th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 135 |
24.4 |
-23.0 |
-94% |
$1 |
$17.44 |
$1,743.63 |
$1,341.18 |
| 8th Sep |
UFC 228 |
13.8 |
-1.7 |
-12% |
$1 |
$13.41 |
$1,341.18 |
$1,317.20 |
| 15th Sep |
UFC FIght Night Moscow |
27.9 |
-1.4 |
-5% |
$1 |
$13.17 |
$1,317.20 |
$1,298.36 |
| 22nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo |
17.6 |
1.0 |
6% |
$1 |
$12.98 |
$1,298.36 |
$1,310.77 |
| 29th Sep |
Bellator 206 |
28 |
0.4 |
1% |
$1 |
$13.11 |
$1,310.77 |
$1,314.90 |
| 6th Oct |
UFC 229 |
17.5 |
-16.3 |
-93% |
$1 |
$13.15 |
$1,314.90 |
$1,098.94 |
| 12th Oct |
Bellator 207 |
0.2 |
-0.2 |
-100% |
|
$10.99 |
$1,098.94 |
$1,096.74 |
| 27th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 138 |
26.6 |
-5.2 |
-20% |
$1 |
$10.97 |
$1,096.74 |
$1,038.79 |
| 3rd Nov |
UFC 230 |
15.4 |
-7.7 |
-50% |
$1 |
$10.39 |
$1,038.79 |
$958.12 |
| 10th Nov |
UFC Fight Night Denver |
22.1 |
14.0 |
63% |
$1 |
$9.58 |
$958.12 |
$1,090.83 |
| 17th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 140 |
28.1 |
-11.6 |
-41% |
$1 |
$10.91 |
$1,090.83 |
$963.05 |
| 24th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 141 |
14.7 |
2.4 |
17% |
$1 |
$9.63 |
$963.05 |
$985.55 |
| 25th Nov |
Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 |
10 |
4.5 |
45% |
$1 |
$9.86 |
$985.55 |
$1,028.94 |
| 30th Nov |
TUF Finale |
14.1 |
-12.4 |
-88% |
$1 |
$10.29 |
$1,028.94 |
$900.24 |
| 1st Dec |
UFC Fight Night 142 |
27.5 |
12.6 |
46% |
$1 |
$9.00 |
$900.24 |
$1,012.62 |
| 8th Dec |
UFC 231 |
25.7 |
-18.1 |
-70% |
$1 |
$10.13 |
$1,012.62 |
$828.70 |
| 15th Dec |
Fight Night Milwaukee |
11.4 |
2.0 |
18% |
$1 |
$8.29 |
$828.70 |
$844.44 |
| 15th Dec |
Bellator 213 |
13 |
-8.2 |
-63% |
$1 |
$8.44 |
$844.44 |
$773.81 |
| 29th Dec |
UFC 232 |
20.6 |
-13.3 |
-65% |
$1 |
$7.74 |
$773.81 |
$669.90 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -33.01% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Analytics MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
| 1. |
Dec '18 |
Corey Anderson |
Ilir Latifi |
2.20 |
0.2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 2. |
Dec '18 |
Nathaniel Wood |
Andre Ewell |
1.87 |
0.3 |
Sub, R3 (4:12) |
|
|
| 3. |
Dec '18 |
 Urijah Hall |
Bevon Lewis |
2.10 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (1:32) |
|
|
| 4. |
Dec '18 |
Ilima-Lei Macfarlane |
Valerie Letourneau |
1.58 |
3 |
Sub, R3 (3:19) |
|
|
| 5. |
Dec '18 |
Al Iaquinta |
Kevin Lee |
3.90 |
0.2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
| 6. |
Dec '18 |
Edson Barboza |
Daniel Hooker |
2.08 |
0.2 |
TKO, R3 (2:19) |
|
|
| 7. |
Dec '18 |
Rob Font |
Sergio Pettis |
1.63 |
0.3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 8. |
Dec '18 |
Jack Hermansson |
Gerald Meerschaert |
1.65 |
0.3 |
Sub, R1 (4:25) |
|
|
| 9. |
Dec '18 |
Dan Ige |
Jordan Griffin |
1.61 |
7 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 10. |
Dec '18 |
Max Holloway |
Brian Ortega |
1.91 |
4 |
TKO, R4 (5:0) |
|
|
| 11. |
Dec '18 |
Tony Martin |
Jake Matthews |
1.95 |
5 |
Sub, R3 (1:19) |
|
|
| 12. |
Dec '18 |
Junior dos Santos |
Tai Tuivasa |
1.67 |
6 |
TKO, R2 (2:30) |
|
|
| 13. |
Dec '18 |
Damir Ismagulov |
Alex Gorgees |
1.20 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 14. |
Dec '18 |
Keita Nakamura |
Salim Touahri |
1.61 |
6 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 15. |
Dec '18 |
Wilson Reis |
Ben Nguyen |
2.20 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 16. |
Dec '18 |
Jim Crute |
Paul Craig |
1.39 |
0.5 |
Sub, R3 (4:51) |
|
|
| 17. |
Nov '18 |
Juan Espino |
Justin Frazier |
1.67 |
0.3 |
Sub, R1 (3:36) |
|
|
| 18. |
Nov '18 |
Kevin Aguilar |
Rick Glenn |
1.91 |
0.3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 19. |
Nov '18 |
Leah Letson |
Julija Stoliarenko |
1.54 |
0.4 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 20. |
Nov '18 |
Francis Ngannou |
Curtis Blaydes |
3.20 |
0.2 |
TKO, R1 (0:45) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Dec '18 |
Carlos Condit |
Michael Chiesa |
2.45 |
0.2 |
Sub, R2 (0:56) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Dec '18 |
Chad Mendes |
Alex Volkanovski |
1.73 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (4:14) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Dec '18 |
Andrei Arlovski |
Walt Harris |
2.60 |
0.2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Dec '18 |
Cat Zingano |
Megan Anderson |
1.74 |
0.3 |
TKO, R1 (1:1) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Dec '18 |
Douglas Silva de Andrade |
Petr Yan |
3.65 |
0.2 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Dec '18 |
Siyar Bahadurzada |
Curtis Millender |
2.20 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Dec '18 |
Brian Kelleher |
Montel Jackson |
2.45 |
0.2 |
Sub, R1 (1:40) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Dec '18 |
Cristiane Justino |
Amanda Nunes |
1.40 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (0:51) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Dec '18 |
Rafael Carvalho |
Lyoto Machida |
1.89 |
6 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Dec '18 |
Muhammed Lawal |
Liam McGeary |
1.53 |
4 |
TKO, R3 (0:53) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Dec '18 |
Trevor Smith |
Zak Cummings |
3.75 |
0.2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Dec '18 |
Jim Miller |
Charles Oliveira |
3.80 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (1:15) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Dec '18 |
Jared Gordon |
Joaquim Silva |
1.83 |
0.3 |
TKO, R3 (2:39) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Dec '18 |
Bobby Green |
Drakkar Klose |
3.25 |
0.2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Dec '18 |
Adam Milstead |
Mike Rodriguez |
1.80 |
0.3 |
TKO, R1 (2:59) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Dec '18 |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
Gilbert Burns |
1.83 |
0.3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Dec '18 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
Valentina Shevchenko |
4.10 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Dec '18 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
Valentina Shevchenko |
3.80 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
Dec '18 |
Matthew Lopez |
Brad Katona |
2.65 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Dec '18 |
Katlyn Chookagian |
Jessica Eye |
1.49 |
4 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Analytics MMA: Progress Chart |
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