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Total MMA Handicappers: 1877
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MMA Handicapper Stats: GoatPicks

GoatPicks (Bluff_City)


MMA MHandicapper - GoatPicks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 191 (54%) Right 188 (55%) Right 0 (0%) Right 3 (50%)
Wrong 165 (46%) Wrong 154 (45%) Wrong 8 (100%) Wrong 3 (50%)
Avg Odds 1.88 Avg Odds 1.86 Avg Odds 2.93 Avg Odds 1.94
Units Bet 973.2 Units Bet 936.8 Units Bet 3.0 Units Bet 33.4
Avg Bet 2.73 Avg Bet 2.74 Avg Bet 0.38 Avg Bet 5.57
Units Profit 21.21 Units Profit 23.62 Units Profit -3.00 Units Profit 0.59
ROI % 2% ROI % 3% ROI % -100% ROI % 2%
View Handicapper's Profile

GoatPicks : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
14th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 158 10 5.0 50% 5.0 / 10 (50%)
7th Sep '19 UFC 242 15 3.0 20% 3.0 / 15 (20%)
31st Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 157 8 -8.0 -100% -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 11 4.8 44% 4.8 / 11 (44%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 4 -1.7 -44% -1.7 / 4 (-44%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 28 14.7 52% 14.7 / 28 (52%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 17 5.4 32% 5.4 / 17 (32%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 17.25 2.4 14% 2.4 / 17.25 (14%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 12 -0.2 -2% -0.2 / 12 (-2%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 18 -0.6 -3% -0.6 / 18 (-3%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 18 -5.5 -31% -5.5 / 18 (-31%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 25 12.8 51% 12.8 / 25 (51%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 25 -6.5 -26% -6.5 / 25 (-26%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 11 1.0 9% 1.0 / 11 (9%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 28 -12.0 -43% -12.0 / 28 (-43%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 27.5 -3.3 -12% -3.3 / 27.5 (-12%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 21.5 5.6 26% 5.6 / 21.5 (26%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 3 1.1 36% 1.1 / 3 (36%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 32 10.3 32% 10.3 / 32 (32%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 29 7.5 26% 7.5 / 29 (26%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 48 20.3 42% 20.3 / 48 (42%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 27 5.0 18% 5.0 / 27 (18%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 19 -7.6 -40% -7.6 / 19 (-40%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 35.5 -10.0 -28% -10.0 / 35.5 (-28%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 38.5 15.9 41% 16.9 / 37.5 (45%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 31.5 -13.8 -44% -13.8 / 31.5 (-44%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 34.5 17.7 51% 17.7 / 34.5 (51%)
24th Jul '18 DWTNCS 14 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 15 -0.8 -6% -0.8 / 15 (-6%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 7 -4.9 -71% -4.9 / 7 (-71%)
10th Jul '18 DWTNCS 12 5 1.4 29% 1.4 / 5 (29%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 36 24.5 68% 16.6 / 26 (64%) 7.9 / 10 (79%)
7th Jul '18 TUF 27 Finale 10 5.3 53% 5.3 / 10 (53%)
29th Jun '18 Bellator 201 10 3.6 36% 3.6 / 10 (36%)
26th Jun '18 DWTNCS 11 10 -10.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 23 0.9 4% 0.9 / 23 (4%)
19th Jun '18 DWTNCS 10 7 0.7 10% 0.7 / 7 (10%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 27 4.0 15% 4.0 / 27 (15%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 35 1.2 4% 1.2 / 35 (4%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 30 0.7 2% 0.7 / 30 (2%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 26.5 -1.4 -5% -1.4 / 26.5 (-5%)
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 10 5.6 56% 5.6 / 10 (56%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 11.5 -4.0 -35% -4.0 / 11.5 (-35%)
17th Mar '18 UFC Fight Night 127 31 -15.0 -48% -10.0 / 26 (-38%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 18 -5.3 -29% -5.3 / 18 (-29%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 9 -6.3 -69% -6.3 / 9 (-69%)
20th Jan '18 Bellator 192 2 0.6 30% 0.6 / 2 (30%)
31st Dec '17 UFC 219 15.4 -9.0 -58% -8.0 / 12 (-67%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.0 / 1.4 (73%)
16th Dec '17 UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 12 -7.0 -58% -5.0 / 10 (-50%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th May '17 UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Mar '17 UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum 2.5 -1.0 -42% -1.0 / 2.5 (-42%)


Winning Events: 27 (50%)
Losing Events: 27 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 18.02 units
Most Staked On One Event: 48.00 units
Best Event: 24.51 units
Worst Event: -14.97 units
Average Event: 0.39 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 49.76
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -37.57

GoatPicks : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 219.25 26.6 12% 26.6 / 219.25 (12%) 8 / 6 (57%) 1.90
2018 723 12.7 2% 12.1 / 692 (2%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.6 / 30 (5%) 19 / 17 (53%) 0.35
2017 30.9 -18.0 -58% -15.0 / 25.5 (-59%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.0 / 3.4 (-29%) 0 / 4 (0%) -4.51

GoatPicks : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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GoatPicks : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 926.15 33.8 4% 34.8 / 904.75 (4%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 2.0 / 18.4 (11%)
Bellator 17 -0.8 -4% -4.4 / 7 (-63%) 3.6 / 10 (36%)
Other 30 -11.8 -39% -6.8 / 25 (-27%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)

GoatPicks : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 105 (31%) 84 80 % 441.75 43.82 0.42 10%
Slight Favorites 81 (24%) 46 57 % 264.00 -23.49 -0.29 -9%
Slight Underdogs 94 (27%) 39 41 % 156.00 3.10 0.03 2%
Big Underdogs 62 (18%) 19 31 % 75.00 0.20 0.00 0%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 43 (13%) 24 56 % 184.85 24.27 0.56 13%
Co-Main Event 33 (10%) 19 58 % 79.00 2.86 0.09 4%
Position 3-5 94 (27%) 49 52 % 255.15 -12.72 -0.14 -5%
6+ (Undercard) 172 (50%) 96 56 % 417.75 9.21 0.05 2%

GoatPicks : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 29 (8%) 18 62 % 59.50 19.62 0.68 33%
Light Heavy 27 (8%) 14 52 % 68.75 -4.10 -0.15 -6%
Middleweight 30 (9%) 22 73 % 105.50 14.98 0.50 14%
Welterweight 66 (19%) 40 61 % 160.00 31.87 0.48 20%
Lightweight 55 (16%) 27 49 % 182.00 -2.36 -0.04 -1%
Featherweight 44 (13%) 25 57 % 132.00 6.56 0.15 5%
Bantamweight 26 (8%) 10 38 % 61.50 -27.01 -1.04 -44%
Flyweight 16 (5%) 8 50 % 38.00 1.22 0.08 3%
               
Women's Fights 49 (14%) 24 49 % 129.50 -17.15 -0.35 -13%
Featherweight 3 (1%) 1 33 % 7.00 0.17 0.06 2%
Bantamweight 5 (1%) 3 60 % 9.00 3.66 0.73 41%
Bantamweight 13 (4%) 7 54 % 33.00 -1.15 -0.09 -3%
Strawweight 28 (8%) 13 46 % 80.50 -19.82 -0.71 -25%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 13 (87%) 9 69 %
Slight Favorites 2 (13%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
15 9 60 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35-50% 3 (38%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 5 (63%) 0 0 %
8 0 0 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by KO 2 (25%) 0 0 % 2.77 4.50Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (13%) 0 0 % 3.15 3.15Pick was incorrect 3.15Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (25%) 0 0 % 5.54 9.00Pick was incorrect 4.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 3 (38%) 0 0 % 2.25 3.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
8 0 0 % 2.93     -8.0 (-100%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail GoatPicks 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
11th Mar UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum 2.5 -1.0 -42% $10.00 $1,000.00 $989.60
13th May UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 1 -1.0 -100% $9.90 $989.60 $979.70
16th Dec UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 12 -7.0 -58% $9.80 $979.70 $911.32
31st Dec UFC 219 15.4 -9.0 -58% $9.11 $911.32 $829.30
20th Jan UFC 220 9 -6.3 -69% $8.29 $829.30 $777.47
20th Jan Bellator 192 2 0.6 30% $7.77 $777.47 $782.13
10th Feb UFC 221 18 -5.3 -29% $7.82 $782.13 $740.80
17th Mar UFC Fight Night 127 31 -15.0 -48% $7.41 $740.80 $629.92
7th Apr UFC 223 11.5 -4.0 -35% $6.30 $629.92 $604.72
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 10 5.6 56% $6.05 $604.72 $638.41
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 26.5 -1.4 -5% $6.38 $638.41 $629.41
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 30 0.7 2% $6.29 $629.41 $633.61
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 35 1.2 4% $6.34 $633.61 $641.39
9th Jun UFC 225 27 4.0 15% $6.41 $641.39 $667.22
19th Jun DWTNCS 10 7 0.7 10% $6.67 $667.22 $671.91
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 23 0.9 4% $6.72 $671.91 $678.13
26th Jun DWTNCS 11 10 -10.0 -100% $6.78 $678.13 $610.32
29th Jun Bellator 201 10 3.6 36% $6.10 $610.32 $632.51
7th Jul TUF 27 Finale 10 5.3 53% $6.33 $632.51 $666.03
7th Jul UFC 226 36 24.5 68% $6.66 $666.03 $829.25
10th Jul DWTNCS 12 5 1.4 29% $8.29 $829.25 $841.09
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 7 -4.9 -71% $8.41 $841.09 $799.46
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 15 -0.8 -6% $7.99 $799.46 $792.80
24th Jul DWTNCS 14 5 -5.0 -100% $7.93 $792.80 $753.16
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 34.5 17.7 51% $7.53 $753.16 $886.71
4th Aug UFC 227 31.5 -13.8 -44% $8.87 $886.71 $764.54
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 38.5 15.9 41% $7.65 $764.54 $885.83
8th Sep UFC 228 35.5 -10.0 -28% $8.86 $885.83 $797.64
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 5 -5.0 -100% $7.98 $797.64 $757.76
29th Sep Bellator 206 5 -5.0 -100% $7.58 $757.76 $719.87
6th Oct UFC 229 10 -10.0 -100% $7.20 $719.87 $647.88
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 19 -7.6 -40% $6.48 $647.88 $598.57
3rd Nov UFC 230 27 5.0 18% $5.99 $598.57 $628.34
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 48 20.3 42% $6.28 $628.34 $756.20
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 29 7.5 26% $7.56 $756.20 $812.82
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 32 10.3 32% $8.13 $812.82 $896.63
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 3 1.1 36% $8.97 $896.63 $906.23
30th Nov TUF Finale 21.5 5.6 26% $9.06 $906.23 $956.65
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 27.5 -3.3 -12% $9.57 $956.65 $925.15
8th Dec UFC 231 28 -12.0 -43% $9.25 $925.15 $814.59
9th Feb UFC 234 11 1.0 9% $8.15 $814.59 $822.74
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 25 -6.5 -26% $8.23 $822.74 $769.56
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 25 12.8 51% $7.70 $769.56 $868.33
2nd Mar UFC 235 18 -5.5 -31% $8.68 $868.33 $820.44
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 18 -0.6 -3% $8.20 $820.44 $815.61
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 12 -0.2 -2% $8.16 $815.61 $813.97
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 17.25 2.4 14% $8.14 $813.97 $833.26
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 17 5.4 32% $8.33 $833.26 $878.15
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 28 14.7 52% $8.78 $878.15 $1,007.07
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 4 -1.7 -44% $10.07 $1,007.07 $989.45
17th Aug UFC 241 11 4.8 44% $9.89 $989.45 $1,036.85
31st Aug UFC Fight Night 157 8 -8.0 -100% $10.37 $1,036.85 $953.90
7th Sep UFC 242 15 3.0 20% $9.54 $953.90 $982.77
14th Sep UFC Fight Night 158 10 5.0 50% $9.83 $982.77 $1,031.90


ROI % from starting bank balance: 3.19% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

GoatPicks : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Sep '19 Justin Gaethje Donald Cerrone 1.50 10 TKO, R1 (4:18) MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '19 Don Madge Fares Ziam 1.65 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '19 Belal Muhammad Takashi Sato 1.33 3 Sub, R3 (1:55) MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '19 Islam Makhachev Davi Ramos 1.40 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '19 Paul Felder Edson Barboza 2.30 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '19 Casey Kenney Manny Bermudez 2.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '19 Sodiq Yusuff Gabriel Benitez 1.36 3 TKO, R1 (4:14) MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '19 Cory Sandhagen Raphael Assuncao 1.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '19 Nate Diaz Anthony Pettis 2.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '19 Paulo Costa Yoel Romero 2.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '19 Stipe Miocic Daniel Cormier 2.15 1 TKO, R4 (4:9) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '19 Gilbert Burns Alexey Kunchenko 2.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '19 Claudio Silva Cole Williams 1.25 5 Sub, R1 (2:35) MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '19 Scott Holtzman Dong Hyun Ma 1.48 5 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '19 Gerald Meerschaert Trevin Giles 2.35 1 Sub, R3 (1:49) MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '19 Mickey Gall Salim Touahri 2.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '19 Miranda Granger Hannah Goldy 2.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '19 Jim Miller Clay Guida 1.54 5 Sub, R1 (0:58) MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '19 Colby Covington Robbie Lawler 1.43 10 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '19 Dhiego Lima Court McGee 2.55 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '19 Mairbek Taisumov Carlos Diego Ferreira 1.40 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '19 Dustin Poirier Khabib Nurmagomedov 4.50 1 Sub, R3 (2:6) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '19 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Li Jingliang 1.33 3 TKO, R3 (4:51) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '19 Jessica Andrade Weili Zhang 1.59 5 TKO, R1 (0:42) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '19 Shana Dobson Sabina Mazo 2.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '19 Jodie Esquibel Hannah Cifers 3.65 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '19 Geraldo De Freitas Jr. Chris Gutierrez 2.10 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '19 Bobby Moffett Enrique Barzola 2.85 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '19 Mike Perry Vicente Luque 3.05 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '19 Jason Gonzalez Jim Miller 2.35 1 Sub, R1 (2:12) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '19 Jodie Esquibel Angela Hill 5.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '19 Ben Saunders Takashi Sato 2.75 1 TKO, R2 (1:18) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '19 Mike Davis Gilbert Burns 3.05 1 Sub, R2 (4:15) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '19 Andrei Arlovski Augusto Sakai 2.20 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '19 Rafael Fiziev Magomed Mustafaev 1.83 1 TKO, R1 (1:26) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '19 Arman Tsarukyan Islam Makhachev 3.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '19 Marcin Tybura Shamil Abdurakhimov 1.67 1.5 TKO, R2 (3:15) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '19 Jordan Rinaldi Arnold Allen 2.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '19 Danny Roberts Claudio Silva 2.45 1 Sub, R3 (2:37) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '19 Danny Henry Dan Ige 2.20 1 Sub, R1 (1:17) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

GoatPicks : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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