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Total MMA Handicappers: 1414
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 572

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Fight Game Picks

Fight Game Picks (FightGamePicks)


MMA MHandicapper - Fight Game Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 68 (47%) Right 41 (50%) Right 13 (38%) Right 14 (47%)
Wrong 78 (53%) Wrong 41 (50%) Wrong 21 (62%) Wrong 16 (53%)
Avg Odds 2.10 Avg Odds 1.82 Avg Odds 2.50 Avg Odds 2.74
Units Bet 295.7 Units Bet 195.4 Units Bet 44.0 Units Bet 56.4
Avg Bet 2.03 Avg Bet 2.38 Avg Bet 1.29 Avg Bet 1.88
Units Profit 1.36 Units Profit -9.69 Units Profit -2.90 Units Profit 13.95
ROI % 0% ROI % -5% ROI % -7% ROI % 25%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 1.85 1.3 68% 1.1 / 1 (115%) 0.1 / 0.85 (12%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 4 -2.0 -50% -2.0 / 4 (-50%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 4 4.3 108% 4.3 / 4 (108%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 4 1.8 46% 1.8 / 4 (46%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 6 4.2 70% 4.2 / 6 (70%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 8.5 -1.8 -21% 1.7 / 5 (35%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 0.25 -0.3 -100% -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
17th Mar '18 UFC Fight Night 127 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
3rd Mar '18 UFC 222 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 1 0.7 71% 0.7 / 1 (71%)
31st Dec '17 UFC 219 3.6 0.7 20% 1.3 / 3 (44%) -0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)
16th Dec '17 UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 3 -1.2 -40% 0.8 / 1 (80%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Dec '17 UFC 218 5.75 -5.8 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
25th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 4 2.2 54% 2.2 / 4 (54%)
11th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
4th Nov '17 UFC 217 9 -5.5 -61% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 1.0 / 2.5 (42%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
28th Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo 7 5.0 72% 2.6 / 5 (53%) 2.4 / 2 (120%)
21st Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 5 -0.2 -4% -0.2 / 5 (-4%)
7th Oct '17 UFC 216 6.3 2.8 45% 0.8 / 2 (39%) -0.3 / 0.3 (-100%) 2.4 / 4 (59%)
22nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
9th Sep '17 UFC 215 7 -7.0 -100% -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
2nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov 8 4.2 52% 0.9 / 5 (17%) 1.9 / 2 (94%) 1.4 / 1 (144%)
29th Jul '17 UFC 214 10.5 -3.5 -34% -1.0 / 8 (-13%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
22nd Jul '17 UFC on Fox 25 7.5 -0.9 -12% 0.1 / 6.5 (2%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Jul '17 UFC Fight Night 113 19.84 -1.9 -10% 0.6 / 17.34 (3%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
8th Jul '17 UFC 213 6.5 5.3 82% 2.9 / 3.5 (83%) 2.4 / 3 (81%)
7th Jul '17 TUF Season 25 Finale 12 0.4 3% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 2.3 / 4 (58%) 2.1 / 4 (52%)
25th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 112 6.25 0.5 9% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 0.9 / 1 (87%) 1.7 / 3.25 (51%)
24th Jun '17 Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 2 0.2 10% 0.2 / 2 (10%)
17th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 111 6.25 11.2 179% 2.4 / 2 (120%) 8.8 / 4.25 (206%)
10th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 11.25 -3.0 -27% -0.7 / 9 (-8%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
3rd Jun '17 UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 10 -1.8 -18% -1.8 / 10 (-18%)
13th May '17 UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 21 -4.9 -23% -7.1 / 13 (-55%) 1.1 / 3 (38%) 1.1 / 5 (21%)
22nd Apr '17 UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 6 3.3 55% 1.2 / 1 (122%) 2.1 / 5 (41%)
15th Apr '17 UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 14 2.7 20% 1.0 / 8 (13%) 1.7 / 6 (29%)
8th Apr '17 UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 9 0.3 4% 4.3 / 5 (87%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
18th Mar '17 UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson 11 8.1 73% 1.4 / 9 (16%) 0.9 / 1 (87%) 5.8 / 1 (578%)
11th Mar '17 UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum 13.3 -1.1 -8% 0.6 / 9.05 (7%) -1.7 / 4.25 (-41%)
4th Mar '17 UFC 209 16.1 7.8 48% 6.5 / 8 (81%) 3.4 / 6 (56%) -2.1 / 2.1 (-100%)


Winning Events: 20 (45%)
Losing Events: 24 (55%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 46.6 -8.7 -19% 3.9 / 33 (12%) -5.4 / 6.35 (-85%) -7.3 / 7.25 (-100%) 5 / 9 (36%) -0.62
2017 249.14 10.1 4% -13.6 / 162.39 (-8%) 2.5 / 37.65 (7%) 21.2 / 49.1 (43%) 15 / 15 (50%) 0.34

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 293.74 1.2 0% -9.9 / 193.39 (-5%) -2.9 / 44 (-7%) 13.9 / 56.35 (25%)
Bellator 2 0.2 10% 0.2 / 2 (10%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 17 (21%) 12 71 % 48.30 4.46 0.26 9%
Slight Favorites 41 (50%) 20 49 % 103.75 -14.43 -0.35 -14%
Slight Underdogs 16 (20%) 8 50 % 32.50 2.11 0.13 7%
Big Underdogs 8 (10%) 1 13 % 10.84 -1.84 -0.23 -17%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 12 (15%) 5 42 % 37.50 -8.22 -0.69 -22%
Co-Main Event 12 (15%) 8 67 % 23.50 1.87 0.16 8%
Position 3-5 29 (35%) 11 38 % 70.00 -6.24 -0.22 -9%
6+ (Undercard) 29 (35%) 17 59 % 64.39 2.90 0.10 5%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 4 (5%) 3 75 % 8.00 2.08 0.52 26%
Light Heavy 10 (12%) 5 50 % 22.00 -1.46 -0.15 -7%
Middleweight 9 (11%) 6 67 % 25.00 13.83 1.54 55%
Welterweight 20 (24%) 11 55 % 57.25 3.79 0.19 7%
Lightweight 14 (17%) 8 57 % 29.80 -0.64 -0.05 -2%
Featherweight 11 (13%) 5 45 % 25.00 -10.38 -0.94 -42%
Bantamweight 3 (4%) 0 % 7.00 -7.00 -2.33 -100%
Flyweight 5 (6%) 1 20 % 8.34 -4.01 -0.80 -48%
               
Women's Fights 6 (7%) 2 33 % 13.00 -5.90 -0.98 -45%
Bantamweight 1 (1%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -100%
Strawweight 5 (6%) 2 40 % 10.00 -2.90 -0.58 -29%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 75 (68%) 58 77 %
Slight Favorites 29 (26%) 14 48 %
Slight Underdogs 6 (5%) 3 50 %
Big Underdogs 1 (1%) 1 100 %
111 76 68 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 8 (21%) 5 63 %
50-65% 11 (29%) 9 82 %
35-50% 5 (13%) 1 20 %
<35% chance 14 (37%) 1 7 %
38 16 42 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 18 (47%) 11 61 % 1.59 2.20Pick was incorrect 1.33Pick was incorrect -1.1 (-6%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (5%) 1 50 % 1.69 1.87Pick was correct 1.54Pick was incorrect -0.1 (-7%)
Goes to Decision 2 (5%) 1 50 % 5.17 6.20Pick was incorrect 4.44Pick was correct 2.4 (122%)
X Wins by KO 2 (5%) 0 0 % 3.98 15.80Pick was incorrect 2.28Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 4 (11%) 0 0 % 8.44 13.00Pick was incorrect 5.57Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 4 (11%) 3 75 % 2.26 3.57Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was correct 2.1 (51%)
X Wins Inside Distance 3 (8%) 0 0 % 6.77 9.97Pick was incorrect 5.30Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X 3 (8%) 0 0 % 9.88 15.00Pick was incorrect 6.25Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
38 16 42 % 2.32     -8.8 (-23%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
4th Mar UFC 209 16.1 7.8 48% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,077.51
11th Mar UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum 13.3 -1.1 -8% $10.78 $1,077.51 $1,065.59
18th Mar UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson 11 8.1 73% $10.66 $1,065.59 $1,151.60
8th Apr UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 9 0.3 4% $11.52 $1,151.60 $1,155.61
15th Apr UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 14 2.7 20% $11.56 $1,155.61 $1,187.32
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 6 3.3 55% $11.87 $1,187.32 $1,226.22
13th May UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 21 -4.9 -23% $12.26 $1,226.22 $1,165.89
3rd Jun UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 10 -1.8 -18% $11.66 $1,165.89 $1,145.21
10th Jun UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 11.25 -3.0 -27% $11.45 $1,145.21 $1,110.89
17th Jun UFC Fight Night 111 6.25 11.2 179% $11.11 $1,110.89 $1,234.90
24th Jun Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 2 0.2 10% $12.35 $1,234.90 $1,237.37
25th Jun UFC Fight Night 112 6.25 0.5 9% $12.37 $1,237.37 $1,244.07
7th Jul TUF Season 25 Finale 12 0.4 3% $12.44 $1,244.07 $1,249.24
8th Jul UFC 213 6.5 5.3 82% $12.49 $1,249.24 $1,316.06
16th Jul UFC Fight Night 113 19.84 -1.9 -10% $13.16 $1,316.06 $1,290.73
22nd Jul UFC on Fox 25 7.5 -0.9 -12% $12.91 $1,290.73 $1,279.44
29th Jul UFC 214 10.5 -3.5 -34% $12.79 $1,279.44 $1,234.16
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov 8 4.2 52% $12.34 $1,234.16 $1,285.79
9th Sep UFC 215 7 -7.0 -100% $12.86 $1,285.79 $1,195.78
16th Sep UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 3 -3.0 -100% $11.96 $1,195.78 $1,159.91
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 1 -1.0 -100% $11.60 $1,159.91 $1,148.31
7th Oct UFC 216 6.3 2.8 45% $11.48 $1,148.31 $1,180.85
21st Oct UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 5 -0.2 -4% $11.81 $1,180.85 $1,178.49
28th Oct UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo 7 5.0 72% $11.78 $1,178.49 $1,237.73
4th Nov UFC 217 9 -5.5 -61% $12.38 $1,237.73 $1,170.17
11th Nov UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 4 -4.0 -100% $11.70 $1,170.17 $1,123.36
25th Nov UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 4 2.2 54% $11.23 $1,123.36 $1,147.65
2nd Dec UFC 218 5.75 -5.8 -100% $11.48 $1,147.65 $1,081.66
16th Dec UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 3 -1.2 -40% $10.82 $1,081.66 $1,068.68
31st Dec UFC 219 3.6 0.7 20% $10.69 $1,068.68 $1,076.52
10th Feb UFC 221 1 0.7 71% $10.77 $1,076.52 $1,084.21
3rd Mar UFC 222 1 -1.0 -100% $10.84 $1,084.21 $1,073.37
17th Mar UFC Fight Night 127 5 -5.0 -100% $10.73 $1,073.37 $1,019.70
7th Apr UFC 223 0.25 -0.3 -100% $10.20 $1,019.70 $1,017.15
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 8.5 -1.8 -21% $10.17 $1,017.15 $999.35
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 2 -2.0 -100% $9.99 $999.35 $979.36
12th May UFC 224 6 4.2 70% $9.79 $979.36 $1,020.22
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 4 1.8 46% $10.20 $1,020.22 $1,039.03
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 4 4.3 108% $10.39 $1,039.03 $1,083.91
7th Jul UFC 226 3 -3.0 -100% $10.84 $1,083.91 $1,051.40
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 4 -2.0 -50% $10.51 $1,051.40 $1,030.37
4th Aug UFC 227 2 -2.0 -100% $10.30 $1,030.37 $1,009.76
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 1.85 1.3 68% $10.10 $1,009.76 $1,022.43
8th Sep UFC 228 4 -4.0 -100% $10.22 $1,022.43 $981.53


ROI % from starting bank balance: -1.85% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Aug '18 Michael Johnson Andre Fili 2.15 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '18 Jose Aldo Jeremy Stephens 2.00 1 TKO, R1 (4:19) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '18 Darren Till Stephen Thompson 2.08 4 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '18 Dominick Reyes Jared Cannonier 1.46 4 TKO, R1 (2:55) MMA Bookmaker
5. May '18 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Sean Strickland 1.78 4 TKO, R1 (3:12) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '18 Ramazan Emeev Alberto Mina 1.52 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '18 Alex Oliveira Carlos Condit 1.50 2 Sub, R2 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '18 Alex Oliveira Carlos Condit 1.50 2.5 Sub, R2 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '18 Curtis Blaydes Mark Hunt 1.71 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '17 Matheus Nicolau Louis Smolka 1.44 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '17 Alessio Di Chirico Oluwale Bamgbose 1.80 1 TKO, R2 (2:14) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '17 Li Jingliang Zak Ottow 1.54 4 TKO, R1 (2:57) MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '17 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Max Griffin 1.53 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '17 Darren Till Donald Cerrone 2.40 2 TKO, R1 (4:20) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '17 Tony Ferguson Kevin Lee 1.39 2 Sub, R3 (4:2) MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '17 Darren Till Bojan Velickovic 1.47 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '17 Jon Jones Daniel Cormier 1.39 5 TKO, R3 (3:1) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '17 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Lyman Good 2.65 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '17 Paul Felder Stevie Ray 1.83 3 TKO, R1 (3:57) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '17 Paul Felder Stevie Ray 1.83 2 TKO, R1 (3:57) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '18 Darren Till Tyron Woodley 1.95 4 Sub, R2 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '18 Gadzhimurad Antigulov Ion Cutelaba 2.10 2 TKO, R1 (4:25) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '18 Matheus Nicolau Dustin Ortiz 1.51 1 TKO, R1 (3:49) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '18 Paul Felder Mike Perry 1.77 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '18 Gokhan Saki Khalil Rountree 1.79 2 TKO, R1 (1:36) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '18 Marvin Vettori Israel Adesanya 3.20 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '18 Frankie Edgar Brian Ortega 1.69 1 TKO, R1 (4:44) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '17 Sergio Pettis Henry Cejudo 3.65 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '17 Justin Gaethje Eddie Alvarez 1.57 2 TKO, R3 (3:59) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '17 John Dodson Marlon Moraes 2.05 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '17 Anthony Pettis Dustin Poirier 1.95 2 TKO, R3 (2:8) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '17 Cody Garbrandt T.J. Dillashaw 1.57 4 TKO, R2 (2:41) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '17 Jorge Masvidal Stephen Thompson 2.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '17 Devin Clark Jan Blachowicz 1.65 3 Sub, R2 (3:2) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '17 Tony Martin Olivier Aubin-Mercier 2.00 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '17 Gavin Tucker Rick Glenn 1.43 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '17 Valentina Shevchenko Amanda Nunes 1.83 3 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '17 Desmond Green Rustam Khabilov 3.55 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '17 Jason Knight Ricardo Lamas 1.83 3 TKO, R1 (4:34) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '17 Ryan LaFlare Alex Oliveira 1.53 4 TKO, R2 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

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