MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: random dan

random dan (dmayle1)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	24 (45%)	Right	13 (52%)	Right	4 (31%)	Right	7 (47%)
Wrong	29 (55%)	Wrong	12 (48%)	Wrong	9 (69%)	Wrong	8 (53%)
Avg Odds	1.86	Avg Odds	1.67	Avg Odds	2.01	Avg Odds	2.11
Units Bet	118.0	Units Bet	73.6	Units Bet	23.7	Units Bet	20.8
Avg Bet	2.23	Avg Bet	2.94	Avg Bet	1.82	Avg Bet	1.39
Units Profit	-29.82	Units Profit	-18.94	Units Profit	-8.12	Units Profit	-2.76
ROI %	-25%	ROI %	-26%	ROI %	-34%	ROI %	-13%

random dan: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
20th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 174	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
22nd Sep '17	UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2	10	-3.0	-30%		2.0 / 5 (40%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
16th Sep '17	UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch	4.5	-1.4	-32%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)		1.1 / 2 (53%)
9th Sep '17	UFC 215	12	-5.9	-49%	-4.9 / 11 (-44%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Sep '17	UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov	1	0.8	80%	0.8 / 1 (80%)
15th Aug '17	DWTNCS 6	1	1.0	104%	0.3 / 0.5 (69%)		0.7 / 0.5 (140%)
5th Aug '17	UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno	2	2.8	140%	2.8 / 2 (140%)
1st Aug '17	DWTNCS 4	0.917	0.2	25%	0.5 / 0.667 (71%)		-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
29th Jul '17	UFC 214	12.35	-3.1	-25%	-1.9 / 11.15 (-17%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-0.7 / 0.7 (-100%)
25th Jul '17	DWTNF 3	0.5	0.6	118%			0.6 / 0.5 (118%)
22nd Jul '17	UFC on Fox 25	15.75	-9.1	-58%	-8.1 / 14 (-58%)	-0.0 / 0.75 (-5%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Jul '17	Dana White's TNCS 2	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
16th Jul '17	UFC Fight Night 113	13.5	-13.5	-100%	-9.0 / 9 (-100%)	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
8th Jul '17	UFC 213	8.3	5.3	63%	4.5 / 6 (75%)	-1.3 / 1.3 (-100%)	2.1 / 1 (208%)
7th Jul '17	TUF Season 25 Finale	2	1.6	80%			1.6 / 2 (80%)
25th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 112	6	-6.0	-100%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
24th Jun '17	Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva	2.85	2.8	99%	1.8 / 1.25 (146%)	1.0 / 1.6 (63%)
17th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 111	4	3.3	83%		2.2 / 3 (74%)	1.1 / 1 (111%)
10th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	6.35	0.5	7%	1.8 / 5 (36%)		-1.4 / 1.35 (-100%)
3rd Jun '17	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	7	-2.6	-37%	1.4 / 3 (47%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
28th May '17	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	5.5	-1.6	-29%		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	0.4 / 3.5 (11%)

Winning Events: 10 (48%)
Losing Events: 11 (52%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.62 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.75 units
Best Event: 5.26 units
Worst Event: -13.50 units
Average Event: -1.42 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 6.87
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -23.10

random dan: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	/ 1 (0%)	-2.00
2017	116.017	-27.8	-24%	-18.9 / 73.567 (-26%)	-8.1 / 23.65 (-34%)	-0.8 / 18.8 (-4%)	10 / 10 (50%)	-1.39

random dan: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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random dan: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	112.25	-34.0	-30%	-21.1 / 70.65 (-30%)	-9.1 / 22.05 (-41%)	-3.8 / 19.55 (-19%)
Bellator	2.85	2.8	99%	1.8 / 1.25 (146%)	1.0 / 1.6 (63%)
Other	2.917	1.4	47%	0.3 / 1.667 (19%)		1.0 / 1.25 (83%)

random dan: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	9 (36%)	6	67 %	34.65	-2.17	-0.24	-6%
Slight Favorites	11 (44%)	5	45 %	31.67	-17.40	-1.58	-55%
Slight Underdogs	5 (20%)	2	40 %	7.25	0.62	0.12	9%
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	7 (28%)	4	57 %	24.50	-4.88	-0.70	-20%
Co-Main Event	5 (20%)	3	60 %	11.15	1.64	0.33	15%
Position 3-5	6 (24%)	3	50 %	10.92	-5.85	-0.98	-54%
6+ (Undercard)	7 (28%)	3	43 %	27.00	-9.85	-1.41	-36%

random dan: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (8%)	2	100 %	3.00	2.34	1.17	78%
Light Heavy	2 (8%)	1	50 %	8.50	-2.42	-1.21	-28%
Middleweight	4 (16%)	2	50 %	14.00	-2.66	-0.67	-19%
Welterweight	4 (16%)	3	75 %	11.40	0.93	0.23	8%
Lightweight	3 (12%)		0 %	10.50	-10.50	-3.50	-100%
Featherweight	5 (20%)	3	60 %	14.00	-0.40	-0.08	-3%
Bantamweight	2 (8%)	1	50 %	5.17	-4.02	-2.01	-78%
Flyweight	1 (4%)	1	100 %	2.00	2.80	2.80	140%

Women's Fights	2 (8%)		0 %	5.00	-5.00	-2.50	-100%
Bantamweight	1 (4%)		0 %	4.00	-4.00	-4.00	-100%
Strawweight	1 (4%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	19 (63%)	14	74 %
Slight Favorites	11 (37%)	5	45 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	30	19	63 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	6 (40%)	4	67 %
50-65%	4 (27%)	2	50 %
35-50%	2 (13%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	3 (20%)	0	0 %
	15	6	40 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (33%)	3	60 %	1.45	1.63	1.30	-0.5 (-9%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (13%)	2	100 %	1.50	1.74	1.32	1.1 (53%)
X Wins by KO	2 (13%)	0	0 %	1.91	2.20	1.69	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	3 (20%)	1	33 %	1.75	2.50	1.40	-1.6 (-53%)
X Wins in Round X	3 (20%)	0	0 %	8.77	15.50	5.25	-3.0 (-100%)
	15	6	40 %	1.90			-6.0 (-40%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail random dan's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
28th May	UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira	5.5	-1.6	-29%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$983.91
3rd Jun	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	7	-2.6	-37%		$9.84	$983.91	$958.28
10th Jun	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	6.35	0.5	7%		$9.58	$958.28	$962.77
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night 111	4	3.3	83%		$9.63	$962.77	$994.89
24th Jun	Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva	2.85	2.8	99%		$9.95	$994.89	$1,023.00
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night 112	6	-6.0	-100%		$10.23	$1,023.00	$961.62
7th Jul	TUF Season 25 Finale	2	1.6	80%		$9.62	$961.62	$977.06
8th Jul	UFC 213	8.3	5.3	63%		$9.77	$977.06	$1,028.45
16th Jul	UFC Fight Night 113	13.5	-13.5	-100%		$10.28	$1,028.45	$889.61
18th Jul	Dana White's TNCS 2	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$8.90	$889.61	$885.16
22nd Jul	UFC on Fox 25	15.75	-9.1	-58%		$8.85	$885.16	$804.57
25th Jul	DWTNF 3	0.5	0.6	118%		$8.05	$804.57	$809.32
29th Jul	UFC 214	12.35	-3.1	-25%		$8.09	$809.32	$784.06
1st Aug	DWTNCS 4	0.917	0.2	25%		$7.84	$784.06	$785.84
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno	2	2.8	140%		$7.86	$785.84	$807.84
15th Aug	DWTNCS 6	1	1.0	104%		$8.08	$807.84	$816.27
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov	1	0.8	80%		$8.16	$816.27	$822.80
9th Sep	UFC 215	12	-5.9	-49%		$8.23	$822.80	$774.30
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch	4.5	-1.4	-32%		$7.74	$774.30	$763.12
22nd Sep	UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2	10	-3.0	-30%		$7.63	$763.12	$740.22
20th Jun	UFC Fight Night 174	2	-2.0	-100%		$7.40	$740.22	$725.42

ROI % from starting bank balance: -27.46% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

random dan: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Sep '17	Rafael dos Anjos	Neil Magny	1.53	4	Sub, R1 (3:43)
2.	Sep '17	Alexander Volkov	Stefan Struve	1.80	1	TKO, R3 (3:34)
3.	Aug '17	Grant Dawson	Adrian Diaz	1.69	0.5	Sub, R2 (1:15)
4.	Aug '17	John Castaneda	Cheyden Leialoha	1.71	0.667	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Aug '17	Sergio Pettis	Brandon Moreno	2.40	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
6.	Jul '17	Jon Jones	Daniel Cormier	1.35	4.5	TKO, R3 (3:1)
7.	Jul '17	Tyron Woodley	Demian Maia	1.47	2.15	U Decision (5 rounds)
8.	Jul '17	Shane Burgos	Godofredo Pepey	1.19	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jul '17	Robert Whittaker	Yoel Romero	1.74	4	U Decision (5 rounds)
10.	Jul '17	Alistair Overeem	Fabricio Werdum	1.77	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Jun '17	Douglas Lima	Lorenz Larkin	2.46	1.25	U Decision (5 rounds)
12.	Jun '17	Alex Volkanovski	Mizuto Hirota	1.36	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Jun '17	Antonio Carlos Junior	Eric Spicely	1.47	3	Sub, R2 (3:49)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Sep '17	Jason Saggo	Gilbert Burns	2.20	2.5	TKO, R2 (4:55)	No
2.	Sep '17	Gavin Tucker	Rick Glenn	1.33	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Sep '17	Valentina Shevchenko	Amanda Nunes	1.83	4	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
4.	Jul '17	Renan Barao	Aljamain Sterling	1.71	4.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Jul '17	Gian Villante	Patrick Cummins	1.74	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jul '17	Kelvin Gastelum	Chris Weidman	1.69	5	Sub, R3 (3:45)	No
7.	Jul '17	Lazar Stojadinovic	Thanh Le	2.25	0.5	TKO, R2 (1:35)	No
8.	Jul '17	Stevie Ray	Paul Felder	1.65	4	TKO, R1 (3:57)	No
9.	Jul '17	Joanne Wood	Cynthia Calvillo	2.82	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jul '17	Gunnar Nelson	Santiago Ponzinibbio	1.48	4	TKO, R1 (1:22)	No
11.	Jun '17	Johny Hendricks	Tim Boetsch	1.64	2	TKO, R2 (0:46)	No
12.	Jun '17	Erik Koch	Clay Guida	1.38	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

random dan: Progress Chart

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