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Total MMA Handicappers: 4670
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1834

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: random dan

random dan (dmayle1)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - random dan

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 24 (45%) Right 13 (52%) Right 4 (31%) Right 7 (47%)
Wrong 29 (55%) Wrong 12 (48%) Wrong 9 (69%) Wrong 8 (53%)
Avg Odds 1.86 Avg Odds 1.67 Avg Odds 2.01 Avg Odds 2.11
Units Bet 118.0 Units Bet 73.6 Units Bet 23.7 Units Bet 20.8
Avg Bet 2.23 Avg Bet 2.94 Avg Bet 1.82 Avg Bet 1.39
Units Profit -29.82 Units Profit -18.94 Units Profit -8.12 Units Profit -2.76
ROI % -25% ROI % -26% ROI % -34% ROI % -13%
View Handicapper's Profile

random dan: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 174 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
22nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 10 -3.0 -30% 2.0 / 5 (40%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
16th Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 4.5 -1.4 -32% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 1.1 / 2 (53%)
9th Sep '17 UFC 215 12 -5.9 -49% -4.9 / 11 (-44%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov 1 0.8 80% 0.8 / 1 (80%)
15th Aug '17 DWTNCS 6 1 1.0 104% 0.3 / 0.5 (69%) 0.7 / 0.5 (140%)
5th Aug '17 UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 2 2.8 140% 2.8 / 2 (140%)
1st Aug '17 DWTNCS 4 0.917 0.2 25% 0.5 / 0.667 (71%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
29th Jul '17 UFC 214 12.35 -3.1 -25% -1.9 / 11.15 (-17%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -0.7 / 0.7 (-100%)
25th Jul '17 DWTNF 3 0.5 0.6 118% 0.6 / 0.5 (118%)
22nd Jul '17 UFC on Fox 25 15.75 -9.1 -58% -8.1 / 14 (-58%) -0.0 / 0.75 (-5%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Jul '17 Dana White's TNCS 2 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
16th Jul '17 UFC Fight Night 113 13.5 -13.5 -100% -9.0 / 9 (-100%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
8th Jul '17 UFC 213 8.3 5.3 63% 4.5 / 6 (75%) -1.3 / 1.3 (-100%) 2.1 / 1 (208%)
7th Jul '17 TUF Season 25 Finale 2 1.6 80% 1.6 / 2 (80%)
25th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 112 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
24th Jun '17 Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 2.85 2.8 99% 1.8 / 1.25 (146%) 1.0 / 1.6 (63%)
17th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 111 4 3.3 83% 2.2 / 3 (74%) 1.1 / 1 (111%)
10th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 6.35 0.5 7% 1.8 / 5 (36%) -1.4 / 1.35 (-100%)
3rd Jun '17 UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 7 -2.6 -37% 1.4 / 3 (47%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
28th May '17 UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 5.5 -1.6 -29% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 0.4 / 3.5 (11%)


Winning Events: 10 (48%)
Losing Events: 11 (52%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.62 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.75 units
Best Event: 5.26 units
Worst Event: -13.50 units
Average Event: -1.42 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 6.87
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -23.10

random dan: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 0.0 nan% / (nan%) nan
2020 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) / 1 (0%) -2.00
2017 116.017 -27.8 -24% -18.9 / 73.567 (-26%) -8.1 / 23.65 (-34%) -0.8 / 18.8 (-4%) 10 / 10 (50%) -1.39

random dan: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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random dan: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 112.25 -34.0 -30% -21.1 / 70.65 (-30%) -9.1 / 22.05 (-41%) -3.8 / 19.55 (-19%)
Bellator 2.85 2.8 99% 1.8 / 1.25 (146%) 1.0 / 1.6 (63%)
Other 2.917 1.4 47% 0.3 / 1.667 (19%) 1.0 / 1.25 (83%)

random dan: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 9 (36%) 6 67 % 34.65 -2.17 -0.24 -6%
Slight Favorites 11 (44%) 5 45 % 31.67 -17.40 -1.58 -55%
Slight Underdogs 5 (20%) 2 40 % 7.25 0.62 0.12 9%
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 7 (28%) 4 57 % 24.50 -4.88 -0.70 -20%
Co-Main Event 5 (20%) 3 60 % 11.15 1.64 0.33 15%
Position 3-5 6 (24%) 3 50 % 10.92 -5.85 -0.98 -54%
6+ (Undercard) 7 (28%) 3 43 % 27.00 -9.85 -1.41 -36%

random dan: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (8%) 2 100 % 3.00 2.34 1.17 78%
Light Heavy 2 (8%) 1 50 % 8.50 -2.42 -1.21 -28%
Middleweight 4 (16%) 2 50 % 14.00 -2.66 -0.67 -19%
Welterweight 4 (16%) 3 75 % 11.40 0.93 0.23 8%
Lightweight 3 (12%) 0 % 10.50 -10.50 -3.50 -100%
Featherweight 5 (20%) 3 60 % 14.00 -0.40 -0.08 -3%
Bantamweight 2 (8%) 1 50 % 5.17 -4.02 -2.01 -78%
Flyweight 1 (4%) 1 100 % 2.00 2.80 2.80 140%
               
Women's Fights 2 (8%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -2.50 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (4%) 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -4.00 -100%
Strawweight 1 (4%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 19 (63%) 14 74 %
Slight Favorites 11 (37%) 5 45 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
30 19 63 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 6 (40%) 4 67 %
50-65% 4 (27%) 2 50 %
35-50% 2 (13%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 3 (20%) 0 0 %
15 6 40 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (33%) 3 60 % 1.45 1.63Pick was correct 1.30Pick was incorrect -0.5 (-9%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (13%) 2 100 % 1.50 1.74Pick was correct 1.32Pick was correct 1.1 (53%)
X Wins by KO 2 (13%) 0 0 % 1.91 2.20Pick was incorrect 1.69Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 3 (20%) 1 33 % 1.75 2.50Pick was incorrect 1.40Pick was correct -1.6 (-53%)
X Wins in Round X 3 (20%) 0 0 % 8.77 15.50Pick was incorrect 5.25Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
15 6 40 % 1.90     -6.0 (-40%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail random dan's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
28th May UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 5.5 -1.6 -29% $10.00 $1,000.00 $983.91
3rd Jun UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 7 -2.6 -37% $9.84 $983.91 $958.28
10th Jun UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 6.35 0.5 7% $9.58 $958.28 $962.77
17th Jun UFC Fight Night 111 4 3.3 83% $9.63 $962.77 $994.89
24th Jun Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 2.85 2.8 99% $9.95 $994.89 $1,023.00
25th Jun UFC Fight Night 112 6 -6.0 -100% $10.23 $1,023.00 $961.62
7th Jul TUF Season 25 Finale 2 1.6 80% $9.62 $961.62 $977.06
8th Jul UFC 213 8.3 5.3 63% $9.77 $977.06 $1,028.45
16th Jul UFC Fight Night 113 13.5 -13.5 -100% $10.28 $1,028.45 $889.61
18th Jul Dana White's TNCS 2 0.5 -0.5 -100% $8.90 $889.61 $885.16
22nd Jul UFC on Fox 25 15.75 -9.1 -58% $8.85 $885.16 $804.57
25th Jul DWTNF 3 0.5 0.6 118% $8.05 $804.57 $809.32
29th Jul UFC 214 12.35 -3.1 -25% $8.09 $809.32 $784.06
1st Aug DWTNCS 4 0.917 0.2 25% $7.84 $784.06 $785.84
5th Aug UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 2 2.8 140% $7.86 $785.84 $807.84
15th Aug DWTNCS 6 1 1.0 104% $8.08 $807.84 $816.27
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov 1 0.8 80% $8.16 $816.27 $822.80
9th Sep UFC 215 12 -5.9 -49% $8.23 $822.80 $774.30
16th Sep UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 4.5 -1.4 -32% $7.74 $774.30 $763.12
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 10 -3.0 -30% $7.63 $763.12 $740.22
20th Jun UFC Fight Night 174 2 -2.0 -100% $7.40 $740.22 $725.42


ROI % from starting bank balance: -27.46% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

random dan: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Sep '17 Rafael dos Anjos Neil Magny 1.53 4 Sub, R1 (3:43) MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '17 Alexander Volkov Stefan Struve 1.80 1 TKO, R3 (3:34) MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '17 Grant Dawson Adrian Diaz 1.69 0.5 Sub, R2 (1:15) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '17 John Castaneda Cheyden Leialoha 1.71 0.667 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '17 Sergio Pettis Brandon Moreno 2.40 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '17 Jon Jones Daniel Cormier 1.35 4.5 TKO, R3 (3:1) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '17 Tyron Woodley Demian Maia 1.47 2.15 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '17 Shane Burgos Godofredo Pepey 1.19 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '17 Robert Whittaker Yoel Romero 1.74 4 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '17 Alistair Overeem Fabricio Werdum 1.77 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '17 Douglas Lima Lorenz Larkin 2.46 1.25 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '17 Alex Volkanovski Mizuto Hirota 1.36 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '17 Antonio Carlos Junior Eric Spicely 1.47 3 Sub, R2 (3:49) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '17 Jason Saggo Gilbert Burns 2.20 2.5 TKO, R2 (4:55) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '17 Gavin Tucker Rick Glenn 1.33 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '17 Valentina Shevchenko Amanda Nunes 1.83 4 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '17 Renan Barao Aljamain Sterling 1.71 4.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '17 Gian Villante Patrick Cummins 1.74 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '17 Kelvin Gastelum Chris Weidman 1.69 5 Sub, R3 (3:45) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '17 Lazar Stojadinovic Thanh Le 2.25 0.5 TKO, R2 (1:35) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '17 Stevie Ray Paul Felder 1.65 4 TKO, R1 (3:57) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '17 Joanne Wood Cynthia Calvillo 2.82 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '17 Gunnar Nelson Santiago Ponzinibbio 1.48 4 TKO, R1 (1:22) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '17 Johny Hendricks Tim Boetsch 1.64 2 TKO, R2 (0:46) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '17 Erik Koch Clay Guida 1.38 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

random dan: Progress Chart

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