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Total MMA Handicappers: 1432 Profitable MMA Handicappers: 577 |
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Profit / Loss by Organization |
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Straight Pick Stats |
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Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
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| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Main Event | 13 (11%) | 3 | 23 % | 32.75 | -8.71 | -0.67 | -27% |
| Co-Main Event | 8 (7%) | 2 | 25 % | 23.00 | -16.05 | -2.01 | -70% |
| Position 3-5 | 36 (30%) | 18 | 50 % | 89.10 | -0.63 | -0.02 | -1% |
| 6+ (Undercard) | 65 (53%) | 39 | 60 % | 252.65 | -4.56 | -0.07 | -2% |
by Weight Class
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Heavyweight | 5 (4%) | 3 | 60 % | 24.85 | 4.07 | 0.81 | 16% |
| Light Heavy | 8 (7%) | 3 | 38 % | 18.35 | -1.92 | -0.24 | -10% |
| Middleweight | 9 (7%) | 7 | 78 % | 21.70 | 5.45 | 0.61 | 25% |
| Welterweight | 29 (24%) | 9 | 31 % | 103.50 | -38.10 | -1.31 | -37% |
| Lightweight | 17 (14%) | 11 | 65 % | 51.50 | 7.08 | 0.42 | 14% |
| Featherweight | 10 (8%) | 6 | 60 % | 14.70 | 3.23 | 0.32 | 22% |
| Bantamweight | 15 (12%) | 5 | 33 % | 33.00 | -12.70 | -0.85 | -38% |
| Flyweight | 7 (6%) | 2 | 29 % | 27.85 | 7.43 | 1.06 | 27% |
| Women's Fights | 22 (18%) | 16 | 73 % | 102.05 | -4.47 | -0.20 | -4% |
| Featherweight | 2 (2%) | 1 | 50 % | 4.60 | -2.00 | -1.00 | -43% |
| Bantamweight | 4 (3%) | 3 | 75 % | 16.20 | 1.63 | 0.41 | 10% |
| Bantamweight | 3 (2%) | 2 | 67 % | 14.15 | -9.00 | -3.00 | -64% |
| Strawweight | 13 (11%) | 10 | 77 % | 67.10 | 4.90 | 0.38 | 7% |
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)
Straight picks within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| Big Favorites | 255 (91%) | 196 | 77 % |
| Slight Favorites | 23 (8%) | 15 | 65 % |
| Slight Underdogs | 3 (1%) | 1 | 33 % |
| Big Underdogs | 0 (0%) | 0 | 0 % |
| 281 | 212 | 75 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| >65% chance | 59 (76%) | 39 | 66 % |
| 50-65% | 15 (19%) | 6 | 40 % |
| 35-50% | 3 (4%) | 1 | 33 % |
| <35% chance | 1 (1%) | 0 | 0 % |
| 78 | 46 | 59 % |
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
| Prop Type | Picks | Correct | % Correct | Avg Odds |
Longest Odds |
Shortest Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) | 24 (31%) | 16 | 67 % | 1.34 | 2.00 |
1.14 |
-2.4 (-10%) |
| Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) | 9 (12%) | 3 | 33 % | 1.52 | 2.00 |
1.22 |
-4.3 (-47%) |
| Goes to Decision | 1 (1%) | 1 | 100 % | 1.27 | 1.27 |
1.27 |
0.3 (27%) |
| Does not go to Decision | 27 (35%) | 16 | 59 % | 1.42 | 2.15 |
1.12 |
-5.3 (-20%) |
| Fight Starts Round X | 8 (10%) | 5 | 63 % | 1.35 | 1.56 |
1.14 |
-1.1 (-14%) |
| X Wins by Decision | 1 (1%) | 0 | 0 % | 1.61 | 1.61 |
1.61 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
| X Wins Inside Distance | 6 (8%) | 5 | 83 % | 1.47 | 1.61 |
1.33 |
1.4 (23%) |
| Others | 2 (3%) | 0 | 0 % | 2.18 | 4.00 |
1.50 |
-2.0 (-100%) |
| 78 | 46 | 59 % | 1.41 | -14.5 (-19%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.
Tail handicapper's bets
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date | Event | Bet | Won | ROI | Fee | 1 unit = | Start | End |
| 28th Jan | UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena | 12 | -0.5 | -4% | $10.00 | $1,000.00 | $995.33 | |
| 4th Feb | UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez | 57.7 | -6.6 | -11% | $9.95 | $995.33 | $929.99 | |
| 11th Feb | UFC 208 | 82 | 22.8 | 28% | $9.30 | $929.99 | $1,142.23 | |
| 19th Feb | UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne | 41 | 9.2 | 22% | $11.42 | $1,142.23 | $1,246.88 | |
| 4th Mar | UFC 209 | 27.5 | -14.0 | -51% | $12.47 | $1,246.88 | $1,072.63 | |
| 11th Mar | UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum | 24 | -9.8 | -41% | $10.73 | $1,072.63 | $967.80 | |
| 18th Mar | UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson | 13.5 | 10.6 | 79% | $9.68 | $967.80 | $1,070.81 | |
| 31st Mar | Bellator 175 | 4 | -0.7 | -18% | $10.71 | $1,070.81 | $1,063.21 | |
| 8th Apr | UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 | 9.1 | 9.2 | 101% | $10.63 | $1,063.21 | $1,161.29 | |
| 15th Apr | UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis | 15.5 | 9.9 | 64% | $11.61 | $1,161.29 | $1,276.39 | |
| 22nd Apr | UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov | 11 | 4.7 | 43% | $12.76 | $1,276.39 | $1,336.19 | |
| 13th May | UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos | 27.15 | 1.2 | 5% | $13.36 | $1,336.19 | $1,352.78 | |
| 19th May | Bellator 179 Daley vs. MacDonald | 5 | 3.3 | 65% | $0 | $13.53 | $1,352.78 | $1,396.81 |
| 28th May | UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira | 32 | -26.2 | -82% | $13.97 | $1,396.81 | $1,031.33 | |
| 3rd Jun | UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway | 12.15 | -4.2 | -34% | $10.31 | $1,031.33 | $988.14 | |
| 10th Jun | UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis | 11.25 | 2.9 | 26% | $9.88 | $988.14 | $1,016.75 | |
| 17th Jun | UFC Fight Night 111 | 21 | 19.6 | 93% | $10.17 | $1,016.75 | $1,216.37 | |
| 24th Jun | Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva | 1.5 | -1.5 | -100% | $12.16 | $1,216.37 | $1,198.13 | |
| 25th Jun | UFC Fight Night 112 | 18.5 | -5.7 | -31% | $11.98 | $1,198.13 | $1,129.55 | |
| 7th Jul | TUF Season 25 Finale | 17.5 | -6.7 | -38% | $11.30 | $1,129.55 | $1,053.94 | |
| 8th Jul | UFC 213 | 12.5 | 5.1 | 41% | $10.54 | $1,053.94 | $1,108.02 | |
| 14th Jul | Bellator 181 Campos vs. Girtz 3 | 2 | 2.0 | 100% | $11.08 | $1,108.02 | $1,130.18 | |
| 16th Jul | UFC Fight Night 113 | 9 | -2.7 | -30% | $11.30 | $1,130.18 | $1,099.25 | |
| 22nd Jul | UFC on Fox 25 | 15.7 | -4.0 | -25% | $10.99 | $1,099.25 | $1,055.66 | |
| 29th Jul | UFC 214 | 8.15 | -2.2 | -27% | $10.56 | $1,055.66 | $1,032.45 | |
| 5th Aug | UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno | 4.3 | -0.7 | -16% | $10.32 | $1,032.45 | $1,025.22 | |
| 15th Aug | DWTNCS 6 | 2 | -2.0 | -100% | $10.25 | $1,025.22 | $1,004.72 | |
| 2nd Sep | UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov | 6.5 | 3.2 | 49% | $10.05 | $1,004.72 | $1,036.71 | |
| 9th Sep | UFC 215 | 4.7 | -4.7 | -100% | $10.37 | $1,036.71 | $987.98 | |
| 16th Sep | UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch | 12 | 0.7 | 6% | $9.88 | $987.98 | $994.63 | |
| 22nd Sep | UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 | 8.75 | 1.3 | 15% | $9.95 | $994.63 | $1,007.36 | |
| 6th Oct | Bellator 184 Dantas vs. Caldwell | 3.5 | -0.8 | -24% | $10.07 | $1,007.36 | $998.80 | |
| 7th Oct | UFC 216 | 3.85 | -1.0 | -26% | $9.99 | $998.80 | $988.82 | |
| 21st Oct | UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk | 5 | 1.1 | 22% | $9.89 | $988.82 | $999.51 | |
| 28th Oct | UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo | 7.85 | 2.8 | 35% | $10.00 | $999.51 | $1,027.20 | |
| 4th Nov | UFC 217 | 10 | -10.0 | -100% | $10.27 | $1,027.20 | $924.48 | |
| 11th Nov | UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia | 2 | -2.0 | -100% | $9.24 | $924.48 | $905.99 | |
| 18th Nov | UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney | 2 | -2.0 | -100% | $9.06 | $905.99 | $887.87 | |
| 25th Nov | UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum | 2.75 | 1.6 | 60% | $8.88 | $887.87 | $902.47 | |
| 2nd Dec | UFC 218 | 8.2 | -1.9 | -23% | $9.02 | $902.47 | $885.21 | |
| 9th Dec | UFC Fight Night 123 | 3.2 | -3.2 | -100% | $8.85 | $885.21 | $856.89 | |
| 16th Dec | UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos | 5.8 | -1.5 | -26% | $8.57 | $856.89 | $844.19 | |
| 31st Dec | UFC 219 | 1.8 | -1.8 | -100% | $8.44 | $844.19 | $829.00 | |
| 14th Jan | UFC Fight Night 124 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 93% | $8.29 | $829.00 | $840.51 | |
| 20th Jan | UFC 220 | 5.15 | 1.3 | 26% | $8.41 | $840.51 | $851.86 | |
| 26th Jan | Bellator 193 | 2.5 | -2.5 | -100% | $8.52 | $851.86 | $830.56 | |
| 27th Jan | UFC on Fox 27 | 5.5 | 2.9 | 53% | $8.31 | $830.56 | $854.72 | |
| 4th Feb | UFC Fight Night 125 | 8 | 3.3 | 41% | $8.55 | $854.72 | $882.86 | |
| 10th Feb | UFC 221 | 6.75 | -1.8 | -26% | $8.83 | $882.86 | $867.41 | |
| 18th Feb | UFC Fight Night 126 | 7.1 | 3.3 | 47% | $8.67 | $867.41 | $896.31 | |
| 24th Feb | UFC on Fox 28 | 6.9 | -6.9 | -100% | $8.96 | $896.31 | $834.46 | |
| 3rd Mar | UFC 222 | 17.15 | 3.0 | 17% | $8.34 | $834.46 | $859.50 | |
| 17th Mar | UFC Fight Night 127 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 27% | $8.59 | $859.50 | $876.69 | |
| 7th Apr | UFC 223 | 5.4 | -5.4 | -100% | $8.77 | $876.69 | $829.35 | |
| 14th Apr | UFC on Fox 29 | 7.25 | -3.6 | -50% | $8.29 | $829.35 | $799.08 | |
| 21st Apr | UFC Fight Night 128 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 33% | $7.99 | $799.08 | $813.49 | |
| 12th May | UFC 224 | 5.4 | 0.5 | 9% | $8.13 | $813.49 | $817.40 | |
| 19th May | UFC Fight Night 129 | 13.2 | 3.4 | 26% | $8.17 | $817.40 | $845.35 | |
| 25th May | Bellator 200 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 80% | $8.45 | $845.35 | $862.26 | |
| 27th May | UFC Fight Night 130 | 3.25 | -3.3 | -100% | $8.62 | $862.26 | $834.24 | |
| 1st Jun | UFC Fight Night 131 | 3 | 2.4 | 81% | $8.34 | $834.24 | $854.50 | |
| 9th Jun | UFC 225 | 6.1 | -3.5 | -57% | $8.54 | $854.50 | $824.59 | |
| 16th Jun | Cage Warriors 94 | 1.35 | -1.4 | -100% | $8.25 | $824.59 | $813.46 | |
| 23rd Jun | UFC Fight Night 132 | 9 | 1.6 | 18% | $8.13 | $813.46 | $826.32 | |
| 26th Jun | DWTNCS 11 | 3.1 | -1.0 | -32% | $8.26 | $826.32 | $818.05 | |
| 29th Jun | Bellator 201 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 44% | $8.18 | $818.05 | $827.14 | |
| 7th Jul | TUF 27 Finale | 10.2 | -0.7 | -7% | $8.27 | $827.14 | $821.35 | |
| 7th Jul | UFC 226 | 5.95 | -6.0 | -100% | $8.21 | $821.35 | $772.48 | |
| 13th Jul | One FC 77 | 4.5 | -4.5 | -100% | $7.72 | $772.48 | $737.72 | |
| 14th Jul | UFC Fight Night 133 | 7.05 | 0.8 | 12% | $7.38 | $737.72 | $743.99 | |
| 22nd Jul | UFC Fight Night 134 | 6.75 | 0.7 | 10% | $7.44 | $743.99 | $749.05 | |
| 28th Jul | UFC on Fox 30 | 12.6 | 2.0 | 16% | $7.49 | $749.05 | $764.20 | |
| 4th Aug | UFC 227 | 7.7 | -3.2 | -42% | $7.64 | $764.20 | $739.74 | |
| 25th Aug | UFC Fight Night 135 | 11.2 | -3.5 | -31% | $7.40 | $739.74 | $713.85 | |
| 8th Sep | UFC 228 | 27.95 | -6.3 | -23% | $7.14 | $713.85 | $668.88 | |
| 15th Sep | UFC FIght Night Moscow | 8 | 0.3 | 4% | $6.69 | $668.88 | $670.96 | |
| 22nd Sep | UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo | 21 | 4.1 | 20% | $6.71 | $670.96 | $698.69 | |
| 5th Oct | PFL 8 | 1.85 | -1.9 | -100% | $6.99 | $698.69 | $685.76 | |
| 6th Oct | UFC 229 | 27 | -1.2 | -4% | $6.86 | $685.76 | $677.47 | |
| 27th Oct | UFC Fight Night 138 | 8.5 | -4.5 | -53% | $6.77 | $677.47 | $647.08 | |
| 3rd Nov | UFC 230 | 2 | 1.6 | 82% | $6.47 | $647.08 | $657.67 | |
| 10th Nov | UFC Fight Night Denver | 12 | 8.9 | 74% | $6.58 | $657.67 | $716.01 | |
| 17th Nov | UFC Fight Night 140 | 2.25 | -2.3 | -100% | $7.16 | $716.01 | $699.90 | |
| 24th Nov | UFC Fight Night 141 | 44.5 | -27.3 | -61% | $7.00 | $699.90 | $508.68 | |
| 1st Dec | UFC Fight Night 142 | 21.2 | 4.9 | 23% | $5.09 | $508.68 | $533.83 | |
| 8th Dec | UFC 231 | 21 | -21.0 | -100% | $5.34 | $533.83 | $421.72 | |
| 15th Dec | Fight Night Milwaukee | 3 | 1.1 | 35% | $4.22 | $421.72 | $426.16 | |
| 15th Dec | Bellator 213 | 11 | 5.9 | 54% | $4.26 | $426.16 | $451.50 | |
| 29th Dec | UFC 232 | 14.5 | -9.0 | -62% | $4.52 | $451.50 | $410.87 | |
| 19th Jan | UFC on ESPN+ 1 | 14 | -14.0 | -100% | $4.11 | $410.87 | $353.35 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -64.67% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.
Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | |||
| 1. | Dec '18 | Michael Chiesa | Carlos Condit | 1.57 | 3.5 | Sub, R2 (0:56) | 
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| 2. | Dec '18 | Ilima-Lei Macfarlane | Valerie Letourneau | 1.54 | 11 | Sub, R3 (3:19) |
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| 3. | Dec '18 | Alexey Kunchenko | Yushin Okami | 1.30 | 5 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 4. | Nov '18 | Yan Xiaonan | Syuri Kondo | 1.22 | 11 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 5. | Oct '18 | Stevie Ray | Jessin Ayari | 1.61 | 2.5 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 6. | Sep '18 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Luigi Vendramini | 1.21 | 10 | TKO, R2 (1:20) |
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| 7. | Sep '18 | Livia Renata Souza | Alex Chambers | 1.18 | 11 | Sub, R1 (1:21) |
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| 8. | Aug '18 | Joanne Calderwood | Kalindra Faria | 1.59 | 1.7 | Sub, R1 (4:59) |
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| 9. | Aug '18 | J.J. Aldrich | Polyana Viana | 2.30 | 1 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 10. | Aug '18 | Sheymon da Silva Moraes | Matt Sayles | 1.83 | 1.2 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 11. | Jul '18 | Katlyn Chookagian | Alexis Davis | 1.69 | 1.45 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 12. | Jul '18 | Bartosz Fabinski | Emil Meek | 2.35 | 1.5 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 13. | Jul '18 | Aleksandar Rakic | Justin Ledet | 1.95 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 14. | Jul '18 | Jessica Aguilar | Jodie Esquibel | 2.15 | 1 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 15. | Jul '18 | Cat Zingano | Marion Reneau | 1.83 | 1.5 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 16. | Jul '18 | Alejandro Perez | Eddie Wineland | 1.50 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 17. | Jul '18 | Dustin Poirier | Eddie Alvarez | 1.61 | 2.5 | TKO, R2 (4:5) |
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| 18. | Jul '18 | Brad Katona | Jay Cucciniello | 1.40 | 2.5 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 19. | Jul '18 | Luis Pena | Richie Smullen | 1.33 | 4.5 | Sub, R1 (3:32) |
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| 20. | Jun '18 | Jordan Williams | Tim Caron | 1.91 | 1.1 | TKO, R3 (3:37) |
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Last 20 Losses
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | Hedge? | |||
| 1. | Dec '18 | Cat Zingano | Megan Anderson | 1.67 | 3 | TKO, R1 (1:1) | No |
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| 2. | Dec '18 | Chad Laprise | Dhiego Lima | 1.33 | 10 | TKO, R1 (1:37) | No |
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| 3. | Dec '18 | Chad Laprise | Dhiego Lima | 1.33 | 11 | TKO, R1 (1:37) | No |
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| 4. | Dec '18 | Jake Matthews | Tony Martin | 1.83 | 1.2 | Sub, R3 (1:19) | No |
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| 5. | Nov '18 | Lauren Mueller | Yanan Wu | 1.22 | 11 | Sub, R1 (4:0) | No |
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| 6. | Nov '18 | Poliana Botelho | Cynthia Calvillo | 1.67 | 2.25 | Sub, R1 (4:48) | No |
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| 7. | Oct '18 | Kelvin Tiller | Jared Rosholt | 1.54 | 1.85 | U Decision (2 rounds) | No |
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| 8. | Sep '18 | Nikita Krylov | Jan Blachowicz | 1.74 | 2 | Sub, R2 (2:41) | No |
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| 9. | Sep '18 | Darren Till | Tyron Woodley | 1.67 | 1.5 | Sub, R2 (4:19) | No |
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| 10. | Aug '18 | John Moraga | Deiveson Figueiredo | 2.35 | 1 | TKO, R2 (3:8) | No |
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| 11. | Jul '18 | Gadzhimurad Antigulov | Ion Cutelaba | 1.69 | 2.9 | TKO, R1 (4:25) | No |
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| 12. | Jul '18 | Damian Stasiak | Pingyuan Liu | 1.80 | 1.25 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 13. | Jul '18 | Agilan Thani | Zebaztian Kadestam | 1.44 | 4.5 | TKO, R3 (1:56) | No |
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| 14. | Jul '18 | Gokhan Saki | Khalil Rountree | 1.69 | 1.45 | TKO, R1 (1:36) | No |
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| 15. | Jul '18 | Lando Vannata | Drakkar Klose | 1.57 | 2.5 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 16. | Jul '18 | Joe Giannetti | Mike Trizano | 1.59 | 1.7 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 17. | Jun '18 | Brian Bouland | Ilia Topuria | 1.74 | 1.35 | Sub, R1 (3:23) | No |
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| 18. | Jun '18 | Rafael dos Anjos | Colby Covington | 2.00 | 1 | U Decision (5 rounds) | No |
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| 19. | May '18 | Stephen Thompson | Darren Till | 1.80 | 1.25 | U Decision (5 rounds) | No |
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| 20. | May '18 | Diego Rivas | Guido Cannetti | 1.63 | 2.5 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.
Progress Chart
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