|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Undisputed Fight Picks |
|
Undisputed Fight Picks: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 31 (56%) Losing Events: 24 (44%)
Average Staked Per Event: 20.39 units Most Staked On One Event: 103.00 units Best Event: 39.71 units Worst Event: -20.05 units Average Event: 2.30 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 150.47 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -39.58 |
Undisputed Fight Picks: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2018 |
144.88 |
34.2 |
24% |
11.3 / 91.6 (12%) |
7.6 / 29.78 (26%) |
15.2 / 23.5 (65%) |
13 / 3 (81%) |
2.14 |
2017 |
976.65 |
92.4 |
9% |
-19.6 / 472.64 (-4%) |
37.1 / 320.3 (12%) |
74.9 / 183.71 (41%) |
18 / 21 (46%) |
2.37 |
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Undisputed Fight Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Undisputed Fight Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
932.63 |
88.9 |
10% |
-14.5 / 468.02 (-3%) |
30.6 / 305.4 (10%) |
72.8 / 159.21 (46%) |
Bellator |
111.75 |
46.3 |
41% |
13.4 / 42.42 (31%) |
13.9 / 36.33 (38%) |
19.1 / 33 (58%) |
Other |
77.15 |
-8.6 |
-11% |
-7.1 / 53.8 (-13%) |
0.2 / 8.35 (3%) |
-1.7 / 15 (-11%) |
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Undisputed Fight Picks: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
42 (23%) |
33 |
79 % |
238.20 |
23.34 |
0.56 |
10% |
Slight Favorites |
89 (48%) |
49 |
55 % |
261.79 |
-20.21 |
-0.23 |
-8% |
Slight Underdogs |
50 (27%) |
21 |
42 % |
64.00 |
-9.92 |
-0.20 |
-16% |
Big Underdogs |
5 (3%) |
2 |
40 % |
3.25 |
1.26 |
0.25 |
39% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
33 (18%) |
19 |
58 % |
112.72 |
-2.45 |
-0.07 |
-2% |
Co-Main Event |
22 (12%) |
12 |
55 % |
72.10 |
-3.86 |
-0.18 |
-5% |
Position 3-5 |
55 (30%) |
34 |
62 % |
157.65 |
22.53 |
0.41 |
14% |
6+ (Undercard) |
75 (40%) |
39 |
52 % |
221.77 |
-24.48 |
-0.33 |
-11% |
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Undisputed Fight Picks: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
8 (4%) |
5 |
63 % |
25.40 |
8.97 |
1.12 |
35% |
Light Heavy |
22 (12%) |
12 |
55 % |
74.85 |
-21.53 |
-0.98 |
-29% |
Middleweight |
25 (13%) |
16 |
64 % |
89.74 |
12.15 |
0.49 |
14% |
Welterweight |
26 (14%) |
14 |
54 % |
86.90 |
-19.10 |
-0.73 |
-22% |
Lightweight |
28 (15%) |
14 |
50 % |
87.60 |
-0.98 |
-0.04 |
-1% |
Featherweight |
24 (13%) |
18 |
75 % |
81.05 |
27.07 |
1.13 |
33% |
Bantamweight |
24 (13%) |
11 |
46 % |
57.40 |
-11.67 |
-0.49 |
-20% |
Flyweight |
11 (6%) |
5 |
45 % |
15.75 |
-6.92 |
-0.63 |
-44% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
17 (9%) |
9 |
53 % |
45.55 |
3.77 |
0.22 |
8% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
1.00 |
-1.00 |
-1.00 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
4 (2%) |
2 |
50 % |
11.60 |
-3.05 |
-0.76 |
-26% |
Flyweight |
3 (2%) |
1 |
33 % |
5.30 |
-3.73 |
-1.24 |
-70% |
Strawweight |
9 (5%) |
6 |
67 % |
27.65 |
11.55 |
1.28 |
42% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
93 (74%) |
75 |
81 % |
Slight Favorites |
29 (23%) |
19 |
66 % |
Slight Underdogs |
4 (3%) |
1 |
25 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
126 |
95 |
75 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
91 (45%) |
69 |
76 % |
50-65% |
92 (45%) |
54 |
59 % |
35-50% |
14 (7%) |
8 |
57 % |
<35% chance |
6 (3%) |
2 |
33 % |
|
203 |
133 |
66 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Undisputed Fight Picks's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
28th Jan |
UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena |
19.5 |
-6.1 |
-31% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$939.05 |
19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne |
43 |
39.7 |
92% |
|
$9.39 |
$939.05 |
$1,311.92 |
4th Mar |
UFC 209 |
52 |
36.2 |
70% |
$25 |
$13.12 |
$1,311.92 |
$1,762.42 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum |
103 |
27.9 |
27% |
$25 |
$17.62 |
$1,762.42 |
$2,228.62 |
18th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson |
73 |
6.8 |
9% |
$25 |
$22.29 |
$2,228.62 |
$2,355.63 |
31st Mar |
Bellator 175 |
66 |
36.6 |
55% |
$25 |
$23.56 |
$2,355.63 |
$3,192.21 |
8th Apr |
UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 |
14 |
3.3 |
23% |
$25 |
$31.92 |
$3,192.21 |
$3,271.09 |
15th Apr |
UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis |
25 |
-8.1 |
-33% |
$25 |
$32.71 |
$3,271.09 |
$2,980.20 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov |
17.5 |
3.9 |
22% |
$25 |
$29.80 |
$2,980.20 |
$3,069.94 |
13th May |
UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos |
34.75 |
0.8 |
2% |
$25 |
$30.70 |
$3,069.94 |
$3,067.97 |
19th May |
Bellator 179 Daley vs. MacDonald |
9.05 |
-5.8 |
-64% |
$25 |
$30.68 |
$3,067.97 |
$2,865.02 |
28th May |
UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira |
18.82 |
-0.8 |
-4% |
$25 |
$28.65 |
$2,865.02 |
$2,818.33 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 111 |
15.6 |
12.2 |
78% |
$25 |
$28.18 |
$2,818.33 |
$3,135.78 |
24th Jun |
Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva |
16.37 |
1.6 |
10% |
$25 |
$31.36 |
$3,135.78 |
$3,161.17 |
25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 112 |
17.65 |
-0.9 |
-5% |
$25 |
$31.61 |
$3,161.17 |
$3,107.05 |
7th Jul |
TUF Season 25 Finale |
30.6 |
-20.1 |
-66% |
$25 |
$31.07 |
$3,107.05 |
$2,459.09 |
8th Jul |
UFC 213 |
25.79 |
13.9 |
54% |
$25 |
$24.59 |
$2,459.09 |
$2,775.27 |
14th Jul |
Bellator 181 Campos vs. Girtz 3 |
14.3 |
11.0 |
77% |
$25 |
$27.75 |
$2,775.27 |
$3,054.93 |
15th Jul |
Invicta FC 24 |
7.8 |
-7.8 |
-100% |
$25 |
$30.55 |
$3,054.93 |
$2,791.64 |
16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 113 |
29.94 |
-16.2 |
-54% |
$25 |
$27.92 |
$2,791.64 |
$2,315.07 |
22nd Jul |
UFC on Fox 25 |
28.62 |
-13.7 |
-48% |
$25 |
$23.15 |
$2,315.07 |
$1,973.44 |
29th Jul |
UFC 214 |
22.37 |
-1.9 |
-9% |
$25 |
$19.73 |
$1,973.44 |
$1,910.38 |
1st Aug |
DWTNCS 4 |
10.85 |
3.9 |
36% |
$25 |
$19.10 |
$1,910.38 |
$1,960.22 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno |
12.71 |
6.8 |
53% |
$25 |
$19.60 |
$1,960.22 |
$2,067.61 |
8th Aug |
DWTNCS 5 |
10.5 |
-0.9 |
-9% |
$25 |
$20.68 |
$2,067.61 |
$2,023.28 |
15th Aug |
DWTNCS 6 |
8 |
-3.5 |
-44% |
$25 |
$20.23 |
$2,023.28 |
$1,926.46 |
22nd Aug |
DWTNCS 7 |
8 |
-4.2 |
-53% |
$25 |
$19.26 |
$1,926.46 |
$1,819.86 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov |
26.65 |
4.7 |
18% |
$25 |
$18.20 |
$1,819.86 |
$1,879.99 |
9th Sep |
UFC 215 |
15.61 |
-4.5 |
-29% |
$25 |
$18.80 |
$1,879.99 |
$1,771.14 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch |
18.72 |
-4.0 |
-21% |
$25 |
$17.71 |
$1,771.14 |
$1,676.06 |
7th Oct |
UFC 216 |
14.8 |
-5.4 |
-36% |
$25 |
$16.76 |
$1,676.06 |
$1,561.24 |
21st Oct |
UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk |
5.5 |
3.4 |
61% |
$25 |
$15.61 |
$1,561.24 |
$1,588.55 |
28th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo |
18.64 |
-5.4 |
-29% |
$25 |
$15.89 |
$1,588.55 |
$1,478.05 |
4th Nov |
UFC 217 |
23.05 |
-13.4 |
-58% |
$25 |
$14.78 |
$1,478.05 |
$1,254.71 |
11th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia |
28.61 |
6.8 |
24% |
$25 |
$12.55 |
$1,254.71 |
$1,315.17 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney |
25 |
5.1 |
21% |
$25 |
$13.15 |
$1,315.17 |
$1,357.71 |
25th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum |
35 |
-4.2 |
-12% |
$25 |
$13.58 |
$1,357.71 |
$1,275.83 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night 123 |
19.85 |
-4.3 |
-22% |
$25 |
$12.76 |
$1,275.83 |
$1,195.55 |
31st Dec |
UFC 219 |
10.5 |
-0.8 |
-7% |
$25 |
$11.96 |
$1,195.55 |
$1,161.40 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night 124 |
8 |
-4.7 |
-59% |
$25 |
$11.61 |
$1,161.40 |
$1,081.52 |
20th Jan |
UFC 220 |
10.85 |
-3.7 |
-34% |
$25 |
$10.82 |
$1,081.52 |
$1,016.47 |
20th Jan |
Bellator 192 |
5.03 |
1.3 |
26% |
$25 |
$10.16 |
$1,016.47 |
$1,004.73 |
29th Jun |
Bellator 201 |
1 |
1.7 |
165% |
$25 |
$10.05 |
$1,004.73 |
$996.35 |
7th Jul |
TUF 27 Finale |
18 |
15.0 |
83% |
$25 |
$9.96 |
$996.35 |
$1,120.74 |
10th Jul |
DWTNCS 12 |
7 |
2.1 |
30% |
$25 |
$11.21 |
$1,120.74 |
$1,119.12 |
14th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 133 |
7 |
0.1 |
1% |
$25 |
$11.19 |
$1,119.12 |
$1,094.98 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night 134 |
15.5 |
7.9 |
51% |
$25 |
$10.95 |
$1,094.98 |
$1,157.01 |
24th Jul |
DWTNCS 14 |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
$25 |
$11.57 |
$1,157.01 |
$1,039.45 |
27th Jul |
LFA 46 |
3 |
2.0 |
67% |
$25 |
$10.39 |
$1,039.45 |
$1,035.24 |
28th Jul |
UFC on Fox 30 |
22 |
4.6 |
21% |
$25 |
$10.35 |
$1,035.24 |
$1,057.95 |
31st Jul |
DWTNCS 15 |
7 |
3.6 |
51% |
$25 |
$10.58 |
$1,057.95 |
$1,070.63 |
4th Aug |
UFC 227 |
7.75 |
2.8 |
36% |
$25 |
$10.71 |
$1,070.63 |
$1,075.64 |
10th Aug |
LFA 47 |
7 |
4.4 |
62% |
$25 |
$10.76 |
$1,075.64 |
$1,097.63 |
25th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 135 |
8.5 |
3.6 |
42% |
$25 |
$10.98 |
$1,097.63 |
$1,111.61 |
8th Sep |
UFC 228 |
9.25 |
1.7 |
18% |
$25 |
$11.12 |
$1,111.61 |
$1,105.12 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 10.51% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Undisputed Fight Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Sep '18 |
Niko Price |
Abdul Razak Alhassan |
2.25 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:43) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Sep '18 |
Darren Till |
Tyron Woodley |
1.77 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (4:19) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Aug '18 |
John Moraga |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
2.40 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:8) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Aug '18 |
Polyana Viana |
J.J. Aldrich |
1.69 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Jul '18 |
Gadzhimurad Antigulov |
Ion Cutelaba |
1.80 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:25) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Jul '18 |
Matheus Nicolau |
Dustin Ortiz |
1.54 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (3:49) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Jul '18 |
Nick Newell |
Alex Munoz |
2.07 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Jul '18 |
Nick Hein |
Damir Hadzovic |
1.63 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Jul '18 |
Marc Diakiese |
Nasrat Haqparast |
1.61 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Jul '18 |
Elias Garcia |
Mark Delarosa |
1.71 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (2:0) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Jul '18 |
Eddie Wineland |
Alejandro Perez |
2.65 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Jul '18 |
Jennifer Maia |
Liz Carmouche |
2.20 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Jul '18 |
Toby Misech |
Ricardo Palacios |
2.45 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Jul '18 |
Matt Bessette |
Steven Peterson |
1.91 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Jan '18 |
Thomas Almeida |
Rob Font |
1.83 |
1.2 |
TKO, R2 (2:26) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Jan '18 |
Francis Ngannou |
Stipe Miocic |
1.61 |
1.65 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Jan '18 |
Mike Santiago |
Mads Burnell |
1.59 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Jan '18 |
Matt Frevola |
Marco Polo Reyes |
1.45 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (1:0) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Jan '18 |
Michael Johnson |
Darren Elkins |
1.54 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (2:22) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Dec '17 |
Mark Delarosa |
Tim Elliott |
2.85 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (1:41) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Undisputed Fight Picks: Progress Chart |
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