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MMA Handicapper Stats: Steve Gonzo

Steve Gonzo (gonzo719)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Steve Gonzo

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 22 (38%) Right 10 (40%) Right 3 (21%) Right 9 (47%)
Wrong 36 (62%) Wrong 15 (60%) Wrong 11 (79%) Wrong 10 (53%)
Avg Odds 2.09 Avg Odds 2.01 Avg Odds 1.98 Avg Odds 2.29
Units Bet 120.3 Units Bet 54.9 Units Bet 26.9 Units Bet 38.6
Avg Bet 2.07 Avg Bet 2.19 Avg Bet 1.92 Avg Bet 2.03
Units Profit -16.32 Units Profit -6.98 Units Profit -14.11 Units Profit 4.78
ROI % -14% ROI % -13% ROI % -52% ROI % 12%
View Handicapper's Profile

Steve Gonzo: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 3 4.5 150% 4.5 / 3 (150%)
3rd Mar '18 UFC 222 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
18th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 126 4 3.0 74% 3.0 / 4 (74%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 5 1.7 34% 1.7 / 5 (34%)
14th Jan '18 UFC Fight Night 124 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
3rd Jun '17 UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 3.43 -3.4 -100% -3.4 / 3.43 (-100%)
28th May '17 UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 1 2.6 259% 2.6 / 1 (259%)
13th May '17 UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 10.42 -10.4 -100% -6.4 / 6.42 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
22nd Apr '17 UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 8.58 0.6 7% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 4.6 / 4.58 (100%)
15th Apr '17 UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Apr '17 UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 8 4.9 61% 4.1 / 5 (83%) 0.7 / 3 (24%)
18th Mar '17 UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson 4 2.3 57% 2.3 / 4 (57%)
11th Mar '17 UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum 18.38 -3.5 -19% 2.5 / 3.5 (71%) -6.4 / 6.38 (-100%) 0.4 / 8.5 (4%)
4th Mar '17 UFC 209 9 2.7 30% 2.7 / 9 (30%)
19th Feb '17 UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne 7 2.9 41% 2.9 / 7 (41%)
11th Feb '17 UFC 208 4.5 0.4 8% 0.9 / 4 (22%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
4th Feb '17 UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez 6 0.5 8% 2.5 / 4 (63%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
28th Jan '17 UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena 12 -8.9 -74% -1.4 / 4.5 (-31%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
21st Jan '17 Bellator 170 Sonnen vs. Ortiz 6 -6.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)


Winning Events: 11 (58%)
Losing Events: 8 (42%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.33 units
Most Staked On One Event: 18.38 units
Best Event: 4.86 units
Worst Event: -10.42 units
Average Event: -0.86 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 7.13
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -14.91

Steve Gonzo: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 19 2.2 11% 2.2 / 19 (11%) 3 / 2 (60%) 0.43
2017 101.31 -18.5 -18% -9.2 / 35.85 (-26%) -14.1 / 26.88 (-52%) 4.8 / 38.58 (12%) 8 / 6 (57%) -1.32

Steve Gonzo: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Steve Gonzo: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 114.31 -10.3 -9% -4.0 / 51.85 (-8%) -11.1 / 23.88 (-47%) 4.8 / 38.58 (12%)
Bellator 6 -6.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Steve Gonzo: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (4%) 1 100 % 5.00 1.71 1.71 34%
Slight Favorites 11 (44%) 4 36 % 30.35 -9.43 -0.86 -31%
Slight Underdogs 9 (36%) 3 33 % 15.50 -2.73 -0.30 -18%
Big Underdogs 4 (16%) 2 50 % 4.00 3.47 0.87 87%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 6 (24%) 2 33 % 15.43 -6.29 -1.05 -41%
Co-Main Event 6 (24%) 3 50 % 15.50 1.80 0.30 12%
Position 3-5 5 (20%) 3 60 % 10.21 4.55 0.91 45%
6+ (Undercard) 8 (32%) 2 25 % 13.71 -7.04 -0.88 -51%

Steve Gonzo: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Light Heavy 4 (16%) 3 75 % 12.00 1.76 0.44 15%
Middleweight 2 (8%) 0 % 2.71 -2.71 -1.36 -100%
Welterweight 3 (12%) 2 67 % 6.50 3.55 1.18 55%
Lightweight 5 (20%) 4 80 % 10.50 6.05 1.21 58%
Featherweight 4 (16%) 0 % 11.14 -11.14 -2.79 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (4%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Flyweight 2 (8%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -1.50 -100%
               
Women's Fights 4 (16%) 1 25 % 8.00 -0.50 -0.13 -6%
Featherweight 1 (4%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (4%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -100%
Strawweight 2 (8%) 1 50 % 4.00 3.50 1.75 88%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 19 (66%) 15 79 %
Slight Favorites 7 (24%) 4 57 %
Slight Underdogs 3 (10%) 2 67 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
29 21 72 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 8 (30%) 7 88 %
50-65% 13 (48%) 5 38 %
35-50% 3 (11%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 3 (11%) 0 0 %
27 12 44 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 12 (44%) 6 50 % 1.53 1.74Pick was incorrect 1.27Pick was correct -3.2 (-27%)
Goes to Decision 3 (11%) 1 33 % 1.50 1.54Pick was incorrect 1.43Pick was correct -1.6 (-52%)
Does not go to Decision 2 (7%) 2 100 % 1.46 1.53Pick was correct 1.41Pick was correct 0.9 (47%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (4%) 0 0 % 1.84 1.84Pick was incorrect 1.84Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 7 (26%) 2 29 % 2.29 3.50Pick was incorrect 1.63Pick was correct -3.5 (-51%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (4%) 1 100 % 1.36 1.36Pick was correct 1.36Pick was correct 0.4 (36%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (4%) 0 0 % 6.95 6.95Pick was incorrect 6.95Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
27 12 44 % 1.72     -9.0 (-33%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Steve Gonzo's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
21st Jan Bellator 170 Sonnen vs. Ortiz 6 -6.0 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $940.00
28th Jan UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena 12 -8.9 -74% $9.40 $940.00 $856.25
4th Feb UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez 6 0.5 8% $8.56 $856.25 $860.53
11th Feb UFC 208 4.5 0.4 8% $8.61 $860.53 $863.75
19th Feb UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne 7 2.9 41% $8.64 $863.75 $888.63
4th Mar UFC 209 9 2.7 30% $8.89 $888.63 $912.80
11th Mar UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum 18.38 -3.5 -19% $9.13 $912.80 $880.76
18th Mar UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson 4 2.3 57% $8.81 $880.76 $900.76
8th Apr UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 8 4.9 61% $9.01 $900.76 $944.52
15th Apr UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 3 -3.0 -100% $9.45 $944.52 $916.19
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 8.58 0.6 7% $9.16 $916.19 $921.60
13th May UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 10.42 -10.4 -100% $9.22 $921.60 $825.57
28th May UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 1 2.6 259% $8.26 $825.57 $846.95
3rd Jun UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 3.43 -3.4 -100% $8.47 $846.95 $817.90
14th Jan UFC Fight Night 124 3 -3.0 -100% $8.18 $817.90 $793.37
20th Jan UFC 220 5 1.7 34% $7.93 $793.37 $806.90
18th Feb UFC Fight Night 126 4 3.0 74% $8.07 $806.90 $830.81
3rd Mar UFC 222 4 -4.0 -100% $8.31 $830.81 $797.58
7th Apr UFC 223 3 4.5 150% $7.98 $797.58 $833.47


ROI % from starting bank balance: -16.65% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Steve Gonzo: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '18 Rose Namajunas Joanna Jedrzejczyk 2.50 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '18 Donald Cerrone Yancy Medeiros 1.74 4 TKO, R1 (4:58) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '18 Daniel Cormier Volkan Oezdemir 1.34 5 TKO, R2 (2:0) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '17 Damir Hadzovic Marcin Held 3.59 1 TKO, R3 (0:7) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '17 Daniel Cormier Anthony Johnson 2.18 1 Sub, R2 (3:37) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '17 Gregor Gillespie Andrew Holbrook 1.54 2 TKO, R1 (0:21) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '17 Charles Oliveira Will Brooks 3.88 1 Sub, R1 (2:30) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '17 Edson Barboza Beneil Dariush 1.71 3.5 TKO, R2 (3:35) MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '17 Glover Teixeira Jared Cannonier 1.63 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '17 Jorge Masvidal Donald Cerrone 2.06 1.5 TKO, R2 (1:0) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '18 Frankie Edgar Brian Ortega 1.61 4 TKO, R1 (4:44) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '18 Alex White James Krause 2.53 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '17 Jose Aldo Max Holloway 1.93 3.43 TKO, R3 (4:13) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '17 Gabriel Benitez Enrique Barzola 1.63 2.57 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '17 Krzysztof Jotko David Branch 1.65 1.71 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. May '17 Chas Skelly Jason Knight 1.88 1.14 TKO, R3 (0:39) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '17 Dustin Ortiz Brandon Moreno 1.85 2 Sub, R2 (4:6) No MMA Bookmaker
8. May '17 Jorge Masvidal Demian Maia 2.15 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '17 Louis Smolka Tim Elliott 3.39 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '17 Augusto Mendes Aljamain Sterling 3.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '17 Michelle Waterson Rose Namajunas 2.33 1 Sub, R2 (2:47) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '17 Chris Weidman Gegard Mousasi 2.13 1 TKO, R2 (3:13) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '17 Holly Holm Germaine de Randamie 2.15 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jan '17 Julianna Pena Valentina Shevchenko 2.06 3 Sub, R2 (4:29) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jan '17 Chael Sonnen Tito Ortiz 1.67 3 Sub, R1 (2:3) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Steve Gonzo: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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