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MMA Handicapper Stats: Charles

Charles (CFerrendelli)


MMA MHandicapper - Charles

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 67 (61%) Right 26 (63%) Right 21 (72%) Right 20 (50%)
Wrong 43 (39%) Wrong 15 (37%) Wrong 8 (28%) Wrong 20 (50%)
Avg Odds 1.83 Avg Odds 1.53 Avg Odds 1.53 Avg Odds 2.80
Units Bet 310.8 Units Bet 181.9 Units Bet 90.0 Units Bet 39.0
Avg Bet 2.83 Avg Bet 4.44 Avg Bet 3.10 Avg Bet 0.97
Units Profit 3.07 Units Profit -8.47 Units Profit 5.80 Units Profit 5.74
ROI % 1% ROI % -5% ROI % 6% ROI % 15%
View Handicapper's Profile

Charles : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
29th Jul '17 UFC 214 4.6 1.9 42% 1.9 / 4.6 (42%)
22nd Jul '17 UFC on Fox 25 6.25 -6.3 -100% -6.3 / 6.25 (-100%)
17th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 111 1.7 0.4 26% 0.4 / 1.7 (26%)
10th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 3.4 1.4 40% 1.4 / 3.4 (40%)
3rd Jun '17 UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 38.9 -15.7 -40% -14.5 / 25.5 (-57%) 1.4 / 10.75 (13%) -2.7 / 2.65 (-100%)
28th May '17 UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 18.25 0.5 3% 1.8 / 10.5 (17%) -1.3 / 7.75 (-17%)
13th May '17 UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 29.05 -7.5 -26% -4.5 / 21.05 (-21%) 0.0 / 5 (0%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
22nd Apr '17 UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 49.41 -5.9 -12% 1.6 / 15.45 (10%) -8.3 / 31.64 (-26%) 0.7 / 2.32 (32%)
15th Apr '17 UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 2.5 1.2 50% 1.2 / 2.5 (50%)
8th Apr '17 UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 24.05 12.5 52% 4.1 / 11.45 (36%) 2.7 / 7.85 (34%) 5.7 / 4.75 (120%)
18th Mar '17 UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson 16.35 7.1 43% 2.5 / 7.1 (35%) 2.1 / 7 (30%) 2.5 / 2.25 (111%)
11th Mar '17 UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum 12.25 5.8 48% 4.3 / 5 (85%) 3.2 / 3.25 (97%) -1.6 / 4 (-39%)
4th Mar '17 UFC 209 16.5 -9.2 -56% -10.5 / 12.25 (-85%) 1.5 / 4 (37%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
19th Feb '17 UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne 33.25 13.2 40% 4.0 / 17 (24%) 5.8 / 12 (48%) 3.4 / 4.25 (81%)
11th Feb '17 UFC 208 35.25 6.2 18% 8.7 / 22 (39%) -3.9 / 9 (-43%) 1.3 / 4.25 (32%)
4th Feb '17 UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez 20.1 -6.5 -32% -8.6 / 12.1 (-71%) 1.3 / 4.5 (30%) 0.8 / 3.5 (22%)


Winning Events: 10 (63%)
Losing Events: 6 (38%)

Average Staked Per Event: 19.49 units
Most Staked On One Event: 49.41 units
Best Event: 13.23 units
Worst Event: -15.70 units
Average Event: -0.05 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 26.64
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -15.70

Charles : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2017 311.81 -0.8 -0% -12.3 / 177.85 (-7%) 5.8 / 94.99 (6%) 5.7 / 38.97 (15%) 10 / 6 (63%) -0.05

Charles : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Charles : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 311.81 -0.8 -0% -12.3 / 177.85 (-7%) 5.8 / 94.99 (6%) 5.7 / 38.97 (15%)

Charles : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 23 (51%) 18 78 % 100.25 -0.72 -0.03 -1%
Slight Favorites 14 (31%) 8 57 % 66.55 2.49 0.18 4%
Slight Underdogs 8 (18%) 2 25 % 15.05 -10.24 -1.28 -68%
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 10 (22%) 4 40 % 44.63 -18.19 -1.82 -41%
Co-Main Event 6 (13%) 4 67 % 30.10 0.32 0.05 1%
Position 3-5 15 (33%) 12 80 % 58.02 10.07 0.67 17%
6+ (Undercard) 13 (29%) 7 54 % 45.10 -4.51 -0.35 -10%

Charles : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (7%) 0 % 7.60 -7.60 -2.53 -100%
Light Heavy 2 (4%) 2 100 % 12.60 6.24 3.12 50%
Middleweight 5 (11%) 3 60 % 17.65 -2.06 -0.41 -12%
Welterweight 5 (11%) 2 40 % 19.65 -7.34 -1.47 -37%
Lightweight 8 (18%) 6 75 % 37.15 7.63 0.95 21%
Featherweight 7 (16%) 4 57 % 26.83 -6.97 -1.00 -26%
Bantamweight 5 (11%) 4 80 % 19.02 -4.31 -0.86 -23%
               
Women's Fights 9 (20%) 6 67 % 37.35 2.10 0.23 6%
Bantamweight 3 (7%) 2 67 % 13.70 1.76 0.59 13%
Strawweight 6 (13%) 4 67 % 23.65 0.34 0.06 1%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 90 (66%) 76 84 %
Slight Favorites 38 (28%) 22 58 %
Slight Underdogs 8 (6%) 1 13 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
136 99 73 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 30 (68%) 24 80 %
50-65% 5 (11%) 2 40 %
35-50% 6 (14%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 3 (7%) 1 33 %
44 27 61 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 12 (27%) 11 92 % 1.39 1.74Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was correct 3.0 (25%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 15 (34%) 6 40 % 1.76 2.80Pick was incorrect 1.38Pick was correct -3.0 (-20%)
Does not go to Decision 12 (27%) 9 75 % 1.35 1.50Pick was incorrect 1.22Pick was correct 0.9 (8%)
X Wins by KO 1 (2%) 0 0 % 1.71 1.71Pick was incorrect 1.71Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (5%) 1 50 % 6.90 9.25Pick was correct 5.50Pick was incorrect 7.2 (362%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (2%) 0 0 % 1.53 1.53Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (2%) 0 0 % 6.95 6.95Pick was incorrect 6.95Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
44 27 61 % 1.59     5.2 (12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Charles 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
4th Feb UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez 20.1 -6.5 -32% $10.00 $1,000.00 $935.03
11th Feb UFC 208 35.25 6.2 18% $9.35 $935.03 $992.76
19th Feb UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne 33.25 13.2 40% $9.93 $992.76 $1,124.15
4th Mar UFC 209 16.5 -9.2 -56% $10 $11.24 $1,124.15 $1,010.52
11th Mar UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum 12.25 5.8 48% $10 $10.11 $1,010.52 $1,059.54
18th Mar UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson 16.35 7.1 43% $10 $10.60 $1,059.54 $1,124.33
8th Apr UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 24.05 12.5 52% $11.24 $1,124.33 $1,264.74
15th Apr UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 2.5 1.2 50% $12.65 $1,264.74 $1,280.55
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 49.41 -5.9 -12% $12.81 $1,280.55 $1,205.19
13th May UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 29.05 -7.5 -26% $10 $12.05 $1,205.19 $1,104.79
28th May UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 18.25 0.5 3% $11.05 $1,104.79 $1,110.45
3rd Jun UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 38.9 -15.7 -40% $11.10 $1,110.45 $936.09
10th Jun UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 3.4 1.4 40% $9.36 $936.09 $948.82
17th Jun UFC Fight Night 111 1.7 0.4 26% $9.49 $948.82 $953.01
22nd Jul UFC on Fox 25 6.25 -6.3 -100% $9.53 $953.01 $893.44
29th Jul UFC 214 4.6 1.9 42% $8.93 $893.44 $910.57


ROI % from starting bank balance: -8.94% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Charles : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jun '17 Claudia Gadelha Karolina Kowalkiewicz 1.30 8.5 Sub, R1 (3:3) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '17 Jon Jones Daniel Cormier 1.42 4.6 TKO, R3 (3:1) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '17 Holly Holm Bethe Correia 1.26 1.7 TKO, R3 (1:9) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '17 Derek Brunson Daniel Kelly 1.40 3.4 TKO, R1 (1:16) MMA Bookmaker
5. May '17 Alexander Gustafsson Glover Teixeira 1.54 8 TKO, R5 (1:7) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '17 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Jessica Andrade 1.54 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. May '17 Frankie Edgar Yair Rodriguez 1.77 5 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '17 Cub Swanson Artem Lobov 1.19 4.58 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '17 Scott Holtzman Michael McBride 1.28 2.12 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '17 John Dodson Eddie Wineland 1.24 4.24 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '17 Scott Holtzman Michael McBride 1.28 1.53 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '17 John Dodson Eddie Wineland 1.33 1.28 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '17 Robert Whittaker Ronaldo Souza 1.50 2.5 TKO, R2 (3:28) MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '17 Cynthia Calvillo Pearl Gonzalez 1.41 2.45 Sub, R3 (3:45) MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '17 Gegard Mousasi Chris Weidman 1.77 4 TKO, R2 (3:13) MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '17 Magomed Bibulatov Jenel Lausa 1.25 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '17 Paid Pick Arnold Allen Makwan Amirkhani 2.06 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '17 Paid Pick Gunnar Nelson Alan Jouban 1.28 3.6 Sub, R2 (0:46) MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '17 Paid Pick Joseph Duffy Reza Madadi 1.17 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '17 Paid Pick Joe Soto Rani Yahya 2.75 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jun '17 Marlon Moraes Raphael Assuncao 1.53 8.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '17 Jose Aldo Max Holloway 1.69 8.5 TKO, R3 (4:13) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '17 Kelvin Gastelum Chris Weidman 1.83 6.25 Sub, R3 (3:45) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '17 Nico Musoke Bojan Velickovic 1.77 1.5 TKO, R3 (4:37) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '17 Reza Madadi Joaquim Silva 2.40 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. May '17 Junior dos Santos Stipe Miocic 2.35 2.5 TKO, R1 (2:22) No MMA Bookmaker
7. May '17 Jorge Masvidal Demian Maia 2.05 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. May '17 Junior dos Santos Stipe Miocic 2.45 2.5 TKO, R1 (2:22) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '17 Jessica Penne Danielle Taylor 1.67 1.7 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. May '17 Jorge Masvidal Demian Maia 2.05 1.05 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '17 Irene Aldana Katlyn Chookagian 2.25 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '17 Paid Pick Lando Vannata David Teymur 1.36 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '17 Paid Pick Stephen Thompson Tyron Woodley 1.69 4 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '17 Paid Pick Mirsad Bektic Darren Elkins 1.25 3.25 TKO, R3 (3:19) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '17 Dennis Bermudez Chan Sung Jung 1.53 2 TKO, R1 (2:49) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '17 Anthony Hamilton Marcel Fortuna 1.57 2.6 TKO, R1 (3:10) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '17 Alexa Grasso Felice Herrig 1.36 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Charles : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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