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MMA Handicapper Stats: TheFightingChampion

TheFightingChampion (FightChampBlog)


MMA MHandicapper - TheFightingChampion

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 43 (61%) Right 39 (59%) Right 4 (80%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 28 (39%) Wrong 27 (41%) Wrong 1 (20%) Wrong 0 (0%)
Avg Odds 1.69 Avg Odds 1.68 Avg Odds 1.82 Avg Odds 0.00
Units Bet 82.0 Units Bet 77.0 Units Bet 5.0 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 1.15 Avg Bet 1.17 Avg Bet 1.00 Avg Bet 0.00
Units Profit 8.09 Units Profit 5.39 Units Profit 2.70 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % 10% ROI % 7% ROI % 54% ROI % 0%
View Handicapper's Profile

TheFightingChampion : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
2nd Dec '17 UFC 218 3 -1.6 -55% -1.6 / 3 (-55%)
18th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 3 1.5 50% 1.5 / 3 (50%)
4th Nov '17 UFC 217 4 -2.5 -64% -2.5 / 4 (-64%)
7th Oct '17 UFC 216 1 0.5 45% 0.5 / 1 (45%)
22nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 2 0.9 43% 0.9 / 2 (43%)
16th Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 2 0.4 22% 0.4 / 2 (22%)
9th Sep '17 UFC 215 4 -2.7 -68% -2.7 / 4 (-68%)
5th Aug '17 UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 1 0.9 91% 0.9 / 1 (91%)
29th Jul '17 UFC 214 2 1.7 85% 1.7 / 2 (85%)
22nd Jul '17 UFC on Fox 25 4 -1.3 -32% -1.3 / 4 (-32%)
16th Jul '17 UFC Fight Night 113 2 2.2 110% 2.2 / 2 (110%)
8th Jul '17 UFC 213 2 0.1 5% 0.1 / 2 (5%)
7th Jul '17 TUF Season 25 Finale 4 -0.0 -1% -0.0 / 4 (-1%)
25th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 112 4 1.6 41% 1.6 / 4 (41%)
17th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 111 2 -0.6 -32% -0.6 / 2 (-32%)
10th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Jun '17 UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 4 -2.2 -54% -2.2 / 4 (-54%)
28th May '17 UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 1 0.4 36% 0.4 / 1 (36%)
13th May '17 UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 4 -0.3 -6% -0.3 / 4 (-6%)
22nd Apr '17 UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 3 0.2 6% -0.7 / 2 (-33%) 0.8 / 1 (83%)
15th Apr '17 UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 5 5.2 104% 3.0 / 3 (100%) 2.2 / 2 (110%)
31st Mar '17 Bellator 175 2 -0.3 -17% -0.3 / 2 (-17%)
18th Mar '17 UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson 4 1.3 32% 1.3 / 4 (32%)
11th Mar '17 UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum 2 2.5 126% 2.5 / 2 (126%)
11th Feb '17 UFC 208 4 2.0 49% 2.0 / 4 (49%)
4th Feb '17 UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
28th Jan '17 UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
21st Jan '17 Bellator 170 Sonnen vs. Ortiz 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
15th Jan '17 UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn 2 1.8 88% 1.8 / 2 (88%)
31st Dec '16 UFC 207 5 2.7 54% 2.7 / 5 (54%)


Winning Events: 17 (57%)
Losing Events: 13 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 2.73 units
Most Staked On One Event: 5.00 units
Best Event: 5.18 units
Worst Event: -2.71 units
Average Event: 0.27 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 5.76
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -5.00

TheFightingChampion : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2017 77 5.4 7% 2.7 / 72 (4%) 2.7 / 5 (54%) 16 / 13 (55%) 0.19
2016 5 2.7 54% 2.7 / 5 (54%) 1 / 0 (100%) 2.70

TheFightingChampion : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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TheFightingChampion : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 78 10.4 13% 7.4 / 75 (10%) 3.0 / 3 (101%)
Bellator 4 -2.3 -58% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -0.3 / 2 (-17%)

TheFightingChampion : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 25 (38%) 19 76 % 26.00 0.85 0.03 3%
Slight Favorites 24 (36%) 12 50 % 32.00 0.05 0.00 0%
Slight Underdogs 15 (23%) 8 53 % 17.00 6.49 0.43 38%
Big Underdogs 1 (2%) 0 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 9 (14%) 4 44 % 9.00 -1.49 -0.17 -17%
Co-Main Event 6 (9%) 4 67 % 9.00 5.86 0.98 65%
Position 3-5 25 (38%) 15 60 % 32.00 1.58 0.06 5%
6+ (Undercard) 26 (39%) 16 62 % 27.00 -0.56 -0.02 -2%

TheFightingChampion : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (5%) 2 67 % 4.00 0.39 0.13 10%
Light Heavy 5 (8%) 2 40 % 5.00 -2.07 -0.41 -41%
Middleweight 8 (12%) 6 75 % 9.00 4.71 0.59 52%
Welterweight 10 (15%) 5 50 % 11.00 -1.31 -0.13 -12%
Lightweight 10 (15%) 7 70 % 11.00 1.23 0.12 11%
Featherweight 12 (18%) 6 50 % 13.00 -1.21 -0.10 -9%
Bantamweight 3 (5%) 1 33 % 7.00 0.70 0.23 10%
Flyweight 5 (8%) 4 80 % 6.00 2.59 0.52 43%
               
Women's Fights 10 (15%) 6 60 % 11.00 0.34 0.03 3%
Featherweight 1 (2%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Bantamweight 3 (5%) 1 33 % 3.00 -1.39 -0.46 -46%
Strawweight 6 (9%) 5 83 % 7.00 2.74 0.46 39%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
0 0 0 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 4 (80%) 3 75 %
35-50% 1 (20%) 1 100 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
5 4 80 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (100%) 4 80 % 1.82 2.55Pick was correct 1.65Pick was correct 2.7 (54%)
5 4 80 % 1.82     2.7 (54%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail TheFightingChampion 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
31st Dec UFC 207 5 2.7 54% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,027.00
15th Jan UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn 2 1.8 88% $10.27 $1,027.00 $1,045.08
21st Jan Bellator 170 Sonnen vs. Ortiz 2 -2.0 -100% $10.45 $1,045.08 $1,024.17
28th Jan UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena 2 -2.0 -100% $10.24 $1,024.17 $1,003.69
4th Feb UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez 1 -1.0 -100% $10.04 $1,003.69 $993.65
11th Feb UFC 208 4 2.0 49% $9.94 $993.65 $1,013.13
11th Mar UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum 2 2.5 126% $10.13 $1,013.13 $1,038.66
18th Mar UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson 4 1.3 32% $10.39 $1,038.66 $1,051.95
31st Mar Bellator 175 2 -0.3 -17% $10.52 $1,051.95 $1,048.45
15th Apr UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 5 5.2 104% $10.48 $1,048.45 $1,102.80
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 3 0.2 6% $11.03 $1,102.80 $1,104.63
13th May UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 4 -0.3 -6% $11.05 $1,104.63 $1,101.79
28th May UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 1 0.4 36% $11.02 $1,101.79 $1,105.72
3rd Jun UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 4 -2.2 -54% $11.06 $1,105.72 $1,081.77
10th Jun UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 1 -1.0 -100% $10.82 $1,081.77 $1,070.95
17th Jun UFC Fight Night 111 2 -0.6 -32% $10.71 $1,070.95 $1,064.06
25th Jun UFC Fight Night 112 4 1.6 41% $10.64 $1,064.06 $1,081.44
7th Jul TUF Season 25 Finale 4 -0.0 -1% $10.81 $1,081.44 $1,080.99
8th Jul UFC 213 2 0.1 5% $10.81 $1,080.99 $1,082.07
16th Jul UFC Fight Night 113 2 2.2 110% $10.82 $1,082.07 $1,105.94
22nd Jul UFC on Fox 25 4 -1.3 -32% $11.06 $1,105.94 $1,091.58
29th Jul UFC 214 2 1.7 85% $10.92 $1,091.58 $1,110.20
5th Aug UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 1 0.9 91% $11.10 $1,110.20 $1,120.30
9th Sep UFC 215 4 -2.7 -68% $25 $11.20 $1,120.30 $1,064.93
16th Sep UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 2 0.4 22% $10.65 $1,064.93 $1,069.63
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 2 0.9 43% $10.70 $1,069.63 $1,078.80
7th Oct UFC 216 1 0.5 45% $10.79 $1,078.80 $1,083.70
4th Nov UFC 217 4 -2.5 -64% $25 $10.84 $1,083.70 $1,031.11
18th Nov UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 3 1.5 50% $25 $10.31 $1,031.11 $1,021.50
2nd Dec UFC 218 3 -1.6 -55% $25 $10.22 $1,021.50 $979.72


ROI % from starting bank balance: -2.03% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

TheFightingChampion : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '17 Paid Pick Henry Cejudo Sergio Pettis 1.36 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '17 Paid Pick Nadia Kassem Alex Chambers 1.67 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '17 Ryan Benoit Ashkan Mokhtarian 1.43 1 TKO, R3 (2:38) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '17 Paid Pick Elias Theodorou Daniel Kelly 1.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '17 Paid Pick Paulo Costa Johny Hendricks 1.45 1 TKO, R2 (1:23) MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '17 Tony Ferguson Kevin Lee 1.45 1 Sub, R3 (4:2) MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '17 Gokhan Saki Luis Henrique da Silva 1.57 1 TKO, R1 (4:45) MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '17 Dong Hyun Ma Takanori Gomi 1.29 1 TKO, R1 (1:30) MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '17 Justin Ledet Azunna Anyanwu 1.27 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '17 Kamaru Usman Sergio Moraes 1.17 1 TKO, R1 (2:48) MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '17 Paid Pick Henry Cejudo Wilson Reis 1.29 1 TKO, R2 (0:25) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '17 Alejandro Perez Andre Soukhamthath 1.91 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '17 Drew Dober Josh Burkman 1.61 1 TKO, R1 (3:4) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '17 Ricardo Lamas Jason Knight 2.10 1 TKO, R1 (4:34) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '17 Chris Wade Frankie Perez 1.43 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '17 Shane Burgos Godofredo Pepey 1.27 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '17 Leslie Smith Amanda Oliveira de Lemos 1.61 1 TKO, R2 (2:53) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '17 Santiago Ponzinibbio Gunnar Nelson 2.60 1 TKO, R1 (1:22) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '17 Robert Whittaker Yoel Romero 2.10 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '17 Angela Hill Ashley Yoder 1.37 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '17 Paid Pick Alex Oliveira Yancy Medeiros 1.43 1 TKO, R3 (2:3) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '17 Charles Oliveira Paul Felder 1.95 1 TKO, R2 (4:6) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '17 Mickey Gall Randy Brown 1.91 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '17 Paid Pick Joanna Jedrzejczyk Rose Namajunas 1.25 1 TKO, R1 (3:3) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '17 Paid Pick Cody Garbrandt T.J. Dillashaw 1.63 1 TKO, R2 (2:41) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '17 Paid Pick Ashlee Evans-Smith Sarah Moras 1.41 1 Sub, R1 (2:51) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '17 Adriano Martins Kajan Johnson 1.24 1 TKO, R3 (0:49) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '17 Paid Pick Gavin Tucker Rick Glenn 1.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '17 Kelvin Gastelum Chris Weidman 1.69 1 Sub, R3 (3:45) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '17 Gian Villante Patrick Cummins 1.83 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '17 Travis Browne Aleksei Oleinik 1.56 1 Sub, R2 (3:44) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '17 Teruto Ishihara Gray Maynard 1.39 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '17 B.J. Penn Dennis Siver 2.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '17 Tarec Saffiedine Rafael dos Anjos 3.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '17 Tim Elliott Ben Nguyen -200.00 1 Sub, R1 (0:49) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '17 Johnny Eduardo Matthew Lopez 2.65 1 TKO, R1 (2:57) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '17 Marlon Moraes Raphael Assuncao 1.65 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '17 Jose Aldo Max Holloway 1.71 1 TKO, R3 (4:13) No MMA Bookmaker
19. May '17 Krzysztof Jotko David Branch 1.83 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. May '17 Jorge Masvidal Demian Maia 1.83 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

TheFightingChampion : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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