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Total MMA Handicappers: 1430 Profitable MMA Handicappers: 586 |
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Straight Pick Stats |
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Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
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| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Main Event | 29 (18%) | 18 | 62 % | 70.32 | 13.06 | 0.45 | 19% |
| Co-Main Event | 19 (12%) | 8 | 42 % | 36.00 | -6.57 | -0.35 | -18% |
| Position 3-5 | 56 (36%) | 28 | 50 % | 125.30 | -13.87 | -0.25 | -11% |
| 6+ (Undercard) | 53 (34%) | 29 | 55 % | 101.48 | 9.87 | 0.19 | 10% |
by Weight Class
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Heavyweight | 7 (4%) | 3 | 43 % | 11.50 | -1.04 | -0.15 | -9% |
| Light Heavy | 11 (7%) | 6 | 55 % | 23.10 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0% |
| Middleweight | 24 (15%) | 16 | 67 % | 53.50 | 16.51 | 0.69 | 31% |
| Welterweight | 29 (18%) | 17 | 59 % | 58.45 | 6.77 | 0.23 | 12% |
| Lightweight | 22 (14%) | 10 | 45 % | 56.50 | -13.54 | -0.62 | -24% |
| Featherweight | 16 (10%) | 9 | 56 % | 34.50 | 0.71 | 0.04 | 2% |
| Bantamweight | 19 (12%) | 9 | 47 % | 39.75 | 1.66 | 0.09 | 4% |
| Flyweight | 11 (7%) | 4 | 36 % | 23.00 | -4.32 | -0.39 | -19% |
| Women's Fights | 18 (11%) | 9 | 50 % | 32.80 | -4.31 | -0.24 | -13% |
| Featherweight | 3 (2%) | 2 | 67 % | 6.50 | 0.21 | 0.07 | 3% |
| Bantamweight | 5 (3%) | 4 | 80 % | 10.50 | 1.43 | 0.29 | 14% |
| Strawweight | 10 (6%) | 3 | 30 % | 15.80 | -5.95 | -0.59 | -38% |
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)
Straight picks within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| Big Favorites | 64 (86%) | 54 | 84 % |
| Slight Favorites | 10 (14%) | 5 | 50 % |
| Slight Underdogs | 0 (0%) | 0 | 0 % |
| Big Underdogs | 0 (0%) | 0 | 0 % |
| 74 | 59 | 80 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| >65% chance | 51 (41%) | 38 | 75 % |
| 50-65% | 45 (36%) | 26 | 58 % |
| 35-50% | 15 (12%) | 10 | 67 % |
| <35% chance | 13 (10%) | 3 | 23 % |
| 124 | 77 | 62 % |
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
| Prop Type | Picks | Correct | % Correct | Avg Odds |
Longest Odds |
Shortest Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) | 38 (31%) | 28 | 74 % | 1.63 | 2.40 |
1.20 |
8.5 (22%) |
| Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) | 6 (5%) | 3 | 50 % | 1.58 | 1.91 |
1.33 |
-1.3 (-22%) |
| Goes to Decision | 11 (9%) | 5 | 45 % | 1.52 | 1.83 |
1.28 |
-3.5 (-32%) |
| Does not go to Decision | 42 (34%) | 30 | 71 % | 1.46 | 2.62 |
1.14 |
2.6 (6%) |
| Fight Starts Round X | 5 (4%) | 3 | 60 % | 1.78 | 2.85 |
1.25 |
1.0 (20%) |
| X Wins by KO | 5 (4%) | 3 | 60 % | 2.75 | 5.50 |
1.67 |
4.9 (97%) |
| X Wins by Sub | 3 (2%) | 0 | 0 % | 4.84 | 14.00 |
3.25 |
-3.0 (-100%) |
| X Wins by Decision | 4 (3%) | 1 | 25 % | 3.86 | 9.00 |
2.10 |
-1.9 (-47%) |
| X Wins Inside Distance | 4 (3%) | 1 | 25 % | 3.59 | 7.50 |
2.60 |
-1.4 (-35%) |
| X Wins in Round X | 3 (2%) | 2 | 67 % | 3.09 | 5.00 |
2.10 |
4.1 (137%) |
| Others | 3 (2%) | 1 | 33 % | 2.55 | 4.06 |
1.95 |
2.1 (69%) |
| 124 | 77 | 62 % | 1.71 | 12.0 (10%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.
Tail handicapper's bets
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date | Event | Bet | Won | ROI | Fee | 1 unit = | Start | End |
| 11th Feb | UFC 208 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 43% | $10.00 | $1,000.00 | $1,045.40 | |
| 19th Feb | UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne | 16 | 19.2 | 120% | $5 | $10.45 | $1,045.40 | $1,240.62 |
| 4th Mar | UFC 209 | 22 | 2.9 | 13% | $12.41 | $1,240.62 | $1,276.60 | |
| 11th Mar | UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum | 22.5 | 6.1 | 27% | $12.77 | $1,276.60 | $1,354.34 | |
| 18th Mar | UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson | 8 | 3.1 | 39% | $13.54 | $1,354.34 | $1,396.15 | |
| 8th Apr | UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 | 10 | 12.8 | 128% | $13.96 | $1,396.15 | $1,575.27 | |
| 15th Apr | UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis | 10.5 | -4.7 | -44% | $15.75 | $1,575.27 | $1,501.71 | |
| 22nd Apr | UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov | 8.9 | 1.5 | 16% | $15.02 | $1,501.71 | $1,523.55 | |
| 13th May | UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos | 16 | -9.9 | -62% | $15.24 | $1,523.55 | $1,372.72 | |
| 28th May | UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira | 14 | 5.5 | 39% | $13.73 | $1,372.72 | $1,448.35 | |
| 3rd Jun | UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway | 13.5 | 2.7 | 20% | $14.48 | $1,448.35 | $1,487.31 | |
| 10th Jun | UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis | 5.7 | 4.5 | 80% | $14.87 | $1,487.31 | $1,554.76 | |
| 17th Jun | UFC Fight Night 111 | 14.5 | 6.0 | 42% | $15.55 | $1,554.76 | $1,648.74 | |
| 24th Jun | Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva | 10.7 | -6.4 | -60% | $16.49 | $1,648.74 | $1,542.64 | |
| 25th Jun | UFC Fight Night 112 | 6.2 | -3.0 | -49% | $15.43 | $1,542.64 | $1,495.87 | |
| 7th Jul | TUF Season 25 Finale | 5.7 | 2.0 | 36% | $14.96 | $1,495.87 | $1,526.27 | |
| 8th Jul | UFC 213 | 10.05 | 0.9 | 9% | $15.26 | $1,526.27 | $1,540.76 | |
| 16th Jul | UFC Fight Night 113 | 8.25 | 6.7 | 81% | $15.41 | $1,540.76 | $1,643.30 | |
| 22nd Jul | UFC on Fox 25 | 9.9 | -5.0 | -50% | $16.43 | $1,643.30 | $1,561.79 | |
| 29th Jul | UFC 214 | 11.98 | -3.5 | -29% | $15.62 | $1,561.79 | $1,507.12 | |
| 5th Aug | UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno | 4.5 | 2.9 | 63% | $15.07 | $1,507.12 | $1,550.08 | |
| 8th Aug | DWTNCS 5 | 1 | -1.0 | -100% | $15.50 | $1,550.08 | $1,534.58 | |
| 26th Aug | Bellator 182 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 36% | $15.35 | $1,534.58 | $1,557.78 | |
| 2nd Sep | UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov | 4.6 | -0.4 | -10% | $15.58 | $1,557.78 | $1,550.89 | |
| 9th Sep | UFC 215 | 11.5 | -4.4 | -38% | $15.51 | $1,550.89 | $1,482.35 | |
| 16th Sep | UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch | 8 | -4.6 | -57% | $14.82 | $1,482.35 | $1,414.57 | |
| 22nd Sep | UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 | 12 | -3.1 | -26% | $14.15 | $1,414.57 | $1,370.72 | |
| 23rd Sep | ACB 70 Barnatt VS. Askham | 1.25 | 1.0 | 80% | $13.71 | $1,370.72 | $1,384.43 | |
| 23rd Sep | Bellator 183 Henderson vs. Freire | 3 | 1.8 | 61% | $13.84 | $1,384.43 | $1,409.76 | |
| 6th Oct | Bellator 184 Dantas vs. Caldwell | 2 | 3.0 | 150% | $14.10 | $1,409.76 | $1,452.06 | |
| 7th Oct | UFC 216 | 4 | -0.8 | -21% | $14.52 | $1,452.06 | $1,440.15 | |
| 21st Oct | UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk | 6.5 | 1.4 | 21% | $14.40 | $1,440.15 | $1,459.95 | |
| 28th Oct | UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo | 6 | 3.0 | 50% | $14.60 | $1,459.95 | $1,503.46 | |
| 4th Nov | UFC 217 | 8 | -8.0 | -100% | $15.03 | $1,503.46 | $1,383.18 | |
| 11th Nov | UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia | 8.6 | -1.6 | -18% | $13.83 | $1,383.18 | $1,361.60 | |
| 18th Nov | UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney | 2 | 4.2 | 210% | $13.62 | $1,361.60 | $1,418.79 | |
| 25th Nov | UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum | 4 | 2.3 | 58% | $14.19 | $1,418.79 | $1,451.71 | |
| 1st Dec | Bellator 189 | 2 | 3.5 | 175% | $14.52 | $1,451.71 | $1,502.51 | |
| 2nd Dec | TUF 26 Finale | 6 | -2.8 | -47% | $15.03 | $1,502.51 | $1,460.14 | |
| 2nd Dec | UFC 218 | 8.5 | -1.4 | -17% | $14.60 | $1,460.14 | $1,439.19 | |
| 9th Dec | Bellator 190 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 86% | $14.39 | $1,439.19 | $1,457.80 | |
| 9th Dec | UFC Fight Night 123 | 11 | -3.4 | -31% | $14.58 | $1,457.80 | $1,408.82 | |
| 16th Dec | UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos | 4 | -4.0 | -100% | $14.09 | $1,408.82 | $1,352.46 | |
| 31st Dec | UFC 219 | 8.5 | 6.4 | 75% | $13.52 | $1,352.46 | $1,439.18 | |
| 14th Jan | UFC Fight Night 124 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 6% | $14.39 | $1,439.18 | $1,442.06 | |
| 20th Jan | UFC 220 | 17 | -4.8 | -28% | $14.42 | $1,442.06 | $1,373.42 | |
| 20th Jan | Bellator 192 | 1.5 | -1.5 | -100% | $13.73 | $1,373.42 | $1,352.82 | |
| 27th Jan | UFC on Fox 27 | 7.39 | -0.8 | -11% | $13.53 | $1,352.82 | $1,342.13 | |
| 4th Feb | UFC Fight Night 125 | 10 | -6.8 | -68% | $13.42 | $1,342.13 | $1,251.40 | |
| 10th Feb | UFC 221 | 7 | 1.6 | 23% | $12.51 | $1,251.40 | $1,271.93 | |
| 17th Feb | Bellator 194 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 68% | $12.72 | $1,271.93 | $1,284.90 | |
| 18th Feb | UFC Fight Night 126 | 4 | -4.0 | -100% | $12.85 | $1,284.90 | $1,233.51 | |
| 24th Feb | UFC on Fox 28 | 1.5 | -1.5 | -100% | $12.34 | $1,233.51 | $1,215.00 | |
| 3rd Mar | UFC 222 | 7 | 0.4 | 6% | $12.15 | $1,215.00 | $1,220.35 | |
| 14th Apr | UFC on Fox 29 | 4.05 | 1.1 | 28% | $12.20 | $1,220.35 | $1,233.97 | |
| 21st Apr | UFC Fight Night 128 | 9.5 | 0.2 | 2% | $12.34 | $1,233.97 | $1,236.87 | |
| 28th Apr | Bellator 198 | 2 | 0.5 | 23% | $12.37 | $1,236.87 | $1,242.56 | |
| 12th May | UFC 224 | 5 | 4.8 | 97% | $12.43 | $1,242.56 | $1,302.70 | |
| 12th May | Bellator 199 | 4 | 2.1 | 53% | $13.03 | $1,302.70 | $1,330.58 | |
| 19th May | UFC Fight Night 129 | 9 | 3.8 | 42% | $13.31 | $1,330.58 | $1,381.34 | |
| 27th May | UFC Fight Night 130 | 8 | -4.7 | -59% | $13.81 | $1,381.34 | $1,316.42 | |
| 1st Jun | UFC Fight Night 131 | 5.75 | 3.3 | 58% | $13.16 | $1,316.42 | $1,360.32 | |
| 9th Jun | UFC 225 | 15 | 7.9 | 52% | $13.60 | $1,360.32 | $1,467.31 | |
| 23rd Jun | UFC Fight Night 132 | 2 | 1.4 | 72% | $14.67 | $1,467.31 | $1,488.44 | |
| 7th Jul | TUF 27 Finale | 1 | 1.0 | 100% | $14.88 | $1,488.44 | $1,503.32 | |
| 7th Jul | UFC 226 | 3 | -3.0 | -100% | $15.03 | $1,503.32 | $1,458.22 | |
| 14th Jul | UFC Fight Night 133 | 10.5 | 8.4 | 80% | $14.58 | $1,458.22 | $1,581.15 | |
| 22nd Jul | UFC Fight Night 134 | 3.5 | -3.5 | -100% | $15.81 | $1,581.15 | $1,525.81 | |
| 28th Jul | UFC on Fox 30 | 14.5 | 3.0 | 21% | $15.26 | $1,525.81 | $1,571.98 | |
| 4th Aug | UFC 227 | 4 | 4.0 | 100% | $15.72 | $1,571.98 | $1,634.86 | |
| 25th Aug | UFC Fight Night 135 | 6.5 | -2.0 | -31% | $16.35 | $1,634.86 | $1,601.83 | |
| 8th Sep | UFC 228 | 8.62 | 1.1 | 12% | $16.02 | $1,601.83 | $1,618.94 | |
| 22nd Sep | UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo | 5 | 2.2 | 44% | $16.19 | $1,618.94 | $1,654.52 | |
| 6th Oct | UFC 229 | 11.56 | -11.6 | -100% | $16.55 | $1,654.52 | $1,463.26 | |
| 27th Oct | UFC Fight Night 138 | 4.25 | 0.3 | 8% | $14.63 | $1,463.26 | $1,467.98 | |
| 3rd Nov | UFC 230 | 6.8 | 5.3 | 78% | $14.68 | $1,467.98 | $1,545.40 | |
| 10th Nov | UFC Fight Night Denver | 6 | 0.7 | 11% | $15.45 | $1,545.40 | $1,555.55 | |
| 17th Nov | UFC Fight Night 140 | 3 | 1.4 | 46% | $15.56 | $1,555.55 | $1,577.02 | |
| 1st Dec | UFC Fight Night 142 | 8 | -2.0 | -24% | $15.77 | $1,577.02 | $1,546.13 | |
| 8th Dec | UFC 231 | 4 | -2.0 | -50% | $15.46 | $1,546.13 | $1,515.21 | |
| 29th Dec | UFC 232 | 13.3 | -2.6 | -19% | $15.15 | $1,515.21 | $1,476.12 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 47.61% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.
Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | |||
| 1. | Jan '19 | Gregor Gillespie | Yancy Medeiros | 1.20 | 1 | TKO, R2 (4:59) | 
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| 2. | Dec '18 | Urijah Hall | Bevon Lewis | 2.00 | 4 | TKO, R3 (1:32) | 
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| 3. | Dec '18 | Jon Jones | Alexander Gustafsson | 1.36 | 2 | TKO, R3 (2:2) |
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| 4. | Dec '18 | Max Holloway | Brian Ortega | 2.00 | 1 | TKO, R4 (5:0) | 
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| 5. | Nov '18 | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Neil Magny | 1.46 | 3 | TKO, R4 (2:22) | 
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| 6. | Nov '18 | Germaine de Randamie | Raquel Pennington | 1.57 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 7. | Sep '18 | Tyron Woodley | Darren Till | 2.15 | 0.87 | Sub, R2 (4:19) | 
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| 8. | Sep '18 | Jimmie Rivera | John Dodson | 1.73 | 2.75 | U Decision (3 rounds) | 
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| 9. | Aug '18 | Ricky Simon | Montel Jackson | 2.00 | 4 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 10. | Jul '18 | Jordan Mein | Alex Morono | 1.91 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 11. | Jul '18 | Rick Glenn | Dennis Bermudez | 3.10 | 1.5 | Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 12. | Jul '18 | Alejandro Perez | Eddie Wineland | 1.54 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 13. | Jul '18 | Alex Volkanovski | Darren Elkins | 1.36 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 14. | Jun '18 | Shane Young | Rolando Dy | 1.72 | 2 | TKO, R2 (4:40) | 
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| 15. | Jun '18 | Robert Whittaker | Yoel Romero | 1.50 | 3 | Split Decision (5 rounds) |
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| 16. | Jun '18 | Walt Harris | Daniel Spitz | 1.44 | 3 | TKO, R2 (4:59) | 
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| 17. | Jun '18 | Holly Holm | Megan Anderson | 1.49 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 18. | May '18 | Carlo Pedersoli Jr. | Brad Scott | 1.65 | 2 | Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 19. | Jun '18 | Sergio Pettis | Joseph Benavidez | 2.90 | 1 | Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 20. | May '18 | Gabriel Benitez | Humberto Bandenay | 1.56 | 3 | TKO, R1 (0:39) |
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Last 20 Losses
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | Hedge? | |||
| 1. | Jan '19 | Belal Muhammad | Geoff Neal | 2.62 | 0.62 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 2. | Dec '18 | Brian Kelleher | Montel Jackson | 2.40 | 2 | Sub, R1 (1:40) | No |
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| 3. | Dec '18 | Chad Mendes | Alex Volkanovski | 1.74 | 1.3 | TKO, R2 (4:14) | No |
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| 4. | Dec '18 | Cristiane Justino | Amanda Nunes | 1.44 | 2 | TKO, R1 (0:51) | No |
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| 5. | Nov '18 | Luis Pena | Mike Trizano | 1.61 | 2 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 6. | Oct '18 | Patrick Cummins | Misha Cirkunov | 4.50 | 1 | Sub, R1 (2:40) | No |
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| 7. | Oct '18 | Alexander Volkov | Derrick Lewis | 1.65 | 0.5 | TKO, R3 (4:49) | No |
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| 8. | Oct '18 | Alexander Volkov | Derrick Lewis | 1.65 | 1 | TKO, R3 (4:49) | No |
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| 9. | Oct '18 | Felice Herrig | Michelle Waterson | 1.90 | 1.7 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 10. | Oct '18 | Ryan LaFlare | Tony Martin | 1.85 | 2.36 | TKO, R3 (1:0) | No |
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| 11. | Oct '18 | Conor McGregor | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 2.45 | 2 | Sub, R4 (3:2) | No |
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| 12. | Oct '18 | Sergio Pettis | Jussier Formiga | 1.73 | 4 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 13. | Aug '18 | James Vick | Justin Gaethje | 1.73 | 3 | TKO, R1 (1:27) | No |
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| 14. | Jul '18 | Matheus Nicolau | Dustin Ortiz | 1.55 | 4 | TKO, R1 (3:49) | No |
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| 15. | Jul '18 | Damian Stasiak | Pingyuan Liu | 1.93 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 16. | Jul '18 | Gokhan Saki | Khalil Rountree | 1.75 | 3 | TKO, R1 (1:36) | No |
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| 17. | May '18 | Nordine Taleb | Claudio Silva | 1.30 | 4 | Sub, R1 (4:31) | No |
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| 18. | May '18 | Stephen Thompson | Darren Till | 1.87 | 2 | U Decision (5 rounds) | No |
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| 19. | Jun '18 | Carla Esparza | Claudia Gadelha | 4.50 | 0.5 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 20. | Apr '18 | Brett Johns | Aljamain Sterling | 2.00 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.
Progress Chart
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