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MMA Handicapper Stats: Danny UFC_Spain

Danny UFC_Spain (danitorpedo)

MMA MHandicapper - Danny UFC_Spain

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	43 (52%)	Right	25 (57%)	Right	6 (50%)	Right	12 (44%)
Wrong	40 (48%)	Wrong	19 (43%)	Wrong	6 (50%)	Wrong	15 (56%)
Avg Odds	2.18	Avg Odds	2.02	Avg Odds	1.94	Avg Odds	2.66
Units Bet	265.7	Units Bet	167.0	Units Bet	37.0	Units Bet	61.7
Avg Bet	3.20	Avg Bet	3.80	Avg Bet	3.08	Avg Bet	2.29
Units Profit	82.37	Units Profit	23.94	Units Profit	11.11	Units Profit	47.32
ROI %	31%	ROI %	14%	ROI %	30%	ROI %	77%

Danny UFC_Spain: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
10th Jul '21	UFC 264	22	8.0	37%	4.8 / 11 (44%)	3.2 / 11 (29%)
24th Apr '21	UFC 261	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Apr '21	UFC FN	3	-0.8	-28%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		1.2 / 1 (116%)
27th Jul '19	UFC 240	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
6th Jul '19	UFC 239	1	10.9	1,091%			10.9 / 1 (1,091%)
29th Jun '19	UFC on ESPN 3	12	7.7	65%	4.4 / 9 (49%)		3.3 / 3 (111%)
22nd Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 154	12	4.9	41%	5.8 / 6 (96%)	-0.8 / 6 (-14%)
8th Jun '19	UFC 238	15	10.6	71%	3.0 / 4 (76%)	7.6 / 11 (69%)
7th Jul '18	UFC 226	15.5	-7.4	-47%	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)		3.6 / 4.5 (81%)
9th Jun '18	UFC 225	24	22.6	94%	7.0 / 14 (50%)		15.7 / 10 (157%)
7th Apr '18	UFC 223	3	3.8	125%	3.8 / 3 (125%)
28th Oct '17	UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo	3	3.5	116%	3.5 / 3 (116%)
5th Aug '17	UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Jul '17	UFC 214	51	25.4	50%	-0.5 / 29 (-2%)		25.9 / 22 (118%)
22nd Jul '17	UFC on Fox 25	6	3.3	55%	2.7 / 5 (53%)	0.6 / 1 (62%)
16th Jul '17	UFC Fight Night 113	8	-3.2	-40%	-3.2 / 8 (-40%)
8th Jul '17	UFC 213	14	14.0	100%	14.0 / 14 (100%)
7th Jul '17	TUF Season 25 Finale	4	-4.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
25th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 112	12.2	-0.3	-3%	1.9 / 10 (19%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
24th Jun '17	Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva	6.5	-3.3	-51%	-1.3 / 4.5 (-29%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
17th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 111	5	5.1	102%	2.2 / 2 (110%)	1.8 / 2 (90%)	1.1 / 1 (109%)
10th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	19	-9.4	-50%	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)	0.7 / 4 (19%)	-4.7 / 9.5 (-49%)
3rd Jun '17	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	12	3.2	27%	6.2 / 9 (69%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
13th May '17	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	8.5	-3.2	-38%	-0.7 / 6 (-11%)		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)

Winning Events: 13 (54%)
Losing Events: 11 (46%)

Average Staked Per Event: 11.07 units
Most Staked On One Event: 51.00 units
Best Event: 25.37 units
Worst Event: -9.43 units
Average Event: 3.43 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 34.17
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -9.43

Danny UFC_Spain: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	26	6.2	24%	2.8 / 13 (22%)		0.2 / 2 (8%)	1 / 2 (33%)	2.06
2019	45	29.2	65%	8.2 / 24 (34%)	6.7 / 17 (40%)	14.2 / 4 (356%)	4 / 1 (80%)	5.83
2018	42.5	19.0	45%	-0.3 / 28 (-1%)		19.3 / 14.5 (133%)	2 / 1 (67%)	6.34
2017	152.2	28.0	18%	13.2 / 102 (13%)	1.2 / 9 (13%)	13.6 / 41.2 (33%)	6 / 7 (46%)	2.15

Danny UFC_Spain: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Danny UFC_Spain: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	259.2	85.7	33%	25.2 / 162.5 (16%)	11.1 / 37 (30%)	49.3 / 59.7 (83%)
Bellator	6.5	-3.3	-51%	-1.3 / 4.5 (-29%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Danny UFC_Spain: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	9 (19%)	7	78 %	64.00	7.98	0.89	12%
Slight Favorites	10 (21%)	4	40 %	33.50	-12.23	-1.22	-37%
Slight Underdogs	22 (47%)	14	64 %	62.50	31.94	1.45	51%
Big Underdogs	6 (13%)	1	17 %	7.00	-3.75	-0.62	-54%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	12 (26%)	6	50 %	51.00	13.80	1.15	27%
Co-Main Event	7 (15%)	5	71 %	23.50	-1.69	-0.24	-7%
Position 3-5	13 (28%)	6	46 %	42.00	0.29	0.02	1%
6+ (Undercard)	15 (32%)	9	60 %	50.50	11.55	0.77	23%

Danny UFC_Spain: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	7 (15%)	3	43 %	34.00	-10.32	-1.47	-30%
Light Heavy	4 (9%)	4	100 %	23.00	10.61	2.65	46%
Middleweight	6 (13%)	5	83 %	24.00	17.83	2.97	74%
Welterweight	9 (19%)	2	22 %	24.00	-14.96	-1.66	-62%
Lightweight	4 (9%)	1	25 %	8.50	-3.13	-0.78	-37%
Featherweight	4 (9%)	4	100 %	21.00	16.96	4.24	81%
Bantamweight	6 (13%)	4	67 %	16.00	9.02	1.50	56%
Flyweight	2 (4%)		0 %	8.00	-8.00	-4.00	-100%

Women's Fights	5 (11%)	3	60 %	8.50	5.93	1.19	70%
Strawweight	5 (11%)	3	60 %	8.50	5.93	1.19	70%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	36 (58%)	26	72 %
Slight Favorites	17 (27%)	8	47 %
Slight Underdogs	9 (15%)	7	78 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	62	41	66 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	2 (13%)	1	50 %
50-65%	9 (60%)	6	67 %
35-50%	2 (13%)	1	50 %
<35% chance	2 (13%)	0	0 %
	15	8	53 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (33%)	3	60 %	1.68	2.00	1.40	0.5 (10%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (7%)	1	100 %	1.90	1.90	1.90	0.9 (90%)
Goes to Decision	3 (20%)	1	33 %	1.77	1.95	1.66	-1.3 (-43%)
Does not go to Decision	2 (13%)	2	100 %	1.69	1.69	1.69	1.4 (69%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (7%)	0	0 %	3.25	3.25	3.25	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (7%)	0	0 %	2.37	2.37	2.37	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (7%)	0	0 %	10.00	10.00	10.00	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	1 (7%)	1	100 %	1.29	1.29	1.29	0.3 (29%)
	15	8	53 %	1.88			-1.2 (-8%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Danny UFC_Spain's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
13th May	UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos	8.5	-3.2	-38%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$968.10
3rd Jun	UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway	12	3.2	27%		$9.68	$968.10	$998.98
10th Jun	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	19	-9.4	-50%		$9.99	$998.98	$904.82
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night 111	5	5.1	102%		$9.05	$904.82	$950.85
24th Jun	Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva	6.5	-3.3	-51%		$9.51	$950.85	$919.43
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night 112	12.2	-0.3	-3%		$9.19	$919.43	$916.35
7th Jul	TUF Season 25 Finale	4	-4.0	-100%		$9.16	$916.35	$879.69
8th Jul	UFC 213	14	14.0	100%		$8.80	$879.69	$1,003.12
16th Jul	UFC Fight Night 113	8	-3.2	-40%		$10.03	$1,003.12	$971.02
22nd Jul	UFC on Fox 25	6	3.3	55%		$9.71	$971.02	$1,002.77
29th Jul	UFC 214	51	25.4	50%		$10.03	$1,002.77	$1,257.21
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno	3	-3.0	-100%		$12.57	$1,257.21	$1,219.49
28th Oct	UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo	3	3.5	116%		$12.19	$1,219.49	$1,261.93
7th Apr	UFC 223	3	3.8	125%		$12.62	$1,261.93	$1,309.25
9th Jun	UFC 225	24	22.6	94%		$13.09	$1,309.25	$1,605.72
7th Jul	UFC 226	15.5	-7.4	-47%		$16.06	$1,605.72	$1,487.55
8th Jun	UFC 238	15	10.6	71%		$14.88	$1,487.55	$1,645.38
22nd Jun	UFC Fight Night 154	12	4.9	41%		$16.45	$1,645.38	$1,726.17
29th Jun	UFC on ESPN 3	12	7.7	65%		$17.26	$1,726.17	$1,859.85
6th Jul	UFC 239	1	10.9	1,091%		$18.60	$1,859.85	$2,062.75
27th Jul	UFC 240	5	-5.0	-100%		$20.63	$2,062.75	$1,959.61
17th Apr	UFC FN	3	-0.8	-28%		$19.60	$1,959.61	$1,943.07
24th Apr	UFC 261	1	-1.0	-100%		$19.43	$1,943.07	$1,923.64
10th Jul	UFC 264	22	8.0	37%		$19.24	$1,923.64	$2,078.11

ROI % from starting bank balance: 107.81% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Danny UFC_Spain: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '21	Ilia Topuria	Ryan Hall	1.44	11	TKO, R1 (4:47)
2.	Jun '19	Ashley Yoder	Syuri Kondo	2.00	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jun '19	Eryk Anders	Vinicius Moreira	1.53	6	TKO, R1 (1:18)
4.	Jun '19	Alonzo Menifield	Paul Craig	1.41	3	TKO, R1 (3:19)
5.	Jun '19	Kevin Holland	Alessio Di Chirico	1.50	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jun '19	Randy Brown	Bryan Barberena	3.25	1	TKO, R3 (2:54)
7.	Jun '19	Henry Cejudo	Marlon Moraes	2.34	3	TKO, R3 (4:51)
8.	Jun '18	Colby Covington	Rafael dos Anjos	1.93	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
9.	Jun '18	Tai Tuivasa	Andrei Arlovski	1.38	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Apr '18	Rose Namajunas	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	2.25	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
11.	Oct '17	Thiago Santos	Jack Hermansson	2.16	3	TKO, R1 (4:59)
12.	Jul '17	Brian Ortega	Renato Moicano	2.26	3	Sub, R3 (2:59)
13.	Jul '17	Ricardo Lamas	Jason Knight	2.10	3	TKO, R1 (4:34)
14.	Jul '17	Jimmie Rivera	Thomas Almeida	1.53	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Jul '17	Khalil Rountree	Paul Craig	1.60	3	TKO, R1 (4:56)
16.	Jul '17	Robert Whittaker	Yoel Romero	2.00	11	U Decision (5 rounds)
17.	Jul '17	Jon Jones	Daniel Cormier	1.40	11	TKO, R3 (3:1)
18.	Jun '17	Felice Herrig	Justine Kish	2.45	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Jun '17	Tony Martin	Johnny Case	1.79	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Jun '17	Matt Mitrione	Fedor Emelianenko	2.13	1.5	TKO, R1 (1:14)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '21	Juan Espino	Alexander Romanov	2.25	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jul '19	Alexandre Pantoja	Deiveson Figueiredo	1.82	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jun '19	Jimmie Rivera	Petr Yan	3.68	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Jun '19	Nina Nunes	Tatiana Suarez	6.20	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Jul '18	Francis Ngannou	Derrick Lewis	1.31	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Aug '17	Brandon Moreno	Sergio Pettis	1.73	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
7.	Jul '17	Josh Burkman	Drew Dober	3.75	3	TKO, R1 (3:4)	No
8.	Jul '17	Renan Barao	Aljamain Sterling	2.10	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jul '17	Donald Cerrone	Robbie Lawler	2.36	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jul '17	Demian Maia	Tyron Woodley	2.79	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
11.	Jul '17	Gunnar Nelson	Santiago Ponzinibbio	1.77	5	TKO, R1 (1:22)	No
12.	Jul '17	Elias Theodorou	Brad Tavares	1.88	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Jun '17	Alex Garcia	Tim Means	3.32	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Jun '17	Lorenz Larkin	Douglas Lima	1.51	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
15.	Jun '17	Maryna Moroz	Carla Esparza	3.00	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Jun '17	Michael Chiesa	Kevin Lee	2.19	1.5	Sub, R1 (4:37)	No
17.	Jun '17	Michael Chiesa	Kevin Lee	2.06	1	Sub, R1 (4:37)	No
18.	Jun '17	Derrick Lewis	Mark Hunt	1.93	2.5	TKO, R4 (3:51)	No
19.	Jun '17	Derrick Lewis	Mark Hunt	1.87	3	TKO, R4 (3:51)	No
20.	Jun '17	Erick Silva	Yancy Medeiros	2.26	2.5	TKO, R2 (2:1)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Danny UFC_Spain: Progress Chart

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