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MMA Handicapper Stats: Jonathan Conrad

Jonathan Conrad (Jonny_Conrad)


MMA MHandicapper - Jonathan Conrad

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 81 (44%) Right 48 (42%) Right 33 (55%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 102 (56%) Wrong 65 (58%) Wrong 27 (45%) Wrong 10 (100%)
Avg Odds 2.10 Avg Odds 1.97 Avg Odds 2.07 Avg Odds 8.92
Units Bet 828.8 Units Bet 545.0 Units Bet 265.3 Units Bet 18.5
Avg Bet 4.53 Avg Bet 4.82 Avg Bet 4.42 Avg Bet 1.85
Units Profit -82.83 Units Profit -89.56 Units Profit 25.24 Units Profit -18.50
ROI % -10% ROI % -16% ROI % 10% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Profile

Jonathan Conrad: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
29th Jul '17 UFC 214 21.5 -4.9 -23% -8.7 / 17 (-51%) 3.8 / 4.5 (83%)
25th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 112 16.5 -9.3 -56% -7.5 / 7.5 (-100%) -1.8 / 9 (-20%)
17th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 111 16.5 7.1 43% 3.7 / 3.5 (105%) 3.4 / 13 (27%)
28th May '17 UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 21 13.7 65% 8.3 / 7.75 (108%) 5.3 / 13.25 (40%)
13th May '17 UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 23.5 3.6 16% 3.6 / 23.5 (16%)
22nd Apr '17 UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 37.25 -37.3 -100% -21.3 / 21.25 (-100%) -16.0 / 16 (-100%)
15th Apr '17 UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 35 8.2 24% 5.2 / 20.5 (25%) 3.0 / 14.5 (21%)
8th Apr '17 UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 52.75 -10.1 -19% -0.3 / 32.5 (-1%) -5.8 / 16.25 (-36%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
11th Mar '17 UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum 8 5.7 72% 5.7 / 8 (72%)
4th Mar '17 UFC 209 53.5 4.3 8% 7.3 / 43 (17%) -1.0 / 8.5 (-12%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
19th Feb '17 UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne 47.75 -23.3 -49% -11.3 / 35.75 (-32%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
11th Feb '17 UFC 208 38 -21.3 -56% -10.4 / 19 (-55%) -10.9 / 19 (-57%)
4th Feb '17 UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez 43 -14.2 -33% -0.4 / 19.5 (-2%) -7.7 / 17.5 (-44%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
28th Jan '17 UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena 26 -6.9 -27% -3.9 / 23 (-17%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
15th Jan '17 UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn 40.75 19.2 47% 11.6 / 33.25 (35%) 7.6 / 7.5 (101%)
31st Dec '16 UFC 207 14.25 -3.2 -23% -3.2 / 14.25 (-23%)
17th Dec '16 UFC on Fox 22 44 -16.4 -37% -22.9 / 33 (-69%) 6.5 / 11 (59%)
10th Dec '16 UFC 206 21.25 -11.7 -55% -15.8 / 15.75 (-100%) 4.1 / 5.5 (74%)
9th Dec '16 UFC Fight Night 102 Albany 47 6.3 13% -1.5 / 17.25 (-9%) 11.3 / 26.25 (43%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
3rd Dec '16 UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale 28 10.3 37% 13.8 / 24.5 (56%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
26th Nov '16 UFC Fight Night 101 47 -0.1 -0% -9.6 / 37 (-26%) 9.5 / 10 (95%)
19th Nov '16 UFC Fight Night 100 Bader vs. Nogueira 2 50.5 7.7 15% -4.4 / 38 (-12%) 12.1 / 12.5 (97%)
19th Nov '16 UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall 12.5 -3.1 -25% -3.1 / 12.5 (-25%)
12th Nov '16 UFC 205 - New York City 52.25 5.2 10% -9.6 / 22.75 (-42%) 14.7 / 29.5 (50%)
5th Nov '16 UFC Mexico City 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
8th Oct '16 UFC 204 - Bisping vs. Henderson 2 25 -6.4 -26% -9.0 / 9 (-100%) 3.6 / 15 (24%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)


Winning Events: 11 (42%)
Losing Events: 15 (58%)

Average Staked Per Event: 31.88 units
Most Staked On One Event: 53.50 units
Best Event: 19.19 units
Worst Event: -37.25 units
Average Event: -3.19 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 24.45
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -65.71

Jonathan Conrad: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2017 481 -65.4 -14% -18.3 / 315 (-6%) -33.0 / 152 (-22%) -14.0 / 14 (-100%) 7 / 8 (47%) -4.36
2016 347.75 -17.5 -5% -71.2 / 230 (-31%) 58.3 / 113.25 (51%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) 4 / 7 (36%) -1.59

Jonathan Conrad: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Jonathan Conrad: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 828.75 -82.8 -10% -89.6 / 545 (-16%) 25.2 / 265.25 (10%) -18.5 / 18.5 (-100%)

Jonathan Conrad: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 10 (9%) 9 90 % 59.00 14.80 1.48 25%
Slight Favorites 54 (48%) 24 44 % 285.00 -49.25 -0.91 -17%
Slight Underdogs 38 (34%) 11 29 % 165.75 -65.71 -1.73 -40%
Big Underdogs 11 (10%) 4 36 % 35.25 10.60 0.96 30%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 11 (10%) 4 36 % 54.00 -13.65 -1.24 -25%
Co-Main Event 8 (7%) 3 38 % 41.50 -9.16 -1.15 -22%
Position 3-5 28 (25%) 13 46 % 134.00 -9.18 -0.33 -7%
6+ (Undercard) 66 (58%) 28 42 % 315.50 -57.57 -0.87 -18%

Jonathan Conrad: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 11 (10%) 5 45 % 54.00 -5.85 -0.53 -11%
Light Heavy 12 (11%) 5 42 % 60.50 -15.83 -1.32 -26%
Middleweight 16 (14%) 8 50 % 79.50 -0.77 -0.05 -1%
Welterweight 22 (19%) 11 50 % 109.50 3.18 0.14 3%
Lightweight 15 (13%) 6 40 % 66.00 -9.05 -0.60 -14%
Featherweight 10 (9%) 2 20 % 41.00 -20.30 -2.03 -50%
Bantamweight 15 (13%) 6 40 % 69.50 -20.26 -1.35 -29%
Flyweight 6 (5%) 3 50 % 34.00 -7.24 -1.21 -21%
               
Women's Fights 6 (5%) 2 33 % 31.00 -13.44 -2.24 -43%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 1 50 % 12.00 -2.47 -1.24 -21%
Strawweight 3 (3%) 1 33 % 14.00 -5.97 -1.99 -43%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 13 (34%) 7 54 %
Slight Favorites 15 (39%) 7 47 %
Slight Underdogs 7 (18%) 2 29 %
Big Underdogs 3 (8%) 1 33 %
38 17 45 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (1%) 1 100 %
50-65% 39 (57%) 25 64 %
35-50% 20 (29%) 9 45 %
<35% chance 8 (12%) 1 13 %
68 36 53 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 24 (35%) 18 75 % 1.79 2.50Pick was correct 1.49Pick was correct 8.7 (36%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 27 (40%) 13 48 % 2.04 3.30Pick was incorrect 1.63Pick was correct -1.0 (-4%)
Goes to Decision 3 (4%) 2 67 % 1.99 2.50Pick was incorrect 1.56Pick was correct 0.7 (24%)
X Wins by KO 2 (3%) 0 0 % 3.44 3.66Pick was incorrect 3.25Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (1%) 0 0 % 4.17 4.17Pick was incorrect 4.17Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 8 (12%) 2 25 % 2.75 4.50Pick was incorrect 1.95Pick was correct -3.2 (-40%)
X Wins Inside Distance 3 (4%) 1 33 % 2.38 2.60Pick was incorrect 2.18Pick was correct -0.8 (-27%)
68 36 53 % 2.05     1.4 (2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Jonathan Conrad's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
8th Oct UFC 204 - Bisping vs. Henderson 2 25 -6.4 -26% $30 $10.00 $1,000.00 $905.94
5th Nov UFC Mexico City 6 -6.0 -100% $30 $9.06 $905.94 $821.59
12th Nov UFC 205 - New York City 52.25 5.2 10% $30 $8.22 $821.59 $834.14
19th Nov UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall 12.5 -3.1 -25% $30 $8.34 $834.14 $778.52
19th Nov UFC Fight Night 100 Bader vs. Nogueira 2 50.5 7.7 15% $30 $7.79 $778.52 $808.77
26th Nov UFC Fight Night 101 47 -0.1 -0% $30 $8.09 $808.77 $778.28
3rd Dec UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale 28 10.3 37% $30 $7.78 $778.28 $828.22
9th Dec UFC Fight Night 102 Albany 47 6.3 13% $30 $8.28 $828.22 $850.01
10th Dec UFC 206 21.25 -11.7 -55% $30 $8.50 $850.01 $720.76
17th Dec UFC on Fox 22 44 -16.4 -37% $30 $7.21 $720.76 $572.24
31st Dec UFC 207 14.25 -3.2 -23% $30 $5.72 $572.24 $523.64
15th Jan UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn 40.75 19.2 47% $30 $5.24 $523.64 $594.11
28th Jan UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena 26 -6.9 -27% $30 $5.94 $594.11 $522.97
4th Feb UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez 43 -14.2 -33% $30 $5.23 $522.97 $418.95
11th Feb UFC 208 38 -21.3 -56% $30 $4.19 $418.95 $299.62
19th Feb UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne 47.75 -23.3 -49% $30 $3.00 $299.62 $199.79
4th Mar UFC 209 53.5 4.3 8% $30 $2.00 $199.79 $178.44
11th Mar UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum 8 5.7 72% $30 $1.78 $178.44 $158.69
8th Apr UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 52.75 -10.1 -19% $30 $1.59 $158.69 $112.67
15th Apr UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 35 8.2 24% $30 $1.13 $112.67 $91.94
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 37.25 -37.3 -100% $30 $0.92 $91.94 $27.70
13th May UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 23.5 3.6 16% $30 $0.28 $27.70 $0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
28th May UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 21 13.7 65% $30 $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,106.78
17th Jun UFC Fight Night 111 16.5 7.1 43% $30 $11.07 $1,106.78 $1,155.63
25th Jun UFC Fight Night 112 16.5 -9.3 -56% $30 $11.56 $1,155.63 $1,018.16
29th Jul UFC 214 21.5 -4.9 -23% $30 $10.18 $1,018.16 $937.76


ROI % from starting bank balance: -106.22% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Jonathan Conrad: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '17 Paid Pick Calvin Kattar Andre Fili 4.15 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '17 Russell Doane Kwan Ho Kwak 2.05 3.5 TKO, R1 (4:9) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '17 Paid Pick Trevor Smith Chris Camozzi 2.30 2.75 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '17 Peter Sobotta Ben Saunders 1.95 5 TKO, R2 (2:29) MMA Bookmaker
5. May '17 David Branch Krzysztof Jotko 2.45 3.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '17 Paid Pick Demian Maia Jorge Masvidal 2.00 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. May '17 Paid Pick Stipe Miocic Junior dos Santos 1.71 5 TKO, R1 (2:22) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '17 Paid Pick Tim Elliott Louis Smolka 1.53 7 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '17 Paid Pick Robert Whittaker Ronaldo Souza 3.00 5 TKO, R2 (3:28) MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '17 Paid Pick Patrick Cummins Jan Blachowicz 2.00 4.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '17 Paid Pick Charles Oliveira Will Brooks 2.90 3.5 Sub, R1 (2:30) MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '17 Paid Pick Gegard Mousasi Chris Weidman 1.87 7 TKO, R2 (3:13) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '17 Paid Pick Ray Borg Jussier Formiga 1.77 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '17 Paid Pick Edson Barboza Beneil Dariush 1.67 4 TKO, R2 (3:35) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '17 Paid Pick Darren Elkins Mirsad Bektic 6.20 2 TKO, R3 (3:19) MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '17 Paid Pick Tyson Pedro Paul Craig 1.74 6.5 TKO, R1 (4:10) MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '17 Paid Pick Alistair Overeem Mark Hunt 1.71 8 TKO, R3 (1:44) MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '17 Paid Pick Tyron Woodley Stephen Thompson 2.15 6 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '17 Paid Pick Aiemann Zahabi Reginaldo Vieira 1.38 4.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '17 Paul Felder Alex Ricci 1.27 7 TKO, R1 (4:44) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '17 Josh Burkman Drew Dober 3.50 2.5 TKO, R1 (3:4) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '17 Paid Pick Renan Barao Aljamain Sterling 2.05 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '17 Jason Knight Ricardo Lamas 1.87 3.5 TKO, R1 (4:34) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '17 Donald Cerrone Robbie Lawler 2.30 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '17 Paid Pick B.J. Penn Dennis Siver 2.75 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '17 Paid Pick Michael Chiesa Kevin Lee 2.20 4 Sub, R1 (4:37) No MMA Bookmaker
7. May '17 Paid Pick Rashad Coulter Chase Sherman 1.87 3 TKO, R2 (3:36) No MMA Bookmaker
8. May '17 Paid Pick Yair Rodriguez Frankie Edgar 2.20 7 TKO, R2 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '17 Paid Pick Joe Lauzon Stevie Ray 2.60 3.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '17 Paid Pick Dustin Ortiz Brandon Moreno 1.77 6 Sub, R2 (4:6) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '17 Paid Pick Joe Proctor Bryan Barberena 3.70 3.5 TKO, R1 (3:30) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '17 Paid Pick Matt Schnell Hector Sandoval 2.00 8 TKO, R1 (4:24) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '17 Paid Pick Michelle Waterson Rose Namajunas 1.95 4.5 Sub, R2 (2:47) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '17 Paid Pick Roy Nelson Alexander Volkov 2.35 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '17 Paid Pick Charles Rosa Shane Burgos 2.95 4.5 TKO, R3 (1:59) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '17 Irene Aldana Katlyn Chookagian 2.35 6 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '17 Paid Pick Anthony Johnson Daniel Cormier 1.77 7 Sub, R2 (3:37) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '17 Paid Pick Luke Sanders Yuri Alcantara 1.71 4 Sub, R2 (3:13) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '17 Luis Henrique Marcin Tybura 2.40 6 TKO, R3 (3:46) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '17 Paid Pick Daniel Spitz Mark Godbeer 2.25 4.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Jonathan Conrad: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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