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Total MMA Handicappers: 1414 Profitable MMA Handicappers: 572 |
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Straight Pick Stats |
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Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
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| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Main Event | 37 (21%) | 14 | 38 % | 83.00 | -13.14 | -0.36 | -16% |
| Co-Main Event | 21 (12%) | 6 | 29 % | 47.00 | -21.22 | -1.01 | -45% |
| Position 3-5 | 53 (30%) | 27 | 51 % | 115.50 | 2.70 | 0.05 | 2% |
| 6+ (Undercard) | 63 (36%) | 36 | 57 % | 137.70 | 36.46 | 0.58 | 26% |
by Weight Class
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Heavyweight | 12 (7%) | 6 | 50 % | 23.80 | 3.91 | 0.33 | 16% |
| Light Heavy | 16 (9%) | 6 | 38 % | 37.70 | -10.23 | -0.64 | -27% |
| Middleweight | 17 (10%) | 9 | 53 % | 31.70 | 8.04 | 0.47 | 25% |
| Welterweight | 35 (20%) | 17 | 49 % | 79.00 | -4.18 | -0.12 | -5% |
| Lightweight | 28 (16%) | 15 | 54 % | 59.00 | 13.01 | 0.46 | 22% |
| Featherweight | 18 (10%) | 10 | 56 % | 37.50 | 8.28 | 0.46 | 22% |
| Bantamweight | 20 (11%) | 7 | 35 % | 48.50 | -16.98 | -0.85 | -35% |
| Flyweight | 3 (2%) | 2 | 67 % | 6.70 | 2.20 | 0.73 | 33% |
| Women's Fights | 26 (15%) | 12 | 46 % | 62.30 | 3.46 | 0.13 | 6% |
| Featherweight | 3 (2%) | 1 | 33 % | 8.00 | -1.50 | -0.50 | -19% |
| Bantamweight | 8 (5%) | 4 | 50 % | 18.50 | 4.22 | 0.53 | 23% |
| Bantamweight | 5 (3%) | 3 | 60 % | 11.30 | 2.88 | 0.58 | 25% |
| Strawweight | 10 (6%) | 4 | 40 % | 24.50 | -2.15 | -0.21 | -9% |
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)
Straight picks within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| Big Favorites | 139 (70%) | 112 | 81 % |
| Slight Favorites | 58 (29%) | 36 | 62 % |
| Slight Underdogs | 2 (1%) | 1 | 50 % |
| Big Underdogs | 0 (0%) | 0 | 0 % |
| 199 | 149 | 75 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| >65% chance | 7 (10%) | 6 | 86 % |
| 50-65% | 21 (30%) | 10 | 48 % |
| 35-50% | 21 (30%) | 10 | 48 % |
| <35% chance | 20 (29%) | 4 | 20 % |
| 69 | 30 | 43 % |
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
| Prop Type | Picks | Correct | % Correct | Avg Odds |
Longest Odds |
Shortest Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) | 19 (28%) | 13 | 68 % | 1.61 | 2.25 |
1.40 |
2.4 (13%) |
| Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) | 5 (7%) | 2 | 40 % | 2.24 | 3.10 |
1.77 |
-1.3 (-26%) |
| X Wins by KO | 9 (13%) | 1 | 11 % | 2.52 | 5.00 |
1.57 |
-5.3 (-58%) |
| X Wins by Sub | 5 (7%) | 3 | 60 % | 4.11 | 15.00 |
2.60 |
15.6 (312%) |
| X Wins by Decision | 13 (19%) | 1 | 8 % | 3.17 | 4.00 |
1.91 |
-9.0 (-69%) |
| X Wins Inside Distance | 8 (12%) | 4 | 50 % | 2.17 | 2.60 |
1.71 |
1.8 (22%) |
| Others | 10 (14%) | 6 | 60 % | 2.16 | 4.20 |
1.72 |
2.4 (24%) |
| 69 | 30 | 43 % | 2.21 | 6.7 (10%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.
Tail handicapper's bets
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date | Event | Bet | Won | ROI | Fee | 1 unit = | Start | End |
| 15th Jan | UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn | 2 | 2.9 | 145% | $10.00 | $1,000.00 | $1,029.00 | |
| 28th Jan | UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena | 2.5 | -0.0 | -1% | $10.29 | $1,029.00 | $1,028.75 | |
| 4th Feb | UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez | 3 | 4.5 | 150% | $10.29 | $1,028.75 | $1,075.05 | |
| 11th Feb | UFC 208 | 3 | 1.9 | 65% | $10.75 | $1,075.05 | $1,096.01 | |
| 19th Feb | UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne | 5 | 4.3 | 87% | $10.96 | $1,096.01 | $1,143.45 | |
| 4th Mar | UFC 209 | 6.5 | -2.0 | -30% | $11.43 | $1,143.45 | $1,121.16 | |
| 11th Mar | UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum | 4.5 | 2.5 | 55% | $11.21 | $1,121.16 | $1,149.10 | |
| 18th Mar | UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson | 8 | 2.2 | 28% | $11.49 | $1,149.10 | $1,174.43 | |
| 8th Apr | UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 | 5 | -1.2 | -24% | $11.74 | $1,174.43 | $1,160.52 | |
| 15th Apr | UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis | 8 | -5.0 | -62% | $11.61 | $1,160.52 | $1,102.50 | |
| 21st Apr | Bellator 178: Straus vs. Freire 4 | 1 | -1.0 | -100% | $11.02 | $1,102.50 | $1,091.47 | |
| 22nd Apr | UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov | 6 | 2.3 | 38% | $10.91 | $1,091.47 | $1,116.45 | |
| 13th May | UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos | 9.5 | -2.5 | -26% | $11.16 | $1,116.45 | $1,088.77 | |
| 20th May | Invicta FC 23 Porto vs. Niedzwiedz | 1 | 1.5 | 147% | $10.89 | $1,088.77 | $1,104.79 | |
| 28th May | UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira | 9.5 | -1.4 | -15% | $11.05 | $1,104.79 | $1,089.19 | |
| 3rd Jun | UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway | 6 | -1.1 | -19% | $10.89 | $1,089.19 | $1,076.97 | |
| 10th Jun | UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis | 5.5 | -3.3 | -60% | $10.77 | $1,076.97 | $1,041.46 | |
| 17th Jun | UFC Fight Night 111 | 8.5 | -0.2 | -3% | $10.41 | $1,041.46 | $1,039.06 | |
| 25th Jun | UFC Fight Night 112 | 8 | -3.7 | -47% | $10.39 | $1,039.06 | $1,000.34 | |
| 7th Jul | TUF Season 25 Finale | 5.5 | -2.5 | -45% | $10.00 | $1,000.34 | $975.67 | |
| 8th Jul | UFC 213 | 3 | -3.0 | -100% | $9.76 | $975.67 | $946.40 | |
| 16th Jul | UFC Fight Night 113 | 8 | -8.0 | -100% | $9.46 | $946.40 | $870.69 | |
| 22nd Jul | ACB 65: Silva vs Agnaev | 2 | -2.0 | -100% | $8.71 | $870.69 | $853.27 | |
| 22nd Jul | UFC on Fox 25 | 8.5 | -2.7 | -32% | $8.53 | $853.27 | $830.39 | |
| 29th Jul | UFC 214 | 5.5 | -2.4 | -43% | $8.30 | $830.39 | $810.87 | |
| 5th Aug | UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno | 5.5 | 2.7 | 49% | $8.11 | $810.87 | $832.86 | |
| 2nd Sep | UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov | 4.5 | 0.4 | 9% | $8.33 | $832.86 | $836.19 | |
| 9th Sep | UFC 215 | 7 | -7.0 | -100% | $8.36 | $836.19 | $777.66 | |
| 16th Sep | UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch | 5.5 | 2.0 | 36% | $7.78 | $777.66 | $793.21 | |
| 22nd Sep | UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 | 5.5 | -5.5 | -100% | $7.93 | $793.21 | $749.58 | |
| 6th Oct | Bellator 184 Dantas vs. Caldwell | 2 | 3.0 | 150% | $7.50 | $749.58 | $772.07 | |
| 7th Oct | UFC 216 | 6.5 | -6.5 | -100% | $7.72 | $772.07 | $721.88 | |
| 21st Oct | UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk | 7 | -2.1 | -31% | $7.22 | $721.88 | $706.39 | |
| 28th Oct | UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo | 5 | -1.9 | -38% | $7.06 | $706.39 | $692.95 | |
| 4th Nov | UFC 217 | 10 | -4.0 | -40% | $6.93 | $692.95 | $665.23 | |
| 11th Nov | UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia | 9.5 | -3.2 | -34% | $6.65 | $665.23 | $643.95 | |
| 18th Nov | UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney | 5 | -1.5 | -31% | $6.44 | $643.95 | $634.03 | |
| 25th Nov | UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum | 5.4 | 2.9 | 54% | $6.34 | $634.03 | $652.42 | |
| 2nd Dec | TUF 26 Finale | 1.2 | -1.2 | -100% | $6.52 | $652.42 | $644.59 | |
| 2nd Dec | UFC 218 | 12.5 | -3.1 | -25% | $6.45 | $644.59 | $624.64 | |
| 9th Dec | UFC Fight Night 123 | 7.5 | -3.0 | -40% | $6.25 | $624.64 | $605.90 | |
| 16th Dec | UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos | 8 | 3.2 | 41% | $6.06 | $605.90 | $625.59 | |
| 31st Dec | UFC 219 | 7.5 | 1.2 | 16% | $6.26 | $625.59 | $633.07 | |
| 14th Jan | UFC Fight Night 124 | 7.5 | 9.0 | 120% | $6.33 | $633.07 | $689.86 | |
| 20th Jan | UFC 220 | 6 | 0.5 | 9% | $6.90 | $689.86 | $693.55 | |
| 27th Jan | UFC on Fox 27 | 7 | 2.3 | 33% | $6.94 | $693.55 | $709.50 | |
| 4th Feb | UFC Fight Night 125 | 7.2 | 3.1 | 43% | $7.10 | $709.50 | $731.50 | |
| 10th Feb | UFC 221 | 8 | 2.3 | 29% | $7.31 | $731.50 | $748.52 | |
| 18th Feb | UFC Fight Night 126 | 6 | 2.3 | 39% | $7.49 | $748.52 | $766.01 | |
| 24th Feb | UFC on Fox 28 | 5.5 | -1.2 | -23% | $7.66 | $766.01 | $756.51 | |
| 3rd Mar | UFC 222 | 10.5 | 3.7 | 36% | $7.57 | $756.51 | $784.82 | |
| 17th Mar | UFC Fight Night 127 | 8 | -8.0 | -100% | $7.85 | $784.82 | $722.03 | |
| 7th Apr | UFC 223 | 7 | 2.1 | 30% | $7.22 | $722.03 | $737.19 | |
| 14th Apr | UFC on Fox 29 | 8 | 1.8 | 22% | $7.37 | $737.19 | $750.20 | |
| 21st Apr | UFC Fight Night 128 | 9 | -4.6 | -51% | $7.50 | $750.20 | $715.65 | |
| 12th May | UFC 224 | 10 | 4.2 | 42% | $7.16 | $715.65 | $745.77 | |
| 19th May | UFC Fight Night 129 | 9.5 | -3.0 | -32% | $7.46 | $745.77 | $723.28 | |
| 27th May | UFC Fight Night 130 | 10 | -2.9 | -29% | $7.23 | $723.28 | $702.30 | |
| 1st Jun | UFC Fight Night 131 | 9 | 2.5 | 28% | $7.02 | $702.30 | $720.14 | |
| 9th Jun | UFC 225 | 12.8 | 4.6 | 36% | $7.20 | $720.14 | $753.15 | |
| 23rd Jun | UFC Fight Night 132 | 10 | 1.2 | 12% | $7.53 | $753.15 | $762.48 | |
| 26th Jun | DWTNCS 11 | 3 | 3.3 | 110% | $7.62 | $762.48 | $787.64 | |
| 28th Jun | BAMMA London: McKee vs Brazier | 1 | -1.0 | -100% | $7.88 | $787.64 | $779.76 | |
| 7th Jul | TUF 27 Finale | 7.3 | -2.4 | -32% | $7.80 | $779.76 | $761.36 | |
| 7th Jul | UFC 226 | 12.2 | -6.5 | -53% | $7.61 | $761.36 | $711.78 | |
| 14th Jul | UFC Fight Night 133 | 8 | -1.7 | -22% | $7.12 | $711.78 | $699.46 | |
| 22nd Jul | UFC Fight Night 134 | 9 | 6.6 | 73% | $6.99 | $699.46 | $745.69 | |
| 28th Jul | UFC on Fox 30 | 10.5 | 0.3 | 3% | $7.46 | $745.69 | $747.93 | |
| 4th Aug | UFC 227 | 8.5 | 3.2 | 38% | $7.48 | $747.93 | $771.86 | |
| 17th Aug | Bellator 204 | 5 | 2.0 | 40% | $7.72 | $771.86 | $787.30 | |
| 25th Aug | UFC Fight Night 135 | 9 | 0.3 | 3% | $7.87 | $787.30 | $789.77 | |
| 1st Sep | Cage Warriors 96 | 4 | -0.1 | -3% | $7.90 | $789.77 | $788.90 | |
| 1st Sep | Invicta FC 31 | 4 | 1.5 | 36% | $7.89 | $788.90 | $800.37 | |
| 8th Sep | UFC 228 | 11.5 | 10.9 | 95% | $8.00 | $800.37 | $887.43 | |
| 15th Sep | UFC FIght Night Moscow | 10.5 | -5.5 | -52% | $8.87 | $887.43 | $838.82 | |
| 22nd Sep | UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo | 10 | -4.3 | -43% | $8.39 | $838.82 | $802.98 | |
| 29th Sep | Cage Warriors 97 | 3 | 1.8 | 61% | $8.03 | $802.98 | $817.76 | |
| 29th Sep | Bellator 206 | 2 | 2.6 | 130% | $8.18 | $817.76 | $839.02 | |
| 6th Oct | KSW 45 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 91% | $8.39 | $839.02 | $855.80 | |
| 6th Oct | UFC 229 | 10.5 | 5.9 | 56% | $8.56 | $855.80 | $905.88 | |
| 12th Oct | Bellator 207 | 2 | 3.5 | 175% | $9.06 | $905.88 | $937.59 | |
| 13th Oct | Bellator 208 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 91% | $9.38 | $937.59 | $956.34 | |
| 20th Oct | Cage Warriors 98 | 6 | 6.4 | 106% | $9.56 | $956.34 | $1,017.09 | |
| 27th Oct | UFC Fight Night 138 | 8.75 | 0.5 | 6% | $10.17 | $1,017.09 | $1,022.68 | |
| 3rd Nov | UFC 230 | 10 | 4.3 | 43% | $10.23 | $1,022.68 | $1,066.38 | |
| 10th Nov | UFC Fight Night Denver | 8.5 | 12.7 | 149% | $10.66 | $1,066.38 | $1,201.78 | |
| 15th Nov | Bellator 209 | 4 | -4.0 | -100% | $12.02 | $1,201.78 | $1,153.71 | |
| 17th Nov | UFC Fight Night 140 | 10 | 1.2 | 12% | $11.54 | $1,153.71 | $1,167.52 | |
| 24th Nov | UFC Fight Night 141 | 6.7 | -1.2 | -18% | $11.68 | $1,167.52 | $1,153.63 | |
| 30th Nov | TUF Finale | 4.5 | 4.2 | 94% | $11.54 | $1,153.63 | $1,202.65 | |
| 1st Dec | KSW 46 | 3 | 2.2 | 72% | $12.03 | $1,202.65 | $1,228.61 | |
| 1st Dec | UFC Fight Night 142 | 11.5 | 5.8 | 50% | $12.29 | $1,228.61 | $1,299.77 | |
| 8th Dec | Cage Warriors 100 | 3 | 1.9 | 63% | $13.00 | $1,299.77 | $1,324.14 | |
| 8th Dec | UFC 231 | 8.5 | -3.5 | -41% | $13.24 | $1,324.14 | $1,277.79 | |
| 15th Dec | Bellator 212 | 2 | -2.0 | -100% | $12.78 | $1,277.79 | $1,252.24 | |
| 15th Dec | Fight Night Milwaukee | 7 | 8.0 | 114% | $12.52 | $1,252.24 | $1,352.42 | |
| 15th Dec | Bellator 213 | 2 | 2.4 | 120% | $13.52 | $1,352.42 | $1,384.87 | |
| 29th Dec | UFC 232 | 12 | 3.2 | 26% | $13.85 | $1,384.87 | $1,428.73 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 42.87% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.
Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | |||
| 1. | Dec '18 | Nathaniel Wood | Andre Ewell | 2.00 | 2 | Sub, R3 (4:12) | 
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| 2. | Dec '18 | Corey Anderson | Ilir Latifi | 2.38 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) | 
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| 3. | Dec '18 | Edson Barboza | Daniel Hooker | 2.05 | 2 | TKO, R3 (2:19) | 
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| 4. | Dec '18 | Mike Rodriguez | Adam Milstead | 2.70 | 2 | TKO, R1 (2:59) |
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| 5. | Dec '18 | Joaquim Silva | Jared Gordon | 2.75 | 2 | TKO, R3 (2:39) | 
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| 6. | Dec '18 | Max Holloway | Brian Ortega | 2.00 | 2.5 | TKO, R4 (5:0) |
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| 7. | Dec '18 | Jack Shore | Mike Ekundayo | 1.63 | 3 | TKO, R3 (4:7) | 
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| 8. | Nov '18 | Juan Espino | Justin Frazier | 1.82 | 2.5 | Sub, R1 (3:36) |
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| 9. | Nov '18 | Joseph Benavidez | Alex Perez | 2.10 | 2 | TKO, R1 (4:19) | 
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| 10. | Dec '18 | Salahdine Parnasse | Marcin Wrzosek | 1.72 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 11. | Dec '18 | Junior dos Santos | Tai Tuivasa | 1.67 | 3 | TKO, R2 (2:30) |
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| 12. | Nov '18 | Michel Prazeres | Bartosz Fabinski | 1.79 | 3 | Sub, R1 (1:2) | 
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| 13. | Nov '18 | Beneil Dariush | Thiago Moises | 1.77 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 14. | Nov '18 | Mike Trizano | Luis Pena | 4.10 | 1.5 | Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 15. | Nov '18 | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Adam Wieczorek | 3.50 | 1.5 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 16. | Oct '18 | Sean Strickland | Nordine Taleb | 2.15 | 2 | TKO, R2 (3:10) |
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| 17. | Oct '18 | Stevie Ray | Jessin Ayari | 1.67 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 18. | Oct '18 | Adam Proctor | Angelo Rubino | 2.20 | 1 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 19. | Oct '18 | Adam Proctor | Angelo Rubino | 2.20 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 20. | Oct '18 | Ross Houston | Stefano Paterno | 1.92 | 3 | Split Decision (5 rounds) |
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Last 20 Losses
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | Hedge? | |||
| 1. | Dec '18 | Carlos Condit | Michael Chiesa | 2.50 | 2 | Sub, R2 (0:56) | No |
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| 2. | Dec '18 | Cat Zingano | Megan Anderson | 1.74 | 3 | TKO, R1 (1:1) | No |
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| 3. | Dec '18 | Frank Mir | Javy Ayala | 2.15 | 2 | TKO, R2 (4:30) | No |
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| 4. | Dec '18 | Alex Oliveira | Gunnar Nelson | 2.25 | 2 | Sub, R2 (4:17) | No |
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| 5. | Dec '18 | Jake Matthews | Tony Martin | 1.91 | 2.2 | Sub, R3 (1:19) | No |
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| 6. | Nov '18 | Kenan Song | Alex Morono | 1.91 | 2.2 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No | 
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| 7. | Nov '18 | Phil Davis | Vadim Nemkov | 1.50 | 4 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No | 
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| 8. | Nov '18 | Poliana Botelho | Cynthia Calvillo | 2.00 | 2 | Sub, R1 (4:48) | No |
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| 9. | Nov '18 | Hector Aldana | Laureano Staropoli | 3.10 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 10. | Nov '18 | Chris Weidman | Ronaldo Souza | 1.65 | 3 | TKO, R3 (2:46) | No |
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| 11. | Oct '18 | Marcelo Golm | Arjan Bhullar | 2.90 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 12. | Oct '18 | Conor McGregor | Khabib Nurmagomedov | 2.60 | 2 | Sub, R4 (3:2) | No |
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| 13. | Sep '18 | Eryk Anders | Thiago Santos | 2.50 | 2 | TKO, R3 (5:0) | No |
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| 14. | Sep '18 | Renan Barao | Andre Ewell | 1.87 | 3 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 15. | Sep '18 | Luis Henrique | Ryan Spann | 2.85 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 16. | Sep '18 | Mark Hunt | Aleksei Oleinik | 1.83 | 2 | Sub, R1 (4:26) | No |
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| 17. | Sep '18 | Cody Stamann | Aljamain Sterling | 2.45 | 2 | Sub, R2 (3:42) | No |
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| 18. | Sep '18 | Paddy Pimblett | Soren Bak | 2.10 | 2 | U Decision (5 rounds) | No |
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| 19. | Sep '18 | Nikita Krylov | Jan Blachowicz | 1.99 | 3 | Sub, R2 (2:41) | No |
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| 20. | Aug '18 | Luke Sanders | Rani Yahya | 2.07 | 2 | Sub, R1 (1:31) | No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.
Progress Chart
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