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MMA Handicapper Stats: Mitch Williams

Mitch Williams (MitchellTylor)


MMA MHandicapper - Mitch Williams

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 51 (49%) Right 38 (51%) Right 10 (45%) Right 3 (43%)
Wrong 53 (51%) Wrong 37 (49%) Wrong 12 (55%) Wrong 4 (57%)
Avg Odds 1.92 Avg Odds 1.80 Avg Odds 2.36 Avg Odds 2.32
Units Bet 179.2 Units Bet 135.4 Units Bet 26.3 Units Bet 17.5
Avg Bet 1.72 Avg Bet 1.81 Avg Bet 1.20 Avg Bet 2.50
Units Profit -15.74 Units Profit -12.10 Units Profit -0.12 Units Profit -3.52
ROI % -9% ROI % -9% ROI % -0% ROI % -20%
View Handicapper's Profile

Mitch Williams: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 16 -6.2 -39% -3.7 / 10 (-37%) -2.5 / 6 (-42%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 8 -3.5 -44% 1.5 / 3 (50%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 6.5 7.9 122% 7.9 / 6.5 (122%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th May '18 Bellator 199 3.5 -0.4 -12% -0.4 / 3.5 (-12%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 7 -2.7 -39% -2.7 / 7 (-39%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 19 2.4 13% 2.4 / 19 (13%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 17 -12.3 -72% -7.3 / 12 (-61%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 9 -5.4 -60% -5.4 / 9 (-60%)
11th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 6 -0.1 -2% -0.7 / 5 (-15%) 0.6 / 1 (64%)
4th Nov '17 UFC 217 9.1 5.7 63% 5.8 / 9 (65%) -0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
28th Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo 5 -0.1 -2% -0.1 / 5 (-2%)
21st Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 3 0.1 4% 0.1 / 3 (4%)
10th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 5.25 -5.3 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
15th Apr '17 UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 2.45 -0.2 -10% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 0.0 / 1.7 (3%) 0.2 / 0.25 (84%)
4th Mar '17 UFC 209 5.82 -1.2 -21% -1.2 / 5.82 (-21%)
19th Feb '17 UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne 1.5 2.0 130% 2.0 / 1.5 (130%)
4th Feb '17 UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez 2 1.8 91% 1.8 / 2 (91%)
28th Jan '17 UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena 3 5.0 165% 5.0 / 3 (165%)
10th Dec '16 UFC 206 8 1.4 17% 1.4 / 8 (17%)
26th Nov '16 UFC Fight Night 101 5 1.3 25% 2.3 / 4 (57%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Nov '16 UFC Fight Night 100 Bader vs. Nogueira 2 7 6.1 87% -0.9 / 6 (-15%) 7.0 / 1 (700%)
19th Nov '16 UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall 5 1.2 25% 1.2 / 5 (25%)
24th Sep '16 UFC Fight Night 95 - Brasilia 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
17th Sep '16 UFC Fight Night 94 - Poirier vs. Johnson 3 2.1 71% 0.5 / 1 (53%) 1.6 / 2 (79%)
10th Sep '16 UFC 203 - Miocic vs. Overeem 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Sep '16 UFC Fight Night - Arlovski vs. Barnett 6.1 0.8 13% -1.7 / 3.1 (-56%) 2.6 / 3 (85%)


Winning Events: 13 (46%)
Losing Events: 15 (54%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.40 units
Most Staked On One Event: 19.00 units
Best Event: 7.90 units
Worst Event: -12.29 units
Average Event: -0.56 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 18.71
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -17.84

Mitch Williams: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 16 -6.2 -39% -3.7 / 10 (-37%) -2.5 / 6 (-42%) / 1 (0%) -6.23
2018 80 -24.0 -30% -11.3 / 63 (-18%) -7.7 / 12 (-64%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 2 / 7 (22%) -2.67
2017 43.12 7.6 18% 0.1 / 35.32 (0%) 2.5 / 4.3 (59%) 4.9 / 3.5 (141%) 5 / 5 (50%) 0.76
2016 40.1 6.9 17% 2.8 / 27.1 (10%) 7.6 / 4 (190%) -3.4 / 9 (-38%) 6 / 2 (75%) 0.87

Mitch Williams: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Mitch Williams: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 175.72 -15.3 -9% -11.7 / 131.92 (-9%) -0.1 / 26.3 (-0%) -3.5 / 17.5 (-20%)
Bellator 3.5 -0.4 -12% -0.4 / 3.5 (-12%)

Mitch Williams: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 17 (23%) 12 71 % 32.00 -3.69 -0.22 -12%
Slight Favorites 37 (49%) 18 49 % 71.57 -10.39 -0.28 -15%
Slight Underdogs 14 (19%) 7 50 % 23.75 -4.32 -0.31 -18%
Big Underdogs 7 (9%) 1 14 % 8.10 6.30 0.90 78%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 11 (15%) 3 27 % 29.00 -15.01 -1.36 -52%
Co-Main Event 7 (9%) 3 43 % 11.25 9.56 1.37 85%
Position 3-5 22 (29%) 10 45 % 43.00 -15.52 -0.71 -36%
6+ (Undercard) 35 (47%) 22 63 % 52.17 8.88 0.25 17%

Mitch Williams: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (8%) 3 50 % 9.50 -2.42 -0.40 -25%
Light Heavy 5 (7%) 2 40 % 5.77 -0.02 -0.00 -0%
Middleweight 8 (11%) 5 63 % 14.00 1.81 0.23 13%
Welterweight 16 (21%) 9 56 % 33.50 -4.12 -0.26 -12%
Lightweight 10 (13%) 7 70 % 20.00 3.36 0.34 17%
Featherweight 9 (12%) 3 33 % 19.00 -10.15 -1.13 -53%
Bantamweight 9 (12%) 3 33 % 14.05 -7.14 -0.79 -51%
Flyweight 4 (5%) 3 75 % 10.00 7.85 1.96 79%
               
Women's Fights 8 (11%) 3 38 % 9.60 -1.29 -0.16 -13%
Bantamweight 4 (5%) 1 25 % 3.35 -1.85 -0.46 -55%
Strawweight 4 (5%) 2 50 % 6.25 0.56 0.14 9%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 14 (78%) 11 79 %
Slight Favorites 2 (11%) 2 100 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (11%) 1 50 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
18 14 78 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 3 (13%) 2 67 %
50-65% 8 (33%) 5 63 %
35-50% 7 (29%) 3 43 %
<35% chance 6 (25%) 2 33 %
24 12 50 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (8%) 1 50 % 1.75 1.77Pick was incorrect 1.74Pick was correct -0.3 (-13%)
Does not go to Decision 6 (25%) 5 83 % 1.58 2.00Pick was correct 1.24Pick was correct 2.3 (38%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (4%) 1 100 % 1.19 1.19Pick was correct 1.19Pick was incorrect 0.2 (19%)
X Wins by KO 1 (4%) 0 0 % 2.55 2.55Pick was incorrect 2.55Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 5 (21%) 2 40 % 7.37 11.65Pick was incorrect 3.55Pick was correct 6.6 (131%)
X Wins by Decision 3 (13%) 0 0 % 2.43 5.50Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 6 (25%) 3 50 % 2.07 2.31Pick was incorrect 1.64Pick was correct 0.1 (1%)
24 12 50 % 2.19     4.8 (20%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Mitch Williams's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
3rd Sep UFC Fight Night - Arlovski vs. Barnett 6.1 0.8 13% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,008.22
10th Sep UFC 203 - Miocic vs. Overeem 1 -1.0 -100% $10.08 $1,008.22 $998.14
17th Sep UFC Fight Night 94 - Poirier vs. Johnson 3 2.1 71% $9.98 $998.14 $1,019.28
24th Sep UFC Fight Night 95 - Brasilia 5 -5.0 -100% $10.19 $1,019.28 $968.32
19th Nov UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall 5 1.2 25% $9.68 $968.32 $980.23
19th Nov UFC Fight Night 100 Bader vs. Nogueira 2 7 6.1 87% $9.80 $980.23 $1,040.12
26th Nov UFC Fight Night 101 5 1.3 25% $10.40 $1,040.12 $1,053.22
10th Dec UFC 206 8 1.4 17% $10.53 $1,053.22 $1,067.76
28th Jan UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena 3 5.0 165% $10.68 $1,067.76 $1,120.71
4th Feb UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez 2 1.8 91% $11.21 $1,120.71 $1,141.11
19th Feb UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne 1.5 2.0 130% $11.41 $1,141.11 $1,163.36
4th Mar UFC 209 5.82 -1.2 -21% $11.63 $1,163.36 $1,148.87
15th Apr UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 2.45 -0.2 -10% $11.49 $1,148.87 $1,146.08
10th Jun UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 5.25 -5.3 -100% $11.46 $1,146.08 $1,085.91
21st Oct UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 3 0.1 4% $10.86 $1,085.91 $1,087.33
28th Oct UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo 5 -0.1 -2% $10.87 $1,087.33 $1,085.97
4th Nov UFC 217 9.1 5.7 63% $10.86 $1,085.97 $1,147.96
11th Nov UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 6 -0.1 -2% $11.48 $1,147.96 $1,146.66
20th Jan UFC 220 9 -5.4 -60% $11.47 $1,146.66 $1,084.23
7th Apr UFC 223 17 -12.3 -72% $10.84 $1,084.23 $951.03
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 19 2.4 13% $9.51 $951.03 $974.28
12th May UFC 224 7 -2.7 -39% $9.74 $974.28 $947.78
12th May Bellator 199 3.5 -0.4 -12% $9.48 $947.78 $943.81
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 5 -5.0 -100% $9.44 $943.81 $896.62
4th Aug UFC 227 6.5 7.9 122% $8.97 $896.62 $967.46
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 8 -3.5 -44% $9.67 $967.46 $933.60
8th Sep UFC 228 5 -5.0 -100% $9.34 $933.60 $886.92
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 16 -6.2 -39% $8.87 $886.92 $831.69


ROI % from starting bank balance: -16.83% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Mitch Williams: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '19 Marvin Vettori Cezar Ferreira 1.66 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Karl Roberson Wellington Turman 1.49 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '18 Cortney Casey Angela Hill 2.10 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '18 Rani Yahya Luke Sanders 2.40 1 Sub, R1 (1:31) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '18 Henry Cejudo Demetrious Johnson 4.80 3 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '18 Aaron Pico Lee Morrisson 1.54 2 TKO, R1 (1:10) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '18 Justin Willis Chase Sherman 1.33 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '18 Ryan LaFlare Alex Garcia 1.67 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '18 Daniel Hooker Jim Miller 1.33 3 TKO, R1 (3:0) MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '18 Corey Anderson Patrick Cummins 1.74 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '18 Kevin Lee Edson Barboza 1.67 3 TKO, R5 (2:18) MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '18 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Felice Herrig 1.57 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jan '18 Abdul Razak Alhassan Sabah Homasi 1.56 1 TKO, R1 (3:47) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jan '18 Dustin Ortiz Alexandre Pantoja 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '17 Sean Strickland Court McGee 1.42 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '17 Randy Brown Mickey Gall 2.00 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '17 Stephen Thompson Jorge Masvidal 1.54 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '17 Georges St-Pierre Michael Bisping 1.91 3 Sub, R3 (4:23) MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '17 Colby Covington Demian Maia 1.63 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '17 Andre Fili Artem Lobov 1.56 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '19 Darren Elkins Ryan Hall 1.87 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Mirsad Bektic Josh Emmett 1.65 2 TKO, R1 (4:25) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '19 Aspen Ladd Germaine de Randamie 1.74 2 TKO, R1 (0:16) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '18 Darren Till Tyron Woodley 1.69 5 Sub, R2 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '18 George Sullivan Mickey Gall 3.90 1 Sub, R1 (1:11) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '18 Cub Swanson Renato Moicano 3.65 1 Sub, R1 (4:15) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '18 Cody Garbrandt T.J. Dillashaw 2.10 2.5 TKO, R1 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker
8. May '18 Stephen Thompson Darren Till 2.15 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. May '18 Muhammed Lawal Ryan Bader 3.90 1.5 TKO, R1 (0:15) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '18 Luan Chagas Siyar Bahadurzada 1.71 2 TKO, R2 (2:40) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '18 Brett Johns Aljamain Sterling 1.91 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '18 Evan Dunham Olivier Aubin-Mercier 1.87 2 TKO, R1 (0:53) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '18 Calvin Kattar Renato Moicano 1.91 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '18 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Rose Namajunas 2.00 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jan '18 Shane Burgos Calvin Kattar 1.48 2 TKO, R3 (0:32) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jan '18 Thomas Almeida Rob Font 1.87 2 TKO, R2 (2:26) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jan '18 Volkan Oezdemir Daniel Cormier 3.80 1 TKO, R2 (2:0) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jan '18 Francis Ngannou Stipe Miocic 1.59 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '17 Michel Quinones Sage Northcutt 2.60 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '17 Aiemann Zahabi Ricardo Ramos 2.60 1 TKO, R3 (1:58) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Mitch Williams: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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