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MMA Handicapper Stats: Mitch Williams

Mitch Williams (MitchellTylor)

MMA MHandicapper - Mitch Williams

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	51 (49%)	Right	38 (51%)	Right	10 (45%)	Right	3 (43%)
Wrong	53 (51%)	Wrong	37 (49%)	Wrong	12 (55%)	Wrong	4 (57%)
Avg Odds	1.92	Avg Odds	1.80	Avg Odds	2.36	Avg Odds	2.32
Units Bet	179.2	Units Bet	135.4	Units Bet	26.3	Units Bet	17.5
Avg Bet	1.72	Avg Bet	1.81	Avg Bet	1.20	Avg Bet	2.50
Units Profit	-15.74	Units Profit	-12.10	Units Profit	-0.12	Units Profit	-3.52
ROI %	-9%	ROI %	-9%	ROI %	-0%	ROI %	-20%

Mitch Williams: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Jul '19	UFC Fight Night 155	16	-6.2	-39%	-3.7 / 10 (-37%)	-2.5 / 6 (-42%)
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
25th Aug '18	UFC Fight Night 135	8	-3.5	-44%	1.5 / 3 (50%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
4th Aug '18	UFC 227	6.5	7.9	122%	7.9 / 6.5 (122%)
27th May '18	UFC Fight Night 130	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th May '18	Bellator 199	3.5	-0.4	-12%	-0.4 / 3.5 (-12%)
12th May '18	UFC 224	7	-2.7	-39%		-2.7 / 7 (-39%)
21st Apr '18	UFC Fight Night 128	19	2.4	13%	2.4 / 19 (13%)
7th Apr '18	UFC 223	17	-12.3	-72%	-7.3 / 12 (-61%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
20th Jan '18	UFC 220	9	-5.4	-60%	-5.4 / 9 (-60%)
11th Nov '17	UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia	6	-0.1	-2%	-0.7 / 5 (-15%)	0.6 / 1 (64%)
4th Nov '17	UFC 217	9.1	5.7	63%	5.8 / 9 (65%)	-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
28th Oct '17	UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo	5	-0.1	-2%	-0.1 / 5 (-2%)
21st Oct '17	UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk	3	0.1	4%	0.1 / 3 (4%)
10th Jun '17	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	5.25	-5.3	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)		-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
15th Apr '17	UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis	2.45	-0.2	-10%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	0.0 / 1.7 (3%)	0.2 / 0.25 (84%)
4th Mar '17	UFC 209	5.82	-1.2	-21%	-1.2 / 5.82 (-21%)
19th Feb '17	UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne	1.5	2.0	130%		2.0 / 1.5 (130%)
4th Feb '17	UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez	2	1.8	91%	1.8 / 2 (91%)
28th Jan '17	UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena	3	5.0	165%			5.0 / 3 (165%)
10th Dec '16	UFC 206	8	1.4	17%	1.4 / 8 (17%)
26th Nov '16	UFC Fight Night 101	5	1.3	25%	2.3 / 4 (57%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Nov '16	UFC Fight Night 100 Bader vs. Nogueira 2	7	6.1	87%	-0.9 / 6 (-15%)	7.0 / 1 (700%)
19th Nov '16	UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall	5	1.2	25%	1.2 / 5 (25%)
24th Sep '16	UFC Fight Night 95 - Brasilia	5	-5.0	-100%			-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
17th Sep '16	UFC Fight Night 94 - Poirier vs. Johnson	3	2.1	71%	0.5 / 1 (53%)	1.6 / 2 (79%)
10th Sep '16	UFC 203 - Miocic vs. Overeem	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Sep '16	UFC Fight Night - Arlovski vs. Barnett	6.1	0.8	13%	-1.7 / 3.1 (-56%)		2.6 / 3 (85%)

Winning Events: 13 (46%)
Losing Events: 15 (54%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.40 units
Most Staked On One Event: 19.00 units
Best Event: 7.90 units
Worst Event: -12.29 units
Average Event: -0.56 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 18.71
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -17.84

Mitch Williams: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	16	-6.2	-39%	-3.7 / 10 (-37%)	-2.5 / 6 (-42%)		/ 1 (0%)	-6.23
2018	80	-24.0	-30%	-11.3 / 63 (-18%)	-7.7 / 12 (-64%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	2 / 7 (22%)	-2.67
2017	43.12	7.6	18%	0.1 / 35.32 (0%)	2.5 / 4.3 (59%)	4.9 / 3.5 (141%)	5 / 5 (50%)	0.76
2016	40.1	6.9	17%	2.8 / 27.1 (10%)	7.6 / 4 (190%)	-3.4 / 9 (-38%)	6 / 2 (75%)	0.87

Mitch Williams: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Mitch Williams: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	175.72	-15.3	-9%	-11.7 / 131.92 (-9%)	-0.1 / 26.3 (-0%)	-3.5 / 17.5 (-20%)
Bellator	3.5	-0.4	-12%	-0.4 / 3.5 (-12%)

Mitch Williams: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	17 (23%)	12	71 %	32.00	-3.69	-0.22	-12%
Slight Favorites	37 (49%)	18	49 %	71.57	-10.39	-0.28	-15%
Slight Underdogs	14 (19%)	7	50 %	23.75	-4.32	-0.31	-18%
Big Underdogs	7 (9%)	1	14 %	8.10	6.30	0.90	78%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	11 (15%)	3	27 %	29.00	-15.01	-1.36	-52%
Co-Main Event	7 (9%)	3	43 %	11.25	9.56	1.37	85%
Position 3-5	22 (29%)	10	45 %	43.00	-15.52	-0.71	-36%
6+ (Undercard)	35 (47%)	22	63 %	52.17	8.88	0.25	17%

Mitch Williams: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (8%)	3	50 %	9.50	-2.42	-0.40	-25%
Light Heavy	5 (7%)	2	40 %	5.77	-0.02	-0.00	-0%
Middleweight	8 (11%)	5	63 %	14.00	1.81	0.23	13%
Welterweight	16 (21%)	9	56 %	33.50	-4.12	-0.26	-12%
Lightweight	10 (13%)	7	70 %	20.00	3.36	0.34	17%
Featherweight	9 (12%)	3	33 %	19.00	-10.15	-1.13	-53%
Bantamweight	9 (12%)	3	33 %	14.05	-7.14	-0.79	-51%
Flyweight	4 (5%)	3	75 %	10.00	7.85	1.96	79%

Women's Fights	8 (11%)	3	38 %	9.60	-1.29	-0.16	-13%
Bantamweight	4 (5%)	1	25 %	3.35	-1.85	-0.46	-55%
Strawweight	4 (5%)	2	50 %	6.25	0.56	0.14	9%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	14 (78%)	11	79 %
Slight Favorites	2 (11%)	2	100 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (11%)	1	50 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	18	14	78 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	3 (13%)	2	67 %
50-65%	8 (33%)	5	63 %
35-50%	7 (29%)	3	43 %
<35% chance	6 (25%)	2	33 %
	24	12	50 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (8%)	1	50 %	1.75	1.77	1.74	-0.3 (-13%)
Does not go to Decision	6 (25%)	5	83 %	1.58	2.00	1.24	2.3 (38%)
Fight Starts Round X	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.19	1.19	1.19	0.2 (19%)
X Wins by KO	1 (4%)	0	0 %	2.55	2.55	2.55	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	5 (21%)	2	40 %	7.37	11.65	3.55	6.6 (131%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (13%)	0	0 %	2.43	5.50	1.67	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	6 (25%)	3	50 %	2.07	2.31	1.64	0.1 (1%)
	24	12	50 %	2.19			4.8 (20%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Mitch Williams's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
3rd Sep	UFC Fight Night - Arlovski vs. Barnett	6.1	0.8	13%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,008.22
10th Sep	UFC 203 - Miocic vs. Overeem	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.08	$1,008.22	$998.14
17th Sep	UFC Fight Night 94 - Poirier vs. Johnson	3	2.1	71%		$9.98	$998.14	$1,019.28
24th Sep	UFC Fight Night 95 - Brasilia	5	-5.0	-100%		$10.19	$1,019.28	$968.32
19th Nov	UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall	5	1.2	25%		$9.68	$968.32	$980.23
19th Nov	UFC Fight Night 100 Bader vs. Nogueira 2	7	6.1	87%		$9.80	$980.23	$1,040.12
26th Nov	UFC Fight Night 101	5	1.3	25%		$10.40	$1,040.12	$1,053.22
10th Dec	UFC 206	8	1.4	17%		$10.53	$1,053.22	$1,067.76
28th Jan	UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena	3	5.0	165%		$10.68	$1,067.76	$1,120.71
4th Feb	UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez	2	1.8	91%		$11.21	$1,120.71	$1,141.11
19th Feb	UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne	1.5	2.0	130%		$11.41	$1,141.11	$1,163.36
4th Mar	UFC 209	5.82	-1.2	-21%		$11.63	$1,163.36	$1,148.87
15th Apr	UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis	2.45	-0.2	-10%		$11.49	$1,148.87	$1,146.08
10th Jun	UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis	5.25	-5.3	-100%		$11.46	$1,146.08	$1,085.91
21st Oct	UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk	3	0.1	4%		$10.86	$1,085.91	$1,087.33
28th Oct	UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo	5	-0.1	-2%		$10.87	$1,087.33	$1,085.97
4th Nov	UFC 217	9.1	5.7	63%		$10.86	$1,085.97	$1,147.96
11th Nov	UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia	6	-0.1	-2%		$11.48	$1,147.96	$1,146.66
20th Jan	UFC 220	9	-5.4	-60%		$11.47	$1,146.66	$1,084.23
7th Apr	UFC 223	17	-12.3	-72%		$10.84	$1,084.23	$951.03
21st Apr	UFC Fight Night 128	19	2.4	13%		$9.51	$951.03	$974.28
12th May	UFC 224	7	-2.7	-39%		$9.74	$974.28	$947.78
12th May	Bellator 199	3.5	-0.4	-12%		$9.48	$947.78	$943.81
27th May	UFC Fight Night 130	5	-5.0	-100%		$9.44	$943.81	$896.62
4th Aug	UFC 227	6.5	7.9	122%		$8.97	$896.62	$967.46
25th Aug	UFC Fight Night 135	8	-3.5	-44%		$9.67	$967.46	$933.60
8th Sep	UFC 228	5	-5.0	-100%		$9.34	$933.60	$886.92
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night 155	16	-6.2	-39%		$8.87	$886.92	$831.69

ROI % from starting bank balance: -16.83% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Mitch Williams: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '19	Marvin Vettori	Cezar Ferreira	1.66	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Jul '19	Karl Roberson	Wellington Turman	1.49	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Aug '18	Cortney Casey	Angela Hill	2.10	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Aug '18	Rani Yahya	Luke Sanders	2.40	1	Sub, R1 (1:31)
5.	Aug '18	Henry Cejudo	Demetrious Johnson	4.80	3	Split Decision (5 rounds)
6.	May '18	Aaron Pico	Lee Morrisson	1.54	2	TKO, R1 (1:10)
7.	Apr '18	Justin Willis	Chase Sherman	1.33	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Apr '18	Ryan LaFlare	Alex Garcia	1.67	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Apr '18	Daniel Hooker	Jim Miller	1.33	3	TKO, R1 (3:0)
10.	Apr '18	Corey Anderson	Patrick Cummins	1.74	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Apr '18	Kevin Lee	Edson Barboza	1.67	3	TKO, R5 (2:18)
12.	Apr '18	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	Felice Herrig	1.57	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Jan '18	Abdul Razak Alhassan	Sabah Homasi	1.56	1	TKO, R1 (3:47)
14.	Jan '18	Dustin Ortiz	Alexandre Pantoja	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Nov '17	Sean Strickland	Court McGee	1.42	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Nov '17	Randy Brown	Mickey Gall	2.00	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Nov '17	Stephen Thompson	Jorge Masvidal	1.54	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Nov '17	Georges St-Pierre	Michael Bisping	1.91	3	Sub, R3 (4:23)
19.	Oct '17	Colby Covington	Demian Maia	1.63	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Oct '17	Andre Fili	Artem Lobov	1.56	2	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '19	Darren Elkins	Ryan Hall	1.87	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jul '19	Mirsad Bektic	Josh Emmett	1.65	2	TKO, R1 (4:25)	No
3.	Jul '19	Aspen Ladd	Germaine de Randamie	1.74	2	TKO, R1 (0:16)	No
4.	Sep '18	Darren Till	Tyron Woodley	1.69	5	Sub, R2 (4:19)	No
5.	Aug '18	George Sullivan	Mickey Gall	3.90	1	Sub, R1 (1:11)	No
6.	Aug '18	Cub Swanson	Renato Moicano	3.65	1	Sub, R1 (4:15)	No
7.	Aug '18	Cody Garbrandt	T.J. Dillashaw	2.10	2.5	TKO, R1 (4:10)	No
8.	May '18	Stephen Thompson	Darren Till	2.15	5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
9.	May '18	Muhammed Lawal	Ryan Bader	3.90	1.5	TKO, R1 (0:15)	No
10.	Apr '18	Luan Chagas	Siyar Bahadurzada	1.71	2	TKO, R2 (2:40)	No
11.	Apr '18	Brett Johns	Aljamain Sterling	1.91	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Apr '18	Evan Dunham	Olivier Aubin-Mercier	1.87	2	TKO, R1 (0:53)	No
13.	Apr '18	Calvin Kattar	Renato Moicano	1.91	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Apr '18	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	Rose Namajunas	2.00	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
15.	Jan '18	Shane Burgos	Calvin Kattar	1.48	2	TKO, R3 (0:32)	No
16.	Jan '18	Thomas Almeida	Rob Font	1.87	2	TKO, R2 (2:26)	No
17.	Jan '18	Volkan Oezdemir	Daniel Cormier	3.80	1	TKO, R2 (2:0)	No
18.	Jan '18	Francis Ngannou	Stipe Miocic	1.59	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
19.	Nov '17	Michel Quinones	Sage Northcutt	2.60	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Nov '17	Aiemann Zahabi	Ricardo Ramos	2.60	1	TKO, R3 (1:58)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Mitch Williams: Progress Chart

Chart

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