|
MMA Handicapper Stats: MMA401k |
|
MMA401k : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 39 (53%) Losing Events: 35 (47%)
Average Staked Per Event: 10.84 units Most Staked On One Event: 36.00 units Best Event: 34.74 units Worst Event: -10.66 units Average Event: 1.51 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 8, Units: 57.86 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -23.80 |
MMA401k : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2021 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
|
/ 1 (0%) |
-2.00 |
2020 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
|
|
/ 1 (0%) |
-5.00 |
2019 |
64.5 |
-12.8 |
-20% |
-12.8 / 64.5 (-20%) |
|
|
7 / 8 (47%) |
-0.85 |
2018 |
166.5 |
68.4 |
41% |
61.9 / 160.5 (39%) |
|
6.5 / 6 (108%) |
14 / 6 (70%) |
3.42 |
2017 |
311.5 |
38.3 |
12% |
51.3 / 287 (18%) |
-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) |
-7.6 / 19 (-40%) |
10 / 12 (45%) |
1.74 |
2016 |
253 |
24.9 |
10% |
36.8 / 217.5 (17%) |
-8.0 / 8 (-100%) |
-3.9 / 27.5 (-14%) |
8 / 7 (53%) |
1.66 |
|
MMA401k : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
MMA401k : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
797.5 |
109.7 |
14% |
128.1 / 731.5 (18%) |
-13.5 / 13.5 (-100%) |
-5.0 / 52.5 (-9%) |
PFL |
5 |
2.0 |
40% |
2.0 / 5 (40%) |
|
|
|
MMA401k : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
32 (20%) |
28 |
88 % |
185.50 |
39.12 |
1.22 |
21% |
Slight Favorites |
60 (37%) |
36 |
60 % |
293.00 |
39.12 |
0.65 |
13% |
Slight Underdogs |
56 (34%) |
27 |
48 % |
238.00 |
58.85 |
1.05 |
25% |
Big Underdogs |
15 (9%) |
1 |
7 % |
30.00 |
-16.95 |
-1.13 |
-57% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
17 (10%) |
7 |
41 % |
75.50 |
-22.34 |
-1.31 |
-30% |
Co-Main Event |
17 (10%) |
9 |
53 % |
69.00 |
7.17 |
0.42 |
10% |
Position 3-5 |
44 (27%) |
22 |
50 % |
231.50 |
28.31 |
0.64 |
12% |
6+ (Undercard) |
84 (52%) |
54 |
64 % |
360.50 |
117.01 |
1.39 |
32% |
|
MMA401k : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
18 (11%) |
12 |
67 % |
99.50 |
23.95 |
1.33 |
24% |
Light Heavy |
15 (9%) |
7 |
47 % |
74.00 |
13.88 |
0.93 |
19% |
Middleweight |
20 (12%) |
11 |
55 % |
87.00 |
-15.96 |
-0.80 |
-18% |
Welterweight |
25 (15%) |
11 |
44 % |
101.00 |
13.11 |
0.52 |
13% |
Lightweight |
32 (20%) |
21 |
66 % |
141.50 |
82.85 |
2.59 |
59% |
Featherweight |
7 (4%) |
4 |
57 % |
28.00 |
-9.76 |
-1.39 |
-35% |
Bantamweight |
13 (8%) |
8 |
62 % |
62.50 |
17.64 |
1.36 |
28% |
Flyweight |
9 (6%) |
4 |
44 % |
32.00 |
0.61 |
0.07 |
2% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
23 (14%) |
14 |
61 % |
111.00 |
3.81 |
0.17 |
3% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.00 |
1.66 |
1.66 |
83% |
Bantamweight |
4 (2%) |
3 |
75 % |
20.00 |
6.15 |
1.54 |
31% |
Flyweight |
4 (2%) |
1 |
25 % |
8.50 |
-5.12 |
-1.28 |
-60% |
Strawweight |
14 (9%) |
9 |
64 % |
80.50 |
1.12 |
0.08 |
1% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
20 (36%) |
15 |
75 % |
Slight Favorites |
19 (35%) |
10 |
53 % |
Slight Underdogs |
14 (25%) |
8 |
57 % |
Big Underdogs |
2 (4%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
55 |
33 |
60 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
4 (14%) |
3 |
75 % |
50-65% |
10 (36%) |
4 |
40 % |
35-50% |
7 (25%) |
2 |
29 % |
<35% chance |
7 (25%) |
1 |
14 % |
|
28 |
10 |
36 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail MMA401k 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
27th Aug |
UFC on Fox 21 - Condit vs. Maia |
15 |
-5.0 |
-33% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$950.00 |
10th Sep |
UFC 203 - Miocic vs. Overeem |
18 |
0.5 |
3% |
|
$9.50 |
$950.00 |
$954.75 |
17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 94 - Poirier vs. Johnson |
36 |
17.5 |
49% |
|
$9.55 |
$954.75 |
$1,121.83 |
24th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 95 - Brasilia |
13 |
-6.7 |
-52% |
|
$11.22 |
$1,121.83 |
$1,046.67 |
1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night 96 - Lineker vs. Dodson |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.47 |
$1,046.67 |
$1,015.27 |
7th Oct |
WSOF 33 Gaethje vs. Dugulubgov |
5 |
2.0 |
40% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,015.27 |
$1,035.57 |
8th Oct |
UFC 204 - Bisping vs. Henderson 2 |
13.5 |
8.3 |
61% |
|
$10.36 |
$1,035.57 |
$1,121.01 |
5th Nov |
UFC Mexico City |
22.5 |
8.5 |
38% |
|
$11.21 |
$1,121.01 |
$1,216.19 |
12th Nov |
UFC 205 - New York City |
17 |
-4.5 |
-26% |
|
$12.16 |
$1,216.19 |
$1,162.04 |
19th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall |
25 |
-1.2 |
-5% |
|
$11.62 |
$1,162.04 |
$1,148.68 |
26th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 101 |
12.5 |
-10.7 |
-85% |
|
$11.49 |
$1,148.68 |
$1,026.23 |
3rd Dec |
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale |
19 |
2.3 |
12% |
|
$10.26 |
$1,026.23 |
$1,049.42 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night 102 Albany |
19.5 |
10.0 |
51% |
|
$10.49 |
$1,049.42 |
$1,154.42 |
17th Dec |
UFC on Fox 22 |
19.5 |
-9.5 |
-49% |
|
$11.54 |
$1,154.42 |
$1,044.28 |
31st Dec |
UFC 207 |
14.5 |
16.4 |
113% |
|
$10.44 |
$1,044.28 |
$1,215.23 |
15th Jan |
UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn |
17 |
6.8 |
40% |
|
$12.15 |
$1,215.23 |
$1,298.11 |
28th Jan |
UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena |
24 |
-7.0 |
-29% |
|
$12.98 |
$1,298.11 |
$1,207.25 |
4th Feb |
UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez |
16 |
-4.1 |
-26% |
|
$12.07 |
$1,207.25 |
$1,157.75 |
11th Feb |
UFC 208 |
12 |
-8.3 |
-70% |
|
$11.58 |
$1,157.75 |
$1,061.19 |
19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne |
12 |
-4.4 |
-36% |
|
$10.61 |
$1,061.19 |
$1,014.92 |
4th Mar |
UFC 209 |
32.5 |
22.8 |
70% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,014.92 |
$1,245.82 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum |
26 |
7.7 |
30% |
|
$12.46 |
$1,245.82 |
$1,341.75 |
18th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson |
15 |
0.9 |
6% |
|
$13.42 |
$1,341.75 |
$1,353.82 |
8th Apr |
UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 |
13 |
9.4 |
72% |
|
$13.54 |
$1,353.82 |
$1,481.08 |
15th Apr |
UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis |
11.5 |
-3.2 |
-28% |
|
$14.81 |
$1,481.08 |
$1,434.18 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov |
10.5 |
7.5 |
71% |
|
$14.34 |
$1,434.18 |
$1,541.75 |
13th May |
UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos |
7 |
-7.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.42 |
$1,541.75 |
$1,433.83 |
28th May |
UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$14.34 |
$1,433.83 |
$1,405.15 |
3rd Jun |
UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
$14.05 |
$1,405.15 |
$1,320.84 |
10th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis |
16 |
-4.5 |
-28% |
|
$13.21 |
$1,320.84 |
$1,261.11 |
25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 112 |
8 |
4.0 |
50% |
|
$12.61 |
$1,261.11 |
$1,311.56 |
8th Jul |
UFC 213 |
22 |
-7.1 |
-32% |
|
$13.12 |
$1,311.56 |
$1,217.88 |
16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 113 |
6 |
3.3 |
56% |
|
$12.18 |
$1,217.88 |
$1,258.47 |
22nd Jul |
UFC on Fox 25 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.58 |
$1,258.47 |
$1,208.13 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno |
11 |
-5.3 |
-48% |
|
$12.08 |
$1,208.13 |
$1,144.57 |
4th Nov |
UFC 217 |
20 |
4.0 |
20% |
|
$11.45 |
$1,144.57 |
$1,190.36 |
31st Dec |
UFC 219 |
20 |
34.7 |
174% |
|
$11.90 |
$1,190.36 |
$1,603.88 |
20th Jan |
UFC 220 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
$1.99 |
$16.04 |
$1,603.88 |
$1,537.74 |
27th Jan |
UFC on Fox 27 |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.38 |
$1,537.74 |
$1,414.72 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 125 |
9 |
-4.9 |
-55% |
|
$14.15 |
$1,414.72 |
$1,344.99 |
10th Feb |
UFC 221 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
130% |
|
$13.45 |
$1,344.99 |
$1,388.71 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 126 |
7 |
-1.0 |
-14% |
|
$13.89 |
$1,388.71 |
$1,374.82 |
7th Apr |
UFC 223 |
5 |
5.1 |
102% |
|
$13.75 |
$1,374.82 |
$1,444.93 |
12th May |
UFC 224 |
6 |
2.0 |
33% |
|
$14.45 |
$1,444.93 |
$1,473.83 |
7th Jul |
UFC 226 |
6 |
10.2 |
170% |
|
$14.74 |
$1,473.83 |
$1,624.16 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night 134 |
6.5 |
3.3 |
51% |
|
$16.24 |
$1,624.16 |
$1,677.76 |
28th Jul |
UFC on Fox 30 |
12 |
3.4 |
28% |
|
$16.78 |
$1,677.76 |
$1,734.46 |
4th Aug |
UFC 227 |
22 |
24.1 |
109% |
|
$17.34 |
$1,734.46 |
$2,151.96 |
25th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 135 |
7 |
4.8 |
69% |
|
$21.52 |
$2,151.96 |
$2,255.98 |
8th Sep |
UFC 228 |
7 |
5.0 |
71% |
|
$22.56 |
$2,255.98 |
$2,368.25 |
22nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
$1.99 |
$23.68 |
$2,368.25 |
$2,307.06 |
6th Oct |
UFC 229 |
15 |
8.2 |
55% |
$1.99 |
$23.07 |
$2,307.06 |
$2,495.40 |
27th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 138 |
8 |
5.3 |
67% |
|
$24.95 |
$2,495.40 |
$2,628.49 |
10th Nov |
UFC Fight Night Denver |
9 |
-2.0 |
-23% |
$1.99 |
$26.28 |
$2,628.49 |
$2,572.95 |
1st Dec |
UFC Fight Night 142 |
12 |
6.3 |
53% |
|
$25.73 |
$2,572.95 |
$2,735.91 |
15th Dec |
UFC Fight Night Milwaukee |
7 |
3.2 |
46% |
|
$27.36 |
$2,735.91 |
$2,823.77 |
29th Dec |
UFC 232 |
11 |
6.6 |
60% |
$1.99 |
$28.24 |
$2,823.77 |
$3,008.14 |
19th Jan |
UFC on ESPN+ 1 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$30.08 |
$3,008.14 |
$2,887.81 |
2nd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 144 |
2 |
2.6 |
130% |
|
$28.88 |
$2,887.81 |
$2,962.90 |
9th Feb |
UFC 234 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$29.63 |
$2,962.90 |
$2,814.75 |
17th Feb |
UFC on ESPN 1 |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
|
$28.15 |
$2,814.75 |
$2,589.57 |
9th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 146 |
2 |
2.2 |
110% |
|
$25.90 |
$2,589.57 |
$2,646.54 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night 148 |
7 |
-7.0 |
-100% |
|
$26.47 |
$2,646.54 |
$2,461.29 |
13th Apr |
UFC 236 |
4 |
-0.7 |
-18% |
|
$24.61 |
$2,461.29 |
$2,444.06 |
20th Apr |
UFC Fight Night 149 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$24.44 |
$2,444.06 |
$2,395.17 |
27th Apr |
UFC on ESPN 3 |
5 |
4.5 |
91% |
|
$23.95 |
$2,395.17 |
$2,504.05 |
4th May |
UFC Fight Night 150 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
95% |
|
$25.04 |
$2,504.05 |
$2,563.67 |
1st Jun |
UFC Fight Night 153 |
3 |
3.0 |
101% |
|
$25.64 |
$2,563.67 |
$2,641.04 |
29th Jun |
UFC on ESPN 3 |
6.5 |
-2.8 |
-42% |
|
$26.41 |
$2,641.04 |
$2,568.41 |
20th Jul |
UFC on ESPN 4 |
2.5 |
4.0 |
160% |
|
$25.68 |
$2,568.41 |
$2,671.15 |
5th Oct |
UFC 243 |
5 |
0.1 |
3% |
|
$26.71 |
$2,671.15 |
$2,674.96 |
18th Oct |
UFC ESPN 6 |
6 |
-2.3 |
-38% |
|
$26.75 |
$2,674.96 |
$2,614.49 |
15th Aug |
UFC 252 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$26.14 |
$2,614.49 |
$2,483.76 |
20th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 185 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$24.84 |
$2,483.76 |
$2,434.09 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 143.41% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
MMA401k : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Feb '21 |
Shana Dobson |
Casey O'Neill |
2.40 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:41) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Aug '20 |
Sean O'Malley |
Marlon Vera |
1.40 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:40) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Aug '20 |
Junior dos Santos |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
2.25 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:47) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Oct '19 |
Gillian Robertson |
Maycee Barber |
2.30 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (3:4) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Oct '19 |
Chris Weidman |
Dominick Reyes |
2.30 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Oct '19 |
Luke Jumeau |
Dhiego Lima |
2.50 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Jun '19 |
Jussier Formiga |
Joseph Benavidez |
2.05 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (4:47) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Jun '19 |
Junior Albini |
Maurice Greene |
2.05 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (3:38) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Apr '19 |
Marcelo Golm |
Sergey Pavlovich |
3.20 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:6) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Apr '19 |
Arman Tsarukyan |
Islam Makhachev |
3.90 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Apr '19 |
Alan Jouban |
Dwight Grant |
1.83 |
2.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Mar '19 |
Steven Peterson |
Luis Pena |
3.10 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Mar '19 |
Frankie Saenz |
Marlon Vera |
2.45 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (1:25) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Feb '19 |
Benito Lopez |
Manny Bermudez |
2.70 |
4 |
Sub, R1 (3:9) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Feb '19 |
James Vick |
Paul Felder |
1.95 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Feb '19 |
Wuliji Buren |
Jonathan Martinez |
2.05 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Feb '19 |
Sam Alvey |
Jim Crute |
2.35 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (2:49) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Jan '19 |
Karl Roberson |
Glover Teixeira |
2.05 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (3:21) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Jan '19 |
Dustin Ortiz |
Joseph Benavidez |
3.00 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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20. |
Dec '18 |
Siyar Bahadurzada |
Curtis Millender |
2.35 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
MMA401k : Progress Chart |
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