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Total MMA Handicappers: 1415 Profitable MMA Handicappers: 572 |
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Profit / Loss by Organization |
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Straight Pick Stats |
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Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
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| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Main Event | 15 (11%) | 6 | 40 % | 71.00 | -22.72 | -1.51 | -32% |
| Co-Main Event | 11 (8%) | 7 | 64 % | 53.00 | 14.29 | 1.30 | 27% |
| Position 3-5 | 35 (26%) | 20 | 57 % | 218.00 | 30.06 | 0.86 | 14% |
| 6+ (Undercard) | 72 (54%) | 48 | 67 % | 333.00 | 118.34 | 1.64 | 36% |
by Weight Class
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Heavyweight | 14 (11%) | 11 | 79 % | 92.00 | 24.95 | 1.78 | 27% |
| Light Heavy | 10 (8%) | 5 | 50 % | 59.00 | 15.52 | 1.55 | 26% |
| Middleweight | 19 (14%) | 10 | 53 % | 85.00 | -18.56 | -0.98 | -22% |
| Welterweight | 23 (17%) | 11 | 48 % | 96.50 | 17.61 | 0.77 | 18% |
| Lightweight | 27 (20%) | 18 | 67 % | 129.50 | 81.53 | 3.02 | 63% |
| Featherweight | 4 (3%) | 2 | 50 % | 21.00 | -8.70 | -2.18 | -41% |
| Bantamweight | 9 (7%) | 8 | 89 % | 50.50 | 29.64 | 3.29 | 59% |
| Flyweight | 7 (5%) | 3 | 43 % | 36.00 | -7.59 | -1.08 | -21% |
| Women's Fights | 20 (15%) | 13 | 65 % | 105.50 | 5.56 | 0.28 | 5% |
| Featherweight | 1 (1%) | 1 | 100 % | 2.00 | 1.66 | 1.66 | 83% |
| Bantamweight | 4 (3%) | 3 | 75 % | 20.00 | 6.15 | 1.54 | 31% |
| Bantamweight | 2 (2%) | 1 | 50 % | 4.50 | -1.12 | -0.56 | -25% |
| Strawweight | 13 (10%) | 8 | 62 % | 79.00 | -1.13 | -0.09 | -1% |
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)
Straight picks within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| Big Favorites | 20 (36%) | 15 | 75 % |
| Slight Favorites | 19 (35%) | 10 | 53 % |
| Slight Underdogs | 14 (25%) | 8 | 57 % |
| Big Underdogs | 2 (4%) | 0 | 0 % |
| 55 | 33 | 60 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| >65% chance | 4 (14%) | 3 | 75 % |
| 50-65% | 10 (36%) | 4 | 40 % |
| 35-50% | 7 (25%) | 2 | 29 % |
| <35% chance | 7 (25%) | 1 | 14 % |
| 28 | 10 | 36 % |
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
| Prop Type | Picks | Correct | % Correct | Avg Odds |
Longest Odds |
Shortest Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| Goes to Decision | 4 (14%) | 3 | 75 % | 1.54 | 1.61 |
1.42 |
0.6 (15%) |
| Fight Starts Round X | 5 (18%) | 2 | 40 % | 1.86 | 4.50 |
1.26 |
-2.0 (-40%) |
| X Wins by Decision | 4 (14%) | 1 | 25 % | 2.82 | 4.50 |
1.68 |
-2.3 (-58%) |
| X Wins Inside Distance | 15 (54%) | 4 | 27 % | 2.07 | 4.00 |
1.45 |
-6.0 (-40%) |
| 28 | 10 | 36 % | 2.01 | -9.8 (-35%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.
Tail handicapper's bets
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date | Event | Bet | Won | ROI | Fee | 1 unit = | Start | End |
| 27th Aug | UFC on Fox 21 - Condit vs. Maia | 15 | -5.0 | -33% | $10.00 | $1,000.00 | $950.00 | |
| 10th Sep | UFC 203 - Miocic vs. Overeem | 18 | 0.5 | 3% | $9.50 | $950.00 | $954.75 | |
| 17th Sep | UFC Fight Night 94 - Poirier vs. Johnson | 36 | 17.5 | 49% | $9.55 | $954.75 | $1,121.83 | |
| 24th Sep | UFC Fight Night 95 - Brasilia | 13 | -6.7 | -52% | $11.22 | $1,121.83 | $1,046.67 | |
| 1st Oct | UFC Fight Night 96 - Lineker vs. Dodson | 3 | -3.0 | -100% | $10.47 | $1,046.67 | $1,015.27 | |
| 7th Oct | WSOF 33 Gaethje vs. Dugulubgov | 5 | 2.0 | 40% | $10.15 | $1,015.27 | $1,035.57 | |
| 8th Oct | UFC 204 - Bisping vs. Henderson 2 | 13.5 | 8.3 | 61% | $10.36 | $1,035.57 | $1,121.01 | |
| 5th Nov | UFC Mexico City | 22.5 | 8.5 | 38% | $11.21 | $1,121.01 | $1,216.19 | |
| 12th Nov | UFC 205 - New York City | 17 | -4.5 | -26% | $12.16 | $1,216.19 | $1,162.04 | |
| 19th Nov | UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall | 25 | -1.2 | -5% | $11.62 | $1,162.04 | $1,148.68 | |
| 26th Nov | UFC Fight Night 101 | 12.5 | -10.7 | -85% | $11.49 | $1,148.68 | $1,026.23 | |
| 3rd Dec | UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale | 19 | 2.3 | 12% | $10.26 | $1,026.23 | $1,049.42 | |
| 9th Dec | UFC Fight Night 102 Albany | 19.5 | 10.0 | 51% | $10.49 | $1,049.42 | $1,154.42 | |
| 17th Dec | UFC on Fox 22 | 19.5 | -9.5 | -49% | $11.54 | $1,154.42 | $1,044.28 | |
| 31st Dec | UFC 207 | 14.5 | 16.4 | 113% | $10.44 | $1,044.28 | $1,215.23 | |
| 15th Jan | UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn | 17 | 6.8 | 40% | $12.15 | $1,215.23 | $1,298.11 | |
| 28th Jan | UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena | 24 | -7.0 | -29% | $12.98 | $1,298.11 | $1,207.25 | |
| 4th Feb | UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez | 16 | -4.1 | -26% | $12.07 | $1,207.25 | $1,157.75 | |
| 11th Feb | UFC 208 | 12 | -8.3 | -70% | $11.58 | $1,157.75 | $1,061.19 | |
| 19th Feb | UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne | 12 | -4.4 | -36% | $10.61 | $1,061.19 | $1,014.92 | |
| 4th Mar | UFC 209 | 32.5 | 22.8 | 70% | $10.15 | $1,014.92 | $1,245.82 | |
| 11th Mar | UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum | 36 | -2.3 | -6% | $12.46 | $1,245.82 | $1,217.17 | |
| 18th Mar | UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson | 15 | 0.9 | 6% | $12.17 | $1,217.17 | $1,228.12 | |
| 8th Apr | UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 | 13 | 9.4 | 72% | $12.28 | $1,228.12 | $1,343.56 | |
| 15th Apr | UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis | 11.5 | -3.2 | -28% | $13.44 | $1,343.56 | $1,301.02 | |
| 22nd Apr | UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov | 10.5 | 7.5 | 71% | $13.01 | $1,301.02 | $1,398.60 | |
| 13th May | UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos | 7 | -7.0 | -100% | $13.99 | $1,398.60 | $1,300.69 | |
| 28th May | UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira | 2 | -2.0 | -100% | $13.01 | $1,300.69 | $1,274.68 | |
| 3rd Jun | UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway | 6 | -6.0 | -100% | $12.75 | $1,274.68 | $1,198.20 | |
| 10th Jun | UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis | 16 | -4.5 | -28% | $11.98 | $1,198.20 | $1,144.02 | |
| 25th Jun | UFC Fight Night 112 | 8 | 4.0 | 50% | $11.44 | $1,144.02 | $1,189.78 | |
| 8th Jul | UFC 213 | 22 | -7.1 | -32% | $11.90 | $1,189.78 | $1,104.80 | |
| 16th Jul | UFC Fight Night 113 | 6 | 3.3 | 56% | $11.05 | $1,104.80 | $1,141.62 | |
| 22nd Jul | UFC on Fox 25 | 4 | -4.0 | -100% | $11.42 | $1,141.62 | $1,095.96 | |
| 5th Aug | UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno | 11 | -5.3 | -48% | $10.96 | $1,095.96 | $1,038.30 | |
| 4th Nov | UFC 217 | 20 | 4.0 | 20% | $10.38 | $1,038.30 | $1,079.83 | |
| 31st Dec | UFC 219 | 20 | 34.7 | 174% | $10.80 | $1,079.83 | $1,454.96 | |
| 20th Jan | UFC 220 | 4 | -4.0 | -100% | $1.99 | $14.55 | $1,454.96 | $1,394.77 |
| 27th Jan | UFC on Fox 27 | 8 | -8.0 | -100% | $13.95 | $1,394.77 | $1,283.19 | |
| 4th Feb | UFC Fight Night 125 | 9 | -4.9 | -55% | $12.83 | $1,283.19 | $1,219.95 | |
| 10th Feb | UFC 221 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 130% | $12.20 | $1,219.95 | $1,259.60 | |
| 18th Feb | UFC Fight Night 126 | 7 | -1.0 | -14% | $12.60 | $1,259.60 | $1,247.00 | |
| 7th Apr | UFC 223 | 5 | 5.1 | 102% | $12.47 | $1,247.00 | $1,310.60 | |
| 12th May | UFC 224 | 6 | 2.0 | 33% | $13.11 | $1,310.60 | $1,336.81 | |
| 7th Jul | UFC 226 | 6 | 10.2 | 170% | $13.37 | $1,336.81 | $1,473.16 | |
| 22nd Jul | UFC Fight Night 134 | 6.5 | 3.3 | 51% | $14.73 | $1,473.16 | $1,521.78 | |
| 28th Jul | UFC on Fox 30 | 12 | 3.4 | 28% | $15.22 | $1,521.78 | $1,573.20 | |
| 4th Aug | UFC 227 | 22 | 24.1 | 109% | $15.73 | $1,573.20 | $1,951.89 | |
| 25th Aug | UFC Fight Night 135 | 7 | 4.8 | 69% | $19.52 | $1,951.89 | $2,046.24 | |
| 8th Sep | UFC 228 | 7 | 5.0 | 71% | $20.46 | $2,046.24 | $2,148.08 | |
| 22nd Sep | UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo | 2.5 | -2.5 | -100% | $1.99 | $21.48 | $2,148.08 | $2,092.38 |
| 6th Oct | UFC 229 | 15 | 8.2 | 55% | $1.99 | $20.92 | $2,092.38 | $2,263.02 |
| 27th Oct | UFC Fight Night 138 | 8 | 5.3 | 67% | $22.63 | $2,263.02 | $2,383.71 | |
| 10th Nov | UFC Fight Night Denver | 9 | -2.0 | -23% | $1.99 | $23.84 | $2,383.71 | $2,333.16 |
| 1st Dec | UFC Fight Night 142 | 12 | 6.3 | 53% | $23.33 | $2,333.16 | $2,480.93 | |
| 15th Dec | Fight Night Milwaukee | 7 | 3.2 | 46% | $24.81 | $2,480.93 | $2,560.60 | |
| 29th Dec | UFC 232 | 11 | 6.6 | 60% | $1.99 | $25.61 | $2,560.60 | $2,727.60 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 172.76% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.
Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | |||
| 1. | Dec '18 | Corey Anderson | Ilir Latifi | 2.20 | 8 | U Decision (3 rounds) | 
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| 2. | Dec '18 | Juan Adams | Chris de la Rocha | 1.22 | 5 | TKO, R3 (0:58) |
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| 3. | Dec '18 | Joaquim Silva | Jared Gordon | 2.05 | 2 | TKO, R3 (2:39) |
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| 4. | Dec '18 | Justin Willis | Mark Hunt | 1.83 | 10 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 5. | Nov '18 | Ashley Yoder | Amanda Cooper | 1.74 | 4 | Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 6. | Oct '18 | Stevie Ray | Jessin Ayari | 1.67 | 8 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 7. | Oct '18 | Tony Martin | Ryan LaFlare | 2.10 | 8 | TKO, R3 (1:0) |
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| 8. | Oct '18 |  Tony Martin |
Ryan LaFlare | 2.15 | 3 | TKO, R3 (1:0) |
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| 9. | Sep '18 | Irene Aldana | Lucie Pudilova | 1.93 | 2 | Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 10. | Sep '18 | Aljamain Sterling | Cody Stamann | 1.63 | 5 | Sub, R2 (3:42) |
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| 11. | Aug '18 | Cory Sandhagen | Yuri Alcantara | 1.50 | 3 | TKO, R2 (1:1) |
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| 12. | Aug '18 | Andrew Sanchez | Markus Perez | 1.83 | 4 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 13. | Aug '18 | Pedro Munhoz | Brett Johns | 1.50 | 10 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 14. | Aug '18 | J.J. Aldrich | Polyana Viana | 2.50 | 4 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 15. | Aug '18 | Alex Perez | Jose Torres | 1.71 | 5 | TKO, R1 (3:36) |
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| 16. | Jul '18 | Katlyn Chookagian | Alexis Davis | 1.69 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 17. | Jul '18 | Alexander Hernandez | Olivier Aubin-Mercier | 2.00 | 6 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 18. | Jul '18 | Nasrat Haqparast | Marc Diakiese | 2.45 | 4 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 19. | Jul '18 | Drakkar Klose | Lando Vannata | 2.70 | 6 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 20. | May '18 | Markus Perez | James Bochnovic | 1.33 | 6 | Sub, R1 (4:28) |
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Last 20 Losses
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | Hedge? | |||
| 1. | Dec '18 | Siyar Bahadurzada |
Curtis Millender | 2.35 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 2. | Nov '18 | Thiago Moises |
Beneil Dariush | 2.35 | 5 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 3. | Oct '18 | Gray Maynard |
Nik Lentz | 3.00 | 3 | TKO, R2 (1:19) | No |
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| 4. | Sep '18 | Gillian Robertson |
Mayra Bueno Silva | 1.77 | 2.5 | Sub, R1 (4:55) | No |
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| 5. | Aug '18 | Danielle Taylor | Weili Zhang | 3.50 | 1 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 6. | Jul '18 | Alex Morono | Jordan Mein | 2.10 | 4 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 7. | Jul '18 | Davey Grant | Manny Bermudez | 3.50 | 1.5 | Sub, R1 (0:59) | No |
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| 8. | Feb '18 | Yancy Medeiros | Donald Cerrone | 1.91 | 3 | TKO, R1 (4:58) | No |
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| 9. | Feb '18 | Desmond Green | Michel Prazeres | 2.10 | 6 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 10. | Jan '18 | Derek Brunson | Ronaldo Souza | 1.95 | 8 | TKO, R1 (3:50) | No |
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| 11. | Jan '18 | Sabah Homasi |
Abdul Razak Alhassan | 2.70 | 4 | TKO, R1 (3:47) | No | 
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| 12. | Nov '17 | Corey Anderson | Ovince St Preux | 2.35 | 5 | TKO, R3 (1:25) | No |
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| 13. | Nov '17 | Michael Bisping | Georges St-Pierre | 1.91 | 5 | Sub, R3 (4:23) | No |
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| 14. | Aug '17 | Hector Sandoval | Dustin Ortiz | 2.60 | 3 | TKO, R1 (0:15) | No |
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| 15. | Aug '17 | Brandon Moreno | Sergio Pettis | 1.63 | 4 | U Decision (5 rounds) | No |
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| 16. | Jul '17 | Travis Browne | Aleksei Oleinik | 1.42 | 10 | Sub, R2 (3:44) | No |
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| 17. | Jun '17 | Derrick Lewis | Mark Hunt | 1.71 | 8 | TKO, R4 (3:51) | No |
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| 18. | Jun '17 | Nate Marquardt | Vitor Belfort | 2.45 | 6 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 19. | May '17 | Joachim Christensen | Gadzhimurad Antigulov | 4.50 | 1 | Sub, R1 (2:21) | No |
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| 20. | May '17 | Jessica Andrade | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | 2.50 | 5 | U Decision (5 rounds) | No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.
Progress Chart
Chart
