| |
MMA Handicapper Stats: MMA401k |
|
|
MMA401k : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 36 (52%)
Losing Events: 33 (48%)
Average Staked Per Event: 11.48 units
Most Staked On One Event: 36.00 units
Best Event: 34.74 units
Worst Event: -10.66 units
Average Event: 1.55 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 8, Units: 57.86
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -23.80 |
MMA401k : Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2019 |
51 |
-14.7 |
-29% |
-14.7 / 51 (-29%) |
|
|
5 / 7 (42%) |
-1.23 |
| 2018 |
166.5 |
68.4 |
41% |
61.9 / 160.5 (39%) |
|
6.5 / 6 (108%) |
14 / 6 (70%) |
3.42 |
| 2017 |
321.5 |
28.3 |
9% |
41.3 / 297 (14%) |
-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) |
-7.6 / 19 (-40%) |
9 / 13 (41%) |
1.28 |
| 2016 |
253 |
24.9 |
10% |
36.8 / 217.5 (17%) |
-8.0 / 8 (-100%) |
-3.9 / 27.5 (-14%) |
8 / 7 (53%) |
1.66 |
|
MMA401k : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
|
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
MMA401k : Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
787 |
104.8 |
13% |
123.3 / 721 (17%) |
-13.5 / 13.5 (-100%) |
-5.0 / 52.5 (-9%) |
|
PFL |
5 |
2.0 |
40% |
2.0 / 5 (40%) |
|
|
|
MMA401k : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
31 (20%) |
28 |
90 % |
182.50 |
42.12 |
1.36 |
23% |
| Slight Favorites |
58 (38%) |
34 |
59 % |
288.00 |
35.24 |
0.61 |
12% |
| Slight Underdogs |
50 (32%) |
26 |
52 % |
225.50 |
64.85 |
1.30 |
29% |
| Big Underdogs |
15 (10%) |
1 |
7 % |
30.00 |
-16.95 |
-1.13 |
-57% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
16 (10%) |
7 |
44 % |
73.50 |
-20.34 |
-1.27 |
-28% |
| Co-Main Event |
14 (9%) |
7 |
50 % |
61.00 |
6.29 |
0.45 |
10% |
| Position 3-5 |
42 (27%) |
22 |
52 % |
235.50 |
24.31 |
0.58 |
10% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
82 (53%) |
53 |
65 % |
356.00 |
115.01 |
1.40 |
32% |
|
MMA401k : Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
16 (10%) |
11 |
69 % |
95.00 |
21.95 |
1.37 |
23% |
| Light Heavy |
14 (9%) |
7 |
50 % |
72.00 |
15.88 |
1.13 |
22% |
| Middleweight |
20 (13%) |
11 |
55 % |
87.00 |
-15.96 |
-0.80 |
-18% |
| Welterweight |
24 (16%) |
11 |
46 % |
99.00 |
15.11 |
0.63 |
15% |
| Lightweight |
31 (20%) |
20 |
65 % |
138.50 |
80.71 |
2.60 |
58% |
| Featherweight |
6 (4%) |
3 |
50 % |
26.00 |
-11.50 |
-1.92 |
-44% |
| Bantamweight |
12 (8%) |
8 |
67 % |
59.50 |
20.64 |
1.72 |
35% |
| Flyweight |
10 (6%) |
4 |
40 % |
42.00 |
-9.39 |
-0.94 |
-22% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
21 (14%) |
14 |
67 % |
107.00 |
7.81 |
0.37 |
7% |
| Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.00 |
1.66 |
1.66 |
83% |
| Bantamweight |
4 (3%) |
3 |
75 % |
20.00 |
6.15 |
1.54 |
31% |
| Bantamweight |
2 (1%) |
1 |
50 % |
4.50 |
-1.12 |
-0.56 |
-25% |
| Strawweight |
14 (9%) |
9 |
64 % |
80.50 |
1.12 |
0.08 |
1% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
20 (36%) |
15 |
75 % |
| Slight Favorites |
19 (35%) |
10 |
53 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
14 (25%) |
8 |
57 % |
| Big Underdogs |
2 (4%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
55 |
33 |
60 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
4 (14%) |
3 |
75 % |
| 50-65% |
10 (36%) |
4 |
40 % |
| 35-50% |
7 (25%) |
2 |
29 % |
| <35% chance |
7 (25%) |
1 |
14 % |
|
28 |
10 |
36 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail MMA401k 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 27th Aug |
UFC on Fox 21 - Condit vs. Maia |
15 |
-5.0 |
-33% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$950.00 |
| 10th Sep |
UFC 203 - Miocic vs. Overeem |
18 |
0.5 |
3% |
|
$9.50 |
$950.00 |
$954.75 |
| 17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 94 - Poirier vs. Johnson |
36 |
17.5 |
49% |
|
$9.55 |
$954.75 |
$1,121.83 |
| 24th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 95 - Brasilia |
13 |
-6.7 |
-52% |
|
$11.22 |
$1,121.83 |
$1,046.67 |
| 1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night 96 - Lineker vs. Dodson |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.47 |
$1,046.67 |
$1,015.27 |
| 7th Oct |
WSOF 33 Gaethje vs. Dugulubgov |
5 |
2.0 |
40% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,015.27 |
$1,035.57 |
| 8th Oct |
UFC 204 - Bisping vs. Henderson 2 |
13.5 |
8.3 |
61% |
|
$10.36 |
$1,035.57 |
$1,121.01 |
| 5th Nov |
UFC Mexico City |
22.5 |
8.5 |
38% |
|
$11.21 |
$1,121.01 |
$1,216.19 |
| 12th Nov |
UFC 205 - New York City |
17 |
-4.5 |
-26% |
|
$12.16 |
$1,216.19 |
$1,162.04 |
| 19th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall |
25 |
-1.2 |
-5% |
|
$11.62 |
$1,162.04 |
$1,148.68 |
| 26th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 101 |
12.5 |
-10.7 |
-85% |
|
$11.49 |
$1,148.68 |
$1,026.23 |
| 3rd Dec |
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale |
19 |
2.3 |
12% |
|
$10.26 |
$1,026.23 |
$1,049.42 |
| 9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night 102 Albany |
19.5 |
10.0 |
51% |
|
$10.49 |
$1,049.42 |
$1,154.42 |
| 17th Dec |
UFC on Fox 22 |
19.5 |
-9.5 |
-49% |
|
$11.54 |
$1,154.42 |
$1,044.28 |
| 31st Dec |
UFC 207 |
14.5 |
16.4 |
113% |
|
$10.44 |
$1,044.28 |
$1,215.23 |
| 15th Jan |
UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn |
17 |
6.8 |
40% |
|
$12.15 |
$1,215.23 |
$1,298.11 |
| 28th Jan |
UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena |
24 |
-7.0 |
-29% |
|
$12.98 |
$1,298.11 |
$1,207.25 |
| 4th Feb |
UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez |
16 |
-4.1 |
-26% |
|
$12.07 |
$1,207.25 |
$1,157.75 |
| 11th Feb |
UFC 208 |
12 |
-8.3 |
-70% |
|
$11.58 |
$1,157.75 |
$1,061.19 |
| 19th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne |
12 |
-4.4 |
-36% |
|
$10.61 |
$1,061.19 |
$1,014.92 |
| 4th Mar |
UFC 209 |
32.5 |
22.8 |
70% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,014.92 |
$1,245.82 |
| 11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum |
36 |
-2.3 |
-6% |
|
$12.46 |
$1,245.82 |
$1,217.17 |
| 18th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson |
15 |
0.9 |
6% |
|
$12.17 |
$1,217.17 |
$1,228.12 |
| 8th Apr |
UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 |
13 |
9.4 |
72% |
|
$12.28 |
$1,228.12 |
$1,343.56 |
| 15th Apr |
UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis |
11.5 |
-3.2 |
-28% |
|
$13.44 |
$1,343.56 |
$1,301.02 |
| 22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov |
10.5 |
7.5 |
71% |
|
$13.01 |
$1,301.02 |
$1,398.60 |
| 13th May |
UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos |
7 |
-7.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.99 |
$1,398.60 |
$1,300.69 |
| 28th May |
UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.01 |
$1,300.69 |
$1,274.68 |
| 3rd Jun |
UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
$12.75 |
$1,274.68 |
$1,198.20 |
| 10th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis |
16 |
-4.5 |
-28% |
|
$11.98 |
$1,198.20 |
$1,144.02 |
| 25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night 112 |
8 |
4.0 |
50% |
|
$11.44 |
$1,144.02 |
$1,189.78 |
| 8th Jul |
UFC 213 |
22 |
-7.1 |
-32% |
|
$11.90 |
$1,189.78 |
$1,104.80 |
| 16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 113 |
6 |
3.3 |
56% |
|
$11.05 |
$1,104.80 |
$1,141.62 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC on Fox 25 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.42 |
$1,141.62 |
$1,095.96 |
| 5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno |
11 |
-5.3 |
-48% |
|
$10.96 |
$1,095.96 |
$1,038.30 |
| 4th Nov |
UFC 217 |
20 |
4.0 |
20% |
|
$10.38 |
$1,038.30 |
$1,079.83 |
| 31st Dec |
UFC 219 |
20 |
34.7 |
174% |
|
$10.80 |
$1,079.83 |
$1,454.96 |
| 20th Jan |
UFC 220 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
$1.99 |
$14.55 |
$1,454.96 |
$1,394.77 |
| 27th Jan |
UFC on Fox 27 |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.95 |
$1,394.77 |
$1,283.19 |
| 4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 125 |
9 |
-4.9 |
-55% |
|
$12.83 |
$1,283.19 |
$1,219.95 |
| 10th Feb |
UFC 221 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
130% |
|
$12.20 |
$1,219.95 |
$1,259.60 |
| 18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 126 |
7 |
-1.0 |
-14% |
|
$12.60 |
$1,259.60 |
$1,247.00 |
| 7th Apr |
UFC 223 |
5 |
5.1 |
102% |
|
$12.47 |
$1,247.00 |
$1,310.60 |
| 12th May |
UFC 224 |
6 |
2.0 |
33% |
|
$13.11 |
$1,310.60 |
$1,336.81 |
| 7th Jul |
UFC 226 |
6 |
10.2 |
170% |
|
$13.37 |
$1,336.81 |
$1,473.16 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night 134 |
6.5 |
3.3 |
51% |
|
$14.73 |
$1,473.16 |
$1,521.78 |
| 28th Jul |
UFC on Fox 30 |
12 |
3.4 |
28% |
|
$15.22 |
$1,521.78 |
$1,573.20 |
| 4th Aug |
UFC 227 |
22 |
24.1 |
109% |
|
$15.73 |
$1,573.20 |
$1,951.89 |
| 25th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 135 |
7 |
4.8 |
69% |
|
$19.52 |
$1,951.89 |
$2,046.24 |
| 8th Sep |
UFC 228 |
7 |
5.0 |
71% |
|
$20.46 |
$2,046.24 |
$2,148.08 |
| 22nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
$1.99 |
$21.48 |
$2,148.08 |
$2,092.38 |
| 6th Oct |
UFC 229 |
15 |
8.2 |
55% |
$1.99 |
$20.92 |
$2,092.38 |
$2,263.02 |
| 27th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 138 |
8 |
5.3 |
67% |
|
$22.63 |
$2,263.02 |
$2,383.71 |
| 10th Nov |
UFC Fight Night Denver |
9 |
-2.0 |
-23% |
$1.99 |
$23.84 |
$2,383.71 |
$2,333.16 |
| 1st Dec |
UFC Fight Night 142 |
12 |
6.3 |
53% |
|
$23.33 |
$2,333.16 |
$2,480.93 |
| 15th Dec |
Fight Night Milwaukee |
7 |
3.2 |
46% |
|
$24.81 |
$2,480.93 |
$2,560.60 |
| 29th Dec |
UFC 232 |
11 |
6.6 |
60% |
$1.99 |
$25.61 |
$2,560.60 |
$2,727.60 |
| 19th Jan |
UFC on ESPN+ 1 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$27.28 |
$2,727.60 |
$2,618.50 |
| 2nd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 144 |
2 |
2.6 |
130% |
|
$26.19 |
$2,618.50 |
$2,686.58 |
| 9th Feb |
UFC 234 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$26.87 |
$2,686.58 |
$2,552.25 |
| 17th Feb |
UFC on ESPN 1 |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
|
$25.52 |
$2,552.25 |
$2,348.07 |
| 9th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 146 |
2 |
2.2 |
110% |
|
$23.48 |
$2,348.07 |
$2,399.73 |
| 23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night 148 |
7 |
-7.0 |
-100% |
|
$24.00 |
$2,399.73 |
$2,231.75 |
| 13th Apr |
UFC 236 |
4 |
-0.7 |
-18% |
|
$22.32 |
$2,231.75 |
$2,216.13 |
| 20th Apr |
UFC Fight Night 149 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$22.16 |
$2,216.13 |
$2,171.80 |
| 27th Apr |
UFC on ESPN 3 |
5 |
4.5 |
91% |
|
$21.72 |
$2,171.80 |
$2,270.52 |
| 4th May |
UFC Fight Night 150 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
95% |
|
$22.71 |
$2,270.52 |
$2,324.58 |
| 1st Jun |
UFC Fight Night 153 |
3 |
3.0 |
101% |
|
$23.25 |
$2,324.58 |
$2,394.74 |
| 29th Jun |
UFC on ESPN 3 |
6.5 |
-2.8 |
-42% |
|
$23.95 |
$2,394.74 |
$2,328.89 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 132.89% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
MMA401k : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
| 1. |
Jun '19 |
Amanda Ribas |
Emily Whitmire |
2.50 |
1.5 |
Sub, R2 (2:10) |
|
|
| 2. |
Jun '19 |
Daniel Teymur |
Sung Bin Jo |
2.20 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 3. |
Jun '19 |
Devin Clark |
Darko Stosic |
1.91 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 4. |
May '19 |
Donald Cerrone |
Al Iaquinta |
1.95 |
2.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
| 5. |
Apr '19 |
Glover Teixeira |
Ion Cutelaba |
1.91 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (3:37) |
|
|
| 6. |
Apr '19 |
Matt Frevola |
Jalin Turner |
2.20 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 7. |
Mar '19 |
Matt Schnell |
Louis Smolka |
2.10 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (3:18) |
|
|
| 8. |
Feb '19 |
Markus Perez |
Anthony Hernandez |
2.30 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (1:7) |
|
|
| 9. |
Dec '18 |
Corey Anderson |
Ilir Latifi |
2.20 |
8 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 10. |
Dec '18 |
Juan Adams |
Chris de la Rocha |
1.22 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (0:58) |
|
|
| 11. |
Dec '18 |
Joaquim Silva |
Jared Gordon |
2.05 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (2:39) |
|
|
| 12. |
Dec '18 |
Justin Willis |
Mark Hunt |
1.83 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 13. |
Nov '18 |
Ashley Yoder |
Amanda Cooper |
1.74 |
4 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 14. |
Oct '18 |
Stevie Ray |
Jessin Ayari |
1.67 |
8 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 15. |
Oct '18 |
Tony Martin |
Ryan LaFlare |
2.10 |
8 |
TKO, R3 (1:0) |
|
|
| 16. |
Oct '18 |
 Tony Martin |
Ryan LaFlare |
2.15 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (1:0) |
|
|
| 17. |
Sep '18 |
Irene Aldana |
Lucie Pudilova |
1.93 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 18. |
Sep '18 |
Aljamain Sterling |
Cody Stamann |
1.63 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (3:42) |
|
|
| 19. |
Aug '18 |
Cory Sandhagen |
Yuri Alcantara |
1.50 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (1:1) |
|
|
| 20. |
Aug '18 |
Andrew Sanchez |
Markus Perez |
1.83 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Jun '19 |
Jussier Formiga |
Joseph Benavidez |
2.05 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (4:47) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Jun '19 |
Junior Albini |
Maurice Greene |
2.05 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (3:38) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Apr '19 |
Marcelo Golm |
Sergey Pavlovich |
3.20 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:6) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Apr '19 |
Arman Tsarukyan |
Islam Makhachev |
3.90 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Apr '19 |
Alan Jouban |
Dwight Grant |
1.83 |
2.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Mar '19 |
Steven Peterson |
Luis Pena |
3.10 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Mar '19 |
Frankie Saenz |
Marlon Vera |
2.45 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (1:25) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Feb '19 |
Benito Lopez |
Manny Bermudez |
2.70 |
4 |
Sub, R1 (3:9) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Feb '19 |
James Vick |
Paul Felder |
1.95 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Feb '19 |
Wuliji Buren |
Jonathan Martinez |
2.05 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Feb '19 |
Sam Alvey |
Jim Crute |
2.35 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (2:49) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Jan '19 |
Karl Roberson |
Glover Teixeira |
2.05 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (3:21) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Jan '19 |
Dustin Ortiz |
Joseph Benavidez |
3.00 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Dec '18 |
Siyar Bahadurzada |
Curtis Millender |
2.35 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Nov '18 |
Thiago Moises |
Beneil Dariush |
2.35 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Oct '18 |
Gray Maynard |
Nik Lentz |
3.00 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (1:19) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Sep '18 |
Gillian Robertson |
Mayra Bueno Silva |
1.77 |
2.5 |
Sub, R1 (4:55) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Aug '18 |
Danielle Taylor |
Weili Zhang |
3.50 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
Jul '18 |
Alex Morono |
Jordan Mein |
2.10 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Jul '18 |
Davey Grant |
Manny Bermudez |
3.50 |
1.5 |
Sub, R1 (0:59) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
MMA401k : Progress Chart |
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