MMA Handicapper Stats: Brett Appley ( DailyFanMMA.com ) |
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Brett Appley ( DailyFanMMA.com ): Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 64 (71%) Losing Events: 26 (29%)
Average Staked Per Event: 4.31 units Most Staked On One Event: 11.75 units Best Event: 18.36 units Worst Event: -7.18 units Average Event: 0.85 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 13, Units: 46.63 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -7.18 |
Brett Appley ( DailyFanMMA.com ): Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2021 |
3 |
1.3 |
43% |
1.3 / 3 (43%) |
0.0 / 0 (nan%) |
|
1 / (100%) |
1.30 |
2020 |
18.45 |
0.4 |
2% |
-2.1 / 13 (-16%) |
-0.7 / 0.65 (-100%) |
3.2 / 4.8 (66%) |
4 / 4 (50%) |
0.05 |
2019 |
16.2 |
3.5 |
22% |
3.5 / 16.2 (22%) |
|
|
5 / 3 (63%) |
0.44 |
2018 |
40.7 |
15.7 |
39% |
4.2 / 20.5 (21%) |
7.0 / 12.2 (58%) |
4.5 / 8 (56%) |
15 / 1 (94%) |
0.98 |
2017 |
175.45 |
11.8 |
7% |
16.6 / 84.25 (20%) |
-4.9 / 26.95 (-18%) |
0.1 / 64.25 (0%) |
22 / 13 (63%) |
0.34 |
2016 |
134 |
44.0 |
33% |
20.0 / 79 (25%) |
19.3 / 35.5 (54%) |
4.7 / 19.5 (24%) |
17 / 5 (77%) |
2.00 |
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Brett Appley ( DailyFanMMA.com ): Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Brett Appley ( DailyFanMMA.com ): Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
387.8 |
76.7 |
20% |
43.6 / 215.95 (20%) |
20.7 / 75.3 (27%) |
12.4 / 96.55 (13%) |
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Brett Appley ( DailyFanMMA.com ): Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
33 (31%) |
24 |
73 % |
85.70 |
7.70 |
0.23 |
9% |
Slight Favorites |
40 (37%) |
29 |
73 % |
79.50 |
21.26 |
0.53 |
27% |
Slight Underdogs |
31 (29%) |
17 |
55 % |
47.75 |
14.55 |
0.47 |
30% |
Big Underdogs |
3 (3%) |
1 |
33 % |
3.00 |
0.05 |
0.02 |
2% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
23 (21%) |
18 |
78 % |
54.70 |
22.33 |
0.97 |
41% |
Co-Main Event |
15 (14%) |
13 |
87 % |
26.00 |
16.56 |
1.10 |
64% |
Position 3-5 |
26 (24%) |
15 |
58 % |
56.00 |
-1.52 |
-0.06 |
-3% |
6+ (Undercard) |
43 (40%) |
25 |
58 % |
79.25 |
6.18 |
0.14 |
8% |
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Brett Appley ( DailyFanMMA.com ): Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
5 (5%) |
3 |
60 % |
10.00 |
-0.11 |
-0.02 |
-1% |
Light Heavy |
6 (6%) |
3 |
50 % |
10.50 |
-0.40 |
-0.07 |
-4% |
Middleweight |
17 (16%) |
13 |
76 % |
36.50 |
12.14 |
0.71 |
33% |
Welterweight |
15 (14%) |
12 |
80 % |
31.00 |
15.99 |
1.07 |
52% |
Lightweight |
11 (10%) |
9 |
82 % |
20.00 |
9.44 |
0.86 |
47% |
Featherweight |
11 (10%) |
5 |
45 % |
21.00 |
-5.03 |
-0.46 |
-24% |
Bantamweight |
15 (14%) |
10 |
67 % |
32.00 |
8.39 |
0.56 |
26% |
Flyweight |
9 (8%) |
5 |
56 % |
18.70 |
-2.70 |
-0.30 |
-14% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
18 (17%) |
11 |
61 % |
36.25 |
5.83 |
0.32 |
16% |
Bantamweight |
3 (3%) |
1 |
33 % |
3.25 |
-0.80 |
-0.27 |
-25% |
Flyweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.00 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
49% |
Strawweight |
14 (13%) |
9 |
64 % |
31.00 |
5.65 |
0.40 |
18% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
95 (84%) |
73 |
77 % |
Slight Favorites |
16 (14%) |
9 |
56 % |
Slight Underdogs |
2 (2%) |
0 |
0 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
113 |
82 |
73 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
39 (57%) |
32 |
82 % |
50-65% |
11 (16%) |
7 |
64 % |
35-50% |
9 (13%) |
4 |
44 % |
<35% chance |
10 (14%) |
5 |
50 % |
|
69 |
48 |
70 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Brett Appley ( DailyFanMMA.com )'s bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: -119.60% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Brett Appley ( DailyFanMMA.com ): Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Feb '20 |
T.J. Brown |
Jordan Griffin |
2.20 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (3:38) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Feb '20 |
Aalon Cruz |
Spike Carlyle |
1.58 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:25) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Mar '20 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
Weili Zhang |
2.45 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Feb '20 |
Nathaniel Wood |
John Dodson |
1.67 |
1.5 |
TKO, R3 (0:16) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Jan '20 |
Tim Elliott |
Askar Askarov |
2.00 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Sep '19 |
Antonio Carlos Junior |
Urijah Hall |
1.57 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Jun '19 |
Alexander Gustafsson |
Anthony Smith |
1.32 |
2 |
Sub, R4 (2:38) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Jan '19 |
T.J. Dillashaw |
Henry Cejudo |
1.48 |
2.2 |
TKO, R1 (0:32) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Nov '18 |
Alex Perez |
Joseph Benavidez |
1.80 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:19) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Jul '18 |
Justin Scoggins |
Said Nurmagomedov |
2.20 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Mar '18 |
Frankie Edgar |
Brian Ortega |
1.57 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:44) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Jan '18 |
Brandon Davis |
Kyle Bochniak |
1.80 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Dec '17 |
Jason Knight |
Gabriel Benitez |
1.38 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Nov '17 |
Bobby Nash |
Kenan Song |
1.36 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (0:15) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Nov '17 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
Rose Namajunas |
1.25 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (3:3) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Sep '17 |
Bryan Barberena |
Leon Edwards |
3.80 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Jul '17 |
Renan Barao |
Aljamain Sterling |
2.15 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Jun '17 |
Ji Yeon Kim |
Lucie Pudilova |
2.25 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
May '17 |
Nico Musoke |
Bojan Velickovic |
1.77 |
1.5 |
TKO, R3 (4:37) |
No |
|
|
20. |
May '17 |
Reza Madadi |
Joaquim Silva |
2.60 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Brett Appley ( DailyFanMMA.com ): Progress Chart |
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