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Total MMA Handicappers: 1432 Profitable MMA Handicappers: 577 |
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Straight Pick Stats |
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Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
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| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Main Event | 18 (14%) | 10 | 56 % | 85.00 | -6.01 | -0.33 | -7% |
| Co-Main Event | 15 (11%) | 7 | 47 % | 73.00 | -17.59 | -1.17 | -24% |
| Position 3-5 | 37 (28%) | 23 | 62 % | 187.00 | 26.22 | 0.71 | 14% |
| 6+ (Undercard) | 62 (47%) | 40 | 65 % | 292.50 | 80.80 | 1.30 | 28% |
by Weight Class
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Heavyweight | 16 (12%) | 11 | 69 % | 96.00 | 13.53 | 0.85 | 14% |
| Light Heavy | 10 (8%) | 7 | 70 % | 57.00 | 18.81 | 1.88 | 33% |
| Middleweight | 19 (14%) | 11 | 58 % | 87.50 | -15.05 | -0.79 | -17% |
| Welterweight | 19 (14%) | 10 | 53 % | 88.00 | 11.14 | 0.59 | 13% |
| Lightweight | 21 (16%) | 15 | 71 % | 100.50 | 53.67 | 2.56 | 53% |
| Featherweight | 7 (5%) | 2 | 29 % | 34.00 | -16.89 | -2.41 | -50% |
| Bantamweight | 12 (9%) | 10 | 83 % | 46.00 | 22.65 | 1.89 | 49% |
| Flyweight | 7 (5%) | 2 | 29 % | 32.00 | -11.25 | -1.61 | -35% |
| Women's Fights | 21 (16%) | 12 | 57 % | 96.50 | 6.83 | 0.33 | 7% |
| Featherweight | 2 (2%) | 1 | 50 % | 8.00 | -0.68 | -0.34 | -9% |
| Bantamweight | 7 (5%) | 5 | 71 % | 25.50 | 7.71 | 1.10 | 30% |
| Bantamweight | 1 (1%) | 0 % | 3.00 | -3.00 | -3.00 | -100% | |
| Strawweight | 11 (8%) | 6 | 55 % | 60.00 | 2.80 | 0.25 | 5% |
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)
Straight picks within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| Big Favorites | 18 (47%) | 17 | 94 % |
| Slight Favorites | 12 (32%) | 6 | 50 % |
| Slight Underdogs | 7 (18%) | 4 | 57 % |
| Big Underdogs | 1 (3%) | 0 | 0 % |
| 38 | 27 | 71 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| >65% chance | 6 (25%) | 5 | 83 % |
| 50-65% | 12 (50%) | 7 | 58 % |
| 35-50% | 6 (25%) | 4 | 67 % |
| <35% chance | 0 (0%) | 0 | 0 % |
| 24 | 16 | 67 % |
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
| Prop Type | Picks | Correct | % Correct | Avg Odds |
Longest Odds |
Shortest Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| Goes to Decision | 5 (21%) | 5 | 100 % | 1.61 | 1.87 |
1.44 |
3.1 (62%) |
| Fight Starts Round X | 8 (33%) | 4 | 50 % | 1.76 | 2.31 |
1.26 |
-1.1 (-14%) |
| Fight Doesn't Start Round X | 2 (8%) | 2 | 100 % | 1.31 | 1.31 |
1.31 |
0.6 (31%) |
| X Wins by Decision | 3 (13%) | 3 | 100 % | 2.08 | 2.70 |
1.68 |
3.5 (116%) |
| X Wins Inside Distance | 6 (25%) | 2 | 33 % | 1.71 | 2.60 |
1.40 |
-2.0 (-33%) |
| 24 | 16 | 67 % | 1.70 | 4.1 (17%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.
Tail handicapper's bets
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date | Event | Bet | Won | ROI | Fee | 1 unit = | Start | End |
| 20th Aug | UFC 202 - Diaz vs. McGregor 2 | 26 | 3.2 | 12% | $5 | $10.00 | $1,000.00 | $1,027.50 |
| 27th Aug | UFC on Fox 21 - Condit vs. Maia | 14 | -2.4 | -17% | $10.27 | $1,027.50 | $1,002.99 | |
| 10th Sep | UFC 203 - Miocic vs. Overeem | 6 | 1.4 | 23% | $10.03 | $1,002.99 | $1,017.04 | |
| 17th Sep | UFC Fight Night 94 - Poirier vs. Johnson | 31 | 7.6 | 24% | $10.17 | $1,017.04 | $1,094.02 | |
| 24th Sep | UFC Fight Night 95 - Brasilia | 27 | -2.6 | -10% | $10.94 | $1,094.02 | $1,065.42 | |
| 1st Oct | UFC Fight Night 96 - Lineker vs. Dodson | 5 | -5.0 | -100% | $10.65 | $1,065.42 | $1,012.15 | |
| 7th Oct | WSOF 33 Gaethje vs. Dugulubgov | 10 | 4.0 | 40% | $10.12 | $1,012.15 | $1,052.64 | |
| 8th Oct | UFC 204 - Bisping vs. Henderson 2 | 22 | 14.1 | 64% | $10.53 | $1,052.64 | $1,201.56 | |
| 5th Nov | UFC Mexico City | 10 | 8.8 | 88% | $12.02 | $1,201.56 | $1,307.29 | |
| 12th Nov | UFC 205 - New York City | 17 | 0.1 | 1% | $13.07 | $1,307.29 | $1,309.05 | |
| 19th Nov | UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall | 19 | 0.6 | 3% | $13.09 | $1,309.05 | $1,316.38 | |
| 19th Nov | UFC Fight Night 100 Bader vs. Nogueira 2 | 8 | -2.6 | -33% | $13.16 | $1,316.38 | $1,282.16 | |
| 26th Nov | UFC Fight Night 101 | 14 | -14.0 | -100% | $12.82 | $1,282.16 | $1,102.65 | |
| 3rd Dec | UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale | 12 | 2.7 | 22% | $11.03 | $1,102.65 | $1,131.87 | |
| 9th Dec | UFC Fight Night 102 Albany | 19.5 | 9.5 | 49% | $11.32 | $1,131.87 | $1,239.40 | |
| 10th Dec | UFC 206 | 6 | -1.1 | -19% | $12.39 | $1,239.40 | $1,225.64 | |
| 17th Dec | UFC on Fox 22 | 15 | -3.4 | -23% | $12.26 | $1,225.64 | $1,184.22 | |
| 31st Dec | UFC 207 | 11 | 7.9 | 72% | $11.84 | $1,184.22 | $1,277.53 | |
| 15th Jan | UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn | 14 | 3.5 | 25% | $12.78 | $1,277.53 | $1,322.37 | |
| 28th Jan | UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena | 11.5 | -1.3 | -11% | $13.22 | $1,322.37 | $1,305.18 | |
| 4th Feb | UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez | 10 | 2.9 | 29% | $13.05 | $1,305.18 | $1,343.03 | |
| 11th Feb | UFC 208 | 15 | -7.7 | -51% | $13.43 | $1,343.03 | $1,239.89 | |
| 18th Feb | Bellator 172 | 7 | 2.8 | 40% | $12.40 | $1,239.89 | $1,274.61 | |
| 19th Feb | UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne | 16 | -2.8 | -17% | $12.75 | $1,274.61 | $1,239.54 | |
| 4th Mar | UFC 209 | 18 | 14.1 | 78% | $12.40 | $1,239.54 | $1,413.82 | |
| 11th Mar | UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum | 26 | -5.8 | -22% | $14.14 | $1,413.82 | $1,331.25 | |
| 18th Mar | UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson | 10 | 5.9 | 59% | $13.31 | $1,331.25 | $1,409.79 | |
| 8th Apr | UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 | 10.5 | 14.7 | 140% | $14.10 | $1,409.79 | $1,616.68 | |
| 15th Apr | UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis | 12 | -3.7 | -31% | $16.17 | $1,616.68 | $1,557.40 | |
| 22nd Apr | UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov | 9 | 6.8 | 75% | $15.57 | $1,557.40 | $1,662.53 | |
| 13th May | UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos | 12 | -1.6 | -13% | $16.63 | $1,662.53 | $1,636.33 | |
| 28th May | UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira | 3 | -3.0 | -100% | $16.36 | $1,636.33 | $1,587.24 | |
| 10th Jun | UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis | 14 | -2.5 | -18% | $15.87 | $1,587.24 | $1,547.22 | |
| 8th Jul | UFC 213 | 20 | -3.4 | -17% | $15.47 | $1,547.22 | $1,494.17 | |
| 22nd Jul | UFC on Fox 25 | 14 | -8.9 | -64% | $14.94 | $1,494.17 | $1,361.19 | |
| 29th Jul | UFC 214 | 11 | 4.4 | 40% | $13.61 | $1,361.19 | $1,421.08 | |
| 5th Aug | UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno | 10 | -1.4 | -14% | $14.21 | $1,421.08 | $1,401.31 | |
| 4th Nov | UFC 217 | 21.5 | 2.5 | 12% | $14.01 | $1,401.31 | $1,436.34 | |
| 31st Dec | UFC 219 | 11 | 14.8 | 135% | $14.36 | $1,436.34 | $1,648.92 | |
| 20th Jan | UFC 220 | 3 | -3.0 | -100% | $16.49 | $1,648.92 | $1,599.45 | |
| 27th Jan | UFC on Fox 27 | 5 | -5.0 | -100% | $15.99 | $1,599.45 | $1,519.48 | |
| 4th Feb | UFC Fight Night 125 | 8 | -8.0 | -100% | $15.19 | $1,519.48 | $1,397.92 | |
| 3rd Mar | UFC 222 | 6 | -6.0 | -100% | $13.98 | $1,397.92 | $1,314.04 | |
| 14th Apr | UFC on Fox 29 | 4 | 3.8 | 95% | $13.14 | $1,314.04 | $1,364.10 | |
| 12th May | UFC 224 | 12 | 3.9 | 33% | $13.64 | $1,364.10 | $1,417.90 | |
| 22nd Jul | UFC Fight Night 134 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 91% | $14.18 | $1,417.90 | $1,475.68 | |
| 28th Jul | UFC on Fox 30 | 5 | 5.0 | 100% | $14.76 | $1,475.68 | $1,549.46 | |
| 4th Aug | UFC 227 | 13 | 11.5 | 88% | $15.49 | $1,549.46 | $1,727.65 | |
| 25th Aug | UFC Fight Night 135 | 16 | 0.6 | 4% | $17.28 | $1,727.65 | $1,737.62 | |
| 8th Sep | UFC 228 | 10 | 7.1 | 71% | $17.38 | $1,737.62 | $1,861.17 | |
| 6th Oct | UFC 229 | 19 | 6.3 | 33% | $18.61 | $1,861.17 | $1,977.55 | |
| 27th Oct | UFC Fight Night 138 | 6 | 4.0 | 67% | $19.78 | $1,977.55 | $2,056.65 | |
| 10th Nov | UFC Fight Night Denver | 4 | -4.0 | -100% | $20.57 | $2,056.65 | $1,974.39 | |
| 1st Dec | UFC Fight Night 142 | 8 | 1.2 | 15% | $19.74 | $1,974.39 | $1,997.42 | |
| 15th Dec | Fight Night Milwaukee | 2 | 2.2 | 110% | $19.97 | $1,997.42 | $2,041.37 | |
| 29th Dec | UFC 232 | 16 | 3.7 | 23% | $20.41 | $2,041.37 | $2,116.02 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 111.60% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.
Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | |||
| 1. | Dec '18 | Corey Anderson | Ilir Latifi | 2.20 | 4 | U Decision (3 rounds) | 
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| 2. | Dec '18 | Jon Jones | Alexander Gustafsson | 1.36 | 8 | TKO, R3 (2:2) |
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| 3. | Dec '18 | Joaquim Silva | Jared Gordon | 2.10 | 2 | TKO, R3 (2:39) |
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| 4. | Dec '18 | Justin Willis | Mark Hunt | 1.83 | 5 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 5. | Oct '18 | Stevie Ray | Jessin Ayari | 1.67 | 6 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 6. | Oct '18 | Tony Martin | Ryan LaFlare | 2.10 | 5 | TKO, R3 (1:0) |
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| 7. | Oct '18 | Tony Martin | Ryan LaFlare | 2.10 | 4 | TKO, R3 (1:0) |
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| 8. | Oct '18 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Conor McGregor | 1.59 | 4 | Sub, R4 (3:2) |
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| 9. | Sep '18 | Irene Aldana | Lucie Pudilova | 1.93 | 2 | Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 10. | Sep '18 | Jimmie Rivera | John Dodson | 1.69 | 4 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 11. | Sep '18 | Aljamain Sterling | Cody Stamann | 1.63 | 4 | Sub, R2 (3:42) |
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| 12. | Aug '18 | Andrew Sanchez | Markus Perez | 1.77 | 4 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 13. | Aug '18 | Deiveson Figueiredo | John Moraga | 1.67 | 3 | TKO, R2 (3:8) |
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| 14. | Aug '18 | Cory Sandhagen | Yuri Alcantara | 1.50 | 3 | TKO, R2 (1:1) |
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| 15. | Aug '18 | Pedro Munhoz | Brett Johns | 1.50 | 8 | U Decision (3 rounds) | 
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| 16. | Aug '18 | J.J. Aldrich | Polyana Viana | 2.50 | 5 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 17. | Jul '18 | Alexander Hernandez | Olivier Aubin-Mercier | 2.00 | 5 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 18. | Jul '18 | Nasrat Haqparast | Marc Diakiese | 2.45 | 3.5 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 19. | May '18 | Cezar Ferreira | Karl Roberson | 1.95 | 4 | Sub, R1 (4:45) |
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| 20. | May '18 | Kelvin Gastelum | Ronaldo Souza | 2.05 | 2 | Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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Last 20 Losses
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | Hedge? | |||
| 1. | Dec '18 | Cat Zingano | Megan Anderson | 1.71 | 4 | TKO, R1 (1:1) | No |
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| 2. | Dec '18 | Tai Tuivasa | Junior dos Santos | 2.30 | 3 | TKO, R2 (2:30) | No |
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| 3. | Nov '18 | Thiago Moises | Beneil Dariush | 2.35 | 4 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 4. | Oct '18 | Gray Maynard | Nik Lentz | 3.00 | 2 | TKO, R2 (1:19) | No |
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| 5. | Oct '18 | Sergio Pettis | Jussier Formiga | 1.63 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 6. | Aug '18 | Andre Fili | Michael Johnson | 1.83 | 3 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 7. | Aug '18 | Kalindra Faria | Joanne Calderwood | 2.55 | 3 | Sub, R1 (4:59) | No |
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| 8. | Jul '18 | Davey Grant | Manny Bermudez | 3.50 | 1 | Sub, R1 (0:59) | No |
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| 9. | May '18 | Raquel Pennington | Amanda Nunes | 7.50 | 3 | TKO, R5 (2:36) | No |
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| 10. | Mar '18 | Frankie Edgar | Brian Ortega | 1.71 | 6 | TKO, R1 (4:44) | No |
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| 11. | Feb '18 | Desmond Green | Michel Prazeres | 2.00 | 8 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 12. | Jan '18 | Derek Brunson | Ronaldo Souza | 1.95 | 5 | TKO, R1 (3:50) | No |
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| 13. | Nov '17 | Corey Anderson | Ovince St Preux | 2.40 | 5 | TKO, R3 (1:25) | No |
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| 14. | Nov '17 | Michael Bisping | Georges St-Pierre | 1.91 | 5 | Sub, R3 (4:23) | No |
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| 15. | Aug '17 | Brandon Moreno | Sergio Pettis | 1.63 | 4 | U Decision (5 rounds) | No |
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| 16. | Jul '17 | Timothy Johnson | Junior Albini | 1.45 | 8 | TKO, R1 (2:51) | No |
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| 17. | Jul '17 | Kelvin Gastelum | Chris Weidman | 1.67 | 4 | Sub, R3 (3:45) | No |
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| 18. | Jul '17 | Travis Browne | Aleksei Oleinik | 1.42 | 7 | Sub, R2 (3:44) | No |
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| 19. | Jul '17 | Jim Miller | Anthony Pettis | 3.00 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 20. | Jun '17 | Derrick Lewis | Mark Hunt | 1.77 | 6 | TKO, R4 (3:51) | No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.
Progress Chart
Chart
