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MMA Handicapper Stats: Alexander Melchiott

Alexander Melchiott (AlexMelchiott)


MMA MHandicapper - Alexander Melchiott

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 978 (57%) Right 677 (56%) Right 289 (64%) Right 12 (16%)
Wrong 749 (43%) Wrong 526 (44%) Wrong 161 (36%) Wrong 62 (84%)
Avg Odds 1.77 Avg Odds 1.79 Avg Odds 1.54 Avg Odds 6.76
Units Bet 2,210.0 Units Bet 1,564.0 Units Bet 572.0 Units Bet 74.0
Avg Bet 1.28 Avg Bet 1.30 Avg Bet 1.27 Avg Bet 1.00
Units Profit 40.44 Units Profit 33.41 Units Profit -4.90 Units Profit 11.93
ROI % 2% ROI % 2% ROI % -1% ROI % 16%
View Handicapper's Profile

Alexander Melchiott: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 25 -10.8 -43% -2.0 / 13 (-16%) -1.8 / 5 (-35%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
18th May '19 KSW 49 6 16.3 272% 5.7 / 5 (114%) 10.6 / 1 (1,062%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 25 -10.2 -41% -0.1 / 12 (-1%) -1.1 / 4 (-28%) -9.0 / 9 (-100%)
11th May '19 Bellator 221 4 1.4 34% 1.4 / 4 (34%)
10th May '19 LFA 66 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 30 -10.9 -36% -2.2 / 12 (-19%) -0.6 / 10 (-6%) -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
4th May '19 Bellator Birmingham 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 39 -7.2 -18% 0.2 / 13 (2%) -3.9 / 11 (-36%) -3.5 / 15 (-23%)
27th Apr '19 KSW 48 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 38 4.3 11% -4.3 / 11 (-39%) -2.8 / 16 (-17%) 11.4 / 11 (104%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 29 4.3 15% 1.9 / 13 (14%) 2.2 / 9 (24%) 0.2 / 7 (3%)
31st Mar '19 One FC - A New Era 3 2.6 87% 2.6 / 3 (87%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 21 14.2 68% 2.6 / 13 (20%) 0.9 / 5 (18%) 10.7 / 3 (357%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 22 11.7 53% 6.2 / 12 (52%) -2.9 / 7 (-41%) 8.4 / 3 (280%)
23rd Mar '19 KSW 47 3 2.6 86% 2.6 / 3 (86%)
22nd Mar '19 Bellator 218 2 -0.7 -35% -0.7 / 2 (-35%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 19 -4.6 -24% 0.9 / 12 (8%) -2.5 / 4 (-62%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 16 1.4 8% 1.6 / 13 (12%) -0.2 / 3 (-7%)
9th Mar '19 Cage Warriors 103 1 0.6 56% 0.6 / 1 (56%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 16 2.7 17% 3.9 / 12 (32%) -1.2 / 4 (-30%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 14 2.2 16% 3.2 / 13 (25%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 15 2.6 18% 1.7 / 12 (15%) 0.9 / 3 (30%)
15th Feb '19 Bellator 215 4 -1.6 -40% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 0.4 / 2 (19%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 11 -5.7 -52% -5.7 / 11 (-52%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 12 8.7 72% 8.7 / 12 (72%)
26th Jan '19 Bellator Los Angeles 6 5.2 87% 4.9 / 4 (122%) 0.4 / 2 (18%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 19 7.9 41% 8.6 / 13 (66%) -0.8 / 6 (-13%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 18 -1.7 -9% -1.6 / 13 (-12%) -0.1 / 5 (-2%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 15 5.1 34% 5.4 / 11 (49%) -0.3 / 4 (-7%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 15 -2.2 -14% -3.0 / 13 (-23%) 0.8 / 2 (40%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 14 0.7 5% 1.4 / 12 (12%) -0.7 / 2 (-37%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 18 3.4 19% 2.7 / 13 (21%) 0.7 / 5 (13%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 16 -2.2 -13% -3.0 / 12 (-25%) 0.9 / 4 (22%)
10th Nov '18 ACB 90 1 0.6 59% 0.6 / 1 (59%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 14 -2.5 -18% -1.9 / 11 (-17%) -0.6 / 3 (-21%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 2 -0.7 -36% -0.7 / 2 (-36%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 15 -3.1 -21% -3.4 / 14 (-24%) 0.3 / 1 (29%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 17 -1.5 -9% -3.6 / 13 (-27%) 2.0 / 4 (51%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 16 3.5 22% 4.0 / 12 (33%) -0.4 / 4 (-10%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 16 -2.1 -13% -1.7 / 13 (-13%) -0.4 / 3 (-12%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 15 -2.0 -14% -0.5 / 12 (-5%) -1.5 / 3 (-50%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 18 -3.6 -20% -3.9 / 13 (-30%) 0.3 / 5 (5%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 24 -2.4 -10% 0.5 / 13 (4%) -2.9 / 11 (-26%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 13 1.0 8% 1.0 / 13 (8%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 21 -5.7 -27% -1.2 / 11 (-11%) -4.5 / 10 (-45%)
7th Jul '18 TUF 27 Finale 12 -6.5 -55% -5.5 / 11 (-50%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 25 -7.3 -29% -5.5 / 13 (-42%) -1.8 / 12 (-15%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 13 -1.5 -12% -0.9 / 11 (-8%) -0.6 / 2 (-30%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 18 6.0 33% 3.2 / 11 (29%) 2.8 / 7 (40%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 18 3.3 18% 1.1 / 13 (9%) 2.1 / 5 (43%)
12th May '18 Bellator 199 4 2.2 54% 2.2 / 4 (54%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 19 4.1 21% 1.8 / 13 (14%) 2.2 / 6 (37%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 16 0.1 0% -0.9 / 11 (-8%) 0.9 / 5 (19%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 10 -4.1 -41% -3.1 / 9 (-34%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Mar '18 UFC Fight Night 127 14 7.9 57% 6.1 / 10 (61%) 1.9 / 4 (47%)
3rd Mar '18 UFC 222 17 -0.9 -5% -0.1 / 12 (-1%) -0.8 / 5 (-16%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 17 -0.3 -2% -2.1 / 12 (-18%) 1.8 / 5 (36%)
4th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 125 16 -1.8 -11% -0.2 / 11 (-2%) -1.6 / 5 (-33%)
27th Jan '18 UFC on Fox 27 14 -2.1 -15% -1.8 / 11 (-16%) -0.3 / 3 (-9%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 14 -1.0 -7% -1.3 / 10 (-13%) 0.3 / 4 (7%)
20th Jan '18 Bellator 192 5 -1.2 -23% -0.3 / 3 (-10%) -0.9 / 2 (-44%)
14th Jan '18 UFC Fight Night 124 15 5.9 40% 1.6 / 9 (18%) 2.3 / 5 (47%) 1.9 / 1 (195%)
13th Jan '18 Invicta FC 27 2 0.6 30% 0.6 / 2 (30%)
31st Dec '17 UFC 219 13 2.7 20% 4.0 / 9 (44%) -1.3 / 4 (-32%)
16th Dec '17 UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 13 -3.1 -24% -2.5 / 8 (-31%) -0.6 / 5 (-12%)
9th Dec '17 UFC Fight Night 123 13 3.2 25% 2.0 / 11 (18%) 1.2 / 2 (60%)
9th Dec '17 Bellator 190 2 1.8 88% 1.8 / 2 (88%)
2nd Dec '17 UFC 218 23 6.3 27% 0.5 / 12 (4%) 5.8 / 11 (52%)
2nd Dec '17 TUF 26 Finale 7 3.1 44% 3.1 / 7 (44%)
1st Dec '17 Bellator 189 1 0.3 25% 0.3 / 1 (25%)
25th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 17 5.0 30% 3.9 / 11 (36%) 1.1 / 6 (18%)
18th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 14 1.5 11% 3.5 / 12 (29%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
11th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 15 -2.8 -19% -2.3 / 10 (-23%) -0.5 / 5 (-9%)
4th Nov '17 UFC 217 24 -3.0 -12% -4.4 / 13 (-34%) 1.4 / 11 (13%)
28th Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo 17 -1.9 -11% -3.6 / 12 (-30%) 1.7 / 5 (33%)
21st Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 8 -2.4 -30% -2.4 / 8 (-30%)
20th Oct '17 Bellator 185 2 -0.8 -40% -0.8 / 2 (-40%)
7th Oct '17 UFC 216 6 1.4 23% 1.4 / 6 (23%)
22nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 9 1.8 19% 1.8 / 9 (19%)
16th Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 22 5.3 24% 4.7 / 12 (40%) 0.6 / 10 (6%)
9th Sep '17 UFC 215 22 -16.0 -73% -8.4 / 12 (-70%) -7.6 / 10 (-76%)
5th Aug '17 UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 9 -4.3 -47% -4.3 / 9 (-47%)
29th Jul '17 UFC 214 30 9.2 31% -1.4 / 14 (-10%) 10.6 / 16 (66%)
16th Jul '17 UFC Fight Night 113 5 -0.9 -18% -0.9 / 5 (-18%)
8th Jul '17 UFC 213 15 -0.7 -4% -0.2 / 8 (-2%) -0.5 / 7 (-7%)
25th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 112 5 -3.7 -73% -3.7 / 5 (-73%)
24th Jun '17 Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 3 -0.0 -1% -0.0 / 3 (-1%)
17th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 111 14 -3.6 -25% -3.6 / 14 (-25%)
3rd Jun '17 UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 21 -1.9 -9% 0.3 / 9 (3%) -1.2 / 11 (-11%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
28th May '17 UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 28 -10.3 -37% -3.5 / 13 (-27%) -3.7 / 12 (-31%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
19th May '17 Bellator 179 Daley vs. MacDonald 5 0.4 9% 0.4 / 5 (9%)
13th May '17 UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 68 8.3 12% 5.0 / 19 (26%) 0.3 / 47 (1%) 3.0 / 2 (152%)
22nd Apr '17 UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 61 -18.4 -30% 1.2 / 17 (7%) -19.6 / 44 (-45%)
15th Apr '17 UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 65 20.4 31% 7.5 / 29 (26%) 12.9 / 36 (36%)
8th Apr '17 UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 43 -0.3 -1% -2.2 / 22 (-10%) 2.0 / 21 (9%)
8th Apr '17 Bellator 176 Carvalho vs. Manhoef 2 1 0.6 63% 0.6 / 1 (63%)
25th Mar '17 Invicta FC 22 3 -1.4 -48% -1.4 / 3 (-48%)
18th Mar '17 UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson 26 -4.0 -15% -5.3 / 12 (-44%) 1.3 / 14 (9%)
11th Mar '17 UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum 30 -2.4 -8% -4.5 / 13 (-34%) 2.0 / 17 (12%)
4th Mar '17 UFC 209 28 -7.6 -27% -4.4 / 15 (-29%) -3.2 / 13 (-25%)
19th Feb '17 UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne 29 4.8 17% -1.2 / 18 (-7%) 6.0 / 11 (55%)
18th Feb '17 Bellator 172 7 -2.8 -40% -2.8 / 7 (-40%)
11th Feb '17 UFC 208 19 1.7 9% -2.5 / 13 (-19%) 4.2 / 6 (70%)
4th Feb '17 UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez 15 1.0 7% 1.0 / 15 (7%)
28th Jan '17 UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena 3 -1.8 -59% -1.8 / 3 (-59%)
15th Jan '17 UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn 14 -2.5 -18% -2.5 / 14 (-18%)
31st Dec '16 UFC 207 10 1.6 16% 1.6 / 10 (16%)
17th Dec '16 UFC on Fox 22 13 -5.4 -41% -5.4 / 13 (-41%)
10th Dec '16 UFC 206 12 1.8 15% 1.8 / 12 (15%)
9th Dec '16 UFC Fight Night 102 Albany 13 0.1 1% 0.1 / 13 (1%)
3rd Dec '16 UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale 12 1.4 12% 1.4 / 12 (12%)
26th Nov '16 UFC Fight Night 101 7 -1.7 -25% -1.7 / 7 (-25%)
19th Nov '16 UFC Fight Night 100 Bader vs. Nogueira 2 12 -2.8 -23% -2.8 / 12 (-23%)
19th Nov '16 UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall 9 -0.9 -10% -0.9 / 9 (-10%)
12th Nov '16 UFC 205 - New York City 7 3.5 50% 3.5 / 7 (50%)
5th Nov '16 UFC Mexico City 10 0.1 1% 0.1 / 10 (1%)
8th Oct '16 UFC 204 - Bisping vs. Henderson 2 12 10.5 87% 10.5 / 12 (87%)
1st Oct '16 UFC Fight Night 96 - Lineker vs. Dodson 10 1.9 19% 1.9 / 10 (19%)
24th Sep '16 UFC Fight Night 95 - Brasilia 12 -3.3 -28% -3.3 / 12 (-28%)
17th Sep '16 UFC Fight Night 94 - Poirier vs. Johnson 15 -3.8 -25% -3.8 / 15 (-25%)
10th Sep '16 UFC 203 - Miocic vs. Overeem 15 -7.6 -50% -7.6 / 15 (-50%)
3rd Sep '16 UFC Fight Night - Arlovski vs. Barnett 12 -4.1 -34% -4.1 / 12 (-34%)
27th Aug '16 UFC on Fox 21 - Condit vs. Maia 13 -8.7 -67% -8.7 / 13 (-67%)
20th Aug '16 UFC 202 - Diaz vs. McGregor 2 30 -9.8 -33% -9.8 / 30 (-33%)
6th Aug '16 UFC Fight Night 92 - Rodriguez vs. Caceres 13 -0.5 -4% -0.5 / 13 (-4%)
30th Jul '16 UFC 201 - Lawler vs. Woodley 22 9.5 43% 10.5 / 21 (50%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Jul '16 UFC on Fox 20 - Holm vs. Shevchenko 15 -7.3 -48% -7.3 / 15 (-48%)
13th Jul '16 UFC Fight Night 91 - McDonald vs. Lineker 21 -4.4 -21% -4.4 / 21 (-21%)
9th Jul '16 UFC 200 - Tate vs. Nunes 40 15.2 38% 12.8 / 33 (39%) 2.4 / 7 (34%)
8th Jul '16 UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 23 Finale 20 0.1 0% -0.4 / 18 (-2%) 0.5 / 2 (24%)
7th Jul '16 UFC Fight Night - Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez 21 1.2 6% 1.2 / 21 (6%)
18th Jun '16 UFC Fight Night - MacDonald vs. Thompson 26 13.4 52% 13.0 / 24 (54%) 0.5 / 2 (24%)
4th Jun '16 UFC 199 - Rockhold vs Bisping 2 29 32.3 111% 36.3 / 22 (165%) -4.0 / 7 (-57%)
29th May '16 UFC Fight Night - Almeida vs. Garbrandt 27 6.1 22% 6.1 / 27 (22%)
14th May '16 UFC 198 - Werdum vs. Miocic 21 -3.2 -15% -3.2 / 21 (-15%)
8th May '16 UFC Fight Night - Overeem vs. Arlovski 15 4.9 32% 4.9 / 15 (32%)
23rd Apr '16 UFC 197 - Jones vs. St Preux 18 4.9 27% 4.9 / 18 (27%)
16th Apr '16 UFC on Fox 19 - Teixeira vs. Evans 6 -1.3 -22% -1.3 / 6 (-22%)
10th Apr '16 UFC Fight Night 86 - Zagreb 13 -0.7 -5% -0.7 / 13 (-5%)
19th Mar '16 UFC Fight Night 84 - Hunt vs. Mir 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%)


Winning Events: 66 (47%)
Losing Events: 74 (53%)

Average Staked Per Event: 15.81 units
Most Staked On One Event: 68.00 units
Best Event: 32.32 units
Worst Event: -18.38 units
Average Event: 0.29 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 68.20
Max Losing Streak: Events: 7, Units: -37.62

Alexander Melchiott: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 384 33.0 9% 36.1 / 225 (16%) -14.1 / 92 (-15%) 10.9 / 67 (16%) 16 / 11 (59%) 1.22
2018 517 -12.0 -2% -14.0 / 378 (-4%) 0.1 / 138 (0%) 1.9 / 1 (195%) 14 / 22 (39%) -0.33
2017 775 -17.8 -2% -27.7 / 443 (-6%) 10.8 / 326 (3%) -1.0 / 6 (-16%) 19 / 24 (44%) -0.41
2016 537 37.2 7% 38.9 / 518 (8%) -1.7 / 19 (-9%) 17 / 17 (50%) 1.09

Alexander Melchiott: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Alexander Melchiott: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 2142 18.6 1% 22.1 / 1500 (1%) -4.8 / 569 (-1%) 1.3 / 73 (2%)
Bellator 49 3.0 6% 3.1 / 43 (7%) -0.1 / 6 (-2%)
Other 22 18.8 86% 8.2 / 21 (39%) 10.6 / 1 (1,062%)

Alexander Melchiott: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 408 (34%) 325 80 % 591.00 34.35 0.08 6%
Slight Favorites 343 (29%) 182 53 % 414.00 -33.31 -0.10 -8%
Slight Underdogs 292 (24%) 128 44 % 353.00 -0.22 -0.00 -0%
Big Underdogs 160 (13%) 42 26 % 206.00 32.59 0.20 16%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 134 (11%) 66 49 % 218.00 -1.32 -0.01 -1%
Co-Main Event 124 (10%) 68 55 % 174.00 11.89 0.10 7%
Position 3-5 319 (27%) 173 54 % 413.00 5.33 0.02 1%
6+ (Undercard) 625 (52%) 370 59 % 756.00 20.51 0.03 3%

Alexander Melchiott: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 107 (9%) 64 60 % 137.00 10.65 0.10 8%
Light Heavy 88 (7%) 51 58 % 108.00 20.38 0.23 19%
Middleweight 127 (11%) 73 57 % 159.00 30.13 0.24 19%
Welterweight 200 (17%) 106 53 % 258.00 -11.71 -0.06 -5%
Lightweight 198 (16%) 118 60 % 245.00 3.89 0.02 2%
Featherweight 131 (11%) 62 47 % 153.00 -34.76 -0.27 -23%
Bantamweight 114 (9%) 56 49 % 147.00 -18.20 -0.16 -12%
Flyweight 62 (5%) 40 65 % 90.00 16.08 0.26 18%
               
Women's Fights 176 (15%) 107 61 % 267.00 16.95 0.10 6%
Featherweight 13 (1%) 8 62 % 17.00 -0.54 -0.04 -3%
Bantamweight 42 (3%) 24 57 % 86.00 -6.13 -0.15 -7%
Bantamweight 36 (3%) 24 67 % 38.00 11.97 0.33 32%
Strawweight 85 (7%) 51 60 % 126.00 11.66 0.14 9%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 9 (13%) 7 78 %
Slight Favorites 18 (27%) 10 56 %
Slight Underdogs 27 (40%) 15 56 %
Big Underdogs 13 (19%) 4 31 %
67 36 54 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 288 (51%) 213 74 %
50-65% 111 (20%) 64 58 %
35-50% 63 (11%) 35 56 %
<35% chance 99 (18%) 17 17 %
561 329 59 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 19 (3%) 15 79 % 1.39 2.46Pick was correct 1.15Pick was correct 2.6 (14%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (0%) 0 0 % 1.66 1.66Pick was incorrect 1.66Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision 18 (3%) 13 72 % 1.68 3.05Pick was correct 1.21Pick was incorrect 7.0 (39%)
Does not go to Decision 250 (45%) 154 62 % 1.49 3.25Pick was incorrect 1.09Pick was correct -18.8 (-8%)
Fight Starts Round X 60 (11%) 49 82 % 1.35 4.12Pick was correct 1.12Pick was incorrect 10.4 (17%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 8 (1%) 5 63 % 1.58 2.54Pick was correct 1.37Pick was incorrect 0.7 (8%)
X Wins by KO 4 (1%) 2 50 % 3.56 5.50Pick was correct 2.50Pick was correct 4.0 (100%)
X Wins by Sub 8 (1%) 1 13 % 4.60 7.25Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was correct -6.0 (-75%)
X Wins by Decision 50 (9%) 11 22 % 3.68 14.50Pick was incorrect 1.07Pick was correct -7.3 (-15%)
X Does NOT Win by Decision 49 (9%) 40 82 % 1.18 1.77Pick was correct 1.03Pick was correct -0.4 (-1%)
X Wins Inside Distance 80 (14%) 30 38 % 2.56 15.50Pick was incorrect 1.26Pick was correct -7.8 (-10%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 2 (0%) 2 100 % 1.24 1.34Pick was correct 1.15Pick was correct 0.5 (24%)
X Wins in Round X 4 (1%) 0 0 % 4.86 18.00Pick was incorrect 2.10Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
X Doesn't Win in Round X 8 (1%) 7 88 % 1.39 2.30Pick was correct 1.13Pick was correct 2.3 (29%)
561 329 59 % 1.65     -17.8 (-3%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Alexander Melchiott's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
19th Mar UFC Fight Night 84 - Hunt vs. Mir 6 -6.0 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $940.00
10th Apr UFC Fight Night 86 - Zagreb 13 -0.7 -5% $9.40 $940.00 $933.61
16th Apr UFC on Fox 19 - Teixeira vs. Evans 6 -1.3 -22% $9.34 $933.61 $921.28
23rd Apr UFC 197 - Jones vs. St Preux 18 4.9 27% $9.21 $921.28 $966.06
8th May UFC Fight Night - Overeem vs. Arlovski 15 4.9 32% $9.66 $966.06 $1,013.01
14th May UFC 198 - Werdum vs. Miocic 21 -3.2 -15% $10.13 $1,013.01 $981.10
29th May UFC Fight Night - Almeida vs. Garbrandt 27 6.1 22% $9.81 $981.10 $1,040.46
4th Jun UFC 199 - Rockhold vs Bisping 2 29 32.3 111% $10.40 $1,040.46 $1,376.69
18th Jun UFC Fight Night - MacDonald vs. Thompson 26 13.4 52% $13.77 $1,376.69 $1,561.63
7th Jul UFC Fight Night - Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez 21 1.2 6% $15.62 $1,561.63 $1,579.90
8th Jul UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 23 Finale 20 0.1 0% $15.80 $1,579.90 $1,580.87
9th Jul UFC 200 - Tate vs. Nunes 40 15.2 38% $15.81 $1,580.87 $1,820.64
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 91 - McDonald vs. Lineker 21 -4.4 -21% $18.21 $1,820.64 $1,740.90
23rd Jul UFC on Fox 20 - Holm vs. Shevchenko 15 -7.3 -48% $17.41 $1,740.90 $1,614.51
30th Jul UFC 201 - Lawler vs. Woodley 22 9.5 43% $16.15 $1,614.51 $1,767.89
6th Aug UFC Fight Night 92 - Rodriguez vs. Caceres 13 -0.5 -4% $17.68 $1,767.89 $1,759.58
20th Aug UFC 202 - Diaz vs. McGregor 2 30 -9.8 -33% $17.60 $1,759.58 $1,587.84
27th Aug UFC on Fox 21 - Condit vs. Maia 13 -8.7 -67% $15.88 $1,587.84 $1,450.49
3rd Sep UFC Fight Night - Arlovski vs. Barnett 12 -4.1 -34% $14.50 $1,450.49 $1,391.60
10th Sep UFC 203 - Miocic vs. Overeem 15 -7.6 -50% $13.92 $1,391.60 $1,286.26
17th Sep UFC Fight Night 94 - Poirier vs. Johnson 15 -3.8 -25% $12.86 $1,286.26 $1,237.77
24th Sep UFC Fight Night 95 - Brasilia 12 -3.3 -28% $12.38 $1,237.77 $1,196.43
1st Oct UFC Fight Night 96 - Lineker vs. Dodson 10 1.9 19% $11.96 $1,196.43 $1,219.04
8th Oct UFC 204 - Bisping vs. Henderson 2 12 10.5 87% $12.19 $1,219.04 $1,346.92
5th Nov UFC Mexico City 10 0.1 1% $13.47 $1,346.92 $1,348.80
12th Nov UFC 205 - New York City 7 3.5 50% $13.49 $1,348.80 $1,396.28
19th Nov UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall 9 -0.9 -10% $13.96 $1,396.28 $1,384.13
19th Nov UFC Fight Night 100 Bader vs. Nogueira 2 12 -2.8 -23% $13.84 $1,384.13 $1,345.24
26th Nov UFC Fight Night 101 7 -1.7 -25% $13.45 $1,345.24 $1,321.83
3rd Dec UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale 12 1.4 12% $13.22 $1,321.83 $1,340.60
9th Dec UFC Fight Night 102 Albany 13 0.1 1% $13.41 $1,340.60 $1,341.81
10th Dec UFC 206 12 1.8 15% $3 $13.42 $1,341.81 $1,363.10
17th Dec UFC on Fox 22 13 -5.4 -41% $13.63 $1,363.10 $1,290.04
31st Dec UFC 207 10 1.6 16% $3 $12.90 $1,290.04 $1,308.20
15th Jan UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn 14 -2.5 -18% $13.08 $1,308.20 $1,275.96
28th Jan UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena 3 -1.8 -59% $12.76 $1,275.96 $1,253.38
4th Feb UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez 15 1.0 7% $12.53 $1,253.38 $1,265.78
11th Feb UFC 208 19 1.7 9% $12.66 $1,265.78 $1,286.86
18th Feb Bellator 172 7 -2.8 -40% $12.87 $1,286.86 $1,250.83
19th Feb UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne 29 4.8 17% $12.51 $1,250.83 $1,311.38
4th Mar UFC 209 28 -7.6 -27% $13.11 $1,311.38 $1,211.89
11th Mar UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum 30 -2.4 -8% $12.12 $1,211.89 $1,182.34
18th Mar UFC Fight Night 107 Manuwa vs. Anderson 26 -4.0 -15% $11.82 $1,182.34 $1,134.84
25th Mar Invicta FC 22 3 -1.4 -48% $11.35 $1,134.84 $1,118.61
8th Apr Bellator 176 Carvalho vs. Manhoef 2 1 0.6 63% $11.19 $1,118.61 $1,125.60
8th Apr UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 43 -0.3 -1% $11.26 $1,125.60 $1,122.77
15th Apr UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 65 20.4 31% $11.23 $1,122.77 $1,351.27
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 61 -18.4 -30% $13.51 $1,351.27 $1,102.89
13th May UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 68 8.3 12% $11.03 $1,102.89 $1,194.77
19th May Bellator 179 Daley vs. MacDonald 5 0.4 9% $11.95 $1,194.77 $1,200.08
28th May UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 28 -10.3 -37% $12.00 $1,200.08 $1,076.78
3rd Jun UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 21 -1.9 -9% $10.77 $1,076.78 $1,056.18
17th Jun UFC Fight Night 111 14 -3.6 -25% $10.56 $1,056.18 $1,018.54
24th Jun Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 3 -0.0 -1% $10.19 $1,018.54 $1,018.12
25th Jun UFC Fight Night 112 5 -3.7 -73% $10.18 $1,018.12 $980.75
8th Jul UFC 213 15 -0.7 -4% $9.81 $980.75 $974.17
16th Jul UFC Fight Night 113 5 -0.9 -18% $9.74 $974.17 $965.34
29th Jul UFC 214 30 9.2 31% $9.65 $965.34 $1,054.01
5th Aug UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 9 -4.3 -47% $10.54 $1,054.01 $1,008.96
9th Sep UFC 215 22 -16.0 -73% $10.09 $1,008.96 $847.52
16th Sep UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 22 5.3 24% $8.48 $847.52 $892.45
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 9 1.8 19% $8.92 $892.45 $908.09
7th Oct UFC 216 6 1.4 23% $9.08 $908.09 $920.37
20th Oct Bellator 185 2 -0.8 -40% $9.20 $920.37 $912.96
21st Oct UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 8 -2.4 -30% $9.13 $912.96 $891.34
28th Oct UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo 17 -1.9 -11% $8.91 $891.34 $874.36
4th Nov UFC 217 24 -3.0 -12% $8.74 $874.36 $848.45
11th Nov UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 15 -2.8 -19% $8.48 $848.45 $824.80
18th Nov UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 14 1.5 11% $8.25 $824.80 $837.41
25th Nov UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 17 5.0 30% $8.37 $837.41 $879.51
1st Dec Bellator 189 1 0.3 25% $8.80 $879.51 $881.71
2nd Dec TUF 26 Finale 7 3.1 44% $8.82 $881.71 $908.95
2nd Dec UFC 218 23 6.3 27% $9.09 $908.95 $966.15
9th Dec Bellator 190 2 1.8 88% $9.66 $966.15 $983.12
9th Dec UFC Fight Night 123 13 3.2 25% $9.83 $983.12 $1,014.44
16th Dec UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 13 -3.1 -24% $10.14 $1,014.44 $982.73
31st Dec UFC 219 13 2.7 20% $9.83 $982.73 $1,008.87
13th Jan Invicta FC 27 2 0.6 30% $10.09 $1,008.87 $1,014.85
14th Jan UFC Fight Night 124 15 5.9 40% $10.15 $1,014.85 $1,075.06
20th Jan UFC 220 14 -1.0 -7% $10.75 $1,075.06 $1,064.04
20th Jan Bellator 192 5 -1.2 -23% $10.64 $1,064.04 $1,051.57
27th Jan UFC on Fox 27 14 -2.1 -15% $10.52 $1,051.57 $1,029.91
4th Feb UFC Fight Night 125 16 -1.8 -11% $10.30 $1,029.91 $1,011.30
10th Feb UFC 221 17 -0.3 -2% $10.11 $1,011.30 $1,007.88
3rd Mar UFC 222 17 -0.9 -5% $10.08 $1,007.88 $998.57
17th Mar UFC Fight Night 127 14 7.9 57% $9.99 $998.57 $1,077.82
7th Apr UFC 223 10 -4.1 -41% $10.78 $1,077.82 $1,033.98
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 16 0.1 0% $10.34 $1,033.98 $1,034.52
12th May UFC 224 19 4.1 21% $10.35 $1,034.52 $1,076.53
12th May Bellator 199 4 2.2 54% $10.77 $1,076.53 $1,099.77
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 18 3.3 18% $11.00 $1,099.77 $1,135.92
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 18 6.0 33% $11.36 $1,135.92 $1,204.39
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 13 -1.5 -12% $12.04 $1,204.39 $1,186.27
9th Jun UFC 225 25 -7.3 -29% $11.86 $1,186.27 $1,099.98
7th Jul TUF 27 Finale 12 -6.5 -55% $11.00 $1,099.98 $1,027.94
7th Jul UFC 226 21 -5.7 -27% $10.28 $1,027.94 $969.11
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 13 1.0 8% $9.69 $969.11 $978.69
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 24 -2.4 -10% $9.79 $978.69 $955.09
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 18 -3.6 -20% $9.55 $955.09 $920.65
4th Aug UFC 227 15 -2.0 -14% $9.21 $920.65 $901.91
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 16 -2.1 -13% $9.02 $901.91 $883.11
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 16 3.5 22% $8.83 $883.11 $914.40
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 17 -1.5 -9% $9.14 $914.40 $900.48
6th Oct UFC 229 15 -3.1 -21% $9.00 $900.48 $872.77
13th Oct Bellator 208 2 -0.7 -36% $8.73 $872.77 $866.54
3rd Nov UFC 230 14 -2.5 -18% $8.67 $866.54 $844.66
10th Nov ACB 90 1 0.6 59% $8.45 $844.66 $849.65
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 16 -2.2 -13% $8.50 $849.65 $831.36
30th Nov TUF Finale 18 3.4 19% $8.31 $831.36 $859.77
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 14 0.7 5% $8.60 $859.77 $865.76
8th Dec UFC 231 15 -2.2 -14% $8.66 $865.76 $847.01
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 15 5.1 34% $8.47 $847.01 $890.49
29th Dec UFC 232 18 -1.7 -9% $8.90 $890.49 $875.52
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 19 7.9 41% $8.76 $875.52 $944.38
26th Jan Bellator Los Angeles 6 5.2 87% $9.44 $944.38 $993.83
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 12 8.7 72% $9.94 $993.83 $1,079.87
9th Feb UFC 234 11 -5.7 -52% $10.80 $1,079.87 $1,018.65
15th Feb Bellator 215 4 -1.6 -40% $10.19 $1,018.65 $1,002.20
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 15 2.6 18% $10.02 $1,002.20 $1,028.73
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 14 2.2 16% $10.29 $1,028.73 $1,051.66
2nd Mar UFC 235 16 2.7 17% $10.52 $1,051.66 $1,079.53
9th Mar Cage Warriors 103 1 0.6 56% $10.80 $1,079.53 $1,085.56
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 16 1.4 8% $10.86 $1,085.56 $1,100.31
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 19 -4.6 -24% $11.00 $1,100.31 $1,050.19
22nd Mar Bellator 218 2 -0.7 -35% $10.50 $1,050.19 $1,042.86
23rd Mar KSW 47 3 2.6 86% $10.43 $1,042.86 $1,069.77
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 22 11.7 53% $10.70 $1,069.77 $1,195.05
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 21 14.2 68% $11.95 $1,195.05 $1,365.30
31st Mar One FC - A New Era 3 2.6 87% $13.65 $1,365.30 $1,401.08
13th Apr UFC 236 29 4.3 15% $14.01 $1,401.08 $1,460.73
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 38 4.3 11% $14.61 $1,460.73 $1,524.04
27th Apr KSW 48 1 -1.0 -100% $15.24 $1,524.04 $1,508.80
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 39 -7.2 -18% $15.09 $1,508.80 $1,400.09
4th May Bellator Birmingham 1 -1.0 -100% $14.00 $1,400.09 $1,386.09
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 30 -10.9 -36% $13.86 $1,386.09 $1,235.36
10th May LFA 66 2 -2.0 -100% $12.35 $1,235.36 $1,210.65
11th May Bellator 221 4 1.4 34% $12.11 $1,210.65 $1,227.30
11th May UFC 237 25 -10.2 -41% $12.27 $1,227.30 $1,101.55
18th May KSW 49 6 16.3 272% $11.02 $1,101.55 $1,281.28
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 25 -10.8 -43% $12.81 $1,281.28 $1,143.00


ROI % from starting bank balance: 14.30% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Alexander Melchiott: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '19 Norman Parke Artur Sowinski 1.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Damian Grabowski Karol Bedorf 2.92 1 TKO, R2 (3:36) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '19 Martin Zawada Thiago Silva 3.98 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '19 Roberto Soldic Krystian Kaszubowski 1.15 1 TKO, R1 (1:25) MMA Bookmaker
5. May '19 Scott Askham Michal Materla 1.35 1 TKO, R3 (1:23) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '19 Julio Arce Julian Erosa 1.17 1 TKO, R3 (1:49) MMA Bookmaker
7. May '19 Desmond Green Charles Jourdain 1.18 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. May '19 Charles Oliveira Nik Lentz 1.29 1 TKO, R2 (2:11) MMA Bookmaker
9. May '19 Felicia Spencer Megan Anderson 2.55 1 Sub, R1 (3:24) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
10. May '19 Davi Ramos Austin Hubbard 1.22 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '19 Zak Cummings Trevin Giles 2.38 1 Sub, R3 (4:1) MMA Bookmaker
12. May '19 Vicente Luque Derrick Krantz 1.18 1 TKO, R1 (3:52) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
13. May '19 Jake Hager T.J. Jones 1.12 1 Sub, R1 (2:36) MMA Bookmaker
14. May '19 Douglas Lima Michael Page 1.40 1 TKO, R2 (0:35) MMA Bookmaker
15. May '19 Patricio Freire Michael Chandler 2.85 1 TKO, R1 (1:1) MMA Bookmaker
16. May '19 Viviane Araujo Talita Bernardo 3.85 1 TKO, R3 (0:48) MMA Bookmaker
17. May '19 Thiago Moises Kurt Holobaugh 1.89 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. May '19 Clay Guida B.J. Penn 1.19 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. May '19 Irene Aldana Bethe Correia 1.32 1 Sub, R3 (3:24) MMA Bookmaker
20. May '19 Jared Cannonier Anderson Silva 1.80 1 TKO, R1 (4:47) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '19 Danny Roberts Michel Pereira 1.44 1 TKO, R1 (1:47) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Patrick Cummins Ed Herman 1.44 1 TKO, R1 (3:39) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '19 Sijara Eubanks Aspen Ladd 3.52 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '19 Mike Trizano Grant Dawson 1.78 1 Sub, R2 (2:27) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '19 Antonio Carlos Junior Ian Heinisch 1.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. May '19 Kevin Lee Rafael dos Anjos 2.03 1 Sub, R4 (3:47) No MMA Bookmaker
7. May '19 Pat Curran A.J. McKee 3.63 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. May '19 Priscila Cachoeira Luana Carolina 2.55 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. May '19 Sergio Moraes Warlley Alves 2.30 1 TKO, R3 (4:13) No MMA Bookmaker
10. May '19 Thiago Alves Laureano Staropoli 1.95 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. May '19 Carlos Huachin Raoni Barcelos 10.25 1 TKO, R2 (4:49) No MMA Bookmaker
12. May '19 Rogerio Nogueira Ryan Spann 2.30 1 TKO, R1 (2:7) No MMA Bookmaker
13. May '19 Jose Aldo Alex Volkanovski 1.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. May '19 Josh Burkman William Macario 3.58 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. May '19 Jon Neal Tyler Diamond 8.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. May '19 Marc-Andre Barriault Andrew Sanchez 2.55 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. May '19 Aiemann Zahabi Vincent Morales 1.67 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. May '19 Mitch Gagnon Cole Smith 1.91 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. May '19 Brad Katona Merab Dvalishvili 2.65 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. May '19 Cub Swanson Shane Burgos 2.40 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Alexander Melchiott: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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