MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Deftona NZ

Deftona NZ (DEFTONA)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	56 (43%)	Right	35 (49%)	Right	11 (35%)	Right	10 (34%)
Wrong	75 (57%)	Wrong	36 (51%)	Wrong	20 (65%)	Wrong	19 (66%)
Avg Odds	2.20	Avg Odds	1.97	Avg Odds	2.59	Avg Odds	2.55
Units Bet	177.7	Units Bet	113.0	Units Bet	34.5	Units Bet	30.2
Avg Bet	1.36	Avg Bet	1.59	Avg Bet	1.11	Avg Bet	1.04
Units Profit	0.72	Units Profit	4.50	Units Profit	-1.01	Units Profit	-2.77
ROI %	0%	ROI %	4%	ROI %	-3%	ROI %	-9%

Deftona NZ: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
20th Aug '16	UFC 202 - Diaz vs. McGregor 2	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
30th Jul '16	UFC 201 - Lawler vs. Woodley	8	-0.8	-9%	0.2 / 7 (4%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Jul '16	UFC on Fox 20 - Holm vs. Shevchenko	12	8.8	73%	8.8 / 12 (73%)
13th Jul '16	UFC Fight Night 91 - McDonald vs. Lineker	7	-2.8	-40%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	1.2 / 3 (40%)
9th Jul '16	UFC 200 - Tate vs. Nunes	23	0.2	1%	4.2 / 17 (25%)	-4.0 / 6 (-67%)
8th Jul '16	UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 23 Finale	13	-5.3	-41%	-6.3 / 12 (-53%)	1.0 / 1 (100%)
7th Jul '16	UFC Fight Night - Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez	7.5	6.3	84%	1.8 / 4 (45%)	3.7 / 2.5 (150%)	0.8 / 1 (79%)
18th Jun '16	UFC Fight Night - MacDonald vs. Thompson	15	-3.3	-22%	-1.3 / 13 (-10%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
4th Jun '16	UFC 199 - Rockhold vs Bisping 2	17	-12.5	-74%	-1.5 / 6 (-25%)	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
29th May '16	UFC Fight Night - Almeida vs. Garbrandt	9	10.5	117%	5.5 / 5 (111%)	5.5 / 1 (550%)	-0.5 / 3 (-18%)
14th May '16	UFC 198 - Werdum vs. Miocic	10	0.1	1%	-0.9 / 7 (-13%)		1.1 / 3 (35%)
8th May '16	UFC Fight Night - Overeem vs. Arlovski	7	2.9	41%	0.0 / 4 (1%)		2.8 / 3 (95%)
23rd Apr '16	UFC 197 - Jones vs. St Preux	10.1	-4.8	-48%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-0.8 / 6.1 (-13%)
23rd Apr '16	Bellator 153 - Koreshkov vs. Henderson	1	2.8	276%			2.8 / 1 (276%)
16th Apr '16	UFC on Fox 19 - Teixeira vs. Evans	15.5	3.6	23%	1.0 / 7 (14%)	5.1 / 6 (85%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
10th Apr '16	UFC Fight Night 86 - Zagreb	8	-1.2	-14%	-0.8 / 6 (-13%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	0.6 / 1 (60%)
19th Mar '16	UFC Fight Night 84 - Hunt vs. Mir	7.5	1.7	23%	0.8 / 6 (13%)		0.9 / 1.5 (60%)
5th Mar '16	UFC 196 - McGregor vs. Diaz	6	-4.6	-76%		-1.6 / 3 (-52%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Winning Events: 9 (50%)
Losing Events: 9 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.87 units
Most Staked On One Event: 23.00 units
Best Event: 10.49 units
Worst Event: -12.50 units
Average Event: 0.03 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 13.47
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -15.78

Deftona NZ: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2016	177.6	0.6	0%	4.5 / 113 (4%)	-1.0 / 34.5 (-3%)	-2.9 / 30.1 (-10%)	9 / 9 (50%)	0.03

Deftona NZ: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Deftona NZ: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	176.6	-2.2	-1%	4.5 / 113 (4%)	-1.0 / 34.5 (-3%)	-5.7 / 29.1 (-19%)
Bellator	1	2.8	276%			2.8 / 1 (276%)

Deftona NZ: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	21 (30%)	16	76 %	47.00	10.84	0.52	23%
Slight Favorites	17 (24%)	5	29 %	25.00	-12.46	-0.73	-50%
Slight Underdogs	18 (25%)	8	44 %	24.00	-2.00	-0.11	-8%
Big Underdogs	15 (21%)	6	40 %	17.00	8.12	0.54	48%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	8 (11%)	6	75 %	14.00	7.83	0.98	56%
Co-Main Event	7 (10%)	2	29 %	8.00	-3.30	-0.47	-41%
Position 3-5	24 (34%)	11	46 %	42.00	-3.08	-0.13	-7%
6+ (Undercard)	32 (45%)	16	50 %	49.00	3.05	0.10	6%

Deftona NZ: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	9 (13%)	4	44 %	12.00	1.67	0.19	14%
Light Heavy	7 (10%)	4	57 %	20.00	4.90	0.70	25%
Middleweight	5 (7%)	1	20 %	5.00	-1.94	-0.39	-39%
Welterweight	14 (20%)	9	64 %	17.00	7.27	0.52	43%
Lightweight	13 (18%)	8	62 %	23.00	-0.35	-0.03	-2%
Featherweight	7 (10%)	3	43 %	11.00	0.56	0.08	5%
Bantamweight	5 (7%)	3	60 %	8.00	1.12	0.22	14%
Flyweight	4 (6%)	1	25 %	7.00	-4.34	-1.09	-62%

Women's Fights	7 (10%)	2	29 %	10.00	-4.39	-0.63	-44%
Bantamweight	2 (3%)	1	50 %	2.00	1.80	0.90	90%
Flyweight	1 (1%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-3.00	-100%
Strawweight	4 (6%)	1	25 %	5.00	-3.19	-0.80	-64%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	41 (73%)	31	76 %
Slight Favorites	7 (13%)	2	29 %
Slight Underdogs	4 (7%)	4	100 %
Big Underdogs	4 (7%)	2	50 %
	56	39	70 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	12 (25%)	8	67 %
50-65%	12 (25%)	4	33 %
35-50%	8 (17%)	3	38 %
<35% chance	16 (33%)	4	25 %
	48	19	40 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	8 (17%)	5	63 %	1.48	2.05	1.25	-1.0 (-13%)
Goes to Decision	2 (4%)	1	50 %	1.50	1.57	1.44	-0.6 (-28%)
Does not go to Decision	5 (10%)	4	80 %	1.84	2.00	1.72	2.5 (50%)
X Wins by KO	11 (23%)	1	9 %	2.18	4.50	1.53	-9.0 (-82%)
X Wins by Decision	9 (19%)	3	33 %	3.51	8.50	2.50	10.0 (111%)
Others	13 (27%)	5	38 %	2.35	50.99	1.25	-3.7 (-28%)
	48	19	40 %	2.13			-1.7 (-4%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Deftona NZ's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
5th Mar	UFC 196 - McGregor vs. Diaz	6	-4.6	-76%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$954.40
19th Mar	UFC Fight Night 84 - Hunt vs. Mir	7.5	1.7	23%		$9.54	$954.40	$970.53
10th Apr	UFC Fight Night 86 - Zagreb	8	-1.2	-14%		$9.71	$970.53	$959.37
16th Apr	UFC on Fox 19 - Teixeira vs. Evans	15.5	3.6	23%		$9.59	$959.37	$993.71
23rd Apr	Bellator 153 - Koreshkov vs. Henderson	1	2.8	276%		$9.94	$993.71	$1,021.12
23rd Apr	UFC 197 - Jones vs. St Preux	10.1	-4.8	-48%		$10.21	$1,021.12	$971.98
8th May	UFC Fight Night - Overeem vs. Arlovski	7	2.9	41%		$9.72	$971.98	$999.87
14th May	UFC 198 - Werdum vs. Miocic	10	0.1	1%		$10.00	$999.87	$1,000.98
29th May	UFC Fight Night - Almeida vs. Garbrandt	9	10.5	117%		$10.01	$1,000.98	$1,106.01
4th Jun	UFC 199 - Rockhold vs Bisping 2	17	-12.5	-74%		$11.06	$1,106.01	$967.76
18th Jun	UFC Fight Night - MacDonald vs. Thompson	15	-3.3	-22%		$9.68	$967.76	$936.02
7th Jul	UFC Fight Night - Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez	7.5	6.3	84%		$9.36	$936.02	$995.15
8th Jul	UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 23 Finale	13	-5.3	-41%		$9.95	$995.15	$942.01
9th Jul	UFC 200 - Tate vs. Nunes	23	0.2	1%		$9.42	$942.01	$943.80
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night 91 - McDonald vs. Lineker	7	-2.8	-40%		$9.44	$943.80	$917.37
23rd Jul	UFC on Fox 20 - Holm vs. Shevchenko	12	8.8	73%		$9.17	$917.37	$997.73
30th Jul	UFC 201 - Lawler vs. Woodley	8	-0.8	-9%		$9.98	$997.73	$990.25
20th Aug	UFC 202 - Diaz vs. McGregor 2	1	-1.0	-100%		$9.90	$990.25	$980.35

ROI % from starting bank balance: -1.97% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Deftona NZ: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '16	Wilson Reis	Hector Sandoval	1.33	2	Sub, R1 (1:49)
2.	Jul '16	Jorge Masvidal	Ross Pearson	1.49	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jul '16	Luis Henrique	Dmitry Smoliakov	2.41	2	Sub, R2 (3:58)
4.	Jul '16	Jason Knight	Jim Alers	3.02	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jul '16	Michel Prazeres	J.C. Cottrell	1.40	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jul '16	Felice Herrig	Kailin Curran	1.81	1	Sub, R1 (1:59)
7.	Jul '16	Edson Barboza	Gilbert Melendez	1.49	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jul '16	Tyron Woodley	Robbie Lawler	3.10	1	TKO, R1 (2:12)
9.	Jul '16	Valentina Shevchenko	Holly Holm	3.80	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
10.	Jul '16	Daniel Cormier	Anderson Silva	1.28	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Jul '16	Jim Miller	Takanori Gomi	1.43	2	TKO, R1 (2:18)
12.	Jul '16	Kelvin Gastelum	Johny Hendricks	2.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Jul '16	Brock Lesnar	Mark Hunt	2.73	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Jul '16	Li Jingliang	Anton Zafir	1.32	2	TKO, R1 (2:46)
15.	Jul '16	Doo Ho Choi	Thiago Tavares	1.51	2	TKO, R1 (2:42)
16.	Jul '16	Marco Beltran	Reginaldo Vieira	2.20	1	Sub, R2 (3:4)
17.	Jul '16	Felipe Arantes	Jerrod Sanders	1.67	1	Sub, R2 (1:39)
18.	Jul '16	Alan Jouban	Belal Muhammad	1.91	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Jun '16	Misha Cirkunov	Ion Cutelaba	1.51	2	Sub, R3 (1:22)
20.	Jun '16	Olivier Aubin-Mercier	Thibault Gouti	1.29	2	Sub, R3 (2:28)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '16	Ed Herman	Nikita Krylov	2.56	1	TKO, R2 (0:40)	No
2.	Jul '16	Matt Brown	Jake Ellenberger	1.41	2	TKO, R1 (1:46)	No
3.	Jul '16	Godofredo Pepey	Darren Elkins	2.85	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Jul '16	Frankie Saenz	Eddie Wineland	1.63	1	TKO, R3 (1:54)	No
5.	Aug '16	Glover Teixeira	Anthony Johnson	3.02	1	TKO, R1 (0:13)	No
6.	Jul '16	Aleksei Oleinik	Daniel Omielanczuk	1.52	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jul '16	Ben Nguyen	Louis Smolka	1.95	2	TKO, R2 (4:41)	No
8.	Jul '16	Josh Samman	Tim Boetsch	1.48	1	TKO, R2 (3:49)	No
9.	Jul '16	Diego Sanchez	Joe Lauzon	1.88	1	TKO, R1 (1:26)	No
10.	Jul '16	John Moraga	Matheus Nicolau	1.69	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Jul '16	Andrew Holbrook	Joaquim Silva	2.08	2	TKO, R1 (0:34)	No
12.	Jul '16	Ross Pearson	Will Brooks	4.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Jul '16	Amanda Cooper	Tatiana Suarez	4.36	1	Sub, R1 (3:43)	No
14.	Jul '16	Mike Pyle	Alberto Mina	1.87	1	TKO, R2 (1:17)	No
15.	Jul '16	Cat Zingano	Julianna Pena	1.53	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Jul '16	Frankie Edgar	Jose Aldo	2.05	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
17.	Jul '16	Claudia Gadelha	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	2.77	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
18.	Jun '16	Jonathan Meunier	Colby Covington	3.46	1	Sub, R3 (0:54)	No
19.	Jun '16	Sam Alvey	Elias Theodorou	3.46	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Jun '16	Valerie Letourneau	Joanne Wood	1.56	3	TKO, R3 (2:51)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Deftona NZ: Progress Chart

Chart

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