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MMA Handicapper Stats: music74

music74 (music74)


MMA MHandicapper - music74

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 91 (52%) Right 65 (58%) Right 21 (38%) Right 5 (63%)
Wrong 85 (48%) Wrong 48 (42%) Wrong 34 (62%) Wrong 3 (38%)
Avg Odds 1.95 Avg Odds 1.85 Avg Odds 2.18 Avg Odds 2.03
Units Bet 565.1 Units Bet 391.0 Units Bet 154.7 Units Bet 19.4
Avg Bet 3.21 Avg Bet 3.46 Avg Bet 2.81 Avg Bet 2.43
Units Profit -10.95 Units Profit 10.68 Units Profit -6.89 Units Profit -14.75
ROI % -2% ROI % 3% ROI % -4% ROI % -76%
View Handicapper's Profile

music74 : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 1 0.4 40% 0.4 / 1 (40%)
3rd Jun '17 UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
15th Apr '17 UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 9 -1.3 -15% -1.3 / 9 (-15%)
8th Apr '17 UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
11th Feb '17 UFC 208 6.5 -6.5 -100% -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
4th Feb '17 UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
28th Jan '17 UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
15th Jan '17 UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn 8 5.2 66% 4.1 / 5 (81%) 1.2 / 3 (40%)
31st Dec '16 UFC 207 10 -3.6 -36% -3.6 / 10 (-36%)
17th Dec '16 UFC on Fox 22 3 1.3 43% 1.3 / 3 (43%)
10th Dec '16 UFC 206 7 0.8 12% -1.6 / 4 (-39%) 2.4 / 3 (80%)
3rd Dec '16 UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale 5 -3.1 -62% -3.1 / 5 (-62%)
26th Nov '16 UFC Fight Night 101 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
19th Nov '16 UFC Fight Night 100 Bader vs. Nogueira 2 4 5.0 126% 5.0 / 4 (126%)
19th Nov '16 UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall 22 3.8 17% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) 9.8 / 16 (61%)
12th Nov '16 UFC 205 - New York City 12 11.0 92% 11.0 / 12 (92%)
5th Nov '16 UFC Mexico City 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Oct '16 UFC 204 - Bisping vs. Henderson 2 13 5.6 43% 1.8 / 10 (18%) 3.8 / 3 (125%)
1st Oct '16 UFC Fight Night 96 - Lineker vs. Dodson 10.1 -10.1 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -7.1 / 7.1 (-100%)
24th Sep '16 UFC Fight Night 95 - Brasilia 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
17th Sep '16 UFC Fight Night 94 - Poirier vs. Johnson 5 4.4 89% 4.4 / 5 (89%)
10th Sep '16 UFC 203 - Miocic vs. Overeem 13 5.2 40% 5.2 / 13 (40%)
3rd Sep '16 UFC Fight Night - Arlovski vs. Barnett 10 4.8 48% 3.9 / 9 (44%) 0.9 / 1 (86%)
27th Aug '16 UFC on Fox 21 - Condit vs. Maia 5 3.2 64% 2.0 / 4 (50%) 1.2 / 1 (120%)
20th Aug '16 UFC 202 - Diaz vs. McGregor 2 21 11.0 52% 11.0 / 21 (52%)
6th Aug '16 UFC Fight Night 92 - Rodriguez vs. Caceres 10 4.2 42% 4.2 / 10 (42%)
30th Jul '16 UFC 201 - Lawler vs. Woodley 10 4.8 48% 4.8 / 10 (48%)
13th Jul '16 UFC Fight Night 91 - McDonald vs. Lineker 17 -7.4 -43% 1.6 / 8 (21%) -9.0 / 9 (-100%)
9th Jul '16 UFC 200 - Tate vs. Nunes 18 2.6 14% 2.6 / 18 (14%)
7th Jul '16 UFC Fight Night - Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez 10 5.3 53% 5.3 / 10 (53%)
29th May '16 UFC Fight Night - Almeida vs. Garbrandt 6 -1.7 -29% -1.7 / 6 (-29%)
14th May '16 UFC 198 - Werdum vs. Miocic 9 0.7 8% 0.7 / 9 (8%)
8th May '16 UFC Fight Night - Overeem vs. Arlovski 8 -0.2 -2% -0.2 / 8 (-2%)
23rd Apr '16 UFC 197 - Jones vs. St Preux 21 -5.5 -26% -5.5 / 21 (-26%)
16th Apr '16 UFC on Fox 19 - Teixeira vs. Evans 15 -8.0 -53% -8.0 / 15 (-53%)
10th Apr '16 UFC Fight Night 86 - Zagreb 25 -0.5 -2% 5.5 / 19 (29%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
5th Mar '16 UFC 196 - McGregor vs. Diaz 23 5.3 23% 2.5 / 8 (31%) 2.9 / 15 (19%)
21st Feb '16 UFC Fight Night 82 - Cerrone vs. Oliveira 25 -2.4 -10% -2.4 / 25 (-10%)
17th Jan '16 UFC Fight Night - Dillashaw vs. Cruz 27.15 -4.2 -15% -6.0 / 13 (-46%) 1.7 / 14.15 (12%)
2nd Jan '16 UFC 195 - Lawler vs Condit 17 -2.7 -16% 0.3 / 14 (2%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
19th Dec '15 UFC on Fox 17 - Dos Anjos vs. Cerrone 2 31 -4.1 -13% -0.7 / 21 (-4%) -3.4 / 10 (-34%)
12th Dec '15 UFC 194 - Aldo vs. McGregor 37.5 -13.5 -36% -15.0 / 27.5 (-54%) 1.5 / 10 (15%)
12th Dec '15 UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 22 Finale 15 3.8 25% -3.2 / 8 (-40%) 7.0 / 7 (99%)
10th Dec '15 UFC Fight Night - VanZant vs Namajunas 28 3.2 11% 4.3 / 9 (48%) -1.1 / 19 (-6%)
28th Nov '15 UFC Fight Night 79 - Henderson vs. Masvidal 22 0.2 1% 0.2 / 22 (1%)


Winning Events: 22 (49%)
Losing Events: 23 (51%)

Average Staked Per Event: 12.62 units
Most Staked On One Event: 37.50 units
Best Event: 11.00 units
Worst Event: -13.45 units
Average Event: -0.25 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 37.62
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -26.91

music74 : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 1 0.4 40% 0.4 / 1 (40%) 1 / (100%) 0.40
2017 42 -21.1 -50% -2.8 / 19.5 (-14%) -8.3 / 12.5 (-66%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%) 1 / 6 (14%) -3.01
2016 391.25 19.9 5% 27.5 / 283 (10%) -2.5 / 99.15 (-3%) -5.0 / 9.1 (-55%) 17 / 15 (53%) 0.62
2015 133.5 -10.4 -8% -14.4 / 87.5 (-16%) 3.9 / 46 (9%) 3 / 2 (60%) -2.09

music74 : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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music74 : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 567.75 -11.2 -2% 10.7 / 391 (3%) -6.9 / 157.65 (-4%) -15.0 / 19.1 (-79%)

music74 : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 30 (27%) 27 90 % 148.00 35.38 1.18 24%
Slight Favorites 41 (36%) 20 49 % 153.00 -12.92 -0.32 -8%
Slight Underdogs 31 (27%) 17 55 % 71.00 4.26 0.14 6%
Big Underdogs 11 (10%) 1 9 % 19.00 -16.04 -1.46 -84%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 9 (8%) 3 33 % 36.00 -10.33 -1.15 -29%
Co-Main Event 11 (10%) 7 64 % 35.00 -1.67 -0.15 -5%
Position 3-5 32 (28%) 21 66 % 109.50 25.42 0.79 23%
6+ (Undercard) 61 (54%) 34 56 % 210.50 -2.74 -0.04 -1%

music74 : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 12 (11%) 8 67 % 41.00 7.69 0.64 19%
Light Heavy 8 (7%) 3 38 % 24.00 -3.51 -0.44 -15%
Middleweight 13 (12%) 6 46 % 44.50 -3.64 -0.28 -8%
Welterweight 22 (19%) 11 50 % 75.00 -7.43 -0.34 -10%
Lightweight 19 (17%) 13 68 % 58.00 14.98 0.79 26%
Featherweight 15 (13%) 12 80 % 58.00 9.40 0.63 16%
Bantamweight 10 (9%) 6 60 % 35.50 1.79 0.18 5%
Flyweight 5 (4%) 2 40 % 17.00 -1.23 -0.25 -7%
               
Women's Fights 9 (8%) 4 44 % 38.00 -7.37 -0.82 -19%
Bantamweight 4 (4%) 1 25 % 18.00 -7.92 -1.98 -44%
Strawweight 5 (4%) 3 60 % 20.00 0.55 0.11 3%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 10 (77%) 10 100 %
Slight Favorites 3 (23%) 1 33 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
13 11 85 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 5 (8%) 4 80 %
50-65% 18 (31%) 7 39 %
35-50% 29 (49%) 11 38 %
<35% chance 7 (12%) 1 14 %
59 23 39 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (7%) 1 25 % 2.05 2.60Pick was correct 1.59Pick was incorrect -1.4 (-35%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 31 (53%) 13 42 % 2.25 3.08Pick was incorrect 1.58Pick was correct -0.6 (-2%)
Does not go to Decision 12 (20%) 6 50 % 1.67 2.62Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was correct -2.2 (-18%)
X Wins by KO 1 (2%) 0 0 % 8.00 8.00Pick was incorrect 8.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 11 (19%) 3 27 % 2.17 4.00Pick was correct 1.33Pick was correct -3.4 (-31%)
59 23 39 % 2.10     -8.6 (-15%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail music74 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
28th Nov UFC Fight Night 79 - Henderson vs. Masvidal 22 0.2 1% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,001.60
10th Dec UFC Fight Night - VanZant vs Namajunas 28 3.2 11% $10.02 $1,001.60 $1,033.65
12th Dec UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 22 Finale 15 3.8 25% $10.34 $1,033.65 $1,072.72
12th Dec UFC 194 - Aldo vs. McGregor 37.5 -13.5 -36% $10.73 $1,072.72 $928.44
19th Dec UFC on Fox 17 - Dos Anjos vs. Cerrone 2 31 -4.1 -13% $9.28 $928.44 $890.01
2nd Jan UFC 195 - Lawler vs Condit 17 -2.7 -16% $8.90 $890.01 $865.87
17th Jan UFC Fight Night - Dillashaw vs. Cruz 27.15 -4.2 -15% $8.66 $865.87 $829.44
21st Feb UFC Fight Night 82 - Cerrone vs. Oliveira 25 -2.4 -10% $8.29 $829.44 $809.53
5th Mar UFC 196 - McGregor vs. Diaz 23 5.3 23% $8.10 $809.53 $852.72
10th Apr UFC Fight Night 86 - Zagreb 25 -0.5 -2% $8.53 $852.72 $848.46
16th Apr UFC on Fox 19 - Teixeira vs. Evans 15 -8.0 -53% $8.48 $848.46 $780.58
23rd Apr UFC 197 - Jones vs. St Preux 21 -5.5 -26% $7.81 $780.58 $737.96
8th May UFC Fight Night - Overeem vs. Arlovski 8 -0.2 -2% $7.38 $737.96 $736.85
14th May UFC 198 - Werdum vs. Miocic 9 0.7 8% $7.37 $736.85 $742.38
29th May UFC Fight Night - Almeida vs. Garbrandt 6 -1.7 -29% $7.42 $742.38 $729.69
7th Jul UFC Fight Night - Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez 10 5.3 53% $7.30 $729.69 $768.36
9th Jul UFC 200 - Tate vs. Nunes 18 2.6 14% $7.68 $768.36 $788.34
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 91 - McDonald vs. Lineker 17 -7.4 -43% $7.88 $788.34 $730.39
30th Jul UFC 201 - Lawler vs. Woodley 10 4.8 48% $7.30 $730.39 $765.45
6th Aug UFC Fight Night 92 - Rodriguez vs. Caceres 10 4.2 42% $7.65 $765.45 $797.60
20th Aug UFC 202 - Diaz vs. McGregor 2 21 11.0 52% $7.98 $797.60 $885.10
27th Aug UFC on Fox 21 - Condit vs. Maia 5 3.2 64% $8.85 $885.10 $913.40
3rd Sep UFC Fight Night - Arlovski vs. Barnett 10 4.8 48% $9.13 $913.40 $957.27
10th Sep UFC 203 - Miocic vs. Overeem 13 5.2 40% $9.57 $957.27 $1,007.04
17th Sep UFC Fight Night 94 - Poirier vs. Johnson 5 4.4 89% $10.07 $1,007.04 $1,051.86
24th Sep UFC Fight Night 95 - Brasilia 4 -4.0 -100% $10.52 $1,051.86 $1,009.78
1st Oct UFC Fight Night 96 - Lineker vs. Dodson 10.1 -10.1 -100% $10.10 $1,009.78 $907.80
8th Oct UFC 204 - Bisping vs. Henderson 2 13 5.6 43% $9.08 $907.80 $958.18
5th Nov UFC Mexico City 3 -3.0 -100% $9.58 $958.18 $929.43
12th Nov UFC 205 - New York City 12 11.0 92% $9.29 $929.43 $1,031.67
19th Nov UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall 22 3.8 17% $10.32 $1,031.67 $1,070.87
19th Nov UFC Fight Night 100 Bader vs. Nogueira 2 4 5.0 126% $10.71 $1,070.87 $1,124.84
26th Nov UFC Fight Night 101 3 -3.0 -100% $11.25 $1,124.84 $1,091.10
3rd Dec UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale 5 -3.1 -62% $10.91 $1,091.10 $1,057.28
10th Dec UFC 206 7 0.8 12% $10.57 $1,057.28 $1,066.05
17th Dec UFC on Fox 22 3 1.3 43% $10.66 $1,066.05 $1,079.80
31st Dec UFC 207 10 -3.6 -36% $10.80 $1,079.80 $1,041.47
15th Jan UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn 8 5.2 66% $10.41 $1,041.47 $1,096.15
28th Jan UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena 10 -10.0 -100% $10.96 $1,096.15 $986.53
4th Feb UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez 3 -3.0 -100% $9.87 $986.53 $956.94
11th Feb UFC 208 6.5 -6.5 -100% $9.57 $956.94 $894.73
8th Apr UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 5 -5.0 -100% $8.95 $894.73 $850.00
15th Apr UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis 9 -1.3 -15% $8.50 $850.00 $838.78
3rd Jun UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 0.5 -0.5 -100% $8.39 $838.78 $834.58
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 1 0.4 40% $8.35 $834.58 $837.92


ROI % from starting bank balance: -16.21% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

music74 : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '19 Curtis Blaydes Justin Willis 1.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '17 Renato Moicano Jeremy Stephens 2.56 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '17 Nina Ansaroff Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger 1.81 5 Sub, R3 (3:39)
4. Dec '16 Neil Magny Johny Hendricks 1.80 2 U Decision (3 rounds)
5. Dec '16 Cody Garbrandt Dominick Cruz 2.85 1 U Decision (5 rounds)
6. Dec '16 Eddie Wineland Takeya Mizugaki 1.43 3 TKO, R1 (3:4)
7. Dec '16 Kelvin Gastelum Tim Kennedy 2.43 1 TKO, R3 (2:45)
8. Nov '16 Krzysztof Jotko Thales Leites 2.26 4 U Decision (3 rounds)
9. Oct '16 Mirsad Bektic Russell Doane 1.18 10 Sub, R1 (4:22)
10. Sep '16 Islam Makhachev Chris Wade 1.89 5 U Decision (3 rounds)
11. Sep '16 Mickey Gall Phil Brooks 1.37 10 Sub, R1 (2:14)
12. Sep '16 Fabricio Werdum Travis Browne 1.50 3 U Decision (3 rounds)
13. Sep '16 Nick Hein Tae Hyun Bang 1.43 2 U Decision (3 rounds)
14. Sep '16 Ashlee Evans-Smith Veronica Macedo 1.44 7 TKO, R3 (3:14)
15. Aug '16 Alessio Di Chirico Garreth McLellan 1.48 3 Split Decision (3 rounds)
16. Aug '16 Kyle Bochniak Enrique Barzola 1.56 1 Split Decision (3 rounds)
17. Aug '16 Colby Covington Max Griffin 1.39 10 TKO, R3 (2:18)
18. Aug '16 Artem Lobov Chris Avila 1.72 6 U Decision (3 rounds)
19. Aug '16 Anthony Johnson Glover Teixeira 1.55 5 TKO, R1 (0:13)
20. Aug '16 Dennis Bermudez Rony Jason 1.44 5 U Decision (3 rounds)



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jun '17 Oluwale Bamgbose Paulo Costa 3.25 0.5 TKO, R2 (1:6) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '17 Jake Collier Devin Clark 2.20 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '17 Michelle Waterson Rose Namajunas 2.21 3 Sub, R2 (2:47) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '17 Anthony Johnson Daniel Cormier 1.87 5 Sub, R2 (3:37) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '16 Brandon Thatch Niko Price 1.53 7 Sub, R1 (4:30) No
6. Dec '16 Nikita Krylov Misha Cirkunov 1.88 3 Sub, R1 (4:38) No
7. Nov '16 Teruto Ishihara Artem Lobov 1.40 6 U Decision (3 rounds) No
8. Jul '16 Eric Spicely Sam Alvey 3.07 3 Sub, R1 (2:43) No
9. Jul '16 Miesha Tate Amanda Nunes 1.41 5 Sub, R1 (3:16) No
10. May '16 Vitor Miranda Chris Camozzi 1.59 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No
11. May '16 Rob Font John Lineker 2.40 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No
12. May '16 Willie Gates Yuta Sasaki 1.77 3 Sub, R2 (3:30) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '16 Ovince St Preux Jon Jones 6.18 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No
14. Apr '16 Henry Cejudo Demetrious Johnson 4.55 2 TKO, R1 (2:49) No
15. Apr '16 Anthony Pettis Edson Barboza 1.63 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No
16. Apr '16 Rafael Natal Robert Whittaker 3.75 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No
17. Apr '16 Chris Kelades Sergio Pettis 2.95 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No
18. Apr '16 Omari Akhmedov Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1.66 3 TKO, R3 (3:3) No
19. Apr '16 Court McGee Santiago Ponzinibbio 2.29 1 TKO, R1 (4:15) No
20. Apr '16 Randy Brown Michael Graves 1.99 2 Sub, R2 (2:31) No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

music74 : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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