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MMA Handicapper Stats: music74 |
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music74 : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 22 (48%) Losing Events: 24 (52%)
Average Staked Per Event: 12.39 units Most Staked On One Event: 37.50 units Best Event: 11.00 units Worst Event: -13.45 units Average Event: -0.29 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 37.62 Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -26.91 |
music74 : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2021 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
|
|
/ 1 (0%) |
-2.00 |
2019 |
1 |
0.4 |
40% |
0.4 / 1 (40%) |
|
|
1 / (100%) |
0.40 |
2017 |
42 |
-21.1 |
-50% |
-2.8 / 19.5 (-14%) |
-8.3 / 12.5 (-66%) |
-10.0 / 10 (-100%) |
1 / 6 (14%) |
-3.01 |
2016 |
391.25 |
19.9 |
5% |
27.5 / 283 (10%) |
-2.5 / 99.15 (-3%) |
-5.0 / 9.1 (-55%) |
17 / 15 (53%) |
0.62 |
2015 |
133.5 |
-10.4 |
-8% |
-14.4 / 87.5 (-16%) |
3.9 / 46 (9%) |
|
3 / 2 (60%) |
-2.09 |
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music74 : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
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music74 : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
569.75 |
-13.2 |
-2% |
10.7 / 391 (3%) |
-8.9 / 159.65 (-6%) |
-15.0 / 19.1 (-79%) |
|
music74 : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
30 (27%) |
27 |
90 % |
148.00 |
35.38 |
1.18 |
24% |
Slight Favorites |
41 (36%) |
20 |
49 % |
153.00 |
-12.92 |
-0.32 |
-8% |
Slight Underdogs |
31 (27%) |
17 |
55 % |
71.00 |
4.26 |
0.14 |
6% |
Big Underdogs |
11 (10%) |
1 |
9 % |
19.00 |
-16.04 |
-1.46 |
-84% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
9 (8%) |
3 |
33 % |
36.00 |
-10.33 |
-1.15 |
-29% |
Co-Main Event |
11 (10%) |
7 |
64 % |
35.00 |
-1.67 |
-0.15 |
-5% |
Position 3-5 |
32 (28%) |
21 |
66 % |
109.50 |
25.42 |
0.79 |
23% |
6+ (Undercard) |
61 (54%) |
34 |
56 % |
210.50 |
-2.74 |
-0.04 |
-1% |
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music74 : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
12 (11%) |
8 |
67 % |
41.00 |
7.69 |
0.64 |
19% |
Light Heavy |
8 (7%) |
3 |
38 % |
24.00 |
-3.51 |
-0.44 |
-15% |
Middleweight |
13 (12%) |
6 |
46 % |
44.50 |
-3.64 |
-0.28 |
-8% |
Welterweight |
22 (19%) |
11 |
50 % |
75.00 |
-7.43 |
-0.34 |
-10% |
Lightweight |
19 (17%) |
13 |
68 % |
58.00 |
14.98 |
0.79 |
26% |
Featherweight |
15 (13%) |
12 |
80 % |
58.00 |
9.40 |
0.63 |
16% |
Bantamweight |
10 (9%) |
6 |
60 % |
35.50 |
1.79 |
0.18 |
5% |
Flyweight |
5 (4%) |
2 |
40 % |
17.00 |
-1.23 |
-0.25 |
-7% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
9 (8%) |
4 |
44 % |
38.00 |
-7.37 |
-0.82 |
-19% |
Bantamweight |
4 (4%) |
1 |
25 % |
18.00 |
-7.92 |
-1.98 |
-44% |
Strawweight |
5 (4%) |
3 |
60 % |
20.00 |
0.55 |
0.11 |
3% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
10 (77%) |
10 |
100 % |
Slight Favorites |
3 (23%) |
1 |
33 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
13 |
11 |
85 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
5 (8%) |
4 |
80 % |
50-65% |
19 (32%) |
7 |
37 % |
35-50% |
29 (48%) |
11 |
38 % |
<35% chance |
7 (12%) |
1 |
14 % |
|
60 |
23 |
38 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail music74 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
28th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 79 - Henderson vs. Masvidal |
22 |
0.2 |
1% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,001.60 |
10th Dec |
UFC Fight Night - VanZant vs Namajunas |
28 |
3.2 |
11% |
|
$10.02 |
$1,001.60 |
$1,033.65 |
12th Dec |
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 22 Finale |
15 |
3.8 |
25% |
|
$10.34 |
$1,033.65 |
$1,072.72 |
12th Dec |
UFC 194 - Aldo vs. McGregor |
37.5 |
-13.5 |
-36% |
|
$10.73 |
$1,072.72 |
$928.44 |
19th Dec |
UFC on Fox 17 - Dos Anjos vs. Cerrone 2 |
31 |
-4.1 |
-13% |
|
$9.28 |
$928.44 |
$890.01 |
2nd Jan |
UFC 195 - Lawler vs Condit |
17 |
-2.7 |
-16% |
|
$8.90 |
$890.01 |
$865.87 |
17th Jan |
UFC Fight Night - Dillashaw vs. Cruz |
27.15 |
-4.2 |
-15% |
|
$8.66 |
$865.87 |
$829.44 |
21st Feb |
UFC Fight Night 82 - Cerrone vs. Oliveira |
25 |
-2.4 |
-10% |
|
$8.29 |
$829.44 |
$809.53 |
5th Mar |
UFC 196 - McGregor vs. Diaz |
23 |
5.3 |
23% |
|
$8.10 |
$809.53 |
$852.72 |
10th Apr |
UFC Fight Night 86 - Zagreb |
25 |
-0.5 |
-2% |
|
$8.53 |
$852.72 |
$848.46 |
16th Apr |
UFC on Fox 19 - Teixeira vs. Evans |
15 |
-8.0 |
-53% |
|
$8.48 |
$848.46 |
$780.58 |
23rd Apr |
UFC 197 - Jones vs. St Preux |
21 |
-5.5 |
-26% |
|
$7.81 |
$780.58 |
$737.96 |
8th May |
UFC Fight Night - Overeem vs. Arlovski |
8 |
-0.2 |
-2% |
|
$7.38 |
$737.96 |
$736.85 |
14th May |
UFC 198 - Werdum vs. Miocic |
9 |
0.7 |
8% |
|
$7.37 |
$736.85 |
$742.38 |
29th May |
UFC Fight Night - Almeida vs. Garbrandt |
6 |
-1.7 |
-29% |
|
$7.42 |
$742.38 |
$729.69 |
7th Jul |
UFC Fight Night - Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez |
10 |
5.3 |
53% |
|
$7.30 |
$729.69 |
$768.36 |
9th Jul |
UFC 200 - Tate vs. Nunes |
18 |
2.6 |
14% |
|
$7.68 |
$768.36 |
$788.34 |
13th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 91 - McDonald vs. Lineker |
17 |
-7.4 |
-43% |
|
$7.88 |
$788.34 |
$730.39 |
30th Jul |
UFC 201 - Lawler vs. Woodley |
10 |
4.8 |
48% |
|
$7.30 |
$730.39 |
$765.45 |
6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 92 - Rodriguez vs. Caceres |
10 |
4.2 |
42% |
|
$7.65 |
$765.45 |
$797.60 |
20th Aug |
UFC 202 - Diaz vs. McGregor 2 |
21 |
11.0 |
52% |
|
$7.98 |
$797.60 |
$885.10 |
27th Aug |
UFC on Fox 21 - Condit vs. Maia |
5 |
3.2 |
64% |
|
$8.85 |
$885.10 |
$913.40 |
3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night - Arlovski vs. Barnett |
10 |
4.8 |
48% |
|
$9.13 |
$913.40 |
$957.27 |
10th Sep |
UFC 203 - Miocic vs. Overeem |
13 |
5.2 |
40% |
|
$9.57 |
$957.27 |
$1,007.04 |
17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 94 - Poirier vs. Johnson |
5 |
4.4 |
89% |
|
$10.07 |
$1,007.04 |
$1,051.86 |
24th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 95 - Brasilia |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.52 |
$1,051.86 |
$1,009.78 |
1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night 96 - Lineker vs. Dodson |
10.1 |
-10.1 |
-100% |
|
$10.10 |
$1,009.78 |
$907.80 |
8th Oct |
UFC 204 - Bisping vs. Henderson 2 |
13 |
5.6 |
43% |
|
$9.08 |
$907.80 |
$958.18 |
5th Nov |
UFC Mexico City |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.58 |
$958.18 |
$929.43 |
12th Nov |
UFC 205 - New York City |
12 |
11.0 |
92% |
|
$9.29 |
$929.43 |
$1,031.67 |
19th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall |
22 |
3.8 |
17% |
|
$10.32 |
$1,031.67 |
$1,070.87 |
19th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 100
Bader vs. Nogueira 2 |
4 |
5.0 |
126% |
|
$10.71 |
$1,070.87 |
$1,124.84 |
26th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 101 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.25 |
$1,124.84 |
$1,091.10 |
3rd Dec |
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale |
5 |
-3.1 |
-62% |
|
$10.91 |
$1,091.10 |
$1,057.28 |
10th Dec |
UFC 206 |
7 |
0.8 |
12% |
|
$10.57 |
$1,057.28 |
$1,066.05 |
17th Dec |
UFC on Fox 22 |
3 |
1.3 |
43% |
|
$10.66 |
$1,066.05 |
$1,079.80 |
31st Dec |
UFC 207 |
10 |
-3.6 |
-36% |
|
$10.80 |
$1,079.80 |
$1,041.47 |
15th Jan |
UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn |
8 |
5.2 |
66% |
|
$10.41 |
$1,041.47 |
$1,096.15 |
28th Jan |
UFC on FOX 23 Shevchenko vs. Pena |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.96 |
$1,096.15 |
$986.53 |
4th Feb |
UFC FN 104 K. Zombie vs. Bermudez |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.87 |
$986.53 |
$956.94 |
11th Feb |
UFC 208 |
6.5 |
-6.5 |
-100% |
|
$9.57 |
$956.94 |
$894.73 |
8th Apr |
UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.95 |
$894.73 |
$850.00 |
15th Apr |
UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis |
9 |
-1.3 |
-15% |
|
$8.50 |
$850.00 |
$838.78 |
3rd Jun |
UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$8.39 |
$838.78 |
$834.58 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night 148 |
1 |
0.4 |
40% |
|
$8.35 |
$834.58 |
$837.92 |
6th Nov |
UFC 268 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$8.38 |
$837.92 |
$821.16 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -17.88% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
music74 : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Jun '17 |
Oluwale Bamgbose |
Paulo Costa |
3.25 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (1:6) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Apr '17 |
Jake Collier |
Devin Clark |
2.20 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Apr '17 |
Michelle Waterson |
Rose Namajunas |
2.21 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (2:47) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Apr '17 |
Anthony Johnson |
Daniel Cormier |
1.87 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (3:37) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Dec '16 |
Brandon Thatch |
Niko Price |
1.53 |
7 |
Sub, R1 (4:30) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Dec '16 |
Nikita Krylov |
Misha Cirkunov |
1.88 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (4:38) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Nov '16 |
Teruto Ishihara |
Artem Lobov |
1.40 |
6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Jul '16 |
Eric Spicely |
Sam Alvey |
3.07 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (2:43) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Jul '16 |
Miesha Tate |
Amanda Nunes |
1.41 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (3:16) |
No |
|
|
10. |
May '16 |
Vitor Miranda |
Chris Camozzi |
1.59 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
May '16 |
Rob Font |
John Lineker |
2.40 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
May '16 |
Willie Gates |
Yuta Sasaki |
1.77 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (3:30) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Apr '16 |
Ovince St Preux |
Jon Jones |
6.18 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Apr '16 |
Henry Cejudo |
Demetrious Johnson |
4.55 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:49) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Apr '16 |
Anthony Pettis |
Edson Barboza |
1.63 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Apr '16 |
Rafael Natal |
Robert Whittaker |
3.75 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Apr '16 |
Chris Kelades |
Sergio Pettis |
2.95 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Apr '16 |
Omari Akhmedov |
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos |
1.66 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (3:3) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Apr '16 |
Court McGee |
Santiago Ponzinibbio |
2.29 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:15) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Apr '16 |
Randy Brown |
Michael Graves |
1.99 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (2:31) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
music74 : Progress Chart |
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