MMA Handicapper Stats: MBE |
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MBE : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 23 (40%) Losing Events: 35 (60%)
Average Staked Per Event: 11.17 units Most Staked On One Event: 38.00 units Best Event: 19.78 units Worst Event: -15.28 units Average Event: -0.84 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 21.74 Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -26.67 |
MBE : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2021 |
10 |
-1.3 |
-13% |
-1.3 / 10 (-13%) |
|
|
/ 1 (0%) |
-1.35 |
2020 |
85 |
-11.6 |
-14% |
-11.6 / 85 (-14%) |
|
|
6 / 8 (43%) |
-0.83 |
2017 |
221 |
8.8 |
4% |
7.4 / 46 (16%) |
1.4 / 175 (1%) |
|
8 / 7 (53%) |
0.59 |
2016 |
151 |
-28.8 |
-19% |
-17.8 / 88 (-20%) |
-8.6 / 26 (-33%) |
-2.4 / 37 (-7%) |
3 / 9 (25%) |
-2.40 |
2015 |
181 |
-16.0 |
-9% |
-21.6 / 103 (-21%) |
2.2 / 62 (4%) |
3.4 / 16 (21%) |
6 / 10 (38%) |
-1.00 |
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MBE : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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MBE : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
553 |
-20.5 |
-4% |
-21.9 / 283 (-8%) |
-0.6 / 233 (-0%) |
2.0 / 37 (5%) |
Bellator |
47 |
-22.8 |
-48% |
-19.4 / 21 (-92%) |
-5.2 / 22 (-24%) |
1.8 / 4 (46%) |
PFL |
25 |
5.2 |
21% |
3.4 / 21 (16%) |
1.9 / 4 (47%) |
|
Other |
23 |
-10.9 |
-47% |
-7.0 / 7 (-100%) |
-1.0 / 4 (-26%) |
-2.9 / 12 (-24%) |
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MBE : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
25 (21%) |
16 |
64 % |
67.50 |
-3.31 |
-0.13 |
-5% |
Slight Favorites |
31 (26%) |
19 |
61 % |
68.00 |
6.47 |
0.21 |
10% |
Slight Underdogs |
42 (35%) |
17 |
40 % |
118.50 |
-11.63 |
-0.28 |
-10% |
Big Underdogs |
21 (18%) |
3 |
14 % |
78.00 |
-36.45 |
-1.74 |
-47% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
15 (13%) |
8 |
53 % |
43.50 |
6.51 |
0.43 |
15% |
Co-Main Event |
17 (14%) |
10 |
59 % |
52.50 |
-2.31 |
-0.14 |
-4% |
Position 3-5 |
37 (31%) |
17 |
46 % |
103.00 |
-18.74 |
-0.51 |
-18% |
6+ (Undercard) |
50 (42%) |
20 |
40 % |
133.00 |
-30.39 |
-0.61 |
-23% |
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MBE : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
10 (8%) |
2 |
20 % |
25.50 |
-20.92 |
-2.09 |
-82% |
Light Heavy |
11 (9%) |
7 |
64 % |
20.50 |
3.72 |
0.34 |
18% |
Middleweight |
23 (19%) |
12 |
52 % |
55.50 |
0.03 |
0.00 |
0% |
Welterweight |
15 (13%) |
6 |
40 % |
45.00 |
8.84 |
0.59 |
20% |
Lightweight |
21 (18%) |
11 |
52 % |
63.00 |
1.74 |
0.08 |
3% |
Featherweight |
14 (12%) |
5 |
36 % |
40.50 |
-19.64 |
-1.40 |
-48% |
Bantamweight |
10 (8%) |
4 |
40 % |
37.50 |
-12.01 |
-1.20 |
-32% |
Flyweight |
7 (6%) |
4 |
57 % |
19.50 |
-2.08 |
-0.30 |
-11% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
8 (7%) |
4 |
50 % |
25.00 |
-4.61 |
-0.58 |
-18% |
Bantamweight |
2 (2%) |
1 |
50 % |
6.00 |
-4.23 |
-2.12 |
-71% |
Flyweight |
2 (2%) |
1 |
50 % |
6.00 |
2.13 |
1.06 |
35% |
Strawweight |
4 (3%) |
2 |
50 % |
13.00 |
-2.50 |
-0.63 |
-19% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
17 (46%) |
11 |
65 % |
Slight Favorites |
9 (24%) |
4 |
44 % |
Slight Underdogs |
5 (14%) |
2 |
40 % |
Big Underdogs |
6 (16%) |
1 |
17 % |
|
37 |
18 |
49 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
27 (25%) |
19 |
70 % |
50-65% |
31 (29%) |
21 |
68 % |
35-50% |
37 (35%) |
13 |
35 % |
<35% chance |
11 (10%) |
3 |
27 % |
|
106 |
56 |
53 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail MBE 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: -45.52% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
MBE : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Apr '21 |
Brendan Allen |
Karl Roberson |
1.63 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (4:55) |
|
|
2. |
Apr '21 |
Rose Namajunas |
Weili Zhang |
2.70 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:18) |
|
|
3. |
Oct '20 |
Alexander Volkov |
Walt Harris |
1.56 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (1:15) |
|
|
4. |
Oct '20 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov |
Justin Gaethje |
1.31 |
3.5 |
Sub, R2 (1:34) |
|
|
5. |
Oct '20 |
Jessica Andrade |
Katlyn Chookagian |
1.63 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (4:55) |
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|
6. |
Oct '20 |
Cory Sandhagen |
Marlon Moraes |
1.69 |
2.5 |
TKO, R2 (1:3) |
|
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7. |
Aug '20 |
Frankie Edgar |
Pedro Munhoz |
3.20 |
5 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Aug '20 |
Merab Dvalishvili |
John Dodson |
1.41 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Aug '20 |
Chris Weidman |
Omari Akhmedov |
1.66 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Aug '20 |
Bobby Green |
Lando Vannata |
2.32 |
3.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Jul '20 |
Mauricio Rua |
Rogerio Nogueira |
1.52 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Jul '20 |
Mauricio Rua |
Rogerio Nogueira |
1.50 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Jul '20 |
Jack Hermansson |
Kelvin Gastelum |
1.87 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (1:18) |
|
|
14. |
Jul '20 |
Tim Elliott |
Ryan Benoit |
1.68 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
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15. |
Jul '20 |
Muslim Salikhov |
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos |
1.74 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
Jun '20 |
Dustin Poirier |
Daniel Hooker |
1.45 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Jul '17 |
Brad Tavares |
Elias Theodorou |
1.91 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
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18. |
Jun '17 |
Ion Cutelaba |
Luis Henrique da Silva |
1.36 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:21) |
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19. |
Jun '17 |
Vinc Pichel |
Damien Brown |
2.05 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (3:37) |
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20. |
Jun '17 |
Paulo Costa |
Oluwale Bamgbose |
1.36 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (1:6) |
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Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Apr '21 |
Alex Oliveira |
Randy Brown |
2.20 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (2:50) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Apr '21 |
Jim Crute |
Anthony Smith |
1.50 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Apr '21 |
Jorge Masvidal |
Kamaru Usman |
4.30 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (1:2) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Oct '20 |
Alexander Yakovlev |
Joel Alvarez |
2.35 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (3:0) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Oct '20 |
Nathaniel Wood |
Casey Kenney |
2.30 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Oct '20 |
Chan Sung Jung |
Brian Ortega |
1.51 |
2.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Oct '20 |
Makwan Amirkhani |
Edson Barboza |
2.95 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Sep '20 |
Andrea Lee |
Roxanne Modafferi |
1.31 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Aug '20 |
Alessio Di Chirico |
Zak Cummings |
1.81 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Aug '20 |
Sean O'Malley |
Marlon Vera |
1.36 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:40) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Aug '20 |
Junior dos Santos |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
2.10 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (3:47) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Aug '20 |
Frankie Saenz |
Jonathan Martinez |
3.07 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (0:57) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Aug '20 |
Joanne Wood |
Jennifer Maia |
1.68 |
1.5 |
Sub, R1 (4:29) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Jul '20 |
Cody Stamann |
Jimmie Rivera |
2.08 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Jul '20 |
Dan Ige |
Calvin Kattar |
3.31 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Jul '20 |
Jessica Andrade |
Rose Namajunas |
2.90 |
6 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Jul '17 |
Amanda Lemos |
Leslie Smith |
2.70 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (2:53) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Jun '17 |
Derrick Lewis |
Mark Hunt |
1.71 |
2 |
TKO, R4 (3:51) |
No |
|
|
19. |
May '17 |
Jorge Masvidal |
Demian Maia |
1.83 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Apr '17 |
Sam Alvey |
Thales Leites |
2.05 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
MBE : Progress Chart |
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