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MMA Handicapper Stats: Burge

Burge (Burge13)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Burge

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 87 (51%) Right 75 (52%) Right 10 (42%) Right 2 (100%)
Wrong 82 (49%) Wrong 68 (48%) Wrong 14 (58%) Wrong 0 (0%)
Avg Odds 2.00 Avg Odds 1.97 Avg Odds 2.26 Avg Odds 1.91
Units Bet 182.4 Units Bet 160.0 Units Bet 20.5 Units Bet 1.9
Avg Bet 1.08 Avg Bet 1.12 Avg Bet 0.85 Avg Bet 0.95
Units Profit 11.68 Units Profit 9.42 Units Profit 0.54 Units Profit 1.72
ROI % 6% ROI % 6% ROI % 3% ROI % 91%
View Handicapper's Profile

Burge : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 4 -2.3 -56% -2.3 / 4 (-56%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 7.65 -0.3 -4% 2.6 / 4.75 (55%) -2.9 / 2.9 (-100%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 14.11 -2.7 -19% -2.7 / 14.11 (-19%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 2 -1.2 -62% -1.2 / 2 (-62%)
16th Feb '19 Bellator 216 0.75 0.7 95% 0.7 / 0.75 (95%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 4.9 -0.3 -5% -1.3 / 3.75 (-34%) 1.0 / 1.15 (88%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 10.5 -0.3 -3% -1.1 / 6.86 (-16%) 0.8 / 3.64 (22%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 1.245 -0.6 -49% -0.6 / 1.245 (-49%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 2.04 -0.9 -42% -0.9 / 2.04 (-42%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 5.09 4.5 87% 4.5 / 5.09 (87%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 0.9 0.6 67% 0.6 / 0.9 (67%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 5.13 1.2 23% 1.2 / 5.13 (23%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 4.54 2.0 44% 2.0 / 4.54 (44%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 5.35 -4.1 -76% -2.5 / 3.75 (-65%) -1.6 / 1.6 (-100%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 4.46 -2.1 -47% -2.1 / 4.46 (-47%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 2.65 -0.3 -13% -1.4 / 1.35 (-100%) 1.0 / 1.3 (77%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 3.08 0.8 27% 1.3 / 2.58 (52%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 7.09 3.6 51% 4.3 / 6.34 (69%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 2.39 0.3 12% -1.1 / 1.09 (-100%) 1.4 / 1.3 (107%)
17th Jul '18 DWTNCS 13 1.02 -0.3 -27% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 0.2 / 0.52 (44%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 3.48 2.6 76% 2.6 / 3.48 (76%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 0.75 -0.8 -100% -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 4.75 2.8 60% 2.8 / 4.75 (60%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 3.5 1.5 42% 2.0 / 3 (66%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
9th Jun '18 KSW 44 1.43 1.0 70% 1.0 / 1.43 (70%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 3.02 1.2 40% 0.2 / 1.8 (11%) 1.0 / 1.22 (82%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 6.75 -4.8 -71% -4.8 / 6.75 (-71%)
25th May '18 Bellator 200 0.5 0.1 15% 0.1 / 0.5 (15%)
12th May '18 Bellator 199 0.75 0.1 13% 0.1 / 0.75 (13%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 2.75 0.4 16% 0.4 / 2.75 (16%)
12th May '18 BAMMA 35 1.25 2.1 165% 2.1 / 1.25 (165%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 4.48 2.8 62% 2.8 / 4.48 (62%)
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 2 -1.0 -51% -1.0 / 2 (-51%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 1.25 1.6 125% 1.6 / 1.25 (125%)
17th Mar '18 UFC Fight Night 127 3.5 -2.1 -59% -2.1 / 3.5 (-59%)
3rd Mar '18 UFC 222 2.67 -0.2 -8% -0.2 / 2.67 (-8%)
24th Feb '18 UFC on Fox 28 7.5 6.7 89% 4.9 / 5.25 (92%) 1.8 / 2.25 (81%)
18th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 126 3.15 0.2 7% 0.2 / 3.15 (7%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 4.5 -2.7 -61% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) 0.8 / 1 (75%)
4th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 125 5.94 -3.4 -58% -3.4 / 5.94 (-58%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 3.15 -0.0 -1% -0.0 / 3.15 (-1%)
20th Jan '18 Bellator 192 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Jan '18 UFC Fight Night 124 2.5 2.5 102% 2.5 / 2.5 (102%)
31st Dec '17 UFC 219 1.25 1.7 132% 1.7 / 1.25 (132%)
16th Dec '17 UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 3.47 1.4 41% 1.4 / 3.47 (41%)
9th Dec '17 UFC Fight Night 123 10.39 1.8 18% 2.8 / 9.39 (30%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Dec '17 UFC 218 5.33 1.3 24% 1.3 / 5.33 (24%)
2nd Dec '17 TUF 26 Finale 1.5 -1.5 -100% -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)


Winning Events: 26 (54%)
Losing Events: 22 (46%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.80 units
Most Staked On One Event: 14.11 units
Best Event: 6.67 units
Worst Event: -4.76 units
Average Event: 0.24 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 8.76
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -8.23

Burge : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 45.155 -6.9 -15% -6.5 / 36.715 (-18%) -2.1 / 6.54 (-32%) 1.7 / 1.9 (91%) 1 / 7 (13%) -0.87
2018 115.31 13.9 12% 9.5 / 103.12 (9%) 4.4 / 12.19 (36%) 21 / 14 (60%) 0.40
2017 21.94 4.7 22% 6.5 / 20.19 (32%) -1.8 / 1.75 (-100%) 4 / 1 (80%) 0.94

Burge : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Burge : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 170.165 8.0 5% 6.7 / 149.055 (4%) 0.3 / 19.96 (2%) 1.0 / 1.15 (88%)
Bellator 8.54 0.9 10% 0.2 / 7.79 (2%) 0.7 / 0.75 (95%)
Other 3.7 2.8 75% 2.6 / 3.18 (81%) 0.2 / 0.52 (44%)

Burge : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 12 (8%) 9 75 % 24.92 0.97 0.08 4%
Slight Favorites 61 (43%) 31 51 % 83.08 -7.90 -0.13 -10%
Slight Underdogs 43 (30%) 24 56 % 39.78 8.99 0.21 23%
Big Underdogs 27 (19%) 11 41 % 12.25 7.35 0.27 60%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 17 (12%) 9 53 % 33.57 -0.81 -0.05 -2%
Co-Main Event 19 (13%) 10 53 % 18.43 0.26 0.01 1%
Position 3-5 50 (35%) 23 46 % 57.17 -1.39 -0.03 -2%
6+ (Undercard) 57 (40%) 33 58 % 50.86 11.36 0.20 22%

Burge : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 13 (9%) 3 23 % 14.34 -10.72 -0.82 -75%
Light Heavy 20 (14%) 11 55 % 20.81 1.22 0.06 6%
Middleweight 9 (6%) 6 67 % 10.79 5.54 0.62 51%
Welterweight 23 (16%) 12 52 % 30.38 -4.21 -0.18 -14%
Lightweight 17 (12%) 9 53 % 18.99 4.42 0.26 23%
Featherweight 18 (13%) 9 50 % 23.11 2.75 0.15 12%
Bantamweight 18 (13%) 7 39 % 18.57 -4.03 -0.22 -22%
Flyweight 8 (6%) 5 63 % 3.75 2.49 0.31 66%
               
Women's Fights 17 (12%) 13 76 % 19.29 11.94 0.70 62%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 2.50 1.38 1.38 55%
Bantamweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 0.75 0.86 0.86 115%
Bantamweight 6 (4%) 5 83 % 5.55 4.70 0.78 85%
Strawweight 9 (6%) 6 67 % 10.49 5.00 0.56 48%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 5 (100%) 5 100 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
5 5 100 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (4%) 1 100 %
50-65% 8 (35%) 3 38 %
35-50% 7 (30%) 4 57 %
<35% chance 7 (30%) 1 14 %
23 9 39 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (13%) 2 67 % 1.85 2.00Pick was incorrect 1.77Pick was correct 0.6 (19%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (26%) 4 67 % 2.00 2.25Pick was correct 1.67Pick was incorrect 2.4 (39%)
Goes to Decision 1 (4%) 0 0 % 3.20 3.20Pick was incorrect 3.20Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision 4 (17%) 1 25 % 1.83 2.40Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was correct -2.5 (-62%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (4%) 0 0 % 1.83 1.83Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (9%) 1 50 % 3.12 3.80Pick was incorrect 2.65Pick was correct 0.6 (32%)
X Wins by Decision 3 (13%) 1 33 % 4.62 5.50Pick was incorrect 3.50Pick was correct 0.5 (17%)
X Wins Inside Distance 2 (9%) 0 0 % 2.24 2.90Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 1 (4%) 0 0 % 14.00 14.00Pick was incorrect 14.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
23 9 39 % 2.32     -3.4 (-15%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Burge 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
2nd Dec TUF 26 Finale 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $985.00
2nd Dec UFC 218 5.33 1.3 24% $9.85 $985.00 $997.69
9th Dec UFC Fight Night 123 10.39 1.8 18% $9.98 $997.69 $1,016.07
16th Dec UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 3.47 1.4 41% $10.16 $1,016.07 $1,030.70
31st Dec UFC 219 1.25 1.7 132% $10.31 $1,030.70 $1,047.71
14th Jan UFC Fight Night 124 2.5 2.5 102% $10.48 $1,047.71 $1,074.32
20th Jan UFC 220 3.15 -0.0 -1% $10.74 $1,074.32 $1,073.92
20th Jan Bellator 192 2 -2.0 -100% $10.74 $1,073.92 $1,052.44
4th Feb UFC Fight Night 125 5.94 -3.4 -58% $10.52 $1,052.44 $1,016.22
10th Feb UFC 221 4.5 -2.7 -61% $10.16 $1,016.22 $988.27
18th Feb UFC Fight Night 126 3.15 0.2 7% $9.88 $988.27 $990.39
24th Feb UFC on Fox 28 7.5 6.7 89% $9.90 $990.39 $1,056.50
3rd Mar UFC 222 2.67 -0.2 -8% $10.57 $1,056.50 $1,054.18
17th Mar UFC Fight Night 127 3.5 -2.1 -59% $5 $10.54 $1,054.18 $1,027.36
7th Apr UFC 223 1.25 1.6 125% $5 $10.27 $1,027.36 $1,038.42
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 2 -1.0 -51% $5 $10.38 $1,038.42 $1,022.77
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 4.48 2.8 62% $5 $10.23 $1,022.77 $1,046.39
12th May BAMMA 35 1.25 2.1 165% $10.46 $1,046.39 $1,067.97
12th May UFC 224 2.75 0.4 16% $10.68 $1,067.97 $1,072.73
12th May Bellator 199 0.75 0.1 13% $10.73 $1,072.73 $1,073.80
25th May Bellator 200 0.5 0.1 15% $10.74 $1,073.80 $1,074.61
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 6.75 -4.8 -71% $10.75 $1,074.61 $1,023.45
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 3.02 1.2 40% $10.23 $1,023.45 $1,035.74
9th Jun KSW 44 1.43 1.0 70% $10.36 $1,035.74 $1,046.11
9th Jun UFC 225 3.5 1.5 42% $10.46 $1,046.11 $1,061.54
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 4.75 2.8 60% $5 $10.62 $1,061.54 $1,086.71
7th Jul UFC 226 0.75 -0.8 -100% $10.87 $1,086.71 $1,078.56
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 3.48 2.6 76% $10.79 $1,078.56 $1,106.98
17th Jul DWTNCS 13 1.02 -0.3 -27% $11.07 $1,106.98 $1,103.98
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 2.39 0.3 12% $11.04 $1,103.98 $1,107.26
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 7.09 3.6 51% $11.07 $1,107.26 $1,147.07
4th Aug UFC 227 3.08 0.8 27% $11.47 $1,147.07 $1,156.64
8th Sep UFC 228 2.65 -0.3 -13% $11.57 $1,156.64 $1,152.61
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 4.46 -2.1 -47% $11.53 $1,152.61 $1,128.43
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 5.35 -4.1 -76% $11.28 $1,128.43 $1,082.70
29th Sep Bellator 206 4.54 2.0 44% $10.83 $1,082.70 $1,104.33
6th Oct UFC 229 5.13 1.2 23% $11.04 $1,104.33 $1,117.27
3rd Nov UFC 230 0.9 0.6 67% $11.17 $1,117.27 $1,123.98
8th Dec UFC 231 5.09 4.5 87% $5 $11.24 $1,123.98 $1,169.01
29th Dec UFC 232 2.04 -0.9 -42% $5 $11.69 $1,169.01 $1,153.90
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 1.245 -0.6 -49% $11.54 $1,153.90 $1,146.80
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 10.5 -0.3 -3% $11.47 $1,146.80 $1,143.46
9th Feb UFC 234 4.9 -0.3 -5% $11.43 $1,143.46 $1,140.52
16th Feb Bellator 216 0.75 0.7 95% $11.41 $1,140.52 $1,148.68
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 2 -1.2 -62% $11.49 $1,148.68 $1,134.42
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 14.11 -2.7 -19% $11.34 $1,134.42 $1,103.61
2nd Mar UFC 235 7.65 -0.3 -4% $11.04 $1,103.61 $1,100.58
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 4 -2.3 -56% $11.01 $1,100.58 $1,075.81


ROI % from starting bank balance: 7.58% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Burge : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '19 Omari Akhmedov Tim Boetsch 1.75 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Diego Sanchez Mickey Gall 3.70 1 TKO, R2 (4:13) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Pedro Munhoz Cody Garbrandt 2.45 1.5 TKO, R1 (4:52) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '19 Gillian Robertson Veronica Macedo 1.69 1.45 Sub, R2 (3:27) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '19 Chris Fishgold Daniel Teymur 1.49 2.04 Sub, R2 (1:10) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '19 Liz Carmouche Lucie Pudilova 1.74 1.35 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '19 Damir Hadzovic Marco Polo Reyes 2.37 1.5 TKO, R2 (2:3) MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '19 Nik Lentz Scott Holtzman 2.53 0.3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '19 Montana De La Rosa Nadia Kassem 1.42 1.75 Sub, R2 (2:37) MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '19 Rogerio Bontorin Magomed Bibulatov 4.90 0.15 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '19 Demian Maia Lyman Good 1.59 3.18 Sub, R1 (2:38) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jan '19 Glover Teixeira Karl Roberson 1.80 0.35 Sub, R1 (3:21) MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '18 Paid Pick Corey Anderson Ilir Latifi 2.35 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '18 Paid Pick Elias Theodorou Eryk Anders 2.25 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '18 Paid Pick Gunnar Nelson Alex Oliveira 1.72 0.7 Sub, R2 (4:17) MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '18 Paid Pick Gilbert Burns Olivier Aubin-Mercier 2.25 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '18 Paid Pick Max Holloway Brian Ortega 1.97 3.09 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '18 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Adam Wieczorek 3.75 0.4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '18 Jussier Formiga Sergio Pettis 2.44 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '18 Khabib Nurmagomedov Conor McGregor 1.65 3.08 Sub, R4 (3:2) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '19 Tim Means Niko Price 1.52 3 TKO, R1 (4:50) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Misha Cirkunov Johnny Walker 2.55 1.25 TKO, R1 (0:36) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Tecia Torres Weili Zhang 2.55 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '19 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Stefan Struve 1.85 1.75 Sub, R2 (2:21) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '19 Gian Villante Michal Oleksiejczuk 0.30 2.74 TKO, R1 (1:34) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '19 Rustam Khabilov Carlos Diego Ferreira 1.78 1.28 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '19 Jan Blachowicz Thiago Santos 2.25 2 TKO, R3 (0:39) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '19 James Vick Paul Felder 2.25 0.7 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '19 Jimmie Rivera Aljamain Sterling 1.73 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '19 Rani Yahya Ricky Simon 2.14 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '19 Sam Alvey Jim Crute 2.18 1.25 TKO, R1 (2:49) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '19 Justin Ledet Johnny Walker 3.23 0.2 TKO, R1 (0:15) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '19 Junior Albini Jairzinho Rozenstruik 2.00 1 TKO, R2 (0:54) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '19 Ricardo Ramos Said Nurmagomedov 1.91 1.1 TKO, R1 (2:28) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '19 Renato Moicano Jose Aldo 1.81 1.23 TKO, R2 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jan '19 Alexander Hernandez Donald Cerrone 1.56 0.895 TKO, R2 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '18 Paid Pick Chad Mendes Alex Volkanovski 1.65 1.54 TKO, R2 (4:14) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '18 Paid Pick Matthew Lopez Brad Katona 3.28 0.3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '18 Derek Brunson Israel Adesanya 3.65 0.5 TKO, R1 (4:51) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '18 Ryan LaFlare Tony Martin 1.72 0.7 TKO, R3 (1:0) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Burge : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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