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MMA Handicapper Stats: Bookies Will do nothin

Bookies Will do nothin (CombatWagers)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Bookies  Will do nothin

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 17 (41%) Right 16 (48%) Right 0 (0%) Right 1 (25%)
Wrong 24 (59%) Wrong 17 (52%) Wrong 4 (100%) Wrong 3 (75%)
Avg Odds 2.12 Avg Odds 1.92 Avg Odds 11.17 Avg Odds 2.19
Units Bet 57.2 Units Bet 44.4 Units Bet 0.8 Units Bet 12.1
Avg Bet 1.40 Avg Bet 1.34 Avg Bet 0.20 Avg Bet 3.01
Units Profit -6.33 Units Profit -0.09 Units Profit -0.80 Units Profit -5.44
ROI % -11% ROI % -0% ROI % -100% ROI % -45%
View Handicapper's Profile

Bookies Will do nothin: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
10th May '20 UFC 249 1.8 -1.8 -100% -1.8 / 1.8 (-100%)
21st Dec '19 UFC Fight Night 165 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 5.5 -0.8 -14% -0.8 / 5.5 (-14%)
7th Dec '19 UFC on ESPN 7 3.5 -1.8 -50% -1.8 / 3.5 (-50%)
9th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 163 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
2nd Nov '19 UFC 244 4.45 2.0 45% 2.2 / 4.25 (51%) -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
26th Oct '19 Bellator 232 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
26th Oct '19 UFC Fight Night 162 3.52 -0.2 -6% -0.2 / 3.52 (-6%)
18th Oct '19 UFC ESPN 6 3.5 1.1 32% 1.4 / 3.25 (42%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
12th Oct '19 UFC on ESPN+ 19 2.35 -2.4 -100% -1.8 / 1.75 (-100%) -0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)
5th Oct '19 UFC 243 3.5 3.6 102% 3.6 / 3.5 (102%)
28th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 160 2 2.4 119% 2.4 / 2 (119%)
27th Sep '19 Bellator Dublin 0.35 -0.4 -100% -0.4 / 0.35 (-100%)
14th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 158 1.25 -1.3 -100% -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
26th Sep '15 UFC Fight Night - Barnett vs. Nelson 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
5th Sep '15 UFC 191 - Johnson vs. Dodson 2 15 3.6 24% 2.0 / 10 (20%) 1.6 / 5 (32%)


Winning Events: 5 (31%)
Losing Events: 11 (69%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.58 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.00 units
Best Event: 3.62 units
Worst Event: -5.00 units
Average Event: -0.40 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 5.96
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -9.35

Bookies Will do nothin: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2020 1.8 -1.8 -100% -1.8 / 1.8 (-100%) / 1 (0%) -1.80
2019 35.42 -3.1 -9% -2.1 / 34.37 (-6%) -0.8 / 0.8 (-100%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) 4 / 9 (31%) -0.24
2015 20 -1.4 -7% 2.0 / 10 (20%) -3.4 / 10 (-34%) 1 / 1 (50%) -0.69

Bookies Will do nothin: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Bookies Will do nothin: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 56.37 -5.5 -10% 0.8 / 43.52 (2%) -0.8 / 0.8 (-100%) -5.4 / 12.05 (-45%)
Bellator 0.85 -0.9 -100% -0.9 / 0.85 (-100%)

Bookies Will do nothin: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (9%) 3 100 % 11.25 2.50 0.83 22%
Slight Favorites 17 (52%) 8 47 % 22.52 -4.39 -0.26 -20%
Slight Underdogs 11 (33%) 5 45 % 10.25 2.14 0.19 21%
Big Underdogs 2 (6%) 0 0 % 0.35 -0.35 -0.18 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 7 (21%) 3 43 % 13.27 1.84 0.26 14%
Co-Main Event 7 (21%) 3 43 % 8.35 -2.78 -0.40 -33%
Position 3-5 12 (36%) 9 75 % 15.75 5.43 0.45 34%
6+ (Undercard) 7 (21%) 1 14 % 7.00 -4.58 -0.65 -65%

Bookies Will do nothin: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (9%) 2 67 % 3.25 0.24 0.08 7%
Light Heavy 6 (18%) 4 67 % 10.75 2.05 0.34 19%
Middleweight 2 (6%) 1 50 % 3.50 0.90 0.45 26%
Welterweight 10 (30%) 5 50 % 12.27 -0.25 -0.02 -2%
Lightweight 3 (9%) 1 33 % 2.25 0.44 0.15 19%
Featherweight 4 (12%) 2 50 % 4.10 -1.22 -0.30 -30%
Bantamweight 3 (9%) 0 % 2.75 -2.75 -0.92 -100%
Flyweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 5.00 1.00 1.00 20%
               
Women's Fights 1 (3%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (3%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 7 (70%) 5 71 %
Slight Favorites 1 (10%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (20%) 2 100 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
10 7 70 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
<35% chance 4 (100%) 0 0 %
4 0 0 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by KO 1 (25%) 0 0 % 5.00 5.00Pick was incorrect 5.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X 3 (75%) 0 0 % 18.98 28.00Pick was incorrect 13.00Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
4 0 0 % 11.17     -4.0 (-100%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Bookies Will do nothin's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
5th Sep UFC 191 - Johnson vs. Dodson 2 15 3.6 24% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,036.17
26th Sep UFC Fight Night - Barnett vs. Nelson 5 -5.0 -100% $10.36 $1,036.17 $984.36
14th Sep UFC Fight Night 158 1.25 -1.3 -100% $9.84 $984.36 $972.06
27th Sep Bellator Dublin 0.35 -0.4 -100% $9.72 $972.06 $968.65
28th Sep UFC Fight Night 160 2 2.4 119% $9.69 $968.65 $991.66
5th Oct UFC 243 3.5 3.6 102% $9.92 $991.66 $1,027.21
12th Oct UFC on ESPN+ 19 2.35 -2.4 -100% $10.27 $1,027.21 $1,003.07
18th Oct UFC ESPN 6 3.5 1.1 32% $10.03 $1,003.07 $1,014.41
26th Oct UFC Fight Night 162 3.52 -0.2 -6% $10.14 $1,014.41 $1,012.17
26th Oct Bellator 232 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.12 $1,012.17 $1,007.11
2nd Nov UFC 244 4.45 2.0 45% $10.07 $1,007.11 $1,027.08
9th Nov UFC Fight Night 163 2.5 -2.5 -100% $10.27 $1,027.08 $1,001.41
7th Dec UFC on ESPN 7 3.5 -1.8 -50% $10.01 $1,001.41 $983.78
15th Dec UFC 245 5.5 -0.8 -14% $9.84 $983.78 $976.01
21st Dec UFC Fight Night 165 2.5 -2.5 -100% $9.76 $976.01 $951.61
10th May UFC 249 1.8 -1.8 -100% $9.52 $951.61 $934.48


ROI % from starting bank balance: -6.55% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Bookies Will do nothin: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '19 Kamaru Usman Colby Covington 1.57 3 TKO, R5 (4:10) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '19 Ben Rothwell Stefan Struve 1.74 1 TKO, R2 (4:57) MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '19 Stephen Thompson Vicente Luque 1.97 0.32 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '19 Kevin Lee Gregor Gillespie 2.40 0.5 TKO, R1 (2:47) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '19 Corey Anderson Johnny Walker 2.42 1 TKO, R1 (2:7) MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '19 Muslim Salikhov Laureano Staropoli 1.65 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '19 Stephen Thompson Vicente Luque 1.85 1.18 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '19 Yair Rodriguez Jeremy Stephens 1.95 0.4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '19 Greg Hardy Ben Sosoli 1.40 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '19 Yair Rodriguez Jeremy Stephens 1.91 1.1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '19 Israel Adesanya Robert Whittaker 2.20 2 TKO, R2 (3:33) MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '19 Daniel Hooker Al Iaquinta 1.79 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '19 Ion Cutelaba Khalil Rountree 2.15 0.5 TKO, R1 (2:35) MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '19 Ion Cutelaba Khalil Rountree 2.20 1.5 TKO, R1 (2:35) MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '15 Anthony Johnson Jimi Manuwa 1.20 5 TKO, R2 (0:28) MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '15 Demetrious Johnson John Dodson 1.20 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '19 Said Nurmagomedov Raoni Barcelos 2.37 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '19 Aleksandar Rakic Volkan Oezdemir 1.67 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '19 Max Holloway Alex Volkanovski 1.59 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '19 Ricky Simon Rob Font 2.31 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '19 Yana Kunitskaya Aspen Ladd 2.55 0.5 TKO, R3 (0:33) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '19 Alistair Overeem Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1.87 1 TKO, R5 (4:56) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '19 Ramazan Emeev Tony Martin 1.86 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '19 Roman Kopylov Karl Roberson 1.95 1.5 Sub, R3 (4:1) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '19 Kelvin Gastelum Darren Till 1.59 1.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '19 Rory MacDonald Douglas Lima 2.50 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '19 Ben Askren Demian Maia 1.65 1.52 Sub, R3 (3:54) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '19 Kyle Bochniak Sean Woodson 1.80 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '19 Andre Ewell Marlon Vera 2.35 0.75 TKO, R3 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '19 James Vick Niko Price 2.30 1 TKO, R1 (1:44) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '19 Myles Jury Benson Henderson 2.90 0.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '19 Roman Salazar James Gallagher 5.72 0.1 Sub, R1 (0:35) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '19 Jim Crute Misha Cirkunov 1.95 1.25 Sub, R1 (3:38) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Bookies Will do nothin: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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