MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: Bookies Will do nothin

Bookies Will do nothin (CombatWagers)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	17 (32%)	Right	14 (41%)	Right	1 (8%)	Right	2 (33%)
Wrong	36 (68%)	Wrong	20 (59%)	Wrong	12 (92%)	Wrong	4 (67%)
Avg Odds	2.25	Avg Odds	1.96	Avg Odds	3.62	Avg Odds	2.32
Units Bet	69.8	Units Bet	50.4	Units Bet	4.4	Units Bet	15.1
Avg Bet	1.32	Avg Bet	1.48	Avg Bet	0.33	Avg Bet	2.51
Units Profit	-12.17	Units Profit	-3.15	Units Profit	-3.52	Units Profit	-5.50
ROI %	-17%	ROI %	-6%	ROI %	-81%	ROI %	-37%

Bookies Will do nothin: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
29th Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen	2.25	-2.3	-100%	-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
20th Nov '21	UFC FN	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
21st Aug '21	UFC FN	0.8	-0.8	-100%		-0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)
19th Aug '21	PFL 2021 #8: Playoffs	0.75	0.1	11%		0.1 / 0.75 (11%)
17th Jul '21	UFC FN	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Mar '21	UFC Fight Night 187	1.15	-1.2	-100%		-1.2 / 1.15 (-100%)
20th Feb '21	UFC Fight Night 185	1	1.9	194%			1.9 / 1 (194%)
12th Dec '20	Cage Warriors 119	1.25	1.7	135%	1.7 / 1.25 (135%)
4th Oct '20	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	0.1	-0.1	-100%		-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
18th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 2	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
27th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 175	0.75	-0.8	-100%		-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
10th May '20	UFC 249	1.8	-1.8	-100%			-1.8 / 1.8 (-100%)
21st Dec '19	UFC Fight Night 165	2.5	-2.5	-100%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
15th Dec '19	UFC 245	5.5	-0.8	-14%	-0.8 / 5.5 (-14%)
7th Dec '19	UFC on ESPN 7	3.5	-1.8	-50%	-1.8 / 3.5 (-50%)
9th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 163	2.5	-2.5	-100%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
2nd Nov '19	UFC 244	4.45	2.0	45%	2.2 / 4.25 (51%)	-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
26th Oct '19	Bellator 232	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
26th Oct '19	UFC Fight Night 162	3.52	-0.2	-6%	-0.2 / 3.52 (-6%)
18th Oct '19	UFC ESPN 6	3.5	1.1	32%	1.4 / 3.25 (42%)		-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
12th Oct '19	UFC on ESPN+ 19	2.35	-2.4	-100%	-1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)	-0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)
5th Oct '19	UFC 243	3.5	3.6	102%	3.6 / 3.5 (102%)
28th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 160	2	2.4	119%	2.4 / 2 (119%)
27th Sep '19	Bellator Dublin	0.35	-0.4	-100%	-0.4 / 0.35 (-100%)
14th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 158	1.25	-1.3	-100%	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
26th Sep '15	UFC Fight Night - Barnett vs. Nelson	5	-5.0	-100%			-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
5th Sep '15	UFC 191 - Johnson vs. Dodson 2	15	3.6	24%	2.0 / 10 (20%)		1.6 / 5 (32%)

Winning Events: 8 (30%)
Losing Events: 19 (70%)

Average Staked Per Event: 2.58 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.00 units
Best Event: 3.62 units
Worst Event: -5.00 units
Average Event: -0.45 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 5.96
Max Losing Streak: Events: 8, Units: -11.20

Bookies Will do nothin: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2022	2.25	-2.3	-100%	-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)	0.0 / 0 (nan%)		/ 1 (0%)	-2.25
2021	7.2	-3.4	-48%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-1.9 / 2.7 (-69%)	-0.1 / 3 (-2%)	2 / 4 (33%)	-0.57
2020	4.9	-2.0	-40%	0.7 / 2.25 (31%)	-0.9 / 0.85 (-100%)	-1.8 / 1.8 (-100%)	1 / 4 (20%)	-0.39
2019	35.42	-3.1	-9%	-2.1 / 34.37 (-6%)	-0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	4 / 9 (31%)	-0.24
2015	20	-1.4	-7%	2.0 / 10 (20%)		-3.4 / 10 (-34%)	1 / 1 (50%)	-0.69

Bookies Will do nothin: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Bookies Will do nothin: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	66.92	-13.1	-20%	-4.0 / 48.27 (-8%)	-3.6 / 3.6 (-100%)	-5.5 / 15.05 (-37%)
Bellator	0.85	-0.9	-100%	-0.9 / 0.85 (-100%)
PFL	0.75	0.1	11%		0.1 / 0.75 (11%)
Other	1.25	1.7	135%	1.7 / 1.25 (135%)

Bookies Will do nothin: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	3 (8%)	3	100 %	11.25	2.50	0.83	22%
Slight Favorites	17 (46%)	8	47 %	22.52	-4.39	-0.26	-20%
Slight Underdogs	14 (38%)	6	43 %	15.25	0.08	0.01	1%
Big Underdogs	3 (8%)	0	0 %	1.35	-1.35	-0.45	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	8 (22%)	3	38 %	15.52	-0.41	-0.05	-3%
Co-Main Event	7 (19%)	3	43 %	8.35	-2.78	-0.40	-33%
Position 3-5	13 (35%)	10	77 %	17.00	7.12	0.55	42%
6+ (Undercard)	9 (24%)	1	11 %	9.50	-7.08	-0.79	-75%

Bookies Will do nothin: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	3 (8%)	2	67 %	3.25	0.24	0.08	7%
Light Heavy	6 (16%)	4	67 %	10.75	2.05	0.34	19%
Middleweight	2 (5%)	1	50 %	3.50	0.90	0.45	26%
Welterweight	10 (27%)	5	50 %	12.27	-0.25	-0.02	-2%
Lightweight	3 (8%)	1	33 %	2.25	0.44	0.15	19%
Featherweight	7 (19%)	3	43 %	8.60	-2.78	-0.40	-32%
Bantamweight	3 (8%)		0 %	2.75	-2.75	-0.92	-100%
Flyweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	5.00	1.00	1.00	20%

Women's Fights	2 (5%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-1.00	-100%
Bantamweight	1 (3%)		0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%
Strawweight	1 (3%)		0 %	1.50	-1.50	-1.50	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	9 (64%)	7	78 %
Slight Favorites	3 (21%)	0	0 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (14%)	2	100 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	14	9	64 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	1 (8%)	1	100 %
35-50%	5 (38%)	1	20 %
<35% chance	7 (54%)	0	0 %
	13	2	15 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (8%)	1	100 %	1.66	1.66	1.66	0.7 (66%)
X Wins by KO	2 (15%)	1	50 %	2.96	5.00	2.10	0.1 (5%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (15%)	0	0 %	3.79	4.00	3.60	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	4 (31%)	0	0 %	2.50	2.85	2.35	-4.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X	4 (31%)	0	0 %	17.02	28.00	13.00	-4.0 (-100%)
	13	2	15 %	3.57			-9.2 (-71%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Bookies Will do nothin's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
5th Sep	UFC 191 - Johnson vs. Dodson 2	15	3.6	24%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,036.17
26th Sep	UFC Fight Night - Barnett vs. Nelson	5	-5.0	-100%		$10.36	$1,036.17	$984.36
14th Sep	UFC Fight Night 158	1.25	-1.3	-100%		$9.84	$984.36	$972.06
27th Sep	Bellator Dublin	0.35	-0.4	-100%		$9.72	$972.06	$968.65
28th Sep	UFC Fight Night 160	2	2.4	119%		$9.69	$968.65	$991.66
5th Oct	UFC 243	3.5	3.6	102%		$9.92	$991.66	$1,027.21
12th Oct	UFC on ESPN+ 19	2.35	-2.4	-100%		$10.27	$1,027.21	$1,003.07
18th Oct	UFC ESPN 6	3.5	1.1	32%		$10.03	$1,003.07	$1,014.41
26th Oct	UFC Fight Night 162	3.52	-0.2	-6%		$10.14	$1,014.41	$1,012.17
26th Oct	Bellator 232	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$10.12	$1,012.17	$1,007.11
2nd Nov	UFC 244	4.45	2.0	45%		$10.07	$1,007.11	$1,027.08
9th Nov	UFC Fight Night 163	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$10.27	$1,027.08	$1,001.41
7th Dec	UFC on ESPN 7	3.5	-1.8	-50%		$10.01	$1,001.41	$983.78
15th Dec	UFC 245	5.5	-0.8	-14%		$9.84	$983.78	$976.01
21st Dec	UFC Fight Night 165	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$9.76	$976.01	$951.61
10th May	UFC 249	1.8	-1.8	-100%		$9.52	$951.61	$934.48
27th Jun	UFC Fight Night 175	0.75	-0.8	-100%		$9.34	$934.48	$927.47
18th Jul	UFC Fight Island 2	1	-1.0	-100%		$9.27	$927.47	$918.20
4th Oct	UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana	0.1	-0.1	-100%		$9.18	$918.20	$917.28
12th Dec	Cage Warriors 119	1.25	1.7	135%		$9.17	$917.28	$932.76
20th Feb	UFC Fight Night 185	1	1.9	194%		$9.33	$932.76	$950.85
13th Mar	UFC Fight Night 187	1.15	-1.2	-100%		$9.51	$950.85	$939.92
17th Jul	UFC FN	2	-2.0	-100%		$9.40	$939.92	$921.12
19th Aug	PFL 2021 #8: Playoffs	0.75	0.1	11%		$9.21	$921.12	$921.86
21st Aug	UFC FN	0.8	-0.8	-100%		$9.22	$921.86	$914.48
20th Nov	UFC FN	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$9.14	$914.48	$900.77
29th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen	2.25	-2.3	-100%		$9.01	$900.77	$880.50

ROI % from starting bank balance: -11.95% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Bookies Will do nothin: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Dec '20	Jordan Vucenic	Paul Hughes	2.35	1.25	Split Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Dec '19	Kamaru Usman	Colby Covington	1.57	3	TKO, R5 (4:10)
3.	Dec '19	Ben Rothwell	Stefan Struve	1.74	1	TKO, R2 (4:57)
4.	Nov '19	Stephen Thompson	Vicente Luque	1.97	0.32	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Nov '19	Kevin Lee	Gregor Gillespie	2.40	0.5	TKO, R1 (2:47)
6.	Nov '19	Corey Anderson	Johnny Walker	2.42	1	TKO, R1 (2:7)
7.	Oct '19	Muslim Salikhov	Laureano Staropoli	1.65	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Nov '19	Stephen Thompson	Vicente Luque	1.85	1.18	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Oct '19	Yair Rodriguez	Jeremy Stephens	1.95	0.4	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Oct '19	Greg Hardy	Ben Sosoli	1.40	1.25	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Oct '19	Yair Rodriguez	Jeremy Stephens	1.91	1.1	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Oct '19	Israel Adesanya	Robert Whittaker	2.20	2	TKO, R2 (3:33)
13.	Oct '19	Daniel Hooker	Al Iaquinta	1.79	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Sep '19	Ion Cutelaba	Khalil Rountree	2.15	0.5	TKO, R1 (2:35)
15.	Sep '19	Ion Cutelaba	Khalil Rountree	2.20	1.5	TKO, R1 (2:35)
16.	Sep '15	Anthony Johnson	Jimi Manuwa	1.20	5	TKO, R2 (0:28)
17.	Sep '15	Demetrious Johnson	John Dodson	1.20	5	U Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Oct '22	Calvin Kattar	Arnold Allen	2.00	2.25	TKO, R2 (0:8)	No
2.	Nov '21	Loma Lookboonmee	Lupita Godinez	2.22	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jul '20	Nad Narimani	Grant Dawson	3.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Dec '19	Said Nurmagomedov	Raoni Barcelos	2.37	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Dec '19	Aleksandar Rakic	Volkan Oezdemir	1.67	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Dec '19	Max Holloway	Alex Volkanovski	1.59	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
7.	Dec '19	Ricky Simon	Rob Font	2.31	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Dec '19	Yana Santos	Aspen Ladd	2.55	0.5	TKO, R3 (0:33)	No
9.	Dec '19	Alistair Overeem	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	1.87	1	TKO, R5 (4:56)	No
10.	Nov '19	Ramazan Emeev	Tony Martin	1.86	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Nov '19	Roman Kopylov	Karl Roberson	1.95	1.5	Sub, R3 (4:1)	No
12.	Nov '19	Kelvin Gastelum	Darren Till	1.59	1.25	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Oct '19	Rory MacDonald	Douglas Lima	2.50	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
14.	Oct '19	Ben Askren	Demian Maia	1.65	1.52	Sub, R3 (3:54)	No
15.	Oct '19	Kyle Bochniak	Sean Woodson	1.80	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Oct '19	Andre Ewell	Marlon Vera	2.35	0.75	TKO, R3 (3:17)	No
17.	Oct '19	James Vick	Niko Price	2.30	1	TKO, R1 (1:44)	No
18.	Sep '19	Myles Jury	Benson Henderson	2.90	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Sep '19	Roman Salazar	James Gallagher	5.72	0.1	Sub, R1 (0:35)	No
20.	Sep '19	Jim Crute	Misha Cirkunov	1.95	1.25	Sub, R1 (3:38)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Bookies Will do nothin: Progress Chart

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