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MMA Handicapper Stats: MMAOddsbreaker (Log)

MMAOddsbreaker (Log) (MMAOddsbreaker)


MMA MHandicapper - MMAOddsbreaker (Log)

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 49 (45%) Right 33 (44%) Right 4 (67%) Right 12 (44%)
Wrong 59 (55%) Wrong 42 (56%) Wrong 2 (33%) Wrong 15 (56%)
Avg Odds 2.27 Avg Odds 2.12 Avg Odds 1.84 Avg Odds 3.00
Units Bet 258.5 Units Bet 196.5 Units Bet 15.7 Units Bet 46.3
Avg Bet 2.39 Avg Bet 2.62 Avg Bet 2.62 Avg Bet 1.71
Units Profit 4.15 Units Profit -17.14 Units Profit 2.67 Units Profit 18.63
ROI % 2% ROI % -9% ROI % 17% ROI % 40%
View Handicapper's Profile

MMAOddsbreaker (Log): Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
14th Nov '15 UFC 193 - Rousey vs. Holm 7.89 -7.9 -100% -4.8 / 4.8 (-100%) -3.1 / 3.09 (-100%)
7th Nov '15 UFC Fight Night 77: Belfort vs. Henderson 3 7.2 -7.2 -100% -7.2 / 7.2 (-100%)
6th Nov '15 Bellator 145 - Vengeance 2.6 2.0 77% 2.0 / 2.6 (77%)
24th Oct '15 UFC Fight Night 76 - Holohan vs. Smolka 4.5 4.0 89% 2.0 / 2.4 (83%) 2.0 / 2.1 (95%)
3rd Oct '15 UFC 192 - Cormier vs. Gustafsson 11 -0.3 -3% -3.0 / 8.5 (-35%) 2.7 / 2.5 (108%)
26th Sep '15 UFC Fight Night - Barnett vs. Nelson 3.3 -3.3 -100% -3.3 / 3.3 (-100%)
5th Sep '15 UFC 191 - Johnson vs. Dodson 2 7.24 3.5 48% 0.5 / 4 (13%) 3.0 / 3.24 (93%)
23rd Aug '15 UFC Fight Night 74 - Holloway vs. Oliveira 6.5 -6.5 -100% -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
8th Aug '15 UFC Fight Night - St. Preux vs. Teixeira 8.58 2.2 26% 0.7 / 6.45 (12%) 1.5 / 2.13 (70%)
1st Aug '15 UFC 190 - Rousey vs. Correia 6.96 -1.3 -18% 1.2 / 4.5 (26%) -2.5 / 2.46 (-100%)
25th Jul '15 UFC on Fox 16 - Dillashaw vs. Barao 2 10.05 3.6 36% 3.6 / 10.05 (36%)
18th Jul '15 UFC Fight Night - Bisping vs. Leites 2 2.6 131% 2.6 / 2 (131%)
17th Jul '15 Bellator 140 - Lima vs. Koreshkov 2 3.1 155% 3.1 / 2 (155%)
15th Jul '15 UFC Fight Night - Mir vs. Duffee 10.365 -2.9 -28% -0.1 / 7.625 (-2%) -2.7 / 2.74 (-100%)
12th Jul '15 UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 21 Finale 2.6 -2.6 -100% -2.6 / 2.6 (-100%)
11th Jul '15 UFC 189 - McGregor vs. Mendes 8.75 -8.8 -100% -8.8 / 8.75 (-100%)
27th Jun '15 UFC Fight Night - Machida vs. Romero 3 3.1 105% 3.1 / 3 (105%)
20th Jun '15 UFC Fight Night - Jedrzejczyk vs. Penne 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
13th Jun '15 UFC 188 - Velasquez vs. Werdum 6.91 2.9 42% 5.8 / 4 (145%) -2.9 / 2.91 (-100%)
6th Jun '15 UFC Fight Night - Boetsch vs. Henderson 5 0.7 13% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 3.2 / 2.5 (127%)
30th May '15 UFC Fight Night - Condit vs. Alves 6.6 -2.0 -30% -2.0 / 6.6 (-30%)
23rd May '15 UFC 187 - Cormier vs. Johnson 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
16th May '15 UFC Fight Night - Edgar vs. Faber 4.8 -0.5 -10% -0.5 / 4.8 (-10%)
25th Apr '15 UFC 186 - Johnson vs. Horiguchi 6 -6.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
18th Apr '15 UFC on Fox 15 - Rockhold vs. Machida 8 0.9 11% 0.9 / 8 (11%)
11th Apr '15 UFC Fight Night - Gonzaga vs. Cro Cop 2 7.6 -3.0 -39% -1.0 / 5.6 (-18%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
4th Apr '15 UFC Fight Night - Mendes vs. Lamas 5.5 -5.5 -100% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
21st Mar '15 UFC Fight Night - Maia vs. LaFlare 7.44 2.0 28% 0.1 / 5 (1%) 2.0 / 2.44 (82%)
14th Mar '15 UFC 185 - Pettis vs. Dos Anjos 6 7.5 125% 7.5 / 6 (125%)
28th Feb '15 UFC 184 - Rousey vs. Zingano 3.5 2.5 72% 2.5 / 3.5 (72%)
22nd Feb '15 UFC Fight Night - Mir vs. Bigfoot 3 33.9 1,131% 33.9 / 3 (1,131%)
14th Feb '15 UFC Fight Night - Henderson vs Thatch 3.5 -3.5 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
31st Jan '15 UFC 183 - Silva vs. Diaz 7.29 -2.7 -37% -2.7 / 7.29 (-37%)
24th Jan '15 UFC on Fox 14 - Gustafsson vs. Johnson 8.46 -3.8 -45% -0.9 / 5.59 (-16%) -2.9 / 2.87 (-100%)
18th Jan '15 UFC Fight Night - McGregor vs. Siver 4.55 2.0 45% 3.6 / 3 (120%) -1.6 / 1.55 (-100%)
3rd Jan '15 UFC 182 - Jones vs. Cormier 9.79 3.2 33% 3.2 / 9.79 (33%)
20th Dec '14 UFC Fight Night - Machida vs. Dollaway 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
13th Dec '14 UFC on Fox 13 - Dos Santos vs. Miocic 2.5 2.0 80% 2.0 / 2.5 (80%)
12th Dec '14 UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 20 Finale 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Dec '14 UFC 181 - Hendricks vs. Lawler 2 8.1 4.9 61% 2.8 / 6.1 (46%) 2.1 / 2 (107%)
22nd Nov '14 UFC Fight Night - Edgar vs. Swanson 7.58 0.9 12% 1.2 / 3 (40%) -0.3 / 4.58 (-6%)
15th Nov '14 UFC 180 - Werdum vs. Hunt 4.03 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4.03 (-100%)
8th Nov '14 UFC Fight Night - Shogun vs. St. Preux 5.86 -1.8 -31% -1.8 / 5.86 (-31%)
7th Nov '14 UFC Fight Night - Rockhold vs. Bisping 5 6.9 137% 6.9 / 5 (137%)


Winning Events: 21 (48%)
Losing Events: 23 (52%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.88 units
Most Staked On One Event: 11.00 units
Best Event: 33.93 units
Worst Event: -8.75 units
Average Event: 0.09 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 45.99
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -15.09

MMAOddsbreaker (Log): Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 0.0 nan% / (nan%) nan
2015 218.475 2.3 1% -25.0 / 174.945 (-14%) 2.7 / 15.74 (17%) 24.6 / 27.79 (89%) 17 / 19 (47%) 0.06
2014 40.07 1.9 5% 7.9 / 21.6 (36%) -6.0 / 18.47 (-32%) 4 / 4 (50%) 0.23

MMAOddsbreaker (Log): Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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MMAOddsbreaker (Log): Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 253.945 -1.0 -0% -22.2 / 191.945 (-12%) 2.7 / 15.74 (17%) 18.6 / 46.26 (40%)
Bellator 4.6 5.1 111% 5.1 / 4.6 (111%)

MMAOddsbreaker (Log): Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (1%) 1 100 % 5.00 2.50 2.50 50%
Slight Favorites 26 (35%) 13 50 % 78.05 -11.09 -0.43 -14%
Slight Underdogs 42 (56%) 19 45 % 103.50 1.45 0.03 1%
Big Underdogs 6 (8%) 0 0 % 10.00 -10.00 -1.67 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 7 (9%) 4 57 % 19.79 2.11 0.30 11%
Co-Main Event 10 (13%) 7 70 % 27.60 16.19 1.62 59%
Position 3-5 16 (21%) 9 56 % 42.73 3.65 0.23 9%
6+ (Undercard) 42 (56%) 13 31 % 106.43 -39.09 -0.93 -37%

MMAOddsbreaker (Log): Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (4%) 1 33 % 7.50 -3.00 -1.00 -40%
Light Heavy 6 (8%) 4 67 % 16.79 5.20 0.87 31%
Middleweight 4 (5%) 2 50 % 8.00 0.62 0.16 8%
Welterweight 19 (25%) 8 42 % 51.28 -9.77 -0.51 -19%
Lightweight 17 (23%) 6 35 % 46.40 -7.77 -0.46 -17%
Featherweight 8 (11%) 4 50 % 19.40 -1.70 -0.21 -9%
Bantamweight 8 (11%) 3 38 % 18.73 -2.53 -0.32 -14%
Flyweight 5 (7%) 2 40 % 12.95 -3.70 -0.74 -29%
               
Women's Fights 5 (7%) 3 60 % 15.50 5.51 1.10 36%
Bantamweight 3 (4%) 2 67 % 11.00 3.25 1.08 30%
Strawweight 2 (3%) 1 50 % 4.50 2.26 1.13 50%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 19 (40%) 12 63 %
Slight Favorites 4 (9%) 1 25 %
Slight Underdogs 12 (26%) 3 25 %
Big Underdogs 12 (26%) 9 75 %
47 25 53 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 6 (46%) 5 83 %
50-65% 7 (54%) 5 71 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
13 10 77 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 7 (54%) 6 86 % 1.48 1.70Pick was correct 1.39Pick was correct 2.0 (28%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (46%) 4 67 % 1.80 1.97Pick was incorrect 1.49Pick was correct 1.2 (20%)
13 10 77 % 1.61     3.2 (24%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MMAOddsbreaker (Log)'s bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
7th Nov UFC Fight Night - Rockhold vs. Bisping 5 6.9 137% $49.99 $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,018.74
8th Nov UFC Fight Night - Shogun vs. St. Preux 5.86 -1.8 -31% $49.99 $10.19 $1,018.74 $950.01
15th Nov UFC 180 - Werdum vs. Hunt 4.03 -4.0 -100% $49.99 $9.50 $950.01 $861.73
22nd Nov UFC Fight Night - Edgar vs. Swanson 7.58 0.9 12% $49.99 $8.62 $861.73 $819.76
6th Dec UFC 181 - Hendricks vs. Lawler 2 8.1 4.9 61% $49.99 $8.20 $819.76 $810.29
12th Dec UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 20 Finale 2 -2.0 -100% $49.99 $8.10 $810.29 $744.09
13th Dec UFC on Fox 13 - Dos Santos vs. Miocic 2.5 2.0 80% $49.99 $7.44 $744.09 $708.95
20th Dec UFC Fight Night - Machida vs. Dollaway 5 -5.0 -100% $49.99 $7.09 $708.95 $623.52
3rd Jan UFC 182 - Jones vs. Cormier 9.79 3.2 33% $49.99 $6.24 $623.52 $593.44
18th Jan UFC Fight Night - McGregor vs. Siver 4.55 2.0 45% $49.99 $5.93 $593.44 $555.57
24th Jan UFC on Fox 14 - Gustafsson vs. Johnson 8.46 -3.8 -45% $49.99 $5.56 $555.57 $484.62
31st Jan UFC 183 - Silva vs. Diaz 7.29 -2.7 -37% $49.99 $4.85 $484.62 $421.60
14th Feb UFC Fight Night - Henderson vs Thatch 3.5 -3.5 -100% $49.99 $4.22 $421.60 $356.86
22nd Feb UFC Fight Night - Mir vs. Bigfoot 3 33.9 1,131% $49.99 $3.57 $356.86 $427.95
28th Feb UFC 184 - Rousey vs. Zingano 3.5 2.5 72% $49.99 $4.28 $427.95 $388.67
14th Mar UFC 185 - Pettis vs. Dos Anjos 6 7.5 125% $49.99 $3.89 $388.67 $367.88
21st Mar UFC Fight Night - Maia vs. LaFlare 7.44 2.0 28% $49.99 $3.68 $367.88 $325.42
4th Apr UFC Fight Night - Mendes vs. Lamas 5.5 -5.5 -100% $49.99 $3.25 $325.42 $257.53
11th Apr UFC Fight Night - Gonzaga vs. Cro Cop 2 7.6 -3.0 -39% $49.99 $2.58 $257.53 $199.82
18th Apr UFC on Fox 15 - Rockhold vs. Machida 8 0.9 11% $49.99 $2.00 $199.82 $151.62
25th Apr UFC 186 - Johnson vs. Horiguchi 6 -6.0 -100% $49.99 $1.52 $151.62 $92.54
16th May UFC Fight Night - Edgar vs. Faber 4.8 -0.5 -10% $49.99 $0.93 $92.54 $42.08
23rd May UFC 187 - Cormier vs. Johnson 4 -4.0 -100% $49.99 $0.42 $42.08 $0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
30th May UFC Fight Night - Condit vs. Alves 6.6 -2.0 -30% $49.99 $10.00 $1,000.00 $930.03
6th Jun UFC Fight Night - Boetsch vs. Henderson 5 0.7 13% $49.99 $9.30 $930.03 $886.27
13th Jun UFC 188 - Velasquez vs. Werdum 6.91 2.9 42% $49.99 $8.86 $886.27 $861.87
20th Jun UFC Fight Night - Jedrzejczyk vs. Penne 6 -6.0 -100% $49.99 $8.62 $861.87 $760.17
27th Jun UFC Fight Night - Machida vs. Romero 3 3.1 105% $49.99 $7.60 $760.17 $734.10
11th Jul UFC 189 - McGregor vs. Mendes 8.75 -8.8 -100% $49.99 $7.34 $734.10 $619.88
12th Jul UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 21 Finale 2.6 -2.6 -100% $49.99 $6.20 $619.88 $553.77
15th Jul UFC Fight Night - Mir vs. Duffee 10.365 -2.9 -28% $49.99 $5.54 $553.77 $487.90
17th Jul Bellator 140 - Lima vs. Koreshkov 2 3.1 155% $49.99 $4.88 $487.90 $453.04
18th Jul UFC Fight Night - Bisping vs. Leites 2 2.6 131% $49.99 $4.53 $453.04 $414.92
25th Jul UFC on Fox 16 - Dillashaw vs. Barao 2 10.05 3.6 36% $49.99 $4.15 $414.92 $380.02
1st Aug UFC 190 - Rousey vs. Correia 6.96 -1.3 -18% $49.99 $3.80 $380.02 $325.14
8th Aug UFC Fight Night - St. Preux vs. Teixeira 8.58 2.2 26% $49.99 $3.25 $325.14 $282.44
23rd Aug UFC Fight Night 74 - Holloway vs. Oliveira 6.5 -6.5 -100% $49.99 $2.82 $282.44 $214.09
5th Sep UFC 191 - Johnson vs. Dodson 2 7.24 3.5 48% $49.99 $2.14 $214.09 $171.61
26th Sep UFC Fight Night - Barnett vs. Nelson 3.3 -3.3 -100% $49.99 $1.72 $171.61 $115.96
3rd Oct UFC 192 - Cormier vs. Gustafsson 11 -0.3 -3% $49.99 $1.16 $115.96 $65.60
24th Oct UFC Fight Night 76 - Holohan vs. Smolka 4.5 4.0 89% $49.99 $0.66 $65.60 $18.24
6th Nov Bellator 145 - Vengeance 2.6 2.0 77% $49.99 $0.18 $18.24 $0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
7th Nov UFC Fight Night 77: Belfort vs. Henderson 3 7.2 -7.2 -100% $49.99 $10.00 $1,000.00 $878.01
14th Nov UFC 193 - Rousey vs. Holm 7.89 -7.9 -100% $49.99 $8.78 $878.01 $758.75


ROI % from starting bank balance: -224.13% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MMAOddsbreaker (Log): Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Nov '15 Paid Pick Daniel Straus Patricio Freire 1.77 2.6 U Decision (5 rounds)
2. Oct '15 Paid Pick Louis Smolka Patrick Holohan 1.83 2.4 Sub, R2 (4:9)
3. Oct '15 Paid Pick Ryan Bader Rashad Evans 2.20 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds)
4. Sep '15 Paid Pick Corey Anderson Jan Blachowicz 2.25 2 U Decision (3 rounds)
5. Aug '15 Paid Pick Beneil Dariush Michael Johnson 2.40 3 U Decision (3 rounds)
6. Aug '15 Paid Pick Demian Maia Neil Magny 1.62 3.5 Sub, R2 (2:52)
7. Jul '15 Paid Pick Bryan Caraway Eddie Wineland 2.20 3 U Decision (3 rounds)
8. Jul '15 Paid Pick Edson Barboza Paul Felder 1.75 4.05 U Decision (3 rounds)
9. Jul '15 Paid Pick Andrey Koreshkov Douglas Lima 2.55 2 U Decision (5 rounds)
10. Jul '15 Paid Pick Holly Holm Marion Reneau 1.50 5 U Decision (3 rounds)
11. Nov '14 Paid Pick Sam Alvey Dylan Andrews 2.55 1.5 TKO, R1 (2:16)
12. Nov '14 Paid Pick Al Iaquinta Ross Pearson 2.30 3.5 TKO, R2 (1:39)
13. Nov '14 Paid Pick Chico Camus Brad Pickett 2.80 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds)
14. Dec '14 Paid Pick Josh Samman Eddie Gordon 2.40 2 TKO, R2 (3:8)
15. Dec '14 Paid Pick Clay Collard Alex White 1.95 2.1 U Decision (3 rounds)
16. Dec '14 Paid Pick Matt Mitrione Gabriel Gonzaga 1.80 2.5 TKO, R1 (1:59)
17. Jan '15 Paid Pick Cody Garbrandt Marcus Brimage 2.60 2 TKO, R3 (4:50)
18. Jan '15 Paid Pick Jon Jones Daniel Cormier 1.63 4.79 U Decision (5 rounds)
19. Jan '15 Paid Pick Donald Cerrone Benson Henderson 2.20 3 U Decision (3 rounds)
20. Jan '15 Paid Pick Albert Tumenov Nico Musoke 1.74 2.69 U Decision (3 rounds)



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Nov '15 Paid Pick Peter Sobotta Kyle Noke 1.63 4.8 TKO, R1 (2:1) No
2. Nov '15 Paid Pick Pedro Munhoz Jimmie Rivera 1.59 3.2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No
3. Nov '15 Paid Pick Yan Cabral Johnny Case 3.75 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No
4. Nov '15 Paid Pick Abel Trujillo Gleison Tibau 2.10 2.5 Sub, R1 (1:45) No
5. Oct '15 Paid Pick Islam Makhachev Adriano Martins 1.83 3 TKO, R1 (1:46) No
6. Oct '15 Paid Pick Viktor Pesta Derrick Lewis 1.67 3 TKO, R3 (1:15) No
7. Sep '15 Paid Pick Roger Zapata Shinsho Anzai 1.91 3.3 TKO, R3 (0:47) No
8. Sep '15 Paid Pick Frank Mir Andrei Arlovski 2.40 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No
9. Aug '15 Paid Pick Josh Burkman Patrick Cote 1.80 2.5 TKO, R3 (1:26) No
10. Aug '15 Paid Pick Tony Sims Olivier Aubin-Mercier 2.99 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No
11. Aug '15 Paid Pick Charles Oliveira Max Holloway 3.05 2 TKO, R1 (1:39) No
12. Aug '15 Paid Pick Sirwan Kakai Frankie Saenz 1.87 3.45 U Decision (3 rounds) No
13. Aug '15 Paid Pick Leandro Issa Yuri Alcantara 3.16 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No
14. Jul '15 Paid Pick Kenny Robertson Ben Saunders 1.91 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No
15. Jul '15 Paid Pick Masanori Kanehara Rani Yahya 1.95 2.625 U Decision (3 rounds) No
16. Nov '14 Paid Pick Kailin Curran Paige VanZant 2.18 1.5 TKO, R3 (2:54) No
17. Dec '14 Paid Pick Matt Hobar Sergio Pettis 3.25 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No
18. Dec '14 Paid Pick Antonio Dos Santos Jr. Daniel Sarafian 2.40 2.5 TKO, R2 (1:1) No
19. Dec '14 Paid Pick Elias Silverio Rashid Magomedov 2.30 2.5 TKO, R3 (4:57) No
20. Jan '15 Paid Pick Myles Jury Donald Cerrone 2.30 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MMAOddsbreaker (Log): Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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