MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6362
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Sherlock of MMA

Sherlock of MMA (sherlockmma)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	22 (61%)	Right	18 (67%)	Right	2 (33%)	Right	2 (67%)
Wrong	14 (39%)	Wrong	9 (33%)	Wrong	4 (67%)	Wrong	1 (33%)
Avg Odds	1.83	Avg Odds	1.74	Avg Odds	2.51	Avg Odds	1.68
Units Bet	61.0	Units Bet	48.2	Units Bet	6.1	Units Bet	6.7
Avg Bet	1.69	Avg Bet	1.79	Avg Bet	1.02	Avg Bet	2.23
Units Profit	8.65	Units Profit	8.73	Units Profit	0.54	Units Profit	-0.63
ROI %	14%	ROI %	18%	ROI %	9%	ROI %	-9%

Sherlock of MMA: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
25th Jul '15	UFC on Fox 16 - Dillashaw vs. Barao 2	4.6	-0.6	-12%	-0.1 / 4.1 (-1%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
18th Jul '15	UFC Fight Night - Bisping vs. Leites	1.7	1.5	91%	1.5 / 1.7 (91%)
15th Jul '15	UFC Fight Night - Mir vs. Duffee	8.6	-2.0	-23%	-1.2 / 7.8 (-15%)	-0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)
11th Jul '15	UFC 189 - McGregor vs. Mendes	3.8	-1.8	-47%	-1.0 / 3 (-32%)	-0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)
27th Jun '15	UFC Fight Night - Machida vs. Romero	3.5	1.8	52%	1.8 / 3.5 (52%)
20th Jun '15	UFC Fight Night - Jedrzejczyk vs. Penne	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th Jun '15	UFC 188 - Velasquez vs. Werdum	4.2	3.3	79%	3.1 / 2.2 (140%)	0.2 / 2 (12%)
30th May '15	UFC Fight Night - Condit vs. Alves	3	1.9	63%	1.0 / 1.6 (63%)		0.9 / 1.4 (63%)
23rd May '15	UFC 187 - Cormier vs. Johnson	6	1.2	20%	1.2 / 6 (20%)
16th May '15	UFC Fight Night - Edgar vs. Faber	2.2	1.8	83%	1.8 / 2.2 (83%)
9th May '15	UFC Fight Night - Hunt vs. Miocic	2.3	-2.3	-100%	-2.3 / 2.3 (-100%)
25th Apr '15	UFC 186 - Johnson vs. Horiguchi	4.2	-0.8	-19%	2.2 / 1.2 (185%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
18th Apr '15	UFC on Fox 15 - Rockhold vs. Machida	5.6	2.0	36%	0.5 / 3.3 (16%)		1.5 / 2.3 (65%)
4th Apr '15	UFC Fight Night - Mendes vs. Lamas	3.3	1.9	59%	1.9 / 3.3 (59%)
21st Mar '15	UFC Fight Night - Maia vs. LaFlare	7	1.5	22%	-0.9 / 5 (-18%)	2.4 / 2 (120%)

Winning Events: 9 (60%)
Losing Events: 6 (40%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.07 units
Most Staked On One Event: 8.60 units
Best Event: 3.32 units
Worst Event: -2.30 units
Average Event: 0.58 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 8.22
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -3.76

Sherlock of MMA: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2015	61	8.7	14%	8.7 / 48.2 (18%)	0.5 / 6.1 (9%)	-0.6 / 6.7 (-9%)	9 / 6 (60%)	0.58

Sherlock of MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Sherlock of MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	61	8.7	14%	8.7 / 48.2 (18%)	0.5 / 6.1 (9%)	-0.6 / 6.7 (-9%)

Sherlock of MMA: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	8 (30%)	8	100 %	19.70	6.60	0.82	33%
Slight Favorites	11 (41%)	7	64 %	16.10	3.84	0.35	24%
Slight Underdogs	6 (22%)	3	50 %	9.90	0.79	0.13	8%
Big Underdogs	2 (7%)	0	0 %	2.50	-2.50	-1.25	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	5 (19%)	3	60 %	9.20	2.29	0.46	25%
Co-Main Event	5 (19%)	2	40 %	8.30	-3.02	-0.60	-36%
Position 3-5	7 (26%)	5	71 %	14.00	2.81	0.40	20%
6+ (Undercard)	10 (37%)	8	80 %	16.70	6.65	0.67	40%

Sherlock of MMA: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (4%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Light Heavy	1 (4%)	1	100 %	2.20	2.00	2.00	91%
Middleweight	2 (7%)	1	50 %	3.00	0.24	0.12	8%
Welterweight	9 (33%)	7	78 %	16.70	5.93	0.66	35%
Lightweight	5 (19%)	3	60 %	11.00	-1.50	-0.30	-14%
Featherweight	5 (19%)	3	60 %	6.60	0.32	0.06	5%
Bantamweight	1 (4%)	1	100 %	2.80	1.24	1.24	44%
Flyweight	2 (7%)	1	50 %	3.70	-0.72	-0.36	-20%

Women's Fights	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.20	2.22	2.22	185%
Bantamweight	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.20	2.22	2.22	185%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	3 (100%)	3	100 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	3	3	100 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	4 (44%)	2	50 %
50-65%	1 (11%)	1	100 %
35-50%	1 (11%)	1	100 %
<35% chance	3 (33%)	0	0 %
	9	4	44 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (22%)	1	50 %	1.43	1.54	1.33	-0.5 (-23%)
Fight Starts Round X	1 (11%)	1	100 %	1.19	1.19	1.19	0.2 (19%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (11%)	1	100 %	1.50	1.50	1.50	0.5 (50%)
X Wins by KO	3 (33%)	1	33 %	3.61	8.00	2.20	-0.8 (-27%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (11%)	0	0 %	4.59	4.59	4.59	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (11%)	0	0 %	1.49	1.49	1.49	-1.0 (-100%)
	9	4	44 %	1.95			-2.6 (-29%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Sherlock of MMA's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
21st Mar	UFC Fight Night - Maia vs. LaFlare	7	1.5	22%	$2	$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,013.13
4th Apr	UFC Fight Night - Mendes vs. Lamas	3.3	1.9	59%	$2	$10.13	$1,013.13	$1,030.78
18th Apr	UFC on Fox 15 - Rockhold vs. Machida	5.6	2.0	36%	$2	$10.31	$1,030.78	$1,049.57
25th Apr	UFC 186 - Johnson vs. Horiguchi	4.2	-0.8	-19%	$2	$10.50	$1,049.57	$1,039.37
9th May	UFC Fight Night - Hunt vs. Miocic	2.3	-2.3	-100%	$2	$10.39	$1,039.37	$1,013.47
16th May	UFC Fight Night - Edgar vs. Faber	2.2	1.8	83%	$2	$10.13	$1,013.47	$1,030.08
23rd May	UFC 187 - Cormier vs. Johnson	6	1.2	20%	$2	$10.30	$1,030.08	$1,040.17
30th May	UFC Fight Night - Condit vs. Alves	3	1.9	63%	$2	$10.40	$1,040.17	$1,057.82
13th Jun	UFC 188 - Velasquez vs. Werdum	4.2	3.3	79%	$2	$10.58	$1,057.82	$1,090.99
20th Jun	UFC Fight Night - Jedrzejczyk vs. Penne	1	-1.0	-100%	$2	$10.91	$1,090.99	$1,078.08
27th Jun	UFC Fight Night - Machida vs. Romero	3.5	1.8	52%	$2	$10.78	$1,078.08	$1,095.65
11th Jul	UFC 189 - McGregor vs. Mendes	3.8	-1.8	-47%		$10.96	$1,095.65	$1,076.20
15th Jul	UFC Fight Night - Mir vs. Duffee	8.6	-2.0	-23%		$10.76	$1,076.20	$1,054.80
18th Jul	UFC Fight Night - Bisping vs. Leites	1.7	1.5	91%		$10.55	$1,054.80	$1,071.09
25th Jul	UFC on Fox 16 - Dillashaw vs. Barao 2	4.6	-0.6	-12%		$10.71	$1,071.09	$1,065.13

ROI % from starting bank balance: 6.51% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Sherlock of MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '15	T.J. Dillashaw	Renan Barao	1.44	2.8	TKO, R4 (0:35)
2.	Jul '15	Michael Bisping	Thales Leites	1.91	1.7	U Decision (5 rounds)
3.	Jul '15	Kevin Lee	James Moontasri	1.41	2.4	Sub, R1 (2:56)
4.	Jul '15	Alan Jouban	Matt Dwyer	1.24	2.6	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jul '15	Alex Garcia	Mike Swick	1.27	1.6	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Mar '15	Gilbert Burns	Alex Oliveira	1.18	3.5	Sub, R3 (4:14)
7.	Apr '15	Al Iaquinta	Jorge Masvidal	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Apr '15	Clay Guida	Robbie Peralta	1.41	2.3	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Apr '15	Tim Means	George Sullivan	1.67	1.3	Sub, R3 (3:41)
10.	Apr '15	Diego Brandao	Jimy Hettes	1.65	1	TKO, R1 (5:0)
11.	Apr '15	Alexis Davis	Sarah Kaufman	2.85	1.2	Sub, R2 (3:8)
12.	May '15	Neil Magny	Hyun Gyu Lim	1.83	2.2	TKO, R2 (1:24)
13.	May '15	Daniel Cormier	Anthony Johnson	1.91	2.2	Sub, R3 (2:39)
14.	May '15	Justin Scoggins	Josh Sampo	1.29	2.3	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	May '15	Rony Jason	Damon Jackson	1.63	1.6	Sub, R1 (3:31)
16.	Jun '15	Cathal Pendred	Augusto Montano	2.40	2.2	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Jun '15	Hacran Dias	Levan Makashvili	1.56	1.3	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Jun '15	Lorenz Larkin	Santiago Ponzinibbio	1.49	2.2	TKO, R2 (3:7)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '15	Paul Felder	Edson Barboza	2.20	1.3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jul '15	Josh Thomson	Tony Ferguson	2.85	2.8	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jul '15	Neil Seery	Louis Smolka	2.15	1.4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Mar '15	Ryan LaFlare	Demian Maia	1.79	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
5.	Apr '15	Cub Swanson	Max Holloway	1.65	1	Sub, R3 (3:58)	No
6.	May '15	Mark Hunt	Stipe Miocic	3.10	1	TKO, R5 (2:47)	No
7.	May '15	Brad Tavares	Robert Whittaker	1.78	1.3	TKO, R1 (0:44)	No
8.	May '15	Josh Burkman	Dong Hyun Kim	3.40	1.5	Sub, R3 (2:13)	No
9.	Jun '15	Dennis Siver	Tatsuya Kawajiri	1.64	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Sherlock of MMA: Progress Chart

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