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MMA Handicapper Stats: Wisdom of Crowds |
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Wisdom of Crowds: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 19 (54%)
Losing Events: 16 (46%)
Average Staked Per Event: 6.44 units
Most Staked On One Event: 24.25 units
Best Event: 34.80 units
Worst Event: -9.75 units
Average Event: 0.80 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 38.54
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -20.66 |
Wisdom of Crowds: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2017 |
0.75 |
-0.8 |
-100% |
-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%) |
|
|
0 / 1 (0%) |
-0.75 |
| 2016 |
115 |
3.3 |
3% |
3.3 / 115 (3%) |
|
|
11 / 7 (61%) |
0.18 |
| 2015 |
109.5 |
25.4 |
23% |
25.4 / 109.5 (23%) |
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|
8 / 8 (50%) |
1.59 |
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Wisdom of Crowds: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Wisdom of Crowds: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
225.25 |
27.9 |
12% |
27.9 / 225.25 (12%) |
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Wisdom of Crowds: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
32 (37%) |
22 |
69 % |
30.00 |
-2.83 |
-0.09 |
-9% |
| Slight Favorites |
29 (33%) |
17 |
59 % |
67.50 |
3.90 |
0.13 |
6% |
| Slight Underdogs |
20 (23%) |
11 |
55 % |
73.75 |
29.70 |
1.48 |
40% |
| Big Underdogs |
6 (7%) |
1 |
17 % |
54.00 |
-2.86 |
-0.48 |
-5% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
23 (26%) |
11 |
48 % |
73.25 |
-13.31 |
-0.58 |
-18% |
| Co-Main Event |
20 (23%) |
9 |
45 % |
44.25 |
-7.28 |
-0.36 |
-16% |
| Position 3-5 |
29 (33%) |
19 |
66 % |
56.00 |
14.46 |
0.50 |
26% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
15 (17%) |
12 |
80 % |
51.75 |
34.04 |
2.27 |
66% |
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Wisdom of Crowds: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
9 (10%) |
7 |
78 % |
17.75 |
9.92 |
1.10 |
56% |
| Light Heavy |
9 (10%) |
9 |
100 % |
14.25 |
12.61 |
1.40 |
88% |
| Middleweight |
12 (14%) |
3 |
25 % |
56.50 |
8.67 |
0.72 |
15% |
| Welterweight |
16 (18%) |
10 |
63 % |
42.50 |
20.27 |
1.27 |
48% |
| Lightweight |
15 (17%) |
8 |
53 % |
44.00 |
-15.04 |
-1.00 |
-34% |
| Featherweight |
9 (10%) |
4 |
44 % |
23.00 |
-14.96 |
-1.66 |
-65% |
| Bantamweight |
4 (5%) |
2 |
50 % |
6.00 |
-5.30 |
-1.33 |
-88% |
| Flyweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
0.50 |
0.15 |
0.15 |
30% |
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| Women's Fights |
12 (14%) |
7 |
58 % |
20.75 |
11.59 |
0.97 |
56% |
| Bantamweight |
8 (9%) |
4 |
50 % |
15.50 |
11.17 |
1.40 |
72% |
| Strawweight |
4 (5%) |
3 |
75 % |
5.25 |
0.42 |
0.11 |
8% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 50-65% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 35-50% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| <35% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
| Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
nan |
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0.0 (nan%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Wisdom of Crowds's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 11th Jul |
UFC 189 - McGregor vs. Mendes |
24.25 |
7.1 |
29% |
$5 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,066.02 |
| 12th Jul |
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 21 Finale |
5.25 |
-3.8 |
-72% |
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$10.66 |
$1,066.02 |
$1,025.73 |
| 15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night - Mir vs. Duffee |
0.75 |
0.4 |
53% |
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$10.26 |
$1,025.73 |
$1,029.80 |
| 18th Jul |
UFC Fight Night - Bisping vs. Leites |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
$5 |
$10.30 |
$1,029.80 |
$999.06 |
| 25th Jul |
UFC on Fox 16 - Dillashaw vs. Barao 2 |
4.25 |
2.9 |
69% |
$5 |
$9.99 |
$999.06 |
$1,023.19 |
| 1st Aug |
UFC 190 - Rousey vs. Correia |
0.75 |
0.4 |
53% |
$5 |
$10.23 |
$1,023.19 |
$1,022.25 |
| 8th Aug |
UFC Fight Night - St. Preux vs. Teixeira |
5 |
-1.1 |
-22% |
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$10.22 |
$1,022.25 |
$1,010.99 |
| 5th Sep |
UFC 191 - Johnson vs. Dodson 2 |
4.25 |
2.6 |
61% |
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$10.11 |
$1,010.99 |
$1,037.39 |
| 26th Sep |
UFC Fight Night - Barnett vs. Nelson |
1.75 |
0.7 |
41% |
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$10.37 |
$1,037.39 |
$1,044.91 |
| 3rd Oct |
UFC 192 - Cormier vs. Gustafsson |
5.75 |
4.5 |
77% |
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$10.45 |
$1,044.91 |
$1,091.45 |
| 7th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 77: Belfort vs. Henderson 3 |
9 |
-9.0 |
-100% |
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$10.91 |
$1,091.45 |
$993.22 |
| 14th Nov |
UFC 193 - Rousey vs. Holm |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
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$9.93 |
$993.22 |
$983.29 |
| 10th Dec |
UFC Fight Night - VanZant vs Namajunas |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
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$9.83 |
$983.29 |
$968.54 |
| 12th Dec |
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 22 Finale |
14.5 |
-6.9 |
-47% |
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$9.69 |
$968.54 |
$901.85 |
| 12th Dec |
UFC 194 - Aldo vs. McGregor |
9.5 |
-2.3 |
-24% |
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$9.02 |
$901.85 |
$881.34 |
| 19th Dec |
UFC on Fox 17 - Dos Anjos vs. Cerrone 2 |
19.5 |
34.8 |
178% |
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$8.81 |
$881.34 |
$1,188.08 |
| 2nd Jan |
UFC 195 - Lawler vs Condit |
1.5 |
0.8 |
52% |
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$11.88 |
$1,188.08 |
$1,197.29 |
| 17th Jan |
UFC Fight Night - Dillashaw vs. Cruz |
2.25 |
0.7 |
31% |
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$11.97 |
$1,197.29 |
$1,205.75 |
| 30th Jan |
UFC on Fox 18 - Johnson vs. Bader |
1.5 |
0.6 |
40% |
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$12.06 |
$1,205.75 |
$1,212.99 |
| 27th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 84 - Silva vs. Bisping |
3 |
1.7 |
55% |
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$12.13 |
$1,212.99 |
$1,233.06 |
| 5th Mar |
UFC 196 - McGregor vs. Diaz |
3.75 |
-3.1 |
-82% |
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$12.33 |
$1,233.06 |
$1,195.32 |
| 19th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 84 - Hunt vs. Mir |
1.5 |
1.4 |
92% |
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$11.95 |
$1,195.32 |
$1,211.88 |
| 16th Apr |
UFC on Fox 19 - Teixeira vs. Evans |
2.5 |
1.5 |
59% |
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$12.12 |
$1,211.88 |
$1,229.63 |
| 14th May |
UFC 198 - Werdum vs. Miocic |
3.5 |
4.9 |
140% |
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$12.30 |
$1,229.63 |
$1,289.89 |
| 18th Jun |
UFC Fight Night - MacDonald vs. Thompson |
8 |
4.2 |
52% |
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$12.90 |
$1,289.89 |
$1,343.80 |
| 7th Jul |
UFC Fight Night - Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez |
5.5 |
-2.0 |
-36% |
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$13.44 |
$1,343.80 |
$1,317.46 |
| 9th Jul |
UFC 200 - Tate vs. Nunes |
10.75 |
-4.8 |
-44% |
|
$13.17 |
$1,317.46 |
$1,254.46 |
| 30th Jul |
UFC 201 - Lawler vs. Woodley |
3.25 |
-3.3 |
-100% |
|
$12.54 |
$1,254.46 |
$1,213.69 |
| 20th Aug |
UFC 202 - Diaz vs. McGregor 2 |
8 |
4.7 |
59% |
|
$12.14 |
$1,213.69 |
$1,270.58 |
| 10th Sep |
UFC 203 - Miocic vs. Overeem |
10.25 |
-1.1 |
-10% |
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$12.71 |
$1,270.58 |
$1,256.92 |
| 17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 94 - Poirier vs. Johnson |
10.25 |
-8.9 |
-87% |
|
$12.57 |
$1,256.92 |
$1,144.68 |
| 8th Oct |
UFC 204 - Bisping vs. Henderson 2 |
9.75 |
-9.8 |
-100% |
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$11.45 |
$1,144.68 |
$1,033.07 |
| 12th Nov |
UFC 205 - New York City |
20.25 |
2.7 |
14% |
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$10.33 |
$1,033.07 |
$1,061.43 |
| 31st Dec |
UFC 207 |
9.5 |
13.0 |
137% |
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$10.61 |
$1,061.43 |
$1,199.41 |
| 4th Mar |
UFC 209 |
0.75 |
-0.8 |
-100% |
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$11.99 |
$1,199.41 |
$1,190.42 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 19.04% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Wisdom of Crowds: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
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| 1. |
Mar '17 |
Rashad Evans |
Daniel Kelly |
1.49 |
0.75 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 2. |
Dec '16 |
Dominick Cruz |
Cody Garbrandt |
1.47 |
0.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
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| 3. |
Nov '16 |
Jeremy Stephens |
Frankie Edgar |
3.80 |
9 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 4. |
Nov '16 |
Miesha Tate |
Raquel Pennington |
1.62 |
0.75 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 5. |
Oct '16 |
Dan Henderson |
Michael Bisping |
3.20 |
9.75 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
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| 6. |
Sep '16 |
Urijah Hall |
Derek Brunson |
2.85 |
6.25 |
TKO, R1 (1:41) |
No |
|
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| 7. |
Sep '16 |
Dustin Poirier |
Michael Johnson |
1.63 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (1:35) |
No |
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| 8. |
Sep '16 |
Urijah Faber |
Jimmie Rivera |
2.50 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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| 9. |
Aug '16 |
Nate Diaz |
Conor McGregor |
2.10 |
0.75 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
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| 10. |
Jul '16 |
Robbie Lawler |
Tyron Woodley |
1.68 |
3.25 |
TKO, R1 (2:12) |
No |
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| 11. |
Jul '16 |
Thiago Santos |
Gegard Mousasi |
3.25 |
6.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:32) |
No |
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| 12. |
Jul '16 |
Frankie Edgar |
Jose Aldo |
1.94 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
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| 13. |
Jul '16 |
Miesha Tate |
Amanda Nunes |
1.41 |
0.25 |
Sub, R1 (3:16) |
No |
|
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| 14. |
Jul '16 |
Roy Nelson |
Derrick Lewis |
1.95 |
1.25 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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| 15. |
Jul '16 |
Rafael dos Anjos |
Eddie Alvarez |
1.35 |
2.25 |
TKO, R1 (3:49) |
No |
|
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| 16. |
Jun '16 |
Patrick Cote |
Donald Cerrone |
2.38 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (2:35) |
No |
|
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| 17. |
Mar '16 |
Holly Holm |
Miesha Tate |
1.38 |
2.25 |
Sub, R5 (3:30) |
No |
|
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| 18. |
Mar '16 |
Conor McGregor |
Nate Diaz |
1.25 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (4:12) |
No |
|
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| 19. |
Jan '16 |
Anthony Pettis |
Eddie Alvarez |
1.33 |
0.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 20. |
Dec '15 |
Junior dos Santos |
Alistair Overeem |
1.38 |
0.75 |
TKO, R2 (4:43) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Wisdom of Crowds: Progress Chart |
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