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MMA Handicapper Profile: ModelLocks

17 followers

ModelLocks (ModelLocks)

MMA MHandicapper - ModelLocks

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	59 (51%)	Right	59 (51%)	Right	0 (nan%)	Right	0 (nan%)
Wrong	56 (49%)	Wrong	56 (49%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)
Avg Odds	1.78	Avg Odds	1.78	Avg Odds	nan	Avg Odds	nan
Units Bet	374.7	Units Bet	374.7	Units Bet	0.0	Units Bet	0.0
Avg Bet	3.26	Avg Bet	3.26	Avg Bet	nan	Avg Bet	nan
Units Profit	-51.40	Units Profit	-51.40	Units Profit	0.00	Units Profit	0.00
ROI %	-14%	ROI %	-14%	ROI %	nan%	ROI %	nan%

Straight Pick Stats

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	35 (30%)	26	74 %	74.75	0.89	0.03	1%
Slight Favorites	42 (36%)	18	43 %	130.21	-40.17	-0.96	-31%
Slight Underdogs	25 (21%)	13	52 %	101.70	16.91	0.68	17%
Big Underdogs	16 (14%)	3	19 %	68.07	-29.03	-1.81	-43%

Progress Chart

Chart

Click here to view breakdown of straight picks

ModelLocks 's MMA Handicapper Bio

We're nerds determined to dominate MMA betting.

Armed to the teeth with data and technical skills, we built a highly profitable NFL moneyline betting model. We set out to conquer MMA next.

The best and brightest cappers in the MMA community, said modelling MMA was impossible. "It doesn't work," they told us; "there are too many styles."

We were skeptical. We believe in Numbers > Narratives, friend (trademark that s**t). After 200 hours of blood sweat and tears, we bring you a purely quantitative statistical model that crushes MMA straight bets.

The model is back-tested and highly profitable since 1/1/2017; now it's out of my PC and into your life. You're very welcome. Get on your wrist guards and buckle up, son. Join us for a wild ride to the top of the MMA betting world.

Follow the story on Twitter: @ModelLocks ; it'll be the best decision you've ever made.

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by ModelLocks

This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights.

ModelLocks 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History

Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC 258, Las Vegas, 13th Feb '21
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Gilbert Burns	Kamaru Usman	L	3.05	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Ian Heinisch	Kelvin Gastelum	L	2.80	4.11	-4.11	$-41.10	-100%
Brian Kelleher	Ricky Simon	L	3.00	3.68	-3.68	$-36.80	-100%
Maki Pitolo	Julian Marquez	L	2.35	4.23	-4.23	$-42.30	-100%
Belal Muhammad	Dhiego Lima	W	1.20	1.51	0.30	$3.02	20%
Chris Gutierrez	Andre Ewell	W	1.71	2.19	1.56	$15.64	71%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.10	20.72	-15.15	$-151.54	-73%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

20.72

-15.15

$-151.54

-73%

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 6th Feb '21
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Cory Sandhagen	Frankie Edgar	W	1.25	1.45	0.36	$3.63	25%
Clay Guida	Michael Johnson	W	2.75	1.63	2.85	$28.52	175%
Carlos Diego Ferreira	Beneil Dariush	L	1.87	4.62	-4.62	$-46.20	-100%
Danilo Marques	Mike Rodriguez	W	2.95	3.15	6.14	$61.43	195%
Justin Jaynes	Devonte Smith	L	3.50	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Martin Day	Timur Valiev	L	4.00	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Jerome Rivera	Ode Osbourne	L	2.75	3.16	-3.16	$-31.60	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.38	24.01	-8.42	$-84.22	-35%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

24.01

-8.42

$-84.22

-35%

UFC 257, Yas Island, 24th Jan '21
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Conor McGregor	Dustin Poirier	L	1.29	1.74	-1.74	$-17.40	-100%
Andrew Sanchez	Makhmud Muradov	L	2.40	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Matt Frevola	Arman Tsarukyan	L	5.25	4.88	-4.88	$-48.80	-100%
Antonio Carlos Junior	Brad Tavares	L	1.91	4.35	-4.35	$-43.50	-100%
Movsar Evloev	Nik Lentz	W	1.14	1.17	0.17	$1.67	14%
Amir Albazi	Zhalgas Zhumagulov	W	1.91	3.82	3.47	$34.73	91%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.82	20.96	-12.33	$-123.30	-59%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

20.96

-12.33

$-123.30

-59%

UFC on ESPN 20, Yas Island, 20th Jan '21
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Neil Magny	Michael Chiesa	L	1.67	4	-4.00	$-40.00	-100%
Mounir Lazzez	Warlley Alves	L	1.38	2.77	-2.77	$-27.70	-100%
Matt Schnell	Tyson Nam	W	2.20	0.62	0.74	$7.44	120%
Lerone Murphy	Douglas Silva de Andrade	W	1.29	2.22	0.63	$6.34	29%
Tom Breese	Omari Akhmedov	L	1.63	3.84	-3.84	$-38.40	-100%
Su Mudaerji	Zarrukh Adashev	W	1.20	1.44	0.29	$2.88	20%
Markus Perez	Dalcha Lungiambula	L	2.20	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.57	19.89	-13.94	$-139.44	-70%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

19.89

-13.94

$-139.44

-70%

UFC FN, Yas Island, 16th Jan '21
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Max Holloway	Calvin Kattar	W	1.61	1.06	0.64	$6.42	61%
Carlos Condit	Matt Brown	W	1.57	3.64	2.08	$20.80	57%
Santiago Ponzinibbio	Li Jingliang	L	1.32	2.4	-2.40	$-24.00	-100%
Joaquin Buckley	Alessio Di Chirico	L	1.35	2.23	-2.23	$-22.30	-100%
Dusko Todorovic	Punahele Soriano	L	1.61	3.3	-3.30	$-33.00	-100%
Jacob Kilburn	Austin Lingo	L	2.90	1.56	-1.56	$-15.60	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.61	14.19	-6.77	$-67.68	-48%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

14.19

-6.77

$-67.68

-48%

UFC Vegas 17, Las Vegas, 19th Dec '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Marlon Vera	Jose Aldo	L	2.20	4.62	-4.62	$-46.20	-100%
Kalinn Williams	Michel Pereira	L	1.91	4.76	-4.76	$-47.60	-100%
Marlon Moraes	Rob Font	L	1.65	3.92	-3.92	$-39.20	-100%
Anthony Pettis	Alex Morono	W	1.44	3.05	1.36	$13.56	44%
Deron Winn	Antonio Arroyo	W	2.40	4.06	5.68	$56.84	140%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.86	20.41	-6.26	$-62.61	-31%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

20.41

-6.26

$-62.61

-31%

UFC 256, Las Vegas, 13th Dec '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Brandon Moreno	Deiveson Figueiredo	D	3.65	5	0.00	$0.00	0%
Charles Oliveira	Tony Ferguson	W	2.45	5	7.25	$72.50	145%
Daniel Pineda	Cub Swanson	L	1.59	3.7	-3.70	$-37.00	-100%
Renato Moicano	Rafael Fiziev	L	2.05	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Gavin Tucker	Billy Quarantillo	W	2.50	4.06	6.09	$60.90	150%
Peter Barrett	Chase Hooper	L	3.45	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.41	27.76	-0.36	$-3.60	-1%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

27.76

-0.36

$-3.60

-1%

UFC Vegas 16, Las Vegas, 6th Dec '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Jack Hermansson	Marvin Vettori	L	2.10	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Jamahal Hill	Ovince St Preux	W	1.54	2.73	1.48	$14.76	54%
Justin Jaynes	Gabriel Benitez	L	2.75	4.73	-4.73	$-47.30	-100%
John Allan	Roman Dolidze	L	2.70	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Ilia Topuria	Damon Jackson	W	1.37	2.7	1.00	$10.00	37%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.93	20.16	-12.25	$-122.54	-61%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

20.16

-12.25

$-122.54

-61%

UFC Vegas 15, Las Vegas, 29th Nov '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Anthony Smith	Devin Clark	W	1.71	3.39	2.42	$24.21	71%
Takashi Sato	Miguel Baeza	L	2.60	2.79	-2.79	$-27.90	-100%
Spike Carlyle	Bill Algeo	L	1.54	3.48	-3.48	$-34.80	-100%
Anderson dos Santos	Martin Day	W	2.40	5	7.00	$70.00	140%
Luke Sanders	Nathan Maness	L	1.63	1.4	-1.40	$-14.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.89	16.06	1.75	$17.51	11%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

16.06

1.75

$17.51

11%

UFC 255, Las Vegas, 21st Nov '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Mike Perry	Tim Means	L	1.87	1.27	-1.27	$-12.70	-100%
Paul Craig	Mauricio Rua	W	1.57	3.08	1.76	$17.60	57%
Brandon Moreno	Brandon Royval	W	1.56	3.57	1.98	$19.83	56%
Nicolas Dalby	Daniel Rodriguez	W	3.60	5	13.00	$130.00	260%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.91	12.92	15.47	$154.73	120%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

12.92

15.47

$154.73

120%

UFC Vegas 14, Las Vegas, 14th Nov '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Rafael dos Anjos	Paul Felder	W	1.50	3.29	1.64	$16.45	50%
Kalinn Williams	Abdul Razak Alhassan	W	2.80	5	9.00	$90.00	180%
Brendan Allen	Sean Strickland	L	1.77	4.35	-4.35	$-43.50	-100%
Alex Morono	Rhys McKee	W	1.57	0.59	0.34	$3.37	57%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.80	13.23	6.63	$66.32	50%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

13.23

6.63

$66.32

50%

UFC Vegas 13, Las Vegas, 8th Nov '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Thiago Santos	Glover Teixeira	L	1.40	1.45	-1.45	$-14.50	-100%
Raoni Barcelos	Khalid Taha	W	1.27	2.12	0.57	$5.73	27%
Trevin Giles	Bevon Lewis	W	1.95	4.81	4.58	$45.81	95%
Darren Elkins	Luiz Garagorri	W	1.40	2.83	1.13	$11.32	40%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.47	11.21	4.84	$48.36	43%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

11.21

4.84

$48.36

43%

UFC Vegas 12, Las Vegas, 31st Oct '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Urijah Hall	Anderson Silva	W	1.43	3.02	1.31	$13.13	43%
Bryce Mitchell	Andre Fili	W	1.69	4.08	2.81	$28.14	69%
Bobby Green	Thiago Moises	L	1.31	2.34	-2.34	$-23.40	-100%
Chris Gruetzemacher	Alexander Hernandez	L	4.25	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Jason Witt	Cole Williams	W	1.65	3.87	2.50	$24.97	65%
Justin Ledet	Dustin Jacoby	L	3.80	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.90	23.31	-5.72	$-57.16	-25%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

23.31

-5.72

$-57.16

-25%

UFC 254, Yas Island, 24th Oct '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Khabib Nurmagomedov	Justin Gaethje	W	1.31	2.35	0.72	$7.23	31%
Jared Cannonier	Robert Whittaker	L	1.87	3.87	-3.87	$-38.70	-100%
Nathaniel Wood	Casey Kenney	L	2.40	2.91	-2.91	$-29.10	-100%
Da Un Jung	Sam Alvey	D	1.29	1.65	0.00	$0.00	0%
Joel Alvarez	Alexander Yakovlev	W	1.57	3.63	2.07	$20.74	57%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.60	14.41	-3.98	$-39.83	-28%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

14.41

-3.98

$-39.83

-28%

UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie, Yas Island, 17th Oct '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Brian Ortega	Chan Sung Jung	W	2.60	5	8.00	$80.00	160%
James Krause	Claudio Silva	W	1.65	3.22	2.08	$20.77	65%
Thomas Almeida	Jonathan Martinez	L	1.69	4.04	-4.04	$-40.40	-100%
Fares Ziam	Jamie Mullarkey	W	2.20	1.57	1.88	$18.84	120%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.96	13.83	7.92	$79.21	57%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

13.83

7.92

$79.21

57%

UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen, Yas Island, 10th Oct '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Cory Sandhagen	Marlon Moraes	W	1.69	2.93	2.02	$20.21	69%
Edson Barboza	Makwan Amirkhani	W	1.36	2.63	0.94	$9.39	36%
Omar Morales	Giga Chikadze	L	1.63	3.45	-3.45	$-34.50	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.54	9.01	-0.49	$-4.90	-5%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

9.01

-0.49

$-4.90

-5%

UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana, Yas Island, 4th Oct '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Carlos Condit	Court McGee	W	2.00	4.95	4.95	$49.50	100%
Charles Jourdain	Joshua Culibao	D	1.22	1.72	0.00	$0.00	0%
Casey Kenney	Heili Alateng	W	1.30	2.27	0.68	$6.78	30%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.44	8.94	5.63	$56.28	63%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

8.94

5.63

$56.28

63%

UFC 253, Yas Island, 26th Sep '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Israel Adesanya	Paulo Costa	W	1.54	3.5	1.89	$18.92	54%
Dominick Reyes	Jan Blachowicz	L	1.36	1.85	-1.85	$-18.50	-100%
Dominick Reyes	Jan Blachowicz	L	1.36	1.85	-1.85	$-18.50	-100%
Zubaira Tukhugov	Hakeem Dawodu	L	1.67	1.03	-1.03	$-10.30	-100%
Zubaira Tukhugov	Hakeem Dawodu	L	1.67	1.03	-1.03	$-10.30	-100%
Jake Matthews	Diego Sanchez	W	1.13	1.17	0.16	$1.56	13%
Jake Matthews	Diego Sanchez	W	1.13	1.17	0.16	$1.56	13%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.38	11.60	-3.56	$-35.56	-31%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

11.60

-3.56

$-35.56

-31%

UFC Fight Night 184, Las Vegas, 12th Sep '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Ottman Azaitar	Khama Worthy	W	2.00	3.26	3.26	$32.60	100%
Bobby Green	Alan Patrick	W	1.35	2.6	0.91	$9.12	35%
Billy Quarantillo	Kyle Nelson	W	1.38	2.67	1.03	$10.27	38%
Brok Weaver	Jalin Turner	L	4.00	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.81	13.53	0.20	$1.99	1%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

13.53

0.20

$1.99

UFC Fight Night 183, Las Vegas, 5th Sep '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Ovince St Preux	Alonzo Menifield	W	2.05	5	5.25	$52.50	105%
Zelim Imadaev	Michel Pereira	L	1.91	4.74	-4.74	$-47.40	-100%
Andre Muniz	Bartosz Fabinski	W	2.30	5	6.50	$65.00	130%
Hunter Azure	Cole Smith	W	1.44	1.76	0.78	$7.82	44%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.87	16.50	7.79	$77.92	47%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

16.50

7.79

$77.92

47%

>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history

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MMA Handicapper Profile: ModelLocks

17 followers

ModelLocks (ModelLocks)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Straight Pick Stats

Progress Chart

ModelLocks 's MMA Handicapper Bio

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by ModelLocks

ModelLocks 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History

UFC 258, Las Vegas, 13th Feb '21

UFC FN, Las Vegas, 6th Feb '21

UFC 257, Yas Island, 24th Jan '21

UFC on ESPN 20, Yas Island, 20th Jan '21

UFC FN, Yas Island, 16th Jan '21

UFC Vegas 17, Las Vegas, 19th Dec '20

UFC 256, Las Vegas, 13th Dec '20

UFC Vegas 16, Las Vegas, 6th Dec '20

UFC Vegas 15, Las Vegas, 29th Nov '20

UFC 255, Las Vegas, 21st Nov '20

UFC Vegas 14, Las Vegas, 14th Nov '20

UFC Vegas 13, Las Vegas, 8th Nov '20

UFC Vegas 12, Las Vegas, 31st Oct '20

UFC 254, Yas Island, 24th Oct '20

UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie, Yas Island, 17th Oct '20

UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen, Yas Island, 10th Oct '20

UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana, Yas Island, 4th Oct '20

UFC 253, Yas Island, 26th Sep '20

UFC Fight Night 184, Las Vegas, 12th Sep '20

UFC Fight Night 183, Las Vegas, 5th Sep '20