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MMA Handicapper Profile: Optimal MMA Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 116 (60%) Right 66 (57%) Right 23 (61%) Right 27 (66%)
Wrong 78 (40%) Wrong 49 (43%) Wrong 15 (39%) Wrong 14 (34%)
Avg Odds 1.92 Avg Odds 1.96 Avg Odds 1.89 Avg Odds 1.83
Units Bet 459.5 Units Bet 259.2 Units Bet 85.5 Units Bet 114.8
Avg Bet 2.37 Avg Bet 2.25 Avg Bet 2.25 Avg Bet 2.80
Units Profit 58.92 Units Profit 21.62 Units Profit 12.21 Units Profit 25.09
ROI % 13% ROI % 8% ROI % 14% ROI % 22%
View Handicapper's Stats

Straight Pick Stats

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 27 (23%) 18 67 % 87.93 -7.05 -0.26 -8%
Slight Favorites 30 (26%) 13 43 % 77.05 -16.54 -0.55 -21%
Slight Underdogs 40 (35%) 24 60 % 76.75 25.64 0.64 33%
Big Underdogs 18 (16%) 11 61 % 17.50 19.58 1.09 112%
 

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Optimal MMA Picks's MMA Handicapper Bio

What's up guys. I'm a UK-based capper with a passion for all things MMA.

My background is in sports betting. Over the last 5 years i've worked for several online books with experience in promotions, trading and player analysis.

In my spare time, i practice BJJ at my local Gracie Barra school, and hence i love grappling heavy bouts in MMA.

I spend hours each week breaking down and studying fights. One of my core values in betting is "i'll believe it when i see it". Meaning I never like to place bets on assumptions.
E.g. "their Takedown defense was poor last time out so they must have been working on it non-stop this camp".

All picks are free. Follow me on twitter here:

https://twitter.com/OptimalMMA 

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Optimal MMA Picks

UFC 242, Abu Dhabi, 7th Sep '19

Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet    
Bruno Silva (2) Khalid Taha 3.00 1.5 MMA Bookmaker



UFC on ESPN+ 19, San Francisco, 12th Oct '19

Straight Pick Opponent Odds Unit Bet    
Joanna Jedrzejczyk Michelle Waterson 1.46 3.5 View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Optimal MMA Picks's MMA Handicapper's Pick History


Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

DWCS 25, Las Vegas, 20th Aug '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Phil Caracappa Ricky Steele L 2.05 1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.05 1.50 -1.50 $-15.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.50 -1.50 $-15.00 -100%  

UFC 241, Anaheim, 17th Aug '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Nate Diaz Anthony Pettis W 2.20 2 2.40 $24.00 120% Bet Info
Paulo Costa Yoel Romero W 2.50 1.5 2.25 $22.50 150% Bet Info
Casey Kenney Manny Bermudez W 2.40 1 1.40 $14.00 140% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.36 4.50 6.05 $60.50 134%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Daniel Cormier vs Stipe Miocic Over 1.5 rounds W 1.59
  2 1.18 $11.80 59% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Devonte Smith vs Khama Worthy Over 1.5 rounds L 3.00
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   4.00 -0.82 $-8.20 -21%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   8.50 5.23 $52.30 62%  

DWCS 24, Las Vegas, 14th Aug '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Devin Smyth Brok Weaver L 2.10 1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.10 1.50 -1.50 $-15.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.50 -1.50 $-15.00 -100%  

UFC Fight Night 156, Montevideo, 10th Aug '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Geraldo De Freitas Jr. Chris Gutierrez L 1.80 3.5 -3.50 $-35.00 -100% Bet Info
Polyana Viana Veronica Macedo L 2.10 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.94 6.50 -6.50 $-65.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Oskar Piechota vs Rodolfo Vieira Under 2.5 rounds W 1.36
Pr Valentina Shevchenko vs Liz Carmouche Over 1.5 rounds W 1.43
    Parlay Odds:   1.94
  2.5 2.36 $23.62 94% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Oskar Piechota vs Rodolfo Vieira Fight ends in round 1/2 W 1.40
Pr Raphael Pessoa vs Ciryl Gane Fight ends in round 1/2 W 1.28
    Parlay Odds:   1.79
  2 1.58 $15.84 79% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Geraldo De Freitas Jr. vs Chris Gutierrez De Freitas Jr. wins inside distance L 3.85
  0.75 -0.75 $-7.50 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   5.25 3.20 $31.96 61%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   11.75 -3.30 $-33.04 -28%  

UFC 240, USA, 27th Jul '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Gillian Robertson Sarah Frota W 1.80 2.75 2.20 $22.00 80% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.80 2.75 2.20 $22.00 80%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Alexis Davis vs Viviane Araujo Araujo to win W 1.40
  2.5 1.00 $10.00 40% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs Arman Tsarukyan Tsarukyan to win W 1.53
Pi Cristiane Justino vs Felicia Spencer Justino to win W 1.16
    Parlay Odds:   1.77
  4 3.10 $30.99 77% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Cristiane Justino vs Felicia Spencer Justino wins by TKO/KO L 1.34
Pr Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs Arman Tsarukyan Fight goes to decision W 1.47
    Parlay Odds:   1.97
  2.5 -2.50 $-25.00 -100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Gillian Robertson vs Sarah Frota Over 1.5 rounds W 1.57
  2 1.14 $11.40 57% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   11.00 2.74 $27.39 25%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   13.75 4.94 $49.39 36%  

DWCS 21, Las Vegas, 24th Jul '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
J.J. Okanovich Christian Lohsen W 1.87 1 0.87 $8.70 87% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.87 1.00 0.87 $8.70 87%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.00 0.87 $8.70 87%  

UFC on ESPN 4, San Antonio, 20th Jul '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
James Vick Daniel Hooker L 2.35 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Raquel Pennington Irene Aldana W 2.33 2 2.66 $26.60 133% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.34 5.00 -0.34 $-3.40 -7%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 -0.34 $-3.40 -7%  

UFC Fight Night 155, Sacramento, 13th Jul '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Germaine de Randamie Aspen Ladd W 2.25 1.5 1.88 $18.75 125% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.25 1.50 1.88 $18.75 125%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Josh Emmett vs Mirsad Bektic Fight doesn't go to decision W 2.00
  1 1.00 $10.00 100% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Urijah Faber vs Ricky Simon Fight goes to decision L 1.48
  2.5 -2.50 $-25.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   3.50 -1.50 $-15.00 -43%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   5.00 0.38 $3.75 8%  

PFL 2019: Week 4, Atlantic City, 11th Jul '19

  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Glaico Franca vs Sadibou Sy Franca to win W 1.43
  2.5 1.08 $10.75 43% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.50 1.08 $10.75 43%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.50 1.08 $10.75 43%  

UFC 239, Las Vegas, 6th Jul '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jorge Masvidal Ben Askren W 3.00 1 2.00 $20.00 200% Bet Info
Diego Sanchez Michael Chiesa L 3.75 2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.33 3.00 0.00 $0.00 0%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Amanda Nunes vs Holly Holm Nunes to win W 1.30
Pi Arnold Allen vs Gilbert Melendez Allen to win W 1.33
    Parlay Odds:   1.73
  4 2.92 $29.16 73% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Jon Jones vs Thiago Santos Santos wins by TKO/KO L 8.50
  0.25 -0.25 $-2.50 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   4.25 2.67 $26.66 63%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   7.25 2.67 $26.66 37%  

UFC on ESPN 3, Minneapolis, 29th Jun '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Tony Martin Demian Maia L 2.66 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.66 3.00 -3.00 $-30.00 -100%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
PrPi Drew Dober vs Marco Polo Reyes Dober wins by TKO/KO W 3.00
  1 2.00 $20.00 200% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   1.00 2.00 $20.00 200%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   4.00 -1.00 $-10.00 -25%  

UFC Fight Night 154, Greenville, 22nd Jun '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Renato Moicano Chan Sung Jung L 1.53 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Bryan Barberena Randy Brown L 1.53 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Andrea Lee Montana De La Rosa W 1.50 4 2.00 $20.00 50% Bet Info
Molly McCann Ariane Lipski W 3.50 1.25 3.13 $31.25 250% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.77 11.25 -0.87 $-8.75 -8%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Allen Crowder vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik Rozenstruik to win W 1.40
Pi Luis Pena vs Matt Wiman Pena to win W 1.36
    Parlay Odds:   1.90
  3.5 3.16 $31.64 90% Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Dan Ige vs Kevin Aguilar Under 2.5 rounds L 3.00
  0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   4.00 2.66 $26.64 67%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   15.25 1.79 $17.89 12%  

Bellator London, London, 22nd Jun '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jeremiah Labiano James Gallagher L 4.75 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   4.75 0.50 -0.50 $-5.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   0.50 -0.50 $-5.00 -100%  

Combate 40, Hidalgo, 21st Jun '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Desiree Yanez Paulina Vargas W 3.40 0.5 1.20 $12.00 240% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   3.40 0.50 1.20 $12.00 240%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   0.50 1.20 $12.00 240%  

DWTNCS 17, Las Vegas, 19th Jun '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Jamie Pickett Punahele Soriano L 3.75 0.5 -0.50 $-5.00 -100% Bet Info
Yorgan De Castro Alton Meeks W 7.50 0.5 3.25 $32.50 650% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   5.00 1.00 2.75 $27.50 275%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.00 2.75 $27.50 275%  

UFC 238, Chicago, 8th Jun '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Marlon Moraes Henry Cejudo L 1.83 2.5 -2.50 $-25.00 -100% Bet Info
Donald Cerrone Tony Ferguson L 2.62 1.5 -1.50 $-15.00 -100% Bet Info
Alexa Grasso Karolina Kowalkiewicz W 2.30 1.75 2.28 $22.75 130% Bet Info
Alexa Grasso Karolina Kowalkiewicz W 2.30 0.75 0.98 $9.75 130% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
Bevon Lewis Darren Stewart L 1.61 3 -3.00 $-30.00 -100% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.07 9.50 -3.75 $-37.50 -39%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Valentina Shevchenko vs Jessica Eye Over 1.5 rounds L 1.53
  2 -2.00 $-20.00 -100% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   2.00 -2.00 $-20.00 -100%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   11.50 -5.75 $-57.50 -50%  

PFL 2019: Week 3, Uniondale, 6th Jun '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Rashid Yusupov Mikhail Mokhnatkin W 1.44 2 0.88 $8.80 44% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.44 2.00 0.88 $8.80 44%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   2.00 0.88 $8.80 44%  

UFC Fight Night 153, Stockholm, 1st Jun '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Alexander Gustafsson Anthony Smith L 1.40 4 -4.00 $-40.00 -100% Bet Info
Makwan Amirkhani Chris Fishgold W 2.00 1.5 1.50 $15.00 100% Bet Info
Christos Giagos Damir Hadzovic W 2.87 1.5 2.81 $28.05 187% Bet Info
Bea Malecki Duda Santana W 2.75 2 3.50 $35.00 175% Bet Info
Devin Clark Darko Stosic W 2.38 1.5 2.07 $20.70 138% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.13 10.50 5.87 $58.75 56%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   10.50 5.87 $58.75 56%  

UFC Fight Night 152, Rochester, 18th May '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Rafael dos Anjos Kevin Lee W 2.10 2.5 2.75 $27.50 110% Bet Info
Grant Dawson Mike Trizano W 2.35 2.5 3.38 $33.75 135% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   2.22 5.00 6.13 $61.25 123%  
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pi Davi Ramos vs Austin Hubbard Ramos to win W 1.28
Pi Desmond Green vs Charles Jourdain Green to win W 1.25
    Parlay Odds:   1.60
  4.5 2.70 $27.00 60% View Pick Writeup Bet Info
  Fight Pick   Odds
Pr Megan Anderson vs Felicia Spencer Fight doesn't go to decision W 1.90
  2 1.80 $18.00 90% Bet Info
Prop & Parlay Event Totals:   6.50 4.50 $45.00 69%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   11.50 10.63 $106.25 92%  

KSW 49, Gdansk, 18th May '19

Pick Opponent   Odds Unit
Bet
Unit
Profit
Cash
Profit
ROI  
Scott Askham Michal Materla W 1.50 1 0.50 $5.00 50% Bet Info
Straight Pick Event Totals:   1.50 1.00 0.50 $5.00 50%  
Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):   1.00 0.50 $5.00 50%  

 
 
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