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Straight Pick Stats
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| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
7 (1%) |
5 |
71 % |
41.00 |
1.40 |
0.20 |
3% |
| Slight Favorites |
60 (11%) |
27 |
45 % |
322.84 |
-39.66 |
-0.66 |
-12% |
| Slight Underdogs |
301 (56%) |
136 |
45 % |
1,514.00 |
126.78 |
0.42 |
8% |
| Big Underdogs |
170 (32%) |
48 |
28 % |
804.00 |
8.45 |
0.05 |
1% |
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Progress Chart
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Click here to view breakdown of straight picks |
Marximus 's MMA Handicapper Bio
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Units equal confidence, NOT percentage of the bankroll. High amount of units are high confidence picks. I usually bet 10u for my most confident bets, 5units for medium confident bets and 3units for medium confident bets with high odds. What percentage of your bankroll you use for each is up to you. As a rule of thumb I recommend you to never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on single picks though. So if you like to bet % of your bankroll (I do flat stakes) just divide the units I put up by 2 and you should be fine --> 10u bets make 5% of the bankroll, 5u bets make 2.5%.
I mostly post Pinncale or 5dimes odds, as they're the most widely accessible bookies in MMA. You may often find better odds with other bookies, or worse odds if you're seeing my play to late. My two recommendations for you to always get the best odds possible are 1) always compare odds on https://www.bestfightodds.com/ for us and https://www.oddschecker.com/ufc-mma for eu bookies and have accounts with multiple bookies. And 2) turn on your email notifications for my bets, so you get at best the same odds as me, before odds start dropping (what they do more often than not after while).
So if you want to test YOUR particular odds in comparison to those I post, you can set up an Excel sheet and use this formula to test if the bet is still valuable at your odds: =((B1+1)/B2)*(B3-1)-(1-(B1+1)/B2). Simply fill cell B1 with my current ROI/100, B2 with my odds at the time and B3 with the odds you got, the formula will then give you the expected average ROI/100 at your particular odds. You don't want that value to become negative and may set yourself a ROI benchmark that you are still willing to bet.
Lastly, I just want to give you the advice to really bet cautiously. Not everyone showing a sweet ROI actually finds value. In fact, it takes much more than the 200-300 bets to say if a tipster is truly having an edge over the bookie or not. Luck plays an incredible role in betting and is always underestimated. This is a quite interesting article about that topic: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-articles/Betting-Strategy/the-law-of-small-numbers-in-sports-betting/QPEJYQPBHC7F8C4S#height
In general, I would really advise you to read pinnacles betting strategy articles, they are quality. The one about bank roll management for example is quite useful, too. You can find all of them here: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-resources/archive#height
I usually post my bets the evening right before the fights, since limits are highest at that point. Keep an eye on your notifications to catch my bets in time before the fights start!
If you have any questions regarding my picks, feel free to ask. Enjoy the fights, enjoy the games, cheers!
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Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Marximus |
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This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights. |
Marximus 's MMA Handicapper's Pick History
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Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Bobby Green vs Jim Miller |
Under 2.5 rounds |
L |
2.00 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Bo Nickal vs Cody Brundage |
Brundage wins by TKO/KO |
L |
19.00 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Deiveson Figueiredo vs Cody Garbrandt |
Under 1.5 rounds |
L |
2.50 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
10.50 |
-10.50 |
$-105.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
33.50 |
-9.25 |
$-92.50 |
-28% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Sean O'Malley vs Marlon Vera |
Vera wins by TKO/KO |
L |
5.05 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Katlyn Chookagian vs Maycee Barber |
Chookagian wins by decision |
L |
3.15 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Sean O'Malley vs Marlon Vera |
Under 4.5 rounds |
L |
2.32 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
11.00 |
-11.00 |
$-110.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
34.00 |
1.45 |
$14.50 |
4% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Alex Volkanovski vs Ilia Topuria |
Topuria wins by TKO/KO |
W |
4.12 |
|
|
3 |
9.36 |
$93.60 |
312% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Amanda Lemos vs Mackenzie Dern |
Lemos wins by decision |
W |
4.40 |
|
|
3 |
10.20 |
$102.00 |
340% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
6.00 |
19.56 |
$195.60 |
326% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
13.00 |
12.56 |
$125.60 |
97% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Leon Edwards vs Colby Covington |
Edwards wins by TKO/KO |
L |
4.83 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
11.00 |
14.15 |
$141.50 |
129% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.00 |
-8.00 |
$-80.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
20.00 |
16.45 |
$164.50 |
82% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.00 |
1.65 |
$16.50 |
21% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.00 |
-8.00 |
$-80.00 |
-100% |
|
UFC 291, Salt Lake City, Utah,
29th Jul '23 |
| Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
| Tony Ferguson |
Bobby Green |
L |
4.10 |
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
| Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
4.10 |
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Makhmud Muradov vs Bryan Barberena |
Barberena wins in round 3 |
L |
22.00 |
|
|
0.3 |
-0.30 |
$-3.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
0.30 |
-0.30 |
$-3.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
20.30 |
-20.30 |
$-203.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Ilia Topuria vs Josh Emmett |
Emmett wins inside distance |
L |
5.25 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
3.00 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
9.00 |
8.25 |
$82.50 |
92% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Amanda Nunes vs Irene Aldana |
Aldana wins by submission |
L |
17.00 |
|
|
0.5 |
-0.50 |
$-5.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Charles Oliveira vs Beneil Dariush |
Dariush wins by submission |
L |
6.00 |
|
|
1 |
-1.00 |
$-10.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
1.50 |
-1.50 |
$-15.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
10.50 |
-5.50 |
$-55.00 |
-52% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
8.00 |
-8.00 |
$-80.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
15.00 |
-6.75 |
$-67.50 |
-45% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
16.00 |
6.00 |
$60.00 |
37% |
|
UFC 286, London,
18th Mar '23 |
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Bryan Barberena vs Gunnar Nelson |
Nelson wins by submission |
W |
2.25 |
|
|
5 |
6.25 |
$62.50 |
125% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.00 |
6.25 |
$62.50 |
125% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
5.00 |
6.25 |
$62.50 |
125% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
20.00 |
-20.00 |
$-200.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Paul Craig vs Johnny Walker |
Fight goes to decision |
L |
5.25 |
|
|
3 |
-3.00 |
$-30.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Glover Teixeira vs Jamahal Hill |
Teixeira wins by submission |
L |
3.90 |
|
|
2 |
-2.00 |
$-20.00 |
-100% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
5.00 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
15.00 |
-15.00 |
$-150.00 |
-100% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
15.00 |
-15.00 |
$-150.00 |
-100% |
|
|
| Pick |
Opponent |
|
Odds |
Unit
Bet |
Unit
Profit |
Cash
Profit |
ROI |
|
| Bryan Battle |
Rinat Fakhretdinov |
L |
2.33 |
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| Straight Pick Event Totals: |
|
2.33 |
5.00 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| PrPi |
Jared Cannonier vs Sean Strickland |
Cannonier wins by TKO/KO |
L |
3.35 |
|
|
5 |
-5.00 |
$-50.00 |
-100% |
|
| |
Fight |
Pick |
|
Odds |
| Pr |
Alex Caceres vs Julian Erosa |
Fight doesn't go to decision |
W |
2.05 |
|
|
5 |
5.25 |
$52.50 |
105% |
|
| Prop & Parlay Event Totals: |
|
10.00 |
0.25 |
$2.50 |
3% |
|
| Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets): |
|
15.00 |
-4.75 |
$-47.50 |
-32% |
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>>>> Showing Last 20 events: Click to view full history
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