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Event Predictions

UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 20 Finale

Las Vegas
2014-12-12 20:00:00

Favourite wins: 6
Underdog wins: 4
$10 on all favourites nets: $-17.80
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-4.10

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 10.75. Profit: 15.56
Total Unit Profit: 15.56

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $5.50 (7 right, 3 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $35.40 (8 right, 2 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $45.79 (8 right, 2 wrong)
Value betting profit: $13.12 (4 right, 6 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Fair
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Carla Esparza vs Rose Namajunas Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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38%
   
64%
22 (46)%
 
26 (54)%
41%
 
59%
57%
 
43%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good #4
LOST
@2.63 Suggested Bet: 4.75 units on Carla Esparza: Returned 7.74 Units   @1.56
$10 Bet Profit: $16.3 #4 Ranked $16.67 Bet Profit: $27.17 #5 Ranked $16.67 Value Bet Profit: $27.17

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jeremy Stephens vs Charles Oliveira Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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53%
   
43%
46 (37)%
 
78 (63)%
36%
 
64%
33%
 
67%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#6 Good+ Pick Rating
WON
@1.89 Suggested Bet: 5.5 units on Charles Oliveira: Returned 7.31 Units   @2.33
$10 Bet Profit: $13.3 #6 Ranked $18.33 Bet Profit: $24.38 #8 Ranked $18.33 Value Bet Profit: $24.38

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Daron Cruickshank vs K.J. Noons Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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62%
   
39%
64 (54)%
 
55 (46)%
52%
 
48%
54%
 
46%
Value Pick
CANCELLED / NC
Pick Rating Poor #9 Fair Anti-Pick
CANCELLED / NC
@1.61 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @2.56
$10 Bet Profit: $0 #9 Ranked $1.67 Bet Profit: $0 #11 Ranked $8.33 Value Bet Profit: $0

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Yancy Medeiros vs Joe Proctor Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
31%
59 (60)%
 
40 (40)%
60%
 
40%
69%
 
31%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #10 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.43 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.23
$10 Bet Profit: $4.3 #10 Ranked $8.33 Bet Profit: $3.58 #7 Ranked $1.67 Value Bet Profit: $-1.67

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jessica Penne vs Randa Markos Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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50%
   
52%
21 (44)%
 
27 (56)%
44%
 
56%
54%
 
46%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Low #1
LOST
@2.00 Suggested Bet: 0.5 units on Jessica Penne: Returned 0.50 Units   @1.92
$10 Bet Profit: $10 #1 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $10 #2 Ranked $6.67 Value Bet Profit: $6.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Felice Herrig vs Lisa Ellis Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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78%
   
24%
48 (86)%
 
8 (14)%
87%
 
13%
75%
 
25%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #7 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.28 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.17
$10 Bet Profit: $2.8 #7 Ranked $5 Bet Profit: $1.4 #9 Ranked $3.33 Value Bet Profit: $-3.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Bec Rawlings vs Heather Clark Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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64%
   
38%
43 (80)%
 
11 (20)%
81%
 
19%
84%
 
16%
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #3
WON
@1.56 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.63
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $13.33 Bet Profit: $-13.33 #4 Ranked $13.33 Value Bet Profit: $-13.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joanne Calderwood vs Seo Hee Ham Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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83%
   
17%
50 (83)%
 
10 (17)%
86%
 
14%
79%
 
21%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #8 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.20 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.88
$10 Bet Profit: $2 #8 Ranked $3.33 Bet Profit: $0.67 #10 Ranked $11.67 Value Bet Profit: $-11.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tecia Torres vs Angela Magana Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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85%
   
17%
51 (84)%
 
10 (16)%
85%
 
15%
82%
 
18%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.18 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.88
$10 Bet Profit: $1.8 #11 Ranked $6.67 Bet Profit: $1.2 #1 Ranked $5 Value Bet Profit: $-5

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Aisling Daly vs Alex Chambers Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
34%
42 (78)%
 
12 (22)%
82%
 
18%
84%
 
16%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #5
LOST
@1.49 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.94
$10 Bet Profit: $4.9 #5 Ranked $11.67 Bet Profit: $5.72 #6 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $4.9

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Emily Kagan vs Angela Hill Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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40%
   
61%
18 (37)%
 
31 (63)%
36%
 
64%
58%
 
42%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Good #2
WON
@2.50 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.64
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $15 Bet Profit: $-15 #3 Ranked $15 Value Bet Profit: $-15


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Charles Oliveira vs Jeremy Stephens (@2.33) 67%   5.5   7.31   7.31   $0.00   $0.00 133%
Bet on Carla Esparza vs Rose Namajunas (@2.63) 57%   4.75   7.74   7.74   $0.00   $0.00 163%
Bet on Jessica Penne vs Randa Markos (@2.00) 54%   0.5   0.50   0.50   $0.00   $0.00 100%
Average Odds: @2.29   10.75 15.56 15.56   $0.00 $0.00 144.72%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $110.00 over 11 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Charles Oliveira Jeremy Stephens $18.33 $24.38
 
$24.38
#2 Carla Esparza Rose Namajunas $16.67 $27.17
 
$27.17
#3 Emily Kagan Angela Hill $15.00 $22.50
 
-$15.00
#4 Bec Rawlings Heather Clark $13.33 $7.46
 
-$13.33
#5 Aisling Daly Alex Chambers $11.67 $5.72
 
$5.72
#6 Jessica Penne Randa Markos $10.00 $10.00
 
$10.00
#7 Yancy Medeiros Joe Proctor $8.33 $3.58
 
$3.58
#8 Tecia Torres Angela Magana $6.67 $1.20
 
$1.20
#9 Felice Herrig Lisa Ellis $5.00 $1.40
 
$1.40
#10 Joanne Calderwood Seo Hee Ham $3.33 $0.67
 
$0.67
#11 Daron Cruickshank K.J. Noons $1.67 $1.02
 
NA
      $110.00 $105.10 (96%)   $45.79 (42%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Charles Oliveira Jeremy Stephens $18.33 $24.38
 
$24.38
#2 Carla Esparza Rose Namajunas $16.67 $27.17
 
$27.17
#3 Emily Kagan Angela Hill $15.00 $22.50
 
-$15.00
#4 Bec Rawlings Heather Clark $13.33 $7.46
 
-$13.33
#5 Seo Hee Ham Joanne Calderwood $11.67 $56.95
 
-$11.67
#6 Aisling Daly Alex Chambers $10.00 $4.90
 
$4.90
#7 K.J. Noons Daron Cruickshank $8.33 $12.99
 
NA
#8 Jessica Penne Randa Markos $6.67 $6.67
 
$6.67
#9 Angela Magana Tecia Torres $5.00 $24.40
 
-$5.00
#10 Lisa Ellis Felice Herrig $3.33 $10.56
 
-$3.33
#11 Joe Proctor Yancy Medeiros $1.67 $3.72
 
-$1.67
      $110.00 $201.71 (183%)   $13.12 (12%)
 
 
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