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Event Predictions

UFC 181 - Hendricks vs. Lawler 2

Las Vegas
2014-12-06 22:00:00

Favourite wins: 7
Underdog wins: 4
$10 on all favourites nets: $-16.30
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-7.00

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 9.75. Profit: 13.19
Total Unit Profit: 13.19

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $10.70 (8 right, 3 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $32.90 (9 right, 2 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $58.17 (9 right, 2 wrong)
Value betting profit: $59.01 (8 right, 3 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Low
Average Value Bet Rating: Fair

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Robbie Lawler vs Johny Hendricks Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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34%
   
67%
80 (35)%
 
148 (65)%
34%
 
66%
49%
 
51%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Good #6 Very Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@2.94 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.49
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $1.67 Bet Profit: $-1.67 #8 Ranked $16.67 Value Bet Profit: $32.34

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Anthony Pettis vs Gilbert Melendez Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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71%
   
32%
177 (77)%
 
52 (23)%
80%
 
20%
70%
 
30%
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11
LOST
@1.41 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.13
$10 Bet Profit: $4.1 #11 Ranked $6.67 Bet Profit: $2.73 #5 Ranked $1.67 Value Bet Profit: $0.68

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Travis Browne vs Brendan Schaub Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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76%
   
26%
199 (90)%
 
23 (10)%
91%
 
9%
86%
 
14%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #9
LOST
@1.32 Suggested Bet: 1.25 units on Travis Browne: Returned 0.40 Units   @3.85
$10 Bet Profit: $3.2 #9 Ranked $15 Bet Profit: $4.8 #9 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $3.2

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Todd Duffee vs Anthony Hamilton Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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75%
   
27%
145 (87)%
 
22 (13)%
89%
 
11%
76%
 
24%
WON
Pick Rating Low #10
LOST
@1.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.70
$10 Bet Profit: $3.3 #10 Ranked $8.33 Bet Profit: $2.75 #4 Ranked $3.33 Value Bet Profit: $1.1

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tony Ferguson vs Abel Trujillo Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
32%
93 (62)%
 
58 (38)%
66%
 
34%
62%
 
38%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #3 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.43 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.13
$10 Bet Profit: $4.3 #3 Ranked $3.33 Bet Profit: $1.43 #3 Ranked $13.33 Value Bet Profit: $-13.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Urijah Faber vs Francisco Rivera Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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81%
   
20%
210 (93)%
 
15 (7)%
94%
 
6%
82%
 
18%
WON
Pick Rating Low #8
LOST
@1.23 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.00
$10 Bet Profit: $2.3 #8 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $2.3 #11 Ranked $5 Value Bet Profit: $1.15

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Eddie Gordon vs Josh Samman Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
41%
74 (62)%
 
46 (38)%
64%
 
36%
62%
 
38%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #4
WON
@1.64 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @2.44
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #4 Ranked $11.67 Bet Profit: $-11.67 #6 Ranked $6.67 Value Bet Profit: $-6.67

Value Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Justin Jones vs Corey Anderson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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26%
   
76%
14 (23)%
 
47 (77)%
23%
 
77%
30%
 
70%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Fair #1 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.85 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.32
$10 Bet Profit: $3.2 #1 Ranked $5 Bet Profit: $1.6 #1 Ranked $11.67 Value Bet Profit: $-11.67

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Raquel Pennington Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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65%
   
37%
22 (29)%
 
55 (71)%
30%
 
70%
42%
 
58%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#2 Good+ Pick Rating
WON
@1.54 Suggested Bet: 5.5 units on Raquel Pennington: Returned 9.35 Units   @2.70
$10 Bet Profit: $17 #2 Ranked $18.33 Bet Profit: $31.16 #2 Ranked $18.33 Value Bet Profit: $31.16

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Sergio Pettis vs Matt Hobar Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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75%
   
27%
142 (89)%
 
18 (11)%
89%
 
11%
79%
 
21%
WON
Pick Rating Low #7
LOST
@1.33 Suggested Bet: 0.25 units on Sergio Pettis: Returned 0.08 Units   @3.70
$10 Bet Profit: $3.3 #7 Ranked $13.33 Bet Profit: $4.4 #10 Ranked $8.33 Value Bet Profit: $2.75

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Clay Collard vs Alex White Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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45%
   
57%
41 (47)%
 
47 (53)%
48%
 
52%
58%
 
42%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #5
LOST
@2.22 Suggested Bet: 2.75 units on Clay Collard: Returned 3.36 Units   @1.75
$10 Bet Profit: $12.2 #5 Ranked $16.67 Bet Profit: $20.34 #7 Ranked $15 Value Bet Profit: $18.3


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Raquel Pennington vs Ashlee Evans-Smith (@2.70) 58%   5.5   9.35   9.35   $0.00   $0.00 170%
Bet on Clay Collard vs Alex White (@2.22) 58%   2.75   3.36   3.36   $0.00   $0.00 122%
Bet on Travis Browne vs Brendan Schaub (@1.32) 86%   1.25   0.40   0.40   $0.00   $0.00 32%
Bet on Sergio Pettis vs Matt Hobar (@1.33) 79%   0.25   0.08   0.08   $0.00   $0.00 33%
Average Odds: @1.72   9.75 13.19 13.19   $0.00 $0.00 135.26%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $110.00 over 11 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Raquel Pennington Ashlee Evans-Smith $18.33 $31.16
 
$31.16
#2 Clay Collard Alex White $16.67 $20.34
 
$20.34
#3 Travis Browne Brendan Schaub $15.00 $4.80
 
$4.80
#4 Sergio Pettis Matt Hobar $13.33 $4.40
 
$4.40
#5 Eddie Gordon Josh Samman $11.67 $7.47
 
-$11.67
#6 Urijah Faber Francisco Rivera $10.00 $2.30
 
$2.30
#7 Todd Duffee Anthony Hamilton $8.33 $2.75
 
$2.75
#8 Anthony Pettis Gilbert Melendez $6.67 $2.73
 
$2.73
#9 Corey Anderson Justin Jones $5.00 $1.60
 
$1.60
#10 Tony Ferguson Abel Trujillo $3.33 $1.43
 
$1.43
#11 Johny Hendricks Robbie Lawler $1.67 $0.82
 
-$1.67
      $110.00 $79.80 (73%)   $58.17 (53%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Raquel Pennington Ashlee Evans-Smith $18.33 $31.16
 
$31.16
#2 Robbie Lawler Johny Hendricks $16.67 $32.34
 
$32.34
#3 Clay Collard Alex White $15.00 $18.30
 
$18.30
#4 Abel Trujillo Tony Ferguson $13.33 $28.39
 
-$13.33
#5 Justin Jones Corey Anderson $11.67 $33.26
 
-$11.67
#6 Travis Browne Brendan Schaub $10.00 $3.20
 
$3.20
#7 Sergio Pettis Matt Hobar $8.33 $2.75
 
$2.75
#8 Eddie Gordon Josh Samman $6.67 $4.27
 
-$6.67
#9 Urijah Faber Francisco Rivera $5.00 $1.15
 
$1.15
#10 Todd Duffee Anthony Hamilton $3.33 $1.10
 
$1.10
#11 Anthony Pettis Gilbert Melendez $1.67 $0.68
 
$0.68
      $110.00 $156.60 (142%)   $59.01 (54%)
 
 
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