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Event Predictions

UFC 239

Las Vegas
2019-07-06 23:30:00

Favourite wins: 9
Underdog wins: 3
$10 on all favourites nets: $1.15
$10 on all underdogs nets: $0.70

Unit Betting
Units Bet: . Profit: 0.00
Total Unit Profit:

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $1.15 (9 right, 3 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-14.11 (8 right, 4 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-7.56 (8 right, 4 wrong)
Value betting profit: $50.28 (5 right, 7 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Poor
Average Value Bet Rating: Good

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jon Jones vs Thiago Santos Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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84%
   
16%
6 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
77%
 
23%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #8 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.19 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @6.13
$10 Bet Profit: $1.9 #8 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $1.46 #3 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Amanda Nunes vs Holly Holm Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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75%
   
22%
5 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
74%
 
26%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #4 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.34 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.63
$10 Bet Profit: $3.39 #4 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $4.69 #7 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $-9.23

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ben Askren vs Jorge Masvidal Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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66%
   
34%
4 (80)%
 
1 (20)%
83%
 
17%
62%
 
38%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #7 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.51 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.90
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $-9.23 #8 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $11.68

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Luke Rockhold vs Jan Blachowicz Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
31%
5 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
63%
 
37%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #10 Moderate Anti-Pick
WON
@1.43 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.25
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $-6.15 #5 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $24.23

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Michael Chiesa vs Diego Sanchez Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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76%
   
22%
3 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
78%
 
22%
WON
Pick Rating Low #3
LOST
@1.31 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.50
$10 Bet Profit: $3.12 #3 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $4.81 #12 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $0.48

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Arnold Allen vs Gilbert Melendez Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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75%
   
26%
3 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
78%
 
22%
WON
Pick Rating Low #2
LOST
@1.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.81
$10 Bet Profit: $3.28 #2 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $5.55 #11 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $1.51

Value Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog Nohelin Hernandez vs Marlon Vera Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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20%
   
81%
0 (0)%
 
3 (100)%
0%
 
100%
21%
 
79%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Low #5 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@4.90 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.23
$10 Bet Profit: $2.27 #5 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $2.8 #10 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $-3.08

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Claudia Gadelha vs Randa Markos Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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65%
   
34%
4 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
61%
 
39%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #6 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.54 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.90
$10 Bet Profit: $5.41 #6 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $5.82 #9 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $-7.69

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alejandro Perez vs Yadong Song Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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36%
   
66%
2 (50)%
 
2 (50)%
48%
 
52%
51%
 
49%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Good #1
WON
@2.76 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.53
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $-18.46 #4 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $-15.38

Value Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jack Marshman vs Edmen Shahbazyan Fighter Record on Sherdog
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15%
   
83%
1 (20)%
 
4 (80)%
17%
 
83%
37%
 
63%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Fantastic #11 Very Poor Pick Rating
WON
@6.50 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.21
$10 Bet Profit: $2.11 #11 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $0.65 #2 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $-16.92

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog Ismail Naurdiev vs Chance Rencountre Fighter Record on Sherdog
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84%
   
17%
3 (75)%
 
1 (25)%
78%
 
22%
55%
 
45%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Very Poor #12 Fantastic Anti-Pick
WON
@1.18 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @5.92
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #12 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $-1.54 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $90.82

Value Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog Pannie Kianzad vs Julia Avila Fighter Record on Sherdog
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31%
   
69%
0 (0)%
 
3 (100)%
0%
 
100%
38%
 
62%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Moderate #9 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.20 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.44
$10 Bet Profit: $4.41 #9 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $2.04 #6 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Average Odds: @0.00   0 0.00 0.00   $0.00 $0.00 0.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Alejandro Perez Yadong Song $18.46 $32.49
 
-$18.46
#2 Arnold Allen Gilbert Melendez $16.92 $5.55
 
$5.55
#3 Michael Chiesa Diego Sanchez $15.38 $4.81
 
$4.81
#4 Amanda Nunes Holly Holm $13.85 $4.69
 
$4.69
#5 Marlon Vera Nohelin Hernandez $12.31 $2.80
 
$2.80
#6 Claudia Gadelha Randa Markos $10.77 $5.82
 
$5.82
#7 Ben Askren Jorge Masvidal $9.23 $4.73
 
-$9.23
#8 Jon Jones Thiago Santos $7.69 $1.46
 
$1.46
#9 Luke Rockhold Jan Blachowicz $6.15 $2.67
 
-$6.15
#10 Julia Avila Pannie Kianzad $4.62 $2.04
 
$2.04
#11 Edmen Shahbazyan Jack Marshman $3.08 $0.65
 
$0.65
#12 Ismail Naurdiev Chance Rencountre $1.54 $0.28
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $68.00 (57%)   $-7.56 (-6%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Chance Rencountre Ismail Naurdiev $18.46 $90.82
 
$90.82
#2 Jack Marshman Edmen Shahbazyan $16.92 $93.06
 
-$16.92
#3 Alejandro Perez Yadong Song $15.38 $27.07
 
-$15.38
#4 Thiago Santos Jon Jones $13.85 $71.05
 
-$13.85
#5 Pannie Kianzad Julia Avila $12.31 $27.08
 
-$12.31
#6 Jan Blachowicz Luke Rockhold $10.77 $24.23
 
$24.23
#7 Holly Holm Amanda Nunes $9.23 $33.50
 
-$9.23
#8 Randa Markos Claudia Gadelha $7.69 $14.61
 
-$7.69
#9 Jorge Masvidal Ben Askren $6.15 $11.68
 
$11.68
#10 Arnold Allen Gilbert Melendez $4.62 $1.51
 
$1.51
#11 Nohelin Hernandez Marlon Vera $3.08 $12.01
 
-$3.08
#12 Michael Chiesa Diego Sanchez $1.54 $0.48
 
$0.48
      $120.00 $407.13 (339%)   $50.28 (42%)
 
 
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