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Event Predictions

UFC 192 - Cormier vs. Gustafsson

Houston, Texas
2015-10-03 23:00:00

Favourite wins: 9
Underdog wins: 3
$10 on all favourites nets: $7.60
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-48.60

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 8.75. Profit: 7.32
Total Unit Profit: 7.32

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $33.60 (10 right, 2 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $79.00 (12 right, 0 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $102.18 (12 right, 0 wrong)
Value betting profit: $67.35 (10 right, 2 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Fair
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Daniel Cormier vs Alexander Gustafsson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
29%
76 (75)%
 
25 (25)%
78%
 
22%
71%
 
29%
WON
Pick Rating Low #11
LOST
@1.43 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.45
$10 Bet Profit: $4.3 #11 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $3.31 #12 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $1.99

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ryan Bader vs Rashad Evans Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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46%
   
55%
36 (44)%
 
45 (56)%
45%
 
55%
66%
 
34%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good #3
LOST
@2.19 Suggested Bet: 4.25 units on Ryan Bader: Returned 5.06 Units   @1.83
$10 Bet Profit: $11.9 #3 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $18.3 #4 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $16.48

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ruslan Magomedov vs Shawn Jordan Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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64%
   
37%
37 (79)%
 
10 (21)%
81%
 
19%
80%
 
20%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #5
LOST
@1.56 Suggested Bet: 2.25 units on Ruslan Magomedov: Returned 1.26 Units   @2.70
$10 Bet Profit: $5.6 #5 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $6.89 #6 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $6.03

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joseph Benavidez vs Ali Bagautinov Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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75%
   
26%
62 (85)%
 
11 (15)%
88%
 
12%
76%
 
24%
WON
Pick Rating Low #12
LOST
@1.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.91
$10 Bet Profit: $3.3 #12 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $2.03 #3 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $1.02

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Julianna Pena vs Jessica Eye Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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69%
   
32%
50 (81)%
 
12 (19)%
79%
 
21%
80%
 
20%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #9
LOST
@1.45 Suggested Bet: 1.5 units on Julianna Pena: Returned 0.68 Units   @3.10
$10 Bet Profit: $4.5 #9 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $4.85 #10 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $4.15

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Yair Rodriguez vs Daniel Hooker Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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74%
   
26%
25 (86)%
 
4 (14)%
90%
 
10%
74%
 
26%
WON
Pick Rating Low #8
LOST
@1.35 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.85
$10 Bet Profit: $3.5 #8 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $1.62 #9 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $0.54

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alan Jouban vs Albert Tumenov Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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29%
   
70%
16 (47)%
 
18 (53)%
48%
 
52%
46%
 
54%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Good+ #1 Very Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.40 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.43
$10 Bet Profit: $4.3 #1 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.66 #1 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $-16.92

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Adriano Martins vs Islam Makhachev Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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43%
   
58%
8 (40)%
 
12 (60)%
38%
 
62%
62%
 
38%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good #10
LOST
@2.35 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.71
$10 Bet Profit: $13.5 #10 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $22.84 #11 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $20.76

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Angela Hill vs Rose Namajunas Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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31%
   
69%
4 (6)%
 
64 (94)%
5%
 
95%
25%
 
75%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#6 Low Pick Rating
WON
@3.19 Suggested Bet: 0.75 units on Rose Namajunas: Returned 0.33 Units   @1.44
$10 Bet Profit: $4.4 #6 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $4.06 #7 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $3.38

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Sage Northcutt vs Frank Trevino Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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81%
   
21%
34 (89)%
 
4 (11)%
91%
 
9%
78%
 
22%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #7 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.24 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.81
$10 Bet Profit: $2.4 #7 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $0.74 #8 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $-6.15

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Sergio Pettis vs Chris Cariaso Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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65%
   
35%
30 (77)%
 
9 (23)%
82%
 
18%
85%
 
15%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #4
LOST
@1.53 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.85
$10 Bet Profit: $5.3 #4 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $7.34 #5 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $6.52

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Derrick Lewis vs Viktor Pesta Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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38%
   
61%
15 (65)%
 
8 (35)%
69%
 
31%
70%
 
30%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Extremely Good #2
LOST
@2.60 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.63
$10 Bet Profit: $16 #2 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $29.54 #2 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $29.54


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Ryan Bader vs Rashad Evans (@2.19) 66%   4.25   5.06   5.06   $0.00   $0.00 119%
Bet on Ruslan Magomedov vs Shawn Jordan (@1.56) 80%   2.25   1.26   1.26   $0.00   $0.00 56%
Bet on Julianna Pena vs Jessica Eye (@1.45) 80%   1.5   0.68   0.68   $0.00   $0.00 45%
Bet on Rose Namajunas vs Angela Hill (@1.44) 75%   0.75   0.33   0.33   $0.00   $0.00 44%
Average Odds: @1.61   8.75 7.32 7.32   $0.00 $0.00 83.69%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Derrick Lewis Viktor Pesta $18.46 $29.54
 
$29.54
#2 Adriano Martins Islam Makhachev $16.92 $22.84
 
$22.84
#3 Ryan Bader Rashad Evans $15.38 $18.30
 
$18.30
#4 Sergio Pettis Chris Cariaso $13.85 $7.34
 
$7.34
#5 Ruslan Magomedov Shawn Jordan $12.31 $6.89
 
$6.89
#6 Julianna Pena Jessica Eye $10.77 $4.85
 
$4.85
#7 Rose Namajunas Angela Hill $9.23 $4.06
 
$4.06
#8 Daniel Cormier Alexander Gustafsson $7.69 $3.31
 
$3.31
#9 Joseph Benavidez Ali Bagautinov $6.15 $2.03
 
$2.03
#10 Yair Rodriguez Daniel Hooker $4.62 $1.62
 
$1.62
#11 Sage Northcutt Frank Trevino $3.08 $0.74
 
$0.74
#12 Albert Tumenov Alan Jouban $1.54 $0.66
 
$0.66
      $120.00 $102.18 (85%)   $102.18 (85%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Derrick Lewis Viktor Pesta $18.46 $29.54
 
$29.54
#2 Alan Jouban Albert Tumenov $16.92 $40.61
 
-$16.92
#3 Adriano Martins Islam Makhachev $15.38 $20.76
 
$20.76
#4 Ryan Bader Rashad Evans $13.85 $16.48
 
$16.48
#5 Sergio Pettis Chris Cariaso $12.31 $6.52
 
$6.52
#6 Ruslan Magomedov Shawn Jordan $10.77 $6.03
 
$6.03
#7 Julianna Pena Jessica Eye $9.23 $4.15
 
$4.15
#8 Rose Namajunas Angela Hill $7.69 $3.38
 
$3.38
#9 Frank Trevino Sage Northcutt $6.15 $23.43
 
-$6.15
#10 Daniel Cormier Alexander Gustafsson $4.62 $1.99
 
$1.99
#11 Joseph Benavidez Ali Bagautinov $3.08 $1.02
 
$1.02
#12 Yair Rodriguez Daniel Hooker $1.54 $0.54
 
$0.54
      $120.00 $154.45 (129%)   $67.35 (56%)
 
 
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