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Event Predictions

Belator 131 - Tito vs Bonnar

San Diego
2014-11-15 22:00:00

Favourite wins: 3
Underdog wins: 2
$10 on all favourites nets: $-9.20
$10 on all underdogs nets: $5.00

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 3.5. Profit: -3.50
Total Unit Profit: -3.50

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-38.80 (1 right, 4 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-4.40 (3 right, 2 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-9.37 (3 right, 2 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-20.56 (2 right, 3 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Low
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog Tito Ortiz vs Stephan Bonnar Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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59%
   
43%
25 (46)%
 
29 (54)%
47%
 
53%
42%
 
58%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#3 Good Pick Rating
LOST
@1.69 Suggested Bet: 3.5 units on Stephan Bonnar: Returned -3.50 Units   @2.33
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $16.67 Bet Profit: $-16.67 #4 Ranked $13.33 Value Bet Profit: $-13.33

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Will Brooks vs Michael Chandler Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog
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30%
   
70%
16 (38)%
 
26 (62)%
38%
 
62%
36%
 
64%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Fair #1 Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@3.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.43
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $6.67 Value Bet Profit: $15.54

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog Joe Schilling vs Melvin Manhoef Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog
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46%
   
56%
10 (24)%
 
32 (76)%
22%
 
78%
50%
 
50%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Low #2
LOST
@2.17 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.79
$10 Bet Profit: $11.7 #2 Ranked $13.33 Bet Profit: $15.6 #3 Ranked $3.33 Value Bet Profit: $3.9

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog Mike Richman vs Nam Phan Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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79%
   
22%
15 (41)%
 
22 (59)%
42%
 
58%
71%
 
29%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #5 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.27 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.55
$10 Bet Profit: $2.7 #5 Ranked $3.33 Bet Profit: $0.9 #2 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $-10

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joe Vedepo vs Muhammed Lawal Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog
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12%
   
89%
6 (13)%
 
40 (87)%
16%
 
84%
18%
 
82%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Good #4 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@8.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.12
$10 Bet Profit: $1.2 #4 Ranked $6.67 Bet Profit: $0.8 #5 Ranked $16.67 Value Bet Profit: $-16.67


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Stephan Bonnar vs Tito Ortiz (@2.33) 58%   3.5   4.65   -3.50   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @2.33   3.5 4.65 -3.50   $0.00 $0.00 -100.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $50.00 over 5 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Stephan Bonnar Tito Ortiz $16.67 $22.17
 
-$16.67
#2 Joe Schilling Melvin Manhoef $13.33 $15.60
 
$15.60
#3 Michael Chandler Will Brooks $10.00 $4.30
 
-$10.00
#4 Muhammed Lawal Joe Vedepo $6.67 $0.80
 
$0.80
#5 Mike Richman Nam Phan $3.33 $0.90
 
$0.90
      $50.00 $43.77 (88%)   $-9.37 (-19%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Joe Vedepo Muhammed Lawal $16.67 $122.19
 
-$16.67
#2 Stephan Bonnar Tito Ortiz $13.33 $17.73
 
-$13.33
#3 Nam Phan Mike Richman $10.00 $35.50
 
-$10.00
#4 Will Brooks Michael Chandler $6.67 $15.54
 
$15.54
#5 Joe Schilling Melvin Manhoef $3.33 $3.90
 
$3.90
      $50.00 $194.86 (390%)   $-20.56 (-41%)
 
 
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