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Event Predictions

UFC 230

New York
2018-11-03 21:15:00

Favourite wins: 6
Underdog wins: 5
$10 on all favourites nets: $-32.70
$10 on all underdogs nets: $54.80

Unit Betting
Units Bet: . Profit: 0.00
Total Unit Profit:

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-22.70 (6 right, 4 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-7.70 (7 right, 4 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-3.76 (7 right, 4 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-1.74 (6 right, 5 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Good
Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Daniel Cormier vs Derrick Lewis Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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78%
   
21%
9 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
82%
 
18%
WON
Pick Rating Low #4
LOST
@1.29 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.70
$10 Bet Profit: $2.9 #4 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $3.12 #10 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $0.89

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Chris Weidman vs Ronaldo Souza Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
40%
3 (43)%
 
4 (57)%
38%
 
62%
30%
 
70%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#12 Very Good Pick Rating
WON
@1.64 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.50
$10 Bet Profit: $15 #12 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $25.38 #4 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $25.38

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jared Cannonier vs David Branch Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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25%
   
75%
1 (17)%
 
5 (83)%
17%
 
83%
10%
 
90%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#8 Fair Pick Rating
LOST
@4.00 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.33
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $-12.31 #5 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $-6.15

Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jack Marshman vs Karl Roberson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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25%
   
76%
1 (20)%
 
4 (80)%
15%
 
85%
2%
 
98%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#5 Moderate Pick Rating
WON
@3.95 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.32
$10 Bet Profit: $3.2 #5 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $4.43 #12 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $2.95

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Derek Brunson vs Israel Adesanya Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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31%
   
70%
0 (0)%
 
6 (100)%
0%
 
100%
27%
 
73%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#2 Low Pick Rating
WON
@3.25 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.42
$10 Bet Profit: $4.2 #2 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $3.88 #9 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $0.65

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jason Knight vs Jordan Rinaldi Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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74%
   
27%
4 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
66%
 
34%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #10 Moderate Anti-Pick
WON
@1.36 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.75
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $-4.62 #3 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $21.15

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Sijara Eubanks vs Roxanne Modafferi Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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83%
   
17%
5 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
75%
 
25%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.20 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @5.80
$10 Bet Profit: $2 #11 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $1.23 #1 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $-10.77

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Julio Arce vs Sheymon da Silva Moraes Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog
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70%
   
30%
4 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
154%
 
-54%
LOST
Pick Rating Fantastic #3
WON
@1.42 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.33
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $-18.46 #11 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $-18.46

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Lyman Good vs Ben Saunders Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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85%
   
17%
5 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
73%
 
27%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #7 Good+ Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.17 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @6.00
$10 Bet Profit: $1.7 #7 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.26 #8 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Lando Vannata vs Matt Frevola Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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69%
   
31%
4 (80)%
 
1 (20)%
85%
 
15%
48%
 
52%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
DRAW
#1 Very Good Pick Rating
DRAW
@1.45 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.25
$10 Bet Profit: $0 #1 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $0 #7 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $0

Value Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Kurt Holobaugh vs Shane Burgos Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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22%
   
75%
0 (0)%
 
4 (100)%
0%
 
100%
33%
 
67%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Good #9 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@4.50 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.33
$10 Bet Profit: $3.3 #9 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $1.02 #2 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Adam Wieczorek vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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63%
   
34%
3 (75)%
 
1 (25)%
77%
 
23%
62%
 
38%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #6 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.60 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.90
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $-7.69 #6 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $8.78


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet 		Potential
Win 		Units
Profit 		Cash
Bet 		Cash
Profit 		ROI
Average Odds: @nan   0 0.00 0.00   $0.00 $0.00 nan%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator
Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)		 Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Julio Arce Sheymon da Silva Moraes $18.46 $7.75
 
-$18.46
#2 Ronaldo Souza Chris Weidman $16.92 $25.38
 
$25.38
#3 Matt Frevola Lando Vannata $15.38 $34.61
 
NA
#4 Karl Roberson Jack Marshman $13.85 $4.43
 
$4.43
#5 David Branch Jared Cannonier $12.31 $4.06
 
-$12.31
#6 Daniel Cormier Derrick Lewis $10.77 $3.12
 
$3.12
#7 Israel Adesanya Derek Brunson $9.23 $3.88
 
$3.88
#8 Adam Wieczorek Marcos Rogerio de Lima $7.69 $4.61
 
-$7.69
#9 Sijara Eubanks Roxanne Modafferi $6.15 $1.23
 
$1.23
#10 Jason Knight Jordan Rinaldi $4.62 $1.66
 
-$4.62
#11 Shane Burgos Kurt Holobaugh $3.08 $1.02
 
$1.02
#12 Lyman Good Ben Saunders $1.54 $0.26
 
$0.26
      $120.00 $92.02 (77%)   $-3.76 (-3%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)		 Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Julio Arce Sheymon da Silva Moraes $18.46 $7.75
 
-$18.46
#2 Ronaldo Souza Chris Weidman $16.92 $25.38
 
$25.38
#3 Matt Frevola Lando Vannata $15.38 $34.61
 
NA
#4 Ben Saunders Lyman Good $13.85 $69.25
 
-$13.85
#5 Kurt Holobaugh Shane Burgos $12.31 $43.09
 
-$12.31
#6 Roxanne Modafferi Sijara Eubanks $10.77 $51.70
 
-$10.77
#7 Karl Roberson Jack Marshman $9.23 $2.95
 
$2.95
#8 Jordan Rinaldi Jason Knight $7.69 $21.15
 
$21.15
#9 David Branch Jared Cannonier $6.15 $2.03
 
-$6.15
#10 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Adam Wieczorek $4.62 $8.78
 
$8.78
#11 Daniel Cormier Derrick Lewis $3.08 $0.89
 
$0.89
#12 Israel Adesanya Derek Brunson $1.54 $0.65
 
$0.65
      $120.00 $268.22 (224%)   $-1.74 (-1%)
 
 
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