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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night 74 - Holloway vs. Oliveira

Saskatchewan, Canada
2015-08-23 23:00:00

Favourite wins: 5
Underdog wins: 7
$10 on all favourites nets: $-45.40
$10 on all underdogs nets: $85.20

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 0.75. Profit: 0.34
Total Unit Profit: 0.34

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-27.70 (5 right, 6 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $41.50 (8 right, 4 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $83.44 (8 right, 4 wrong)
Value betting profit: $132.37 (8 right, 4 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Good

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Max Holloway vs Charles Oliveira Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
32%
52 (76)%
 
16 (24)%
76%
 
24%
74%
 
26%
WON
Pick Rating Low #6
LOST
@1.46 Suggested Bet: 0.75 units on Max Holloway: Returned 0.34 Units   @3.10
$10 Bet Profit: $4.6 #6 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $4.25 #11 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $1.42

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Erick Silva vs Neil Magny Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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63%
   
38%
33 (73)%
 
12 (27)%
74%
 
26%
41%
 
59%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#9 Good+ Pick Rating
WON
@1.59 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.62
$10 Bet Profit: $16.2 #9 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $24.92 #9 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $24.92

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Josh Burkman vs Patrick Cote Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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56%
   
44%
23 (49)%
 
24 (51)%
51%
 
49%
50%
 
50%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#12 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@1.77 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.25
$10 Bet Profit: $12.5 #12 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $13.46 #10 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $5.78

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Chad Laprise vs Francisco Trinaldo Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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79%
   
23%
32 (80)%
 
8 (20)%
81%
 
19%
66%
 
34%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Very Poor #11 Good+ Anti-Pick
WON
@1.27 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.41
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #11 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $-3.08 #5 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $47.23

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs Tony Sims Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
33%
28 (88)%
 
4 (13)%
90%
 
10%
69%
 
31%
WON
Pick Rating Low #7
LOST
@1.49 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.99
$10 Bet Profit: $4.9 #7 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $3.77 #12 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $0.75

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Maryna Moroz vs Valerie Letourneau Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
33%
29 (76)%
 
9 (24)%
77%
 
23%
35%
 
65%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#5 Extremely Good Pick Rating
WON
@1.48 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.05
$10 Bet Profit: $20.5 #5 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $37.84 #7 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $37.84

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Sam Stout vs Frankie Perez Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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45%
   
56%
26 (76)%
 
8 (24)%
77%
 
23%
69%
 
31%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Good+ #3
WON
@2.20 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.78
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $-13.85 #3 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Yves Jabouin vs Felipe Arantes Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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33%
   
68%
10 (45)%
 
12 (55)%
51%
 
49%
42%
 
58%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Moderate #1 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.05 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.48
$10 Bet Profit: $4.8 #1 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $2.22 #1 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $-7.69

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Nikita Krylov vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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39%
   
62%
18 (58)%
 
13 (42)%
60%
 
40%
61%
 
39%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good+ #2
LOST
@2.55 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.61
$10 Bet Profit: $15.5 #2 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $26.23 #2 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $26.23

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Chris Beal vs Chris Kelades Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
41%
26 (93)%
 
2 (7)%
89%
 
11%
79%
 
21%
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #4
WON
@1.65 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.45
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #4 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $-12.31 #4 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $-9.23

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Shane Campbell vs Elias Silverio Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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31%
   
70%
8 (36)%
 
14 (64)%
39%
 
61%
43%
 
57%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Good #10 Very Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@3.19 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.43
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $-1.54 #6 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $23.59

Value Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Daniel Jolly vs Misha Cirkunov Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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21%
   
80%
6 (27)%
 
16 (73)%
32%
 
68%
26%
 
74%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Moderate #8 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@4.74 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.25
$10 Bet Profit: $2.5 #8 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $1.54 #8 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $-6.15


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Max Holloway vs Charles Oliveira (@1.46) 74%   0.75   0.34   0.34   $0.00   $0.00 46%
Average Odds: @1.46   0.75 0.34 0.34   $0.00 $0.00 46.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Valerie Letourneau Maryna Moroz $18.46 $37.84
 
$37.84
#2 Nikita Krylov Marcos Rogerio de Lima $16.92 $26.23
 
$26.23
#3 Neil Magny Erick Silva $15.38 $24.92
 
$24.92
#4 Sam Stout Frankie Perez $13.85 $16.62
 
-$13.85
#5 Chris Beal Chris Kelades $12.31 $8.00
 
-$12.31
#6 Patrick Cote Josh Burkman $10.77 $13.46
 
$13.46
#7 Max Holloway Charles Oliveira $9.23 $4.25
 
$4.25
#8 Olivier Aubin-Mercier Tony Sims $7.69 $3.77
 
$3.77
#9 Misha Cirkunov Daniel Jolly $6.15 $1.54
 
$1.54
#10 Felipe Arantes Yves Jabouin $4.62 $2.22
 
$2.22
#11 Chad Laprise Francisco Trinaldo $3.08 $0.83
 
-$3.08
#12 Elias Silverio Shane Campbell $1.54 $0.66
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $140.33 (117%)   $83.44 (70%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Valerie Letourneau Maryna Moroz $18.46 $37.84
 
$37.84
#2 Nikita Krylov Marcos Rogerio de Lima $16.92 $26.23
 
$26.23
#3 Neil Magny Erick Silva $15.38 $24.92
 
$24.92
#4 Francisco Trinaldo Chad Laprise $13.85 $47.23
 
$47.23
#5 Sam Stout Frankie Perez $12.31 $14.77
 
-$12.31
#6 Shane Campbell Elias Silverio $10.77 $23.59
 
$23.59
#7 Chris Beal Chris Kelades $9.23 $6.00
 
-$9.23
#8 Yves Jabouin Felipe Arantes $7.69 $15.76
 
-$7.69
#9 Daniel Jolly Misha Cirkunov $6.15 $23.00
 
-$6.15
#10 Patrick Cote Josh Burkman $4.62 $5.78
 
$5.78
#11 Max Holloway Charles Oliveira $3.08 $1.42
 
$1.42
#12 Olivier Aubin-Mercier Tony Sims $1.54 $0.75
 
$0.75
      $120.00 $227.28 (189%)   $132.37 (110%)
 
 
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