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Total MMA Handicappers: 1995
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 814

 
 
 
   
 

Event Predictions

UFC 180 - Werdum vs. Hunt

Mexico City
2014-11-15 22:00:00

Favourite wins: 6
Underdog wins: 4
$10 on all favourites nets: $-11.70
$10 on all underdogs nets: $18.40

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 8.75. Profit: 1.73
Total Unit Profit: 1.73

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $18.60 (7 right, 3 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $15.00 (6 right, 4 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $39.52 (6 right, 4 wrong)
Value betting profit: $59.50 (5 right, 5 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Fair
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Fabricio Werdum vs Mark Hunt Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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79%
   
22%
123 (75)%
 
42 (25)%
78%
 
22%
69%
 
31%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #9 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.27 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.55
$10 Bet Profit: $2.7 #9 Ranked $5.45 Bet Profit: $1.47 #4 Ranked $12.73 Value Bet Profit: $-12.73

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jake Ellenberger vs Kelvin Gastelum Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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34%
   
68%
74 (50)%
 
75 (50)%
51%
 
49%
50%
 
50%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Good #7
WON
@2.94 Suggested Bet: 4.75 units on Jake Ellenberger: Returned -4.75 Units   @1.47
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $16.36 Bet Profit: $-16.36 #10 Ranked $16.36 Value Bet Profit: $-16.36

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ricardo Lamas vs Dennis Bermudez Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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37%
   
63%
46 (35)%
 
86 (65)%
34%
 
66%
51%
 
49%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good #2
LOST
@2.70 Suggested Bet: 3.75 units on Ricardo Lamas: Returned 6.38 Units   @1.59
$10 Bet Profit: $17 #2 Ranked $14.55 Bet Profit: $24.74 #2 Ranked $10.91 Value Bet Profit: $18.55

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Augusto Montano vs Chris Heatherly Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
34%
33 (53)%
 
29 (47)%
54%
 
46%
56%
 
44%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #3 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.47 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.94
$10 Bet Profit: $4.7 #3 Ranked $3.64 Bet Profit: $1.71 #5 Ranked $9.09 Value Bet Profit: $-9.09

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Edgar Garcia vs Hector Urbina Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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65%
   
36%
40 (63)%
 
24 (38)%
64%
 
36%
60%
 
40%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #8 Fair Anti-Pick
WON
@1.54 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.78
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $7.27 Bet Profit: $-7.27 #8 Ranked $7.27 Value Bet Profit: $12.94

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alejandro Perez vs Jose Quinonez Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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33%
   
68%
35 (63)%
 
21 (38)%
63%
 
37%
49%
 
51%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Good #10 Very Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@3.03 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.47
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $1.82 Bet Profit: $-1.82 #3 Ranked $14.55 Value Bet Profit: $29.54

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Leslie Smith vs Jessica Eye Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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32%
   
70%
9 (9)%
 
87 (91)%
8%
 
92%
28%
 
72%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#4 Low Pick Rating
WON
@3.13 Suggested Bet: 0.25 units on Jessica Eye: Returned 0.11 Units   @1.43
$10 Bet Profit: $4.3 #4 Ranked $10.91 Bet Profit: $4.69 #6 Ranked $3.64 Value Bet Profit: $1.57

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Gabriel Benitez vs Humberto Brown Morrison Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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77%
   
24%
37 (65)%
 
20 (35)%
65%
 
35%
76%
 
24%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #6 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.30 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.17
$10 Bet Profit: $3 #6 Ranked $9.09 Bet Profit: $2.73 #9 Ranked $1.82 Value Bet Profit: $-1.82

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Enrique Briones vs Guido Cannetti Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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53%
   
49%
27 (51)%
 
26 (49)%
48%
 
52%
46%
 
54%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#1 Low Pick Rating
LOST
@1.89 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.04
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $12.73 Bet Profit: $-12.73 #1 Ranked $5.45 Value Bet Profit: $-5.45

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Marco Beltran vs Marlon Vera Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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30%
   
72%
25 (42)%
 
35 (58)%
42%
 
58%
59%
 
41%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Extremely Good #5
LOST
@3.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.39
$10 Bet Profit: $23.3 #5 Ranked $18.18 Bet Profit: $42.36 #7 Ranked $18.18 Value Bet Profit: $42.36


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Jake Ellenberger vs Kelvin Gastelum (@2.94) 50%   4.75   9.22   -4.75   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Ricardo Lamas vs Dennis Bermudez (@2.70) 51%   3.75   6.38   6.38   $0.00   $0.00 170%
Bet on Jessica Eye vs Leslie Smith (@1.43) 72%   0.25   0.11   0.11   $0.00   $0.00 43%
Average Odds: @2.13   8.75 15.70 1.73   $0.00 $0.00 19.80%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $100.00 over 10 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Marco Beltran Marlon Vera $18.18 $42.36
 
$42.36
#2 Jake Ellenberger Kelvin Gastelum $16.36 $31.74
 
-$16.36
#3 Ricardo Lamas Dennis Bermudez $14.55 $24.74
 
$24.74
#4 Guido Cannetti Enrique Briones $12.73 $13.24
 
-$12.73
#5 Jessica Eye Leslie Smith $10.91 $4.69
 
$4.69
#6 Gabriel Benitez Humberto Brown Morrison $9.09 $2.73
 
$2.73
#7 Edgar Garcia Hector Urbina $7.27 $3.93
 
-$7.27
#8 Fabricio Werdum Mark Hunt $5.45 $1.47
 
$1.47
#9 Augusto Montano Chris Heatherly $3.64 $1.71
 
$1.71
#10 Jose Quinonez Alejandro Perez $1.82 $0.86
 
-$1.82
      $100.00 $127.45 (127%)   $39.52 (40%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Marco Beltran Marlon Vera $18.18 $42.36
 
$42.36
#2 Jake Ellenberger Kelvin Gastelum $16.36 $31.74
 
-$16.36
#3 Alejandro Perez Jose Quinonez $14.55 $29.54
 
$29.54
#4 Mark Hunt Fabricio Werdum $12.73 $45.19
 
-$12.73
#5 Ricardo Lamas Dennis Bermudez $10.91 $18.55
 
$18.55
#6 Chris Heatherly Augusto Montano $9.09 $17.63
 
-$9.09
#7 Hector Urbina Edgar Garcia $7.27 $12.94
 
$12.94
#8 Guido Cannetti Enrique Briones $5.45 $5.67
 
-$5.45
#9 Jessica Eye Leslie Smith $3.64 $1.57
 
$1.57
#10 Humberto Brown Morrison Gabriel Benitez $1.82 $5.77
 
-$1.82
      $100.00 $210.95 (211%)   $59.50 (59%)
 
 
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