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Event Predictions

UFC 188 - Velasquez vs. Werdum

Mexico City
2015-06-13 19:00:00

Favourite wins: 4
Underdog wins: 7
$10 on all favourites nets: $-61.00
$10 on all underdogs nets: $103.50

Unit Betting
Units Bet: . Profit: 0.00
Total Unit Profit:

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $19.90 (7 right, 4 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $44.90 (8 right, 3 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $97.49 (8 right, 3 wrong)
Value betting profit: $114.88 (7 right, 4 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Fair
Average Value Bet Rating: Very Good
Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cain Velasquez vs Fabricio Werdum Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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83%
   
19%
95 (82)%
 
21 (18)%
84%
 
16%
57%
 
43%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Very Poor #8 Fantastic Anti-Pick
WON
@1.20 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.26
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $1.67 Bet Profit: $-1.67 #11 Ranked $16.67 Value Bet Profit: $71.01

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Gilbert Melendez vs Eddie Alvarez Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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62%
   
39%
74 (76)%
 
24 (24)%
78%
 
22%
53%
 
47%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Very Poor #6 Moderate Anti-Pick
WON
@1.61 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @2.56
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $8.33 Bet Profit: $-8.33 #8 Ranked $3.33 Value Bet Profit: $5.19

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Kelvin Gastelum vs Nate Marquardt Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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82%
   
19%
76 (84)%
 
14 (16)%
84%
 
16%
72%
 
28%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.22 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.26
$10 Bet Profit: $2.2 #11 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $2.2 #6 Ranked $8.33 Value Bet Profit: $-8.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Charles Rosa vs Yair Rodriguez Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
34%
21 (64)%
 
12 (36)%
63%
 
37%
56%
 
44%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Very Poor #10 Moderate Anti-Pick
WON
@1.47 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.94
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $6.67 Bet Profit: $-6.67 #9 Ranked $6.67 Value Bet Profit: $12.94

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tecia Torres vs Angela Hill Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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74%
   
28%
59 (83)%
 
12 (17)%
85%
 
15%
69%
 
31%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #7 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.35 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.57
$10 Bet Profit: $3.5 #7 Ranked $11.67 Bet Profit: $4.08 #10 Ranked $1.67 Value Bet Profit: $-1.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Henry Cejudo vs Chico Camus Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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91%
   
10%
78 (95)%
 
4 (5)%
95%
 
5%
66%
 
34%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #9 Fantastic Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.10 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @10.00
$10 Bet Profit: $1 #9 Ranked $5 Bet Profit: $0.5 #5 Ranked $18.33 Value Bet Profit: $-18.33

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Efrain Escudero vs Drew Dober Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
59%
26 (65)%
 
14 (35)%
64%
 
36%
73%
 
27%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Very Good #3
LOST
@2.38 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.69
$10 Bet Profit: $13.8 #3 Ranked $16.67 Bet Profit: $23 #3 Ranked $11.67 Value Bet Profit: $16.1

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alejandro Perez vs Patrick Williams Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
40%
14 (50)%
 
14 (50)%
49%
 
51%
39%
 
61%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#4 Good+ Pick Rating
WON
@1.64 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.50
$10 Bet Profit: $15 #4 Ranked $15 Bet Profit: $22.5 #4 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $15

Value Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Frank Trevino vs Johnny Case Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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19%
   
81%
14 (44)%
 
18 (56)%
50%
 
50%
43%
 
57%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Fantastic #1 Very Poor Pick Rating
WON
@5.26 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.23
$10 Bet Profit: $2.3 #1 Ranked $3.33 Bet Profit: $0.77 #1 Ranked $15 Value Bet Profit: $-15

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cathal Pendred vs Augusto Montano Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
60%
26 (59)%
 
18 (41)%
60%
 
40%
51%
 
49%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #5
LOST
@2.38 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.67
$10 Bet Profit: $13.8 #5 Ranked $13.33 Bet Profit: $18.4 #7 Ranked $5 Value Bet Profit: $6.9

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Gabriel Benitez vs Clay Collard Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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30%
   
70%
16 (59)%
 
11 (41)%
62%
 
38%
67%
 
33%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Fantastic #2
LOST
@3.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.43
$10 Bet Profit: $23.3 #2 Ranked $18.33 Bet Profit: $42.71 #2 Ranked $13.33 Value Bet Profit: $31.06


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet 		Potential
Win 		Units
Profit 		Cash
Bet 		Cash
Profit 		ROI
Average Odds: @nan   0 0.00 0.00   $0.00 $0.00 nan%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator
Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $110.00 over 11 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)		 Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Gabriel Benitez Clay Collard $18.33 $42.71
 
$42.71
#2 Efrain Escudero Drew Dober $16.67 $23.00
 
$23.00
#3 Patrick Williams Alejandro Perez $15.00 $22.50
 
$22.50
#4 Cathal Pendred Augusto Montano $13.33 $18.40
 
$18.40
#5 Tecia Torres Angela Hill $11.67 $4.08
 
$4.08
#6 Kelvin Gastelum Nate Marquardt $10.00 $2.20
 
$2.20
#7 Gilbert Melendez Eddie Alvarez $8.33 $5.08
 
-$8.33
#8 Charles Rosa Yair Rodriguez $6.67 $3.13
 
-$6.67
#9 Henry Cejudo Chico Camus $5.00 $0.50
 
$0.50
#10 Johnny Case Frank Trevino $3.33 $0.77
 
$0.77
#11 Cain Velasquez Fabricio Werdum $1.67 $0.33
 
-$1.67
      $110.00 $122.71 (112%)   $97.49 (89%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)		 Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Chico Camus Henry Cejudo $18.33 $164.97
 
-$18.33
#2 Fabricio Werdum Cain Velasquez $16.67 $71.01
 
$71.01
#3 Frank Trevino Johnny Case $15.00 $63.90
 
-$15.00
#4 Gabriel Benitez Clay Collard $13.33 $31.06
 
$31.06
#5 Efrain Escudero Drew Dober $11.67 $16.10
 
$16.10
#6 Patrick Williams Alejandro Perez $10.00 $15.00
 
$15.00
#7 Nate Marquardt Kelvin Gastelum $8.33 $35.49
 
-$8.33
#8 Yair Rodriguez Charles Rosa $6.67 $12.94
 
$12.94
#9 Cathal Pendred Augusto Montano $5.00 $6.90
 
$6.90
#10 Eddie Alvarez Gilbert Melendez $3.33 $5.19
 
$5.19
#11 Angela Hill Tecia Torres $1.67 $4.29
 
-$1.67
      $110.00 $426.86 (388%)   $114.88 (104%)
 
 
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