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Event Predictions

UFC 187 - Cormier vs. Johnson

Las Vegas
2015-05-23 19:00:00

Favourite wins: 8
Underdog wins: 2
$10 on all favourites nets: $1.20
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-8.90

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 11. Profit: -6.10
Total Unit Profit: -6.10

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-12.70 (7 right, 3 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-3.50 (8 right, 3 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-5.93 (8 right, 3 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-13.59 (3 right, 8 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Low
Average Value Bet Rating: Good

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Daniel Cormier vs Anthony Johnson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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51%
   
51%
64 (50)%
 
63 (50)%
50%
 
50%
64%
 
36%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #1
LOST
@1.96 Suggested Bet: 2.5 units on Daniel Cormier: Returned 2.40 Units   @1.96
$10 Bet Profit: $9.6 #1 Ranked $16.67 Bet Profit: $16 #8 Ranked $5 Value Bet Profit: $4.8

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Chris Weidman vs Vitor Belfort Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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81%
   
20%
115 (84)%
 
22 (16)%
86%
 
14%
76%
 
24%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #2 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.23 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.00
$10 Bet Profit: $2.3 #2 Ranked $13.33 Bet Profit: $3.07 #10 Ranked $3.33 Value Bet Profit: $-3.33

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile John Makdessi vs Donald Cerrone Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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17%
   
85%
7 (6)%
 
117 (94)%
4%
 
96%
22%
 
78%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Moderate #4 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@5.88 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.18
$10 Bet Profit: $1.8 #4 Ranked $11.67 Bet Profit: $2.1 #9 Ranked $8.33 Value Bet Profit: $-8.33

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Andrei Arlovski vs Travis Browne Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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21%
   
80%
27 (24)%
 
84 (76)%
23%
 
77%
36%
 
64%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Very Good #8 Very Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@4.76 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.25
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $1.67 Bet Profit: $-1.67 #2 Ranked $16.67 Value Bet Profit: $62.68

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joseph Benavidez vs John Moraga Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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85%
   
16%
96 (96)%
 
4 (4)%
96%
 
4%
76%
 
24%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #5 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.18 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @6.25
$10 Bet Profit: $1.8 #5 Ranked $8.33 Bet Profit: $1.5 #6 Ranked $11.67 Value Bet Profit: $-11.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile John Dodson vs Zach Makovsky Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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85%
   
17%
109 (96)%
 
5 (4)%
96%
 
4%
75%
 
25%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #9 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.18 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.88
$10 Bet Profit: $1.8 #9 Ranked $6.67 Bet Profit: $1.2 #1 Ranked $13.33 Value Bet Profit: $-13.33

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Josh Burkman vs Dong Hyun Kim Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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30%
   
70%
16 (22)%
 
56 (78)%
20%
 
80%
56%
 
44%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Extremely Good #11
WON
@3.33 Suggested Bet: 8.5 units on Josh Burkman: Returned -8.50 Units   @1.43
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #11 Ranked $18.33 Bet Profit: $-18.33 #3 Ranked $18.33 Value Bet Profit: $-18.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Urijah Hall vs Rafael Natal Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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79%
   
23%
76 (85)%
 
13 (15)%
87%
 
13%
76%
 
24%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #3 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.27 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.35
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $15 Bet Profit: $-15 #11 Ranked $1.67 Value Bet Profit: $5.59

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mike Pyle vs Colby Covington Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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29%
   
72%
24 (57)%
 
18 (43)%
57%
 
43%
40%
 
60%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Good #10 Very Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.45 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.39
$10 Bet Profit: $3.9 #10 Ranked $3.33 Bet Profit: $1.3 #5 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $-10

Value Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Leo Kuntz vs Islam Makhachev Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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23%
   
78%
12 (35)%
 
22 (65)%
33%
 
67%
34%
 
66%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Good #7 Very Poor Pick Rating
WON
@4.35 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.28
$10 Bet Profit: $2.8 #7 Ranked $5 Bet Profit: $1.4 #4 Ranked $15 Value Bet Profit: $-15

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Justin Scoggins vs Josh Sampo Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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80%
   
22%
34 (69)%
 
15 (31)%
70%
 
30%
72%
 
28%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #6 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.25 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.55
$10 Bet Profit: $2.5 #6 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $2.5 #7 Ranked $6.67 Value Bet Profit: $-6.67


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Josh Burkman vs Dong Hyun Kim (@3.33) 56%   8.5   19.81   -8.50   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Daniel Cormier vs Anthony Johnson (@1.96) 64%   2.5   2.40   2.40   $0.00   $0.00 96%
Average Odds: @2.47   11 22.21 -6.10   $0.00 $0.00 -55.45%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $110.00 over 11 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Josh Burkman Dong Hyun Kim $18.33 $42.71
 
-$18.33
#2 Daniel Cormier Anthony Johnson $16.67 $16.00
 
$16.00
#3 Urijah Hall Rafael Natal $15.00 $4.05
 
-$15.00
#4 Chris Weidman Vitor Belfort $13.33 $3.07
 
$3.07
#5 Donald Cerrone John Makdessi $11.67 $2.10
 
$2.10
#6 Justin Scoggins Josh Sampo $10.00 $2.50
 
$2.50
#7 Joseph Benavidez John Moraga $8.33 $1.50
 
$1.50
#8 John Dodson Zach Makovsky $6.67 $1.20
 
$1.20
#9 Islam Makhachev Leo Kuntz $5.00 $1.40
 
$1.40
#10 Colby Covington Mike Pyle $3.33 $1.30
 
$1.30
#11 Travis Browne Andrei Arlovski $1.67 $0.42
 
-$1.67
      $110.00 $76.24 (69%)   $-5.93 (-5%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Josh Burkman Dong Hyun Kim $18.33 $42.71
 
-$18.33
#2 Andrei Arlovski Travis Browne $16.67 $62.68
 
$62.68
#3 Leo Kuntz Islam Makhachev $15.00 $50.25
 
-$15.00
#4 Zach Makovsky John Dodson $13.33 $65.05
 
-$13.33
#5 John Moraga Joseph Benavidez $11.67 $61.27
 
-$11.67
#6 Mike Pyle Colby Covington $10.00 $24.50
 
-$10.00
#7 John Makdessi Donald Cerrone $8.33 $40.65
 
-$8.33
#8 Josh Sampo Justin Scoggins $6.67 $23.68
 
-$6.67
#9 Daniel Cormier Anthony Johnson $5.00 $4.80
 
$4.80
#10 Vitor Belfort Chris Weidman $3.33 $13.32
 
-$3.33
#11 Rafael Natal Urijah Hall $1.67 $5.59
 
$5.59
      $110.00 $394.50 (359%)   $-13.59 (-12%)
 
 
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