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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira

Stockholm, Sweden
2017-05-28 15:00:00

Favourite wins: 7
Underdog wins: 5
$10 on all favourites nets: $-15.80
$10 on all underdogs nets: $48.00

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 0.5. Profit: 0.17
Total Unit Profit: 0.17

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-35.80 (6 right, 6 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-13.80 (7 right, 5 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-1.12 (7 right, 5 wrong)
Value betting profit: $97.07 (9 right, 3 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Low
Average Value Bet Rating: Fair

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alexander Gustafsson vs Glover Teixeira Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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74%
   
27%
26 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
78%
 
22%
WON
Pick Rating Low #8
LOST
@1.35 Suggested Bet: 0.5 units on Alexander Gustafsson: Returned 0.18 Units   @3.70
$10 Bet Profit: $3.5 #8 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $4.31 #11 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $2.15

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Misha Cirkunov vs Volkan Oezdemir Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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80%
   
20%
14 (88)%
 
2 (13)%
87%
 
13%
76%
 
24%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #9 Fair Anti-Pick
WON
@1.25 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @5.00
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $-4.62 #12 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $55.4

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ben Saunders vs Peter Sobotta Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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50%
   
50%
6 (67)%
 
3 (33)%
71%
 
29%
70%
 
30%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Good #1
WON
@2.02 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.00
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $-18.46 #2 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $-18.46

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Abdul Razak Alhassan vs Omari Akhmedov Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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69%
   
31%
5 (63)%
 
3 (38)%
59%
 
41%
75%
 
25%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #10
WON
@1.45 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.20
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $-13.85 #8 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $-7.69

Value Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog Oliver Enkamp vs Nordine Taleb Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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24%
   
78%
1 (17)%
 
5 (83)%
12%
 
88%
33%
 
67%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Good #7 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@4.25 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.28
$10 Bet Profit: $2.8 #7 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.43 #10 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $-16.92

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jack Hermansson vs Alex Nicholson Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
41%
5 (71)%
 
2 (29)%
75%
 
25%
70%
 
30%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #5
LOST
@1.65 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.45
$10 Bet Profit: $6.5 #5 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $11 #7 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $8

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Pedro Munhoz vs Damian Stasiak Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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88%
   
13%
5 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
91%
 
9%
WON
Pick Rating Low #11
LOST
@1.14 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @7.62
$10 Bet Profit: $1.4 #11 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $1.08 #1 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $0.22

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Trevor Smith vs Chris Camozzi Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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38%
   
61%
2 (20)%
 
8 (80)%
24%
 
76%
42%
 
58%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Low #3 Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@2.60 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.65
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $-6.15 #4 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $14.77

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joaquim Silva vs Reza Madadi Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
40%
3 (75)%
 
1 (25)%
78%
 
22%
64%
 
36%
WON
Pick Rating Low #4
LOST
@1.65 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.50
$10 Bet Profit: $6.5 #4 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $6 #6 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $2

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Nico Musoke vs Bojan Velickovic Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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56%
   
45%
3 (50)%
 
3 (50)%
48%
 
52%
50%
 
50%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#6 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@1.80 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.20
$10 Bet Profit: $12 #6 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $18.46 #9 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $12.92

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Darren Till vs Jessin Ayari Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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74%
   
25%
6 (86)%
 
1 (14)%
90%
 
10%
78%
 
22%
WON
Pick Rating Low #2
LOST
@1.35 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.95
$10 Bet Profit: $3.5 #2 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $3.77 #3 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $1.62

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Marcin Held vs Damir Hadzovic Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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74%
   
26%
6 (86)%
 
1 (14)%
87%
 
13%
66%
 
34%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #12 Moderate Anti-Pick
WON
@1.36 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.80
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #12 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $-3.08 #5 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $43.06


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Alexander Gustafsson vs Glover Teixeira (@1.35) 78%   0.5   0.17   0.18   $0.00   $0.00 35%
Average Odds: @1.35   0.5 0.17 0.18   $0.00 $0.00 35.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Ben Saunders Peter Sobotta $18.46 $18.83
 
-$18.46
#2 Jack Hermansson Alex Nicholson $16.92 $11.00
 
$11.00
#3 Bojan Velickovic Nico Musoke $15.38 $18.46
 
$18.46
#4 Abdul Razak Alhassan Omari Akhmedov $13.85 $6.23
 
-$13.85
#5 Alexander Gustafsson Glover Teixeira $12.31 $4.31
 
$4.31
#6 Darren Till Jessin Ayari $10.77 $3.77
 
$3.77
#7 Joaquim Silva Reza Madadi $9.23 $6.00
 
$6.00
#8 Pedro Munhoz Damian Stasiak $7.69 $1.08
 
$1.08
#9 Chris Camozzi Trevor Smith $6.15 $4.00
 
-$6.15
#10 Misha Cirkunov Volkan Oezdemir $4.62 $1.16
 
-$4.62
#11 Marcin Held Damir Hadzovic $3.08 $1.11
 
-$3.08
#12 Nordine Taleb Oliver Enkamp $1.54 $0.43
 
$0.43
      $120.00 $76.36 (64%)   $-1.12 (-1%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Ben Saunders Peter Sobotta $18.46 $18.83
 
-$18.46
#2 Oliver Enkamp Nordine Taleb $16.92 $54.99
 
-$16.92
#3 Damir Hadzovic Marcin Held $15.38 $43.06
 
$43.06
#4 Volkan Oezdemir Misha Cirkunov $13.85 $55.40
 
$55.40
#5 Jack Hermansson Alex Nicholson $12.31 $8.00
 
$8.00
#6 Bojan Velickovic Nico Musoke $10.77 $12.92
 
$12.92
#7 Trevor Smith Chris Camozzi $9.23 $14.77
 
$14.77
#8 Abdul Razak Alhassan Omari Akhmedov $7.69 $3.46
 
-$7.69
#9 Alexander Gustafsson Glover Teixeira $6.15 $2.15
 
$2.15
#10 Darren Till Jessin Ayari $4.62 $1.62
 
$1.62
#11 Joaquim Silva Reza Madadi $3.08 $2.00
 
$2.00
#12 Pedro Munhoz Damian Stasiak $1.54 $0.22
 
$0.22
      $120.00 $217.42 (181%)   $97.07 (81%)
 
 
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