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Event Predictions

UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos

Dallas, Texas
2017-05-13 23:30:00

Favourite wins: 7
Underdog wins: 4
$10 on all favourites nets: $3.90
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-21.50

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 12.5. Profit: 10.59
Total Unit Profit: 10.59

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $51.10 (9 right, 2 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $48.90 (9 right, 2 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $80.38 (9 right, 2 wrong)
Value betting profit: $63.15 (8 right, 3 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Fair
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Stipe Miocic vs Junior dos Santos Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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57%
   
44%
42 (79)%
 
11 (21)%
81%
 
19%
72%
 
28%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #3
LOST
@1.74 Suggested Bet: 2.5 units on Stipe Miocic: Returned 1.85 Units   @2.25
$10 Bet Profit: $7.4 #3 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $9.11 #5 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $7.97

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joanna Jedrzejczyk vs Jessica Andrade Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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64%
   
36%
50 (88)%
 
7 (12)%
89%
 
11%
80%
 
20%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #7
LOST
@1.57 Suggested Bet: 2.5 units on Joanna Jedrzejczyk: Returned 1.43 Units   @2.80
$10 Bet Profit: $5.7 #7 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $7.89 #9 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $7.02

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Demian Maia vs Jorge Masvidal Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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48%
   
53%
29 (57)%
 
22 (43)%
61%
 
39%
66%
 
34%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good #9
LOST
@2.10 Suggested Bet: 3.75 units on Demian Maia: Returned 4.13 Units   @1.87
$10 Bet Profit: $11 #9 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $18.61 #11 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $18.61

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Frankie Edgar vs Yair Rodriguez Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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53%
   
45%
28 (67)%
 
14 (33)%
68%
 
32%
72%
 
28%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #2
LOST
@1.87 Suggested Bet: 3.25 units on Frankie Edgar: Returned 2.83 Units   @2.20
$10 Bet Profit: $8.7 #2 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $13.38 #4 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $13.38

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile David Branch vs Krzysztof Jotko Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
60%
9 (43)%
 
12 (57)%
42%
 
58%
45%
 
55%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Low #8 Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@2.40 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.67
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $-4.62 #12 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $6.47

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Eddie Alvarez vs Dustin Poirier Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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47%
   
53%
32 (74)%
 
11 (26)%
74%
 
26%
51%
 
49%
Bookies Favourite
CANCELLED / NC
Pick Rating Low #10
CANCELLED / NC
@2.15 Suggested Bet: 0.75 units on Eddie Alvarez   @1.87
$10 Bet Profit: $0 #10 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $0 #10 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $0

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Chas Skelly vs Jason Knight Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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51%
   
49%
1 (17)%
 
5 (83)%
17%
 
83%
46%
 
54%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#6 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@1.95 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.05
$10 Bet Profit: $10.5 #6 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $11.31 #8 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $8.07

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Chase Sherman vs Rashad Coulter Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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51%
   
50%
8 (50)%
 
8 (50)%
49%
 
51%
49%
 
51%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#5 Low Pick Rating
LOST
@1.95 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.00
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $-6.15 #7 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $-1.54

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile James Vick vs Marco Polo Reyes Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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79%
   
22%
12 (71)%
 
5 (29)%
73%
 
27%
73%
 
27%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #12 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.27 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.55
$10 Bet Profit: $2.7 #12 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $0.83 #2 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $-9.23

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jessica Aguilar vs Cortney Casey Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
58%
12 (57)%
 
9 (43)%
53%
 
47%
39%
 
61%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#4 Low Pick Rating
WON
@2.36 Suggested Bet: 0.5 units on Cortney Casey: Returned 0.37 Units   @1.73
$10 Bet Profit: $7.3 #4 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $5.61 #6 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $2.25

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Gabriel Benitez vs Enrique Barzola Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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56%
   
43%
7 (39)%
 
11 (61)%
37%
 
63%
34%
 
66%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#1 Good+ Pick Rating
WON
@1.77 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.30
$10 Bet Profit: $13 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $24 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $24

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joachim Christensen vs Gadzhimurad Antigulov Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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22%
   
79%
0 (0)%
 
7 (100)%
0%
 
100%
29%
 
71%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Moderate #11 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@4.50 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.26
$10 Bet Profit: $2.6 #11 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.4 #3 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Demian Maia vs Jorge Masvidal (@2.10) 66%   3.75   4.13   4.13   $0.00   $0.00 110%
Bet on Frankie Edgar vs Yair Rodriguez (@1.87) 72%   3.25   2.83   2.83   $0.00   $0.00 87%
Bet on Stipe Miocic vs Junior dos Santos (@1.74) 72%   2.5   1.85   1.85   $0.00   $0.00 74%
Bet on Joanna Jedrzejczyk vs Jessica Andrade (@1.57) 80%   2.5   1.42   1.43   $0.00   $0.00 57%
Bet on Eddie Alvarez vs Dustin Poirier (@2.15) *Cancelled* 51%   0.75   0.86   0.00   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Cortney Casey vs Jessica Aguilar (@1.73) 61%   0.5   0.36   0.37   $0.00   $0.00 73%
Average Odds: @1.84   12.5 11.46 10.59   $0.00 $0.00 84.74%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Enrique Barzola Gabriel Benitez $18.46 $24.00
 
$24.00
#2 Demian Maia Jorge Masvidal $16.92 $18.61
 
$18.61
#3 Frankie Edgar Yair Rodriguez $15.38 $13.38
 
$13.38
#4 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Jessica Andrade $13.85 $7.89
 
$7.89
#5 Stipe Miocic Junior dos Santos $12.31 $9.11
 
$9.11
#6 Jason Knight Chas Skelly $10.77 $11.31
 
$11.31
#7 Eddie Alvarez Dustin Poirier $9.23 $10.61
 
NA
#8 Cortney Casey Jessica Aguilar $7.69 $5.61
 
$5.61
#9 Rashad Coulter Chase Sherman $6.15 $6.15
 
-$6.15
#10 Krzysztof Jotko David Branch $4.62 $3.10
 
-$4.62
#11 James Vick Marco Polo Reyes $3.08 $0.83
 
$0.83
#12 Gadzhimurad Antigulov Joachim Christensen $1.54 $0.40
 
$0.40
      $120.00 $111.01 (93%)   $80.38 (67%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Enrique Barzola Gabriel Benitez $18.46 $24.00
 
$24.00
#2 Demian Maia Jorge Masvidal $16.92 $18.61
 
$18.61
#3 Frankie Edgar Yair Rodriguez $15.38 $13.38
 
$13.38
#4 Joachim Christensen Gadzhimurad Antigulov $13.85 $48.48
 
-$13.85
#5 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Jessica Andrade $12.31 $7.02
 
$7.02
#6 Stipe Miocic Junior dos Santos $10.77 $7.97
 
$7.97
#7 Marco Polo Reyes James Vick $9.23 $32.77
 
-$9.23
#8 Jason Knight Chas Skelly $7.69 $8.07
 
$8.07
#9 Eddie Alvarez Dustin Poirier $6.15 $7.07
 
NA
#10 David Branch Krzysztof Jotko $4.62 $6.47
 
$6.47
#11 Cortney Casey Jessica Aguilar $3.08 $2.25
 
$2.25
#12 Rashad Coulter Chase Sherman $1.54 $1.54
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $177.62 (148%)   $63.15 (53%)
 
 
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