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Event Predictions

UFC 186 - Johnson vs. Horiguchi

Montreal, Canada
2015-04-25 20:00:00

Favourite wins: 11
Underdog wins: 1
$10 on all favourites nets: $37.30
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-91.40

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 4.5. Profit: 2.87
Total Unit Profit: 2.87

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $37.30 (11 right, 1 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $37.30 (11 right, 1 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $57.09 (11 right, 1 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-26.37 (6 right, 6 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Poor
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Demetrious Johnson vs Kyoji Horiguchi Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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88%
   
13%
161 (96)%
 
7 (4)%
97%
 
3%
78%
 
22%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #8 Very Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.14 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @7.69
$10 Bet Profit: $1.4 #8 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $0.86 #8 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $-18.46

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Quinton Jackson vs Fabio Maldonado Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
30%
54 (77)%
 
16 (23)%
82%
 
18%
62%
 
38%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #12 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.43 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.33
$10 Bet Profit: $4.3 #12 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $1.99 #2 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Michael Bisping vs C.B. Dollaway Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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59%
   
43%
118 (79)%
 
32 (21)%
82%
 
18%
71%
 
29%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #3
LOST
@1.69 Suggested Bet: 1.75 units on Michael Bisping: Returned 1.21 Units   @2.33
$10 Bet Profit: $6.9 #3 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $11.67 #6 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $5.31

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Shane Campbell vs John Makdessi Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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40%
   
60%
14 (31)%
 
31 (69)%
31%
 
69%
27%
 
73%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#2 Moderate Pick Rating
WON
@2.50 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.67
$10 Bet Profit: $6.7 #2 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $12.37 #3 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $7.22

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Thomas Almeida vs Yves Jabouin Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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81%
   
21%
54 (79)%
 
14 (21)%
84%
 
16%
71%
 
29%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #9 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.23 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.76
$10 Bet Profit: $2.3 #9 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $0.71 #7 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $-15.38

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Patrick Cote vs Joe Riggs Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
33%
82 (81)%
 
19 (19)%
83%
 
17%
75%
 
25%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #4
LOST
@1.49 Suggested Bet: 1 units on Patrick Cote: Returned 0.49 Units   @3.03
$10 Bet Profit: $4.9 #4 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $6.79 #9 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $1.51

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Sarah Kaufman vs Alexis Davis Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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66%
   
35%
57 (66)%
 
30 (34)%
66%
 
34%
51%
 
49%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Very Poor #5 Good Anti-Pick
WON
@1.52 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @2.86
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $-1.54 #10 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $31.47

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Chad Laprise vs Bryan Barberena Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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79%
   
22%
44 (66)%
 
23 (34)%
68%
 
32%
79%
 
21%
WON
Pick Rating Low #10
LOST
@1.27 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.55
$10 Bet Profit: $2.7 #10 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $3.32 #5 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $0.42

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs David Michaud Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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77%
   
23%
50 (77)%
 
15 (23)%
78%
 
22%
70%
 
30%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.30 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.35
$10 Bet Profit: $3 #11 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $2.77 #4 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Nordine Taleb vs Chris Clements Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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69%
   
31%
23 (59)%
 
16 (41)%
59%
 
41%
63%
 
37%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #1 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.45 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.23
$10 Bet Profit: $4.5 #1 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $4.85 #1 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $-6.15

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jessica Rakoczy vs Valerie Letourneau Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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40%
   
60%
21 (34)%
 
41 (66)%
31%
 
69%
29%
 
71%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#7 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@2.50 Suggested Bet: 1.75 units on Valerie Letourneau: Returned 1.17 Units   @1.67
$10 Bet Profit: $6.7 #7 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $10.3 #12 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $3.1

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Randa Markos vs Aisling Daly Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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72%
   
29%
51 (75)%
 
17 (25)%
74%
 
26%
65%
 
35%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #6 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.39 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.45
$10 Bet Profit: $3.9 #6 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $3 #11 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $-9.23


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Michael Bisping vs C.B. Dollaway (@1.69) 71%   1.75   1.21   1.21   $0.00   $0.00 69%
Bet on Valerie Letourneau vs Jessica Rakoczy (@1.67) 71%   1.75   1.17   1.17   $0.00   $0.00 67%
Bet on Patrick Cote vs Joe Riggs (@1.49) 75%   1   0.49   0.49   $0.00   $0.00 49%
Average Odds: @1.61   4.5 2.87 2.87   $0.00 $0.00 63.78%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 John Makdessi Shane Campbell $18.46 $12.37
 
$12.37
#2 Michael Bisping C.B. Dollaway $16.92 $11.67
 
$11.67
#3 Valerie Letourneau Jessica Rakoczy $15.38 $10.30
 
$10.30
#4 Patrick Cote Joe Riggs $13.85 $6.79
 
$6.79
#5 Chad Laprise Bryan Barberena $12.31 $3.32
 
$3.32
#6 Nordine Taleb Chris Clements $10.77 $4.85
 
$4.85
#7 Olivier Aubin-Mercier David Michaud $9.23 $2.77
 
$2.77
#8 Randa Markos Aisling Daly $7.69 $3.00
 
$3.00
#9 Demetrious Johnson Kyoji Horiguchi $6.15 $0.86
 
$0.86
#10 Quinton Jackson Fabio Maldonado $4.62 $1.99
 
$1.99
#11 Thomas Almeida Yves Jabouin $3.08 $0.71
 
$0.71
#12 Sarah Kaufman Alexis Davis $1.54 $0.80
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $59.43 (50%)   $57.09 (48%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Kyoji Horiguchi Demetrious Johnson $18.46 $123.50
 
-$18.46
#2 Alexis Davis Sarah Kaufman $16.92 $31.47
 
$31.47
#3 Yves Jabouin Thomas Almeida $15.38 $57.83
 
-$15.38
#4 David Michaud Olivier Aubin-Mercier $13.85 $46.40
 
-$13.85
#5 Fabio Maldonado Quinton Jackson $12.31 $28.68
 
-$12.31
#6 John Makdessi Shane Campbell $10.77 $7.22
 
$7.22
#7 Aisling Daly Randa Markos $9.23 $22.61
 
-$9.23
#8 Michael Bisping C.B. Dollaway $7.69 $5.31
 
$5.31
#9 Chris Clements Nordine Taleb $6.15 $13.71
 
-$6.15
#10 Valerie Letourneau Jessica Rakoczy $4.62 $3.10
 
$3.10
#11 Patrick Cote Joe Riggs $3.08 $1.51
 
$1.51
#12 Chad Laprise Bryan Barberena $1.54 $0.42
 
$0.42
      $120.00 $341.75 (285%)   $-26.37 (-22%)
 
 
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