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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night 106 Belfort vs. Gastelum

Fortaleza, Brazil
2017-03-11 23:45:00

Favourite wins: 9
Underdog wins: 2
$10 on all favourites nets: $33.90
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-53.50

Unit Betting
Units Bet: . Profit: 0.00
Total Unit Profit:

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $42.60 (9 right, 2 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $61.40 (10 right, 1 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $60.59 (10 right, 1 wrong)
Value betting profit: $19.07 (7 right, 4 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Fantastic
Average Value Bet Rating: Fantastic

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Vitor Belfort vs Kelvin Gastelum Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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24%
   
78%
3 (12)%
 
22 (88)%
15%
 
85%
26%
 
74%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Low #12 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@4.15 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.29
$10 Bet Profit: $2.9 #12 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $1.34 #10 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $-9.23

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mauricio Rua vs Gian Villante Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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59%
   
42%
13 (87)%
 
2 (13)%
89%
 
11%
56%
 
44%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #8 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.70 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.36
$10 Bet Profit: $7 #8 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $2.16 #8 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $-6.15

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Edson Barboza vs Beneil Dariush Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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60%
   
40%
14 (82)%
 
3 (18)%
86%
 
14%
74%
 
26%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #7
LOST
@1.68 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.50
$10 Bet Profit: $6.8 #7 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $9.42 #7 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $9.42

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jussier Formiga vs Ray Borg Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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48%
   
53%
4 (57)%
 
3 (43)%
62%
 
38%
41%
 
59%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#4 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@2.10 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.88
$10 Bet Profit: $8.8 #4 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $10.83 #4 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $9.48

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Bethe Correia vs Marion Reneau Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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49%
   
52%
7 (70)%
 
3 (30)%
76%
 
24%
49%
 
51%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
DRAW
Anti-Pick Low #6 Poor Pick Rating
DRAW
@2.05 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.94
$10 Bet Profit: $0 #6 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $0 #6 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $0

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tim Means vs Alex Oliveira Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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64%
   
36%
4 (36)%
 
7 (64)%
39%
 
61%
46%
 
54%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#11 Good Pick Rating
WON
@1.56 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.75
$10 Bet Profit: $17.5 #11 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $26.92 #12 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $26.92

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Francisco Trinaldo vs Kevin Lee Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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38%
   
60%
4 (40)%
 
6 (60)%
38%
 
62%
39%
 
61%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#3 Low Pick Rating
WON
@2.61 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.67
$10 Bet Profit: $6.7 #3 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $6.18 #3 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $3.1

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Sergio Moraes vs Davi Ramos Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
32%
3 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
1,437%
 
-1,337%
WON
Pick Rating Fantastic #10
LOST
@1.50 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.10
$10 Bet Profit: $5 #10 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $9.23 #11 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $9.23

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Rani Yahya vs Joe Soto Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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64%
   
34%
4 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
230%
 
-130%
LOST
Pick Rating Fantastic #5
WON
@1.57 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.90
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $-16.92 #5 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $-16.92

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Josh Burkman vs Michel Prazeres Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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31%
   
71%
3 (38)%
 
5 (63)%
38%
 
62%
35%
 
65%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Fair #2 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.25 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.41
$10 Bet Profit: $4.1 #2 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.63 #2 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Rony Jason vs Jeremy Kennedy Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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49%
   
53%
2 (33)%
 
4 (67)%
40%
 
60%
47%
 
53%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#9 Low Pick Rating
WON
@2.05 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.90
$10 Bet Profit: $9 #9 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $6.92 #9 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $2.77

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Garreth McLellan vs Paulo Costa Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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28%
   
74%
3 (38)%
 
5 (63)%
35%
 
65%
23%
 
77%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#1 Low Pick Rating
WON
@3.63 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.36
$10 Bet Profit: $3.6 #1 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $3.88 #1 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $2.77


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Average Odds: @0.00   0 0.00 0.00   $0.00 $0.00 0.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Sergio Moraes Davi Ramos $18.46 $9.23
 
$9.23
#2 Rani Yahya Joe Soto $16.92 $9.64
 
-$16.92
#3 Alex Oliveira Tim Means $15.38 $26.92
 
$26.92
#4 Edson Barboza Beneil Dariush $13.85 $9.42
 
$9.42
#5 Ray Borg Jussier Formiga $12.31 $10.83
 
$10.83
#6 Paulo Costa Garreth McLellan $10.77 $3.88
 
$3.88
#7 Kevin Lee Francisco Trinaldo $9.23 $6.18
 
$6.18
#8 Jeremy Kennedy Rony Jason $7.69 $6.92
 
$6.92
#9 Marion Reneau Bethe Correia $6.15 $5.78
 
NA
#10 Kelvin Gastelum Vitor Belfort $4.62 $1.34
 
$1.34
#11 Mauricio Rua Gian Villante $3.08 $2.16
 
$2.16
#12 Michel Prazeres Josh Burkman $1.54 $0.63
 
$0.63
      $120.00 $92.93 (77%)   $60.59 (50%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Sergio Moraes Davi Ramos $18.46 $9.23
 
$9.23
#2 Rani Yahya Joe Soto $16.92 $9.64
 
-$16.92
#3 Alex Oliveira Tim Means $15.38 $26.92
 
$26.92
#4 Edson Barboza Beneil Dariush $13.85 $9.42
 
$9.42
#5 Josh Burkman Michel Prazeres $12.31 $27.70
 
-$12.31
#6 Ray Borg Jussier Formiga $10.77 $9.48
 
$9.48
#7 Vitor Belfort Kelvin Gastelum $9.23 $29.07
 
-$9.23
#8 Paulo Costa Garreth McLellan $7.69 $2.77
 
$2.77
#9 Gian Villante Mauricio Rua $6.15 $8.36
 
-$6.15
#10 Kevin Lee Francisco Trinaldo $4.62 $3.10
 
$3.10
#11 Jeremy Kennedy Rony Jason $3.08 $2.77
 
$2.77
#12 Bethe Correia Marion Reneau $1.54 $1.62
 
NA
      $120.00 $140.07 (117%)   $19.07 (16%)
 
 
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