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Event Predictions

UFC on Fox 15 - Rockhold vs. Machida

Newark, New Jersey
2015-04-18 21:00:00

Favourite wins: 7
Underdog wins: 4
$10 on all favourites nets: $-2.60
$10 on all underdogs nets: $27.60

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 11.25. Profit: 10.83
Total Unit Profit: 10.83

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-14.30 (6 right, 5 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $41.50 (9 right, 2 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $73.92 (9 right, 2 wrong)
Value betting profit: $108.48 (8 right, 3 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Low
Average Value Bet Rating: Good

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Luke Rockhold vs Lyoto Machida Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
40%
65 (38)%
 
104 (62)%
37%
 
63%
59%
 
41%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #2 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.64 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @2.50
$10 Bet Profit: $6.4 #2 Ranked $8.33 Bet Profit: $5.33 #2 Ranked $1.67 Value Bet Profit: $-1.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ronaldo Souza vs Chris Camozzi Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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93%
   
8%
127 (98)%
 
3 (2)%
99%
 
1%
84%
 
16%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #10 Fantastic Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.08 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @12.50
$10 Bet Profit: $0.8 #10 Ranked $6.67 Bet Profit: $0.53 #9 Ranked $18.33 Value Bet Profit: $-18.33

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cub Swanson vs Max Holloway Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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59%
   
43%
120 (75)%
 
39 (25)%
78%
 
22%
46%
 
54%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#6 Moderate Pick Rating
WON
@1.69 Suggested Bet: 2.5 units on Max Holloway: Returned 3.32 Units   @2.33
$10 Bet Profit: $13.3 #6 Ranked $15 Bet Profit: $19.95 #7 Ranked $8.33 Value Bet Profit: $11.08

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Paige VanZant vs Felice Herrig Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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55%
   
47%
62 (54)%
 
53 (46)%
54%
 
46%
71%
 
29%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #5
LOST
@1.82 Suggested Bet: 2.75 units on Paige VanZant: Returned 2.26 Units   @2.13
$10 Bet Profit: $8.2 #5 Ranked $16.67 Bet Profit: $13.67 #5 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $8.2

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jim Miller vs Beneil Dariush Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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38%
   
62%
48 (55)%
 
40 (45)%
55%
 
45%
32%
 
68%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#3 Low Pick Rating
WON
@2.63 Suggested Bet: 0.75 units on Beneil Dariush: Returned 0.46 Units   @1.61
$10 Bet Profit: $6.1 #3 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $6.1 #3 Ranked $3.33 Value Bet Profit: $2.03

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ovince St Preux vs Patrick Cummins Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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48%
   
54%
101 (74)%
 
36 (26)%
75%
 
25%
64%
 
36%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #7
LOST
@2.08 Suggested Bet: 3.25 units on Ovince St Preux: Returned 3.51 Units   @1.85
$10 Bet Profit: $10.8 #7 Ranked $18.33 Bet Profit: $19.8 #8 Ranked $11.67 Value Bet Profit: $12.6

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Corey Anderson vs Gian Villante Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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78%
   
23%
69 (77)%
 
21 (23)%
79%
 
21%
59%
 
41%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Very Poor #9 Very Good Anti-Pick
WON
@1.28 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.35
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $3.33 Bet Profit: $-3.33 #11 Ranked $15 Value Bet Profit: $50.25

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Takeya Mizugaki vs Aljamain Sterling Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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24%
   
78%
37 (41)%
 
53 (59)%
38%
 
62%
43%
 
57%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Very Good #1 Very Poor Pick Rating
WON
@4.17 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.28
$10 Bet Profit: $2.8 #1 Ranked $1.67 Bet Profit: $0.47 #1 Ranked $16.67 Value Bet Profit: $-16.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tim Means vs George Sullivan Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
39%
46 (85)%
 
8 (15)%
87%
 
13%
73%
 
27%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #4
LOST
@1.64 Suggested Bet: 2 units on Tim Means: Returned 1.28 Units   @2.56
$10 Bet Profit: $6.4 #4 Ranked $11.67 Bet Profit: $7.47 #4 Ranked $5 Value Bet Profit: $3.2

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Diego Brandao vs Jimy Hettes Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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60%
   
41%
72 (80)%
 
18 (20)%
80%
 
20%
73%
 
27%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #11
LOST
@1.67 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.44
$10 Bet Profit: $6.7 #11 Ranked $13.33 Bet Profit: $8.93 #6 Ranked $6.67 Value Bet Profit: $4.47

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Chris Dempsey vs Eddie Gordon Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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20%
   
81%
7 (10)%
 
62 (90)%
11%
 
89%
33%
 
67%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Very Good #8 Very Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@5.00 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.23
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $5 Bet Profit: $-5 #10 Ranked $13.33 Value Bet Profit: $53.32


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Ovince St Preux vs Patrick Cummins (@2.08) 64%   3.25   3.51   3.51   $0.00   $0.00 108%
Bet on Paige VanZant vs Felice Herrig (@1.82) 71%   2.75   2.25   2.26   $0.00   $0.00 82%
Bet on Max Holloway vs Cub Swanson (@2.33) 54%   2.5   3.32   3.32   $0.00   $0.00 133%
Bet on Tim Means vs George Sullivan (@1.64) 73%   2   1.28   1.28   $0.00   $0.00 64%
Bet on Beneil Dariush vs Jim Miller (@1.61) 68%   0.75   0.46   0.46   $0.00   $0.00 61%
Average Odds: @1.86   11.25 10.83 10.83   $0.00 $0.00 96.24%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $110.00 over 11 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Ovince St Preux Patrick Cummins $18.33 $19.80
 
$19.80
#2 Paige VanZant Felice Herrig $16.67 $13.67
 
$13.67
#3 Max Holloway Cub Swanson $15.00 $19.95
 
$19.95
#4 Diego Brandao Jimy Hettes $13.33 $8.93
 
$8.93
#5 Tim Means George Sullivan $11.67 $7.47
 
$7.47
#6 Beneil Dariush Jim Miller $10.00 $6.10
 
$6.10
#7 Luke Rockhold Lyoto Machida $8.33 $5.33
 
$5.33
#8 Ronaldo Souza Chris Camozzi $6.67 $0.53
 
$0.53
#9 Eddie Gordon Chris Dempsey $5.00 $1.15
 
-$5.00
#10 Corey Anderson Gian Villante $3.33 $0.93
 
-$3.33
#11 Aljamain Sterling Takeya Mizugaki $1.67 $0.47
 
$0.47
      $110.00 $84.33 (77%)   $73.92 (67%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Chris Camozzi Ronaldo Souza $18.33 $210.80
 
-$18.33
#2 Takeya Mizugaki Aljamain Sterling $16.67 $52.84
 
-$16.67
#3 Gian Villante Corey Anderson $15.00 $50.25
 
$50.25
#4 Chris Dempsey Eddie Gordon $13.33 $53.32
 
$53.32
#5 Ovince St Preux Patrick Cummins $11.67 $12.60
 
$12.60
#6 Paige VanZant Felice Herrig $10.00 $8.20
 
$8.20
#7 Max Holloway Cub Swanson $8.33 $11.08
 
$11.08
#8 Diego Brandao Jimy Hettes $6.67 $4.47
 
$4.47
#9 Tim Means George Sullivan $5.00 $3.20
 
$3.20
#10 Beneil Dariush Jim Miller $3.33 $2.03
 
$2.03
#11 Lyoto Machida Luke Rockhold $1.67 $2.51
 
-$1.67
      $110.00 $411.30 (374%)   $108.48 (99%)
 
 
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