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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night 100 Bader vs. Nogueira 2

Sao Paulo, Brazil
2016-11-19 23:00:00

Favourite wins: 8
Underdog wins: 4
$10 on all favourites nets: $-5.80
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-25.20

Unit Betting
Units Bet: . Profit: 0.00
Total Unit Profit:

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-13.80 (7 right, 4 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-38.80 (6 right, 6 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-63.84 (6 right, 6 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-73.05 (3 right, 9 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Poor
Average Value Bet Rating: Fair

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ryan Bader vs Rogerio Nogueira Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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77%
   
27%
11 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
67%
 
33%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.30 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.65
$10 Bet Profit: $3 #11 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $1.84 #7 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Thomas Almeida vs Albert Morales Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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74%
   
27%
10 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
75%
 
25%
WON
Pick Rating Low #5
LOST
@1.35 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.69
$10 Bet Profit: $3.5 #5 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $4.85 #8 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $1.08

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Claudia Gadelha vs Cortney Casey Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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78%
   
25%
12 (92)%
 
1 (8)%
89%
 
11%
69%
 
31%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #8 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.28 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.98
$10 Bet Profit: $2.8 #8 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $2.15 #10 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Thales Leites vs Krzysztof Jotko Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
44%
5 (56)%
 
4 (44)%
51%
 
49%
67%
 
33%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #7
WON
@1.65 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.26
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $-15.38 #12 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $-6.15

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Warlley Alves vs Kamaru Usman Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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35%
   
67%
3 (30)%
 
7 (70)%
23%
 
77%
51%
 
49%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Good #10
WON
@2.85 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.50
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $-18.46 #5 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $-18.46

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Sergio Moraes vs Zak Ottow Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
35%
4 (80)%
 
1 (20)%
86%
 
14%
62%
 
38%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #3 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.43 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.85
$10 Bet Profit: $4.3 #3 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $3.97 #3 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $-4.62

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jack Hermansson vs Cezar Ferreira Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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51%
   
56%
4 (67)%
 
2 (33)%
57%
 
43%
51%
 
49%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #4
WON
@1.95 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.80
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #4 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $-12.31 #6 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $-1.54

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs Gadzhimurad Antigulov Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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64%
   
40%
4 (80)%
 
1 (20)%
73%
 
27%
52%
 
48%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Very Poor #2 Fair Anti-Pick
WON
@1.56 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.47
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $-4.62 #2 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $13.57

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Johnny Eduardo vs Manny Gamburyan Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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71%
   
34%
5 (83)%
 
1 (17)%
79%
 
21%
57%
 
43%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #9 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.41 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.97
$10 Bet Profit: $4.1 #9 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $1.26 #9 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $-15.38

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Luis Henrique vs Christian Colombo Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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74%
   
31%
3 (75)%
 
1 (25)%
78%
 
22%
60%
 
40%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #12 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.35 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.20
$10 Bet Profit: $3.5 #12 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.54 #4 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $-16.92

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Pedro Munhoz vs Justin Scoggins Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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38%
   
62%
2 (33)%
 
4 (67)%
42%
 
58%
43%
 
57%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Fair #6 Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@2.60 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.62
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $-10.77 #11 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $12.3

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Francimar Barroso vs Darren Stewart Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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59%
   
47%
4 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
71%
 
29%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #1
WON
@1.69 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.15
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $-16.92 #1 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $-10.77


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Average Odds: @0.00   0 0.00 0.00   $0.00 $0.00 0.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Warlley Alves Kamaru Usman $18.46 $34.15
 
-$18.46
#2 Francimar Barroso Darren Stewart $16.92 $11.67
 
-$16.92
#3 Thales Leites Krzysztof Jotko $15.38 $10.00
 
-$15.38
#4 Thomas Almeida Albert Morales $13.85 $4.85
 
$4.85
#5 Jack Hermansson Cezar Ferreira $12.31 $11.69
 
-$12.31
#6 Justin Scoggins Pedro Munhoz $10.77 $6.68
 
-$10.77
#7 Sergio Moraes Zak Ottow $9.23 $3.97
 
$3.97
#8 Claudia Gadelha Cortney Casey $7.69 $2.15
 
$2.15
#9 Ryan Bader Rogerio Nogueira $6.15 $1.84
 
$1.84
#10 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Gadzhimurad Antigulov $4.62 $2.59
 
-$4.62
#11 Johnny Eduardo Manny Gamburyan $3.08 $1.26
 
$1.26
#12 Luis Henrique Christian Colombo $1.54 $0.54
 
$0.54
      $120.00 $91.40 (76%)   $-63.84 (-53%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Warlley Alves Kamaru Usman $18.46 $34.15
 
-$18.46
#2 Christian Colombo Luis Henrique $16.92 $37.22
 
-$16.92
#3 Manny Gamburyan Johnny Eduardo $15.38 $30.30
 
-$15.38
#4 Cortney Casey Claudia Gadelha $13.85 $41.27
 
-$13.85
#5 Rogerio Nogueira Ryan Bader $12.31 $32.62
 
-$12.31
#6 Francimar Barroso Darren Stewart $10.77 $7.43
 
-$10.77
#7 Gadzhimurad Antigulov Marcos Rogerio de Lima $9.23 $13.57
 
$13.57
#8 Pedro Munhoz Justin Scoggins $7.69 $12.30
 
$12.30
#9 Thales Leites Krzysztof Jotko $6.15 $4.00
 
-$6.15
#10 Zak Ottow Sergio Moraes $4.62 $8.55
 
-$4.62
#11 Thomas Almeida Albert Morales $3.08 $1.08
 
$1.08
#12 Jack Hermansson Cezar Ferreira $1.54 $1.46
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $223.96 (187%)   $-73.05 (-61%)
 
 
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