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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - Shogun vs. St. Preux

Minas Gerais, Brazil
2014-11-08 22:00:00

Favourite wins: 7
Underdog wins: 3
$10 on all favourites nets: $2.30
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-22.90

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 1.25. Profit: -1.25
Total Unit Profit: -1.25

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $36.00 (8 right, 2 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $40.10 (8 right, 2 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $40.95 (8 right, 2 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-0.78 (5 right, 5 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Good

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mauricio Rua vs Ovince St Preux Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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65%
   
37%
57 (67)%
 
28 (33)%
69%
 
31%
73%
 
27%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #10
WON
@1.54 Suggested Bet: 1.25 units on Mauricio Rua: Returned -1.25 Units   @2.70
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $10.91 Bet Profit: $-10.91 #7 Ranked $5.45 Value Bet Profit: $-5.45

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Warlley Alves vs Alan Jouban Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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69%
   
33%
25 (63)%
 
15 (38)%
67%
 
33%
58%
 
42%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #4 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.45 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.03
$10 Bet Profit: $4.5 #4 Ranked $3.64 Bet Profit: $1.64 #4 Ranked $10.91 Value Bet Profit: $-10.91

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Claudio Silva vs Leon Edwards Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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38%
   
65%
19 (70)%
 
8 (30)%
66%
 
34%
73%
 
27%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Extremely Good #1
LOST
@2.63 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.54
$10 Bet Profit: $16.3 #1 Ranked $16.36 Bet Profit: $26.67 #1 Ranked $16.36 Value Bet Profit: $26.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Dhiego Lima vs Jorge Antonio Cezario de Oliveira Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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76%
   
27%
36 (92)%
 
3 (8)%
92%
 
8%
66%
 
34%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #6 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.32 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.70
$10 Bet Profit: $3.2 #6 Ranked $5.45 Bet Profit: $1.74 #8 Ranked $9.09 Value Bet Profit: $-9.09

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Juliana Lima vs Nina Nunes Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
59%
17 (59)%
 
12 (41)%
60%
 
40%
77%
 
23%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Extremely Good #8
LOST
@2.38 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.69
$10 Bet Profit: $13.8 #8 Ranked $14.55 Bet Profit: $20.08 #9 Ranked $14.55 Value Bet Profit: $20.08

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Diego Rivas vs Rodolfo Rubio Perez Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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55%
   
50%
12 (57)%
 
9 (43)%
59%
 
41%
69%
 
31%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #3
LOST
@1.82 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.00
$10 Bet Profit: $8.2 #3 Ranked $12.73 Bet Profit: $10.44 #3 Ranked $7.27 Value Bet Profit: $5.96

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Caio Magalhaes vs Trevor Smith Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
34%
19 (66)%
 
10 (34)%
69%
 
31%
73%
 
27%
WON
Pick Rating Low #5
LOST
@1.47 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.94
$10 Bet Profit: $4.7 #5 Ranked $9.09 Bet Profit: $4.27 #6 Ranked $3.64 Value Bet Profit: $1.71

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Leandro Silva vs Charlie Brenneman Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
40%
18 (43)%
 
24 (57)%
42%
 
58%
61%
 
39%
WON
Pick Rating Low #2
LOST
@1.64 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @2.50
$10 Bet Profit: $6.4 #2 Ranked $7.27 Bet Profit: $4.65 #2 Ranked $1.82 Value Bet Profit: $1.16

Value Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tim Gorman vs Thomas Almeida Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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27%
   
77%
10 (37)%
 
17 (63)%
33%
 
67%
36%
 
64%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Moderate #7 Very Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.70 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.30
$10 Bet Profit: $3 #7 Ranked $1.82 Bet Profit: $0.55 #10 Ranked $12.73 Value Bet Profit: $-12.73

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Colby Covington vs Wagner Silva Gomes Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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81%
   
21%
16 (59)%
 
11 (41)%
61%
 
39%
45%
 
55%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#9 Fantastic Pick Rating
LOST
@1.23 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.76
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $18.18 Bet Profit: $-18.18 #5 Ranked $18.18 Value Bet Profit: $-18.18


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Mauricio Rua vs Ovince St Preux (@1.54) 73%   1.25   0.67   -1.25   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @1.54   1.25 0.67 -1.25   $0.00 $0.00 -100.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $100.00 over 10 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Wagner Silva Gomes Colby Covington $18.18 $68.36
 
-$18.18
#2 Claudio Silva Leon Edwards $16.36 $26.67
 
$26.67
#3 Juliana Lima Nina Nunes $14.55 $20.08
 
$20.08
#4 Diego Rivas Rodolfo Rubio Perez $12.73 $10.44
 
$10.44
#5 Mauricio Rua Ovince St Preux $10.91 $5.89
 
-$10.91
#6 Caio Magalhaes Trevor Smith $9.09 $4.27
 
$4.27
#7 Leandro Silva Charlie Brenneman $7.27 $4.65
 
$4.65
#8 Dhiego Lima Jorge Antonio Cezario de Oliveira $5.45 $1.74
 
$1.74
#9 Warlley Alves Alan Jouban $3.64 $1.64
 
$1.64
#10 Thomas Almeida Tim Gorman $1.82 $0.55
 
$0.55
      $100.00 $144.29 (144%)   $40.95 (41%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Wagner Silva Gomes Colby Covington $18.18 $68.36
 
-$18.18
#2 Claudio Silva Leon Edwards $16.36 $26.67
 
$26.67
#3 Juliana Lima Nina Nunes $14.55 $20.08
 
$20.08
#4 Tim Gorman Thomas Almeida $12.73 $34.37
 
-$12.73
#5 Alan Jouban Warlley Alves $10.91 $22.15
 
-$10.91
#6 Jorge Antonio Cezario de Oliveira Dhiego Lima $9.09 $24.54
 
-$9.09
#7 Diego Rivas Rodolfo Rubio Perez $7.27 $5.96
 
$5.96
#8 Mauricio Rua Ovince St Preux $5.45 $2.94
 
-$5.45
#9 Caio Magalhaes Trevor Smith $3.64 $1.71
 
$1.71
#10 Leandro Silva Charlie Brenneman $1.82 $1.16
 
$1.16
      $100.00 $207.94 (208%)   $-0.78 (-1%)
 
 
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