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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - Arlovski vs. Barnett

Hamburg. Germany
2016-09-03 15:45:00

Favourite wins: 7
Underdog wins: 3
$10 on all favourites nets: $0.20
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-30.70

Unit Betting
Units Bet: . Profit: 0.00
Total Unit Profit:

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-30.50 (5 right, 5 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $13.00 (7 right, 3 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-4.95 (7 right, 3 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-41.89 (3 right, 7 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Good

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Andrei Arlovski vs Josh Barnett Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
60%
12 (52)%
 
11 (48)%
52%
 
48%
30%
 
70%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#8 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@2.40 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.67
$10 Bet Profit: $6.7 #8 Ranked $11.67 Bet Profit: $7.82 #10 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $6.7

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alexander Gustafsson vs Jan Blachowicz Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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85%
   
16%
33 (97)%
 
1 (3)%
98%
 
2%
82%
 
18%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #9 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.17 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @6.35
$10 Bet Profit: $1.7 #9 Ranked $5 Bet Profit: $0.85 #11 Ranked $6.67 Value Bet Profit: $-6.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ryan Bader vs Ilir Latifi Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
35%
13 (68)%
 
6 (32)%
67%
 
33%
65%
 
35%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #7 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.50 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.86
$10 Bet Profit: $5 #7 Ranked $6.67 Bet Profit: $3.33 #9 Ranked $1.67 Value Bet Profit: $-1.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Nick Hein vs Tae Hyun Bang Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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74%
   
27%
9 (82)%
 
2 (18)%
79%
 
21%
77%
 
23%
WON
Pick Rating Low #6
LOST
@1.36 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.75
$10 Bet Profit: $3.6 #6 Ranked $8.33 Bet Profit: $3 #7 Ranked $5 Value Bet Profit: $1.8

Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jessin Ayari vs Jim Wallhead Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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44%
   
57%
0 (0)%
 
4 (100)%
0%
 
100%
33%
 
67%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#5 Fair Pick Rating
LOST
@2.25 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.74
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $8.33 Value Bet Profit: $-8.33

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Nicolas Dalby vs Peter Sobotta Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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62%
   
37%
4 (50)%
 
4 (50)%
54%
 
46%
48%
 
52%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#4 Good Pick Rating
WON
@1.62 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.68
$10 Bet Profit: $16.8 #4 Ranked $13.33 Bet Profit: $22.39 #4 Ranked $11.67 Value Bet Profit: $19.61

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Veronica Macedo vs Ashlee Evans-Smith Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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30%
   
71%
3 (75)%
 
1 (25)%
83%
 
17%
65%
 
35%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Fantastic #1
WON
@3.35 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.40
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.33 Bet Profit: $-18.33 #1 Ranked $18.33 Value Bet Profit: $-18.33

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Leandro Issa vs Taylor Lapilus Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
60%
2 (22)%
 
7 (78)%
18%
 
82%
44%
 
56%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Low #10 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@2.40 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.67
$10 Bet Profit: $6.7 #10 Ranked $3.33 Bet Profit: $2.23 #8 Ranked $3.33 Value Bet Profit: $-3.33

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jarjis Danho vs Christian Colombo Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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55%
   
47%
0 (0)%
 
2 (100)%
0%
 
100%
30%
 
70%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
DRAW
#3 Good+ Pick Rating
DRAW
@1.83 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.15
$10 Bet Profit: $0 #3 Ranked $15 Bet Profit: $0 #3 Ranked $13.33 Value Bet Profit: $0

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Scott Askham vs Jack Hermansson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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50%
   
50%
2 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
79%
 
21%
LOST
Pick Rating Good+ #2
WON
@1.99 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.00
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $16.67 Bet Profit: $-16.67 #2 Ranked $15 Value Bet Profit: $-15

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Rustam Khabilov vs Leandro Silva Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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80%
   
21%
13 (93)%
 
1 (7)%
94%
 
6%
66%
 
34%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #11 Good+ Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.25 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.75
$10 Bet Profit: $2.5 #11 Ranked $1.67 Bet Profit: $0.42 #5 Ranked $16.67 Value Bet Profit: $-16.67


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Average Odds: @0.00   0 0.00 0.00   $0.00 $0.00 0.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $110.00 over 11 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Veronica Macedo Ashlee Evans-Smith $18.33 $43.08
 
-$18.33
#2 Scott Askham Jack Hermansson $16.67 $16.50
 
-$16.67
#3 Christian Colombo Jarjis Danho $15.00 $17.25
 
NA
#4 Peter Sobotta Nicolas Dalby $13.33 $22.39
 
$22.39
#5 Josh Barnett Andrei Arlovski $11.67 $7.82
 
$7.82
#6 Jim Wallhead Jessin Ayari $10.00 $7.40
 
-$10.00
#7 Nick Hein Tae Hyun Bang $8.33 $3.00
 
$3.00
#8 Ryan Bader Ilir Latifi $6.67 $3.33
 
$3.33
#9 Alexander Gustafsson Jan Blachowicz $5.00 $0.85
 
$0.85
#10 Taylor Lapilus Leandro Issa $3.33 $2.23
 
$2.23
#11 Rustam Khabilov Leandro Silva $1.67 $0.42
 
$0.42
      $110.00 $124.27 (113%)   $-4.95 (-5%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Veronica Macedo Ashlee Evans-Smith $18.33 $43.08
 
-$18.33
#2 Leandro Silva Rustam Khabilov $16.67 $62.51
 
-$16.67
#3 Scott Askham Jack Hermansson $15.00 $14.85
 
-$15.00
#4 Christian Colombo Jarjis Danho $13.33 $15.33
 
NA
#5 Peter Sobotta Nicolas Dalby $11.67 $19.61
 
$19.61
#6 Josh Barnett Andrei Arlovski $10.00 $6.70
 
$6.70
#7 Jim Wallhead Jessin Ayari $8.33 $6.16
 
-$8.33
#8 Jan Blachowicz Alexander Gustafsson $6.67 $35.68
 
-$6.67
#9 Nick Hein Tae Hyun Bang $5.00 $1.80
 
$1.80
#10 Leandro Issa Taylor Lapilus $3.33 $4.66
 
-$3.33
#11 Ilir Latifi Ryan Bader $1.67 $3.11
 
-$1.67
      $110.00 $213.49 (194%)   $-41.89 (-38%)
 
 
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