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Event Predictions

UFC 203 - Miocic vs. Overeem

Cleveland, Ohio
2016-09-10 23:30:00

Favourite wins: 9
Underdog wins: 1
$10 on all favourites nets: $43.00
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-77.00

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 9.25. Profit: -4.03
Total Unit Profit: -4.03

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $9.10 (7 right, 3 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $49.70 (9 right, 1 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $48.66 (9 right, 1 wrong)
Value betting profit: $35.59 (8 right, 2 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Stipe Miocic vs Alistair Overeem Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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53%
   
49%
41 (54)%
 
35 (46)%
53%
 
47%
68%
 
32%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #3
LOST
@1.90 Suggested Bet: 2.75 units on Stipe Miocic: Returned 2.48 Units   @2.05
$10 Bet Profit: $9 #3 Ranked $12.73 Bet Profit: $11.46 #4 Ranked $12.73 Value Bet Profit: $11.46

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Fabricio Werdum vs Travis Browne Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
35%
52 (88)%
 
7 (12)%
87%
 
13%
72%
 
28%
WON
Pick Rating Low #5
LOST
@1.50 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.88
$10 Bet Profit: $5 #5 Ranked $7.27 Bet Profit: $3.63 #7 Ranked $5.45 Value Bet Profit: $2.72

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mickey Gall vs Phil Brooks Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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80%
   
20%
37 (69)%
 
17 (31)%
68%
 
32%
83%
 
17%
WON
Pick Rating Low #10
LOST
@1.25 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.89
$10 Bet Profit: $2.5 #10 Ranked $3.64 Bet Profit: $0.91 #1 Ranked $1.82 Value Bet Profit: $0.46

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Urijah Faber vs Jimmie Rivera Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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40%
   
61%
49 (80)%
 
12 (20)%
81%
 
19%
67%
 
33%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Very Good #2
WON
@2.50 Suggested Bet: 6.5 units on Urijah Faber: Returned -6.50 Units   @1.63
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $18.18 Bet Profit: $-18.18 #3 Ranked $18.18 Value Bet Profit: $-18.18

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joanne Wood vs Jessica Andrade Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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44%
   
57%
23 (53)%
 
20 (47)%
54%
 
46%
28%
 
72%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#4 Moderate Pick Rating
WON
@2.25 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.76
$10 Bet Profit: $7.6 #4 Ranked $10.91 Bet Profit: $8.29 #5 Ranked $10.91 Value Bet Profit: $8.29

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jessica Eye vs Bethe Correia Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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58%
   
43%
23 (58)%
 
17 (43)%
61%
 
39%
38%
 
62%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#7 Good Pick Rating
WON
@1.71 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.30
$10 Bet Profit: $13 #7 Ranked $16.36 Bet Profit: $21.27 #10 Ranked $16.36 Value Bet Profit: $21.27

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Brad Tavares vs Caio Magalhaes Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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65%
   
37%
28 (93)%
 
2 (7)%
94%
 
6%
67%
 
33%
WON
Pick Rating Low #8
LOST
@1.55 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.70
$10 Bet Profit: $5.5 #8 Ranked $5.45 Bet Profit: $3 #9 Ranked $3.64 Value Bet Profit: $2

Value Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Michael McBride vs Nik Lentz Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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21%
   
81%
6 (18)%
 
28 (82)%
17%
 
83%
26%
 
74%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Moderate #9 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@4.85 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.24
$10 Bet Profit: $2.4 #9 Ranked $1.82 Bet Profit: $0.44 #6 Ranked $9.09 Value Bet Profit: $-9.09

Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jason Gonzalez vs Drew Dober Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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40%
   
61%
9 (33)%
 
18 (67)%
34%
 
66%
32%
 
68%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#6 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@2.50 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.65
$10 Bet Profit: $6.5 #6 Ranked $9.09 Bet Profit: $5.91 #8 Ranked $7.27 Value Bet Profit: $4.73

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Yancy Medeiros vs Sean Spencer Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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55%
   
45%
16 (57)%
 
12 (43)%
58%
 
42%
75%
 
25%
WON
Pick Rating Good #1
LOST
@1.82 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.20
$10 Bet Profit: $8.2 #1 Ranked $14.55 Bet Profit: $11.93 #2 Ranked $14.55 Value Bet Profit: $11.93


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Urijah Faber vs Jimmie Rivera (@2.50) 67%   6.5   9.75   -6.50   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Stipe Miocic vs Alistair Overeem (@1.90) 68%   2.75   2.47   2.48   $0.00   $0.00 90%
Average Odds: @2.16   9.25 12.22 -4.03   $0.00 $0.00 -43.51%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $100.00 over 10 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Urijah Faber Jimmie Rivera $18.18 $27.27
 
-$18.18
#2 Bethe Correia Jessica Eye $16.36 $21.27
 
$21.27
#3 Yancy Medeiros Sean Spencer $14.55 $11.93
 
$11.93
#4 Stipe Miocic Alistair Overeem $12.73 $11.46
 
$11.46
#5 Jessica Andrade Joanne Wood $10.91 $8.29
 
$8.29
#6 Drew Dober Jason Gonzalez $9.09 $5.91
 
$5.91
#7 Fabricio Werdum Travis Browne $7.27 $3.63
 
$3.63
#8 Brad Tavares Caio Magalhaes $5.45 $3.00
 
$3.00
#9 Mickey Gall Phil Brooks $3.64 $0.91
 
$0.91
#10 Nik Lentz Michael McBride $1.82 $0.44
 
$0.44
      $100.00 $94.11 (94%)   $48.66 (49%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Urijah Faber Jimmie Rivera $18.18 $27.27
 
-$18.18
#2 Bethe Correia Jessica Eye $16.36 $21.27
 
$21.27
#3 Yancy Medeiros Sean Spencer $14.55 $11.93
 
$11.93
#4 Stipe Miocic Alistair Overeem $12.73 $11.46
 
$11.46
#5 Jessica Andrade Joanne Wood $10.91 $8.29
 
$8.29
#6 Michael McBride Nik Lentz $9.09 $35.00
 
-$9.09
#7 Drew Dober Jason Gonzalez $7.27 $4.73
 
$4.73
#8 Fabricio Werdum Travis Browne $5.45 $2.72
 
$2.72
#9 Brad Tavares Caio Magalhaes $3.64 $2.00
 
$2.00
#10 Mickey Gall Phil Brooks $1.82 $0.46
 
$0.46
      $100.00 $125.12 (125%)   $35.59 (36%)
 
 
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